Better Decision Making In Complex Dynamic Tasks

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Better Decision Making in Complex, Dynamic Tasks

Author : Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
Publisher : Springer
Page : 252 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 2014-06-16
Category : Science
ISBN : 9783319079868

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Better Decision Making in Complex, Dynamic Tasks by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah Pdf

Computer simulation-based education and training is a multi-billion dollar industry. With the increased complexity of organizational decision making, projected demand for computer simulation-based decisional aids is on the rise. The objective of this book is to enhance systematically our understanding of and gain insights into the general process by which human facilitated ILEs are effectively designed and used in improving users’ decision making in dynamic tasks. This book is divided into four major parts. Part I serves as an introduction to the subject of “decision making in dynamic tasks”, its importance and its complexity. Part II provides background material, drawing upon the relevant literature, for the development of an integrated process model on the effectiveness of human facilitated ILEs in improving decision making in dynamic tasks. Part III focuses on the design, development and application of Fish Bank ILE, in laboratory experiments, to gather empirical evidence for the validity of the process model. Finally, part IV presents a comprehensive analysis of the gathered data to provide a powerful basis for understating important phenomena of training with human facilitated simulation-based learning environments, thereby, help to drive critical lessons to be learned. This book provides the reader with both a comprehensive understanding of the phenomena encountered in decision making with human facilitated ILEs and a unique way of studying the effects of these phenomena on people’s ability to make better decision in complex, dynamic tasks. This book is intended to be of use to managers and practitioners, researchers and students of dynamic decision making. The background material of Part II provides a solid base to understand and organize the existing experimental research literature and approaches.

Improving Human Performance in Dynamic Tasks

Author : Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 43,9 Mb
Release : 2020
Category : Decision making
ISBN : 3030281671

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Improving Human Performance in Dynamic Tasks by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah Pdf

This book is about improving human decision making and performance in complex, dynamic tasks. The defining characteristics of a dynamic decision task are that there are a number of decisions required, that decisions are interdependent and that the environment in which the decision is made is transient and feedback is pervasive. Examples of dynamic tasks include the sustainable management of renewable resources and how businesses might allocate resources for research and development (R&D) projects. Decision making in dynamic tasks can be improved through training with system dynamics-based interactive learning environments (ILE's) that include systematic debriefing. Some key features of the book include its didactic approach, numerous tables, figures, and the multidimensional evaluative model. Researchers can use the developed "evaluation model" to gauge various decision-aiding technologies. How to Improve Human Performance in Dynamic Tasks appeals to those interested in the design and evaluation of simulation-based decision support systems, as well as policy makers, students, researchers, and industrialists concerned by the issue of improving human performance in organizational tasks.

Complex Decision Making

Author : Hassan Qudrat-Ullah,J. Michael Spector,Paal Davidsen
Publisher : Springer
Page : 337 pages
File Size : 55,6 Mb
Release : 2007-09-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783540736653

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Complex Decision Making by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah,J. Michael Spector,Paal Davidsen Pdf

Today's ever more complex world creates challenges for decision makers. This volume reviews the principles underlying complex decision making, the handling of uncertainties in dynamic environments, and the various modeling approaches. Beginning with a discussion of the underlying concepts, theories and empirical evidence, the book gives you a range of practical tools and techniques for decision making in complex environments and systems.

Managing Complex Tasks with Systems Thinking

Author : Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 479 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2023-12-15
Category : Science
ISBN : 9783031406355

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Managing Complex Tasks with Systems Thinking by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah Pdf

This book is about improving human decision making and performance in complex tasks. Utilizing systems thinking approach, this book presents innovative and insightful solutions to various managerial issues in various domains including agriculture, education, climate change, digital transformation, health care, supply chains, and sustainability. Practical insights and operational causal models are systematically presented. The key features of the didactic approach of this book are core knowledge, numerous tables and figures throughout the text, system archetypes, and causal loop models. This book serves as a text for college and university courses on Systems Thinking for Management Decision Making in Complex Tasks. Researchers use the developed “causal models” to design and evaluate various decision-aiding technologies. It is used as a source of practical information for a broad community of decision-makers, researchers, and practitioners concerned with the issue of improving human performance in complex organizational tasks.

Improving Human Performance in Dynamic Tasks

Author : Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 85 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2019-08-30
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9783030281663

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Improving Human Performance in Dynamic Tasks by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah Pdf

This book is about improving human decision making and performance in complex, dynamic tasks. The defining characteristics of a dynamic decision task are that there are a number of decisions required, that decisions are interdependent and that the environment in which the decision is made is transient and feedback is pervasive. Examples of dynamic tasks include the sustainable management of renewable resources and how businesses might allocate resources for research and development (R&D) projects. Decision making in dynamic tasks can be improved through training with system dynamics–based interactive learning environments (ILE’s) that include systematic debriefing. Some key features of the book include its didactic approach, numerous tables, figures, and the multidimensional evaluative model. Researchers can use the developed “evaluation model” to gauge various decision-aiding technologies. How to Improve Human Performance in Dynamic Tasks appeals to those interested in the design and evaluation of simulation-based decision support systems, as well as policy makers, students, researchers, and industrialists concerned by the issue of improving human performance in organizational tasks.

Complex Problem Solving Beyond the Psychometric Approach

Author : Wolfgang Schoppek,Joachim Funke,Magda Osman,Annette Kluge
Publisher : Frontiers Media SA
Page : 178 pages
File Size : 55,7 Mb
Release : 2018-09-28
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9782889455737

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Complex Problem Solving Beyond the Psychometric Approach by Wolfgang Schoppek,Joachim Funke,Magda Osman,Annette Kluge Pdf

Complex problem solving (CPS) and related topics such as dynamic decision-making (DDM) and complex dynamic control (CDC) represent multifaceted psychological phenomena. In abroad sense, CPS encompasses learning, decision-making, and acting in complex and dynamic situations. Moreover, solutions to problems that people face in such situations are often generated in teams or groups. This adds another layer of complexity to the situation itself because of the emerging issues that arise from the social dynamics of group interactions. This framing of CPS means that it is not a single construct that can be measured by using a particular type of CPS task (e.g. minimal complex system tests), which is a view taken by the psychometric community. The proposed approach taken here is that because CPS is multifaceted, multiple approaches need to be taken to fully capture and understand what it is and how the different cognitive processes associated with it complement each other.Thus, this Research Topic is aimed at showcasing the latest work in the fields of CPS, as well as DDM and CDC that takes a holist approach to investigating and theorizing about these abilities. The collection of articles encompasses conceptual approaches as well as experimental and correlational studies involving established or new tools to examine CPS, DDM and CDC. This work contributes to answering questions about what strategies and what general knowledge can be transferred from one type of complex and dynamic situation to another, what learning conditions result in transferable knowledge and skills, and how these features can be trained.

Encyclopedia of Human Computer Interaction

Author : Ghaoui, Claude
Publisher : IGI Global
Page : 780 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2005-12-31
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781591407980

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Encyclopedia of Human Computer Interaction by Ghaoui, Claude Pdf

Esta enciclopedia presenta numerosas experiencias y discernimientos de profesionales de todo el mundo sobre discusiones y perspectivas de la la interacción hombre-computadoras

Decision Making

Author : Ray Crozier,Rob Ranyard,Ola Svenson
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 272 pages
File Size : 53,5 Mb
Release : 2002-09-11
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781134726783

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Decision Making by Ray Crozier,Rob Ranyard,Ola Svenson Pdf

This book offers an exciting new collection of recent research on the actual processes that humans use when making decisions in their everyday lives and in business situations. The contributors use cognitive psychological techniques to break down the constituent processes and set them in their social context. The contributors are from many different countries and draw upon a wide range of techniques, making this book a valuable resource to cognitive psychologists in applied settings, economists and managers.

Decision Making in Complex Environments

Author : Jan Noyes,Malcolm Cook,Yvonne Masakowshi
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 458 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2017-09-18
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781317153948

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Decision Making in Complex Environments by Jan Noyes,Malcolm Cook,Yvonne Masakowshi Pdf

Many complex systems in civil and military operations are highly automated with the intention of supporting human performance in difficult cognitive tasks. The complex systems can involve teams or individuals working on real-time supervisory control, command or information management tasks where a number of constraints must be satisfied. Decision Making in Complex Environments addresses the role of the human, the technology and the processes in complex socio-technical and technological systems. The aim of the book is to apply a multi-disciplinary perspective to the examination of the human factors in complex decision making. It contains more than 30 contributions on key subjects such as military human factors, team decision making issues, situation awareness, and technology support. In addition to the major application area of military human factors there are chapters on business, medical, governmental and aeronautical decision making. The book provides a unique blend of expertise from psychology, human factors, industry, commercial environments, the military, computer science, organizational psychology and training that should be valuable to academics and practitioners alike.

Encyclopedia of Information Science and Technology, Second Edition

Author : Khosrow-Pour, Mehdi
Publisher : IGI Global
Page : 5266 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 2008-10-31
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781605660271

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Encyclopedia of Information Science and Technology, Second Edition by Khosrow-Pour, Mehdi Pdf

"This set of books represents a detailed compendium of authoritative, research-based entries that define the contemporary state of knowledge on technology"--Provided by publisher.

Handbook of Applied Cognition

Author : Francis T. Durso
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 918 pages
File Size : 46,9 Mb
Release : 2007-02-06
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9780470059630

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Handbook of Applied Cognition by Francis T. Durso Pdf

Written by a team of leading international researchers under the guidance of Frank Durso, the second edition of the Handbook of Applied Cognition brings together the latest research into this challenging and important field, and is presented across thirty stimulating and accessible chapters. Stewarded by experiences editors from around the globe, the handbook has been fully updated with eleven new chapters covering materials that focus on the topics critical to understanding human mental functions in complex environments. It is an essential single-source reference for researchers, cognitive engineers and applied cognitive psychologists, as well as advanced students in the flourishing field of applied cognition.

The Cambridge Handbook of Situated Cognition

Author : Philip Robbins,Murat Aydede
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 521 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2009
Category : Philosophy
ISBN : 9780521848329

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The Cambridge Handbook of Situated Cognition by Philip Robbins,Murat Aydede Pdf

This book is a guide to a movement in cognitive science showing how environmental and bodily structure shapes cognition.

Straight Choices

Author : Ben R. Newell,David A. Lagnado,David R. Shanks
Publisher : Psychology Press
Page : 319 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 2015-06-12
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9781317538868

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Straight Choices by Ben R. Newell,David A. Lagnado,David R. Shanks Pdf

Should I have this medical treatment or that one? Is this computer a better buy than that one? Should I invest in shares or keep my money under the bed? We all face a perplexing array of decisions every day. Thoroughly revised and updated throughout, the new edition of Straight Choices provides an integrative account of the psychology of decision-making, and shows how psychological research can help us understand our uncertain world. Straight Choices emphasises the relationship between learning and decision-making, arguing that the best way to understand how and why decisions are made is in the context of the learning and knowledge acquisition which precedes them, and the feedback which follows. The mechanisms of learning and the structure of environments in which decisions are made are carefully examined to explore their impact on our choices. The authors then consider whether we are all constrained to fall prey to cognitive biases, or whether, with sufficient exposure, we can find optimal decision strategies and improve our decision making. Featuring three completely new chapters, this edition also contains student-friendly overviews and recommended readings in each chapter. It will be of interest to students and researchers in cognitive psychology, behavioral economics, and the decision sciences, as well as anyone interested in the nature of decision making.

Decision Modes in Complex Task Environments

Author : Norbert Steigenberger,Thomas Lübcke,Heather Fiala,Alina Riebschläger
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 314 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 2017-05-25
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781351649858

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Decision Modes in Complex Task Environments by Norbert Steigenberger,Thomas Lübcke,Heather Fiala,Alina Riebschläger Pdf

Despite intense research on decision-making in action, we still know little about when decision-makers rely on deliberate vs. intuitive decision-making in decision situations under complexity and uncertainty. Building on default-interventionist dual-processing theory, this book studies decision-making modes (deliberate vs. intuitive) in complex task environments contingent on perceived complexity, experience, and decision style preference. We find that relatively inexperienced decision-makers respond to increases in subjective complexity with an increase in deliberation and tend to follow their decision style preference. Experienced decision-makers are less guided by their decision preference and respond to increases in subjective complexity only minimally. This book contributes to a developing stream of research linking decision-making with intra-personal and environmental properties and fosters our understanding of the conditions under which decision-makers rely on intuitive vs. deliberate decision modes. In doing so, we go one step further towards a comprehensive theory of decision-making in action.

Understanding the Dynamics of Nuclear Power and the Reduction of CO2 Emissions

Author : Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 193 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2022-05-14
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783031043413

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Understanding the Dynamics of Nuclear Power and the Reduction of CO2 Emissions by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah Pdf

This books explains a strategy that a country can meet its CO2 emission reduction targets (e.g., as are in Paris Agreement) with a dominant share of nuclear power with a balanced energy supply mix. The book starts with an introduction to the subject of energy policy, mechanisms, and CO2 emissions, and the complexity of the CO2 reduction goal. It introduces the system dynamics approach as a solution modeling approach for dealing with the complexity of CO2 reducing policies and mechanisms. The book presents the dynamic model and its key parameters and then elaborates the structural and behavioral validity of the dynamic model. The book gives an intensive review to do that comparative analysis involving China, India, Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Pakistan. The last half of the book focuses on the case in Pakistan. The author reviews Pakistan’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution and other key sources from Pakistan’s Ministry of Energy and related institutions. Using Pakistan’s case data, the author applies the system dynamics modeling approach whereby a dynamic model, capable of representing the important interactions among various sectors of the electricity supply sector of Pakistan. This book is intended to be of use to policymakers, managers and practitioners, teachers, researchers, and students of design and assessment of policymaking for the complex, dynamic energy systems