The Effects Of Real Exchange Rate Volatility On Sectoral Investment

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The Effects of Real Exchange Rate Volatility on Sectoral Investment

Author : Bahar Erdal
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 172 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 2017-05-18
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781351801720

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The Effects of Real Exchange Rate Volatility on Sectoral Investment by Bahar Erdal Pdf

Originally published in 1997. This study investigates what the effects of real exchange rate volatility are on sectorial investment in the fixed and flexible exchange rate systems. It lays out the results of research into the effects of the levels and volatility of real exchange rates on investment in the manufacturing sectors of the countries in the European Monetary System as well as of the countries in the flexible exchange rate system, with data from between 1973 and 1993. Examining the differences between the two systems in the results this book also looks at exchange rate effects on interest rates at the time.

Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 132 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2004-05-19
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498330282

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Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence by International Monetary Fund Pdf

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Real Exchange Rates, Economic Complexity, and Investment

Author : Steve Brito,Mr.Nicolas E Magud,Mr.Sebastian Sosa
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 21 pages
File Size : 46,8 Mb
Release : 2018-05-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484354834

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Real Exchange Rates, Economic Complexity, and Investment by Steve Brito,Mr.Nicolas E Magud,Mr.Sebastian Sosa Pdf

We show that the response of firm-level investment to real exchange rate movements varies depending on the production structure of the economy. Firms in advanced economies and in emerging Asia increase investment when the domestic currency weakens, in line with the traditional Mundell-Fleming model. However, in other emerging market and developing economies, as well as some advanced economies with a low degree of structural economic complexity, corporate investment increases when the domestic currency strengthens. This result is consistent with Diaz Alejandro (1963)—in economies where capital goods are mostly imported, a stronger real exchange rate reduces investment costs for domestic firms.

Financial Volatility and Real Economic Activity

Author : Kevin Daly
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 140 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 2019-01-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780429852138

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Financial Volatility and Real Economic Activity by Kevin Daly Pdf

Published in 1999. The issue of financial volatility, especially since financial deregulation, has given rise to concerns regarding the effects of increased financial volatility on real economic activity. Two issues represent a substantial challenge to financial economists with respect to these concerns. The first relates to the identification of the causes of increased volatility in financial markets. Identification is a first step towards increasing both financial economists' and policy-makers' understanding of the interrelated causes of financial volatility. The second requires linking the effects of increased financial volatility to the real sector of the economy by examining the channels through which financial volatility influences fundamental economic variables. In order to address these two issues, the analysis initially develops and estimates a model which is capable of explaining the financial and business cycle determinates of movements in the conditional volatility of the Australian All Industrials stock market index. Evidence suggests that a significant linkage exists between the conditional volatility of the money supply. Models are then developed to examine how monetary volatility is transmitted to the volatility of financial asset prices, inflation and real output in an open economy. The results indicate that while financial volatility has increased to some extent since the late 1980s, this has been transferred non-uniformly towards increasing volatility of both real and financial activity.

When and Why Worry About Real Exchange Rate Appreciation? The Missing Link Between Dutch Disease and Growth

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 34 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2010-12-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781455210787

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When and Why Worry About Real Exchange Rate Appreciation? The Missing Link Between Dutch Disease and Growth by International Monetary Fund Pdf

We review the literature on Dutch disease, and document that shocks that trigger foreign exchange inflows (such as natural resource booms, surges in foreign aid, remittances, or capital inflows) appreciate the real exchange rate, generate factor reallocation, and reduce manufacturing output and net exports. We also observe that real exchange rate misalignment due to overvaluation and higher volatility of the real exchange rate lower growth. Regarding the effect of undervaluation of the exchange rate on economic growth, the evidence is mixed and inconclusive. However, there is no evidence in the literature that Dutch disease reduces overall economic growth. Policy responses should aim at adequately managing the boom and the risks associated with it.

Adjustments of the Financial and Corporate Sector to the Changes in Exchange Rate Volatility and Their Policy Implications in the SEACEN Countries

Author : Dagva Boldbaatar,Yothin Jinjarak
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 300 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 2007
Category : Banks and banking
ISBN : UCAL:B5133597

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Adjustments of the Financial and Corporate Sector to the Changes in Exchange Rate Volatility and Their Policy Implications in the SEACEN Countries by Dagva Boldbaatar,Yothin Jinjarak Pdf

The Effects of Real Exchange Rate Volatility on Sectoral Investment

Author : Bahar Erdal
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 150 pages
File Size : 55,9 Mb
Release : 2017-05-18
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781351801713

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The Effects of Real Exchange Rate Volatility on Sectoral Investment by Bahar Erdal Pdf

Originally published in 1997. This study investigates what the effects of real exchange rate volatility are on sectorial investment in the fixed and flexible exchange rate systems. It lays out the results of research into the effects of the levels and volatility of real exchange rates on investment in the manufacturing sectors of the countries in the European Monetary System as well as of the countries in the flexible exchange rate system, with data from between 1973 and 1993. Examining the differences between the two systems in the results this book also looks at exchange rate effects on interest rates at the time.

The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on U.S. Foreign Direct Investment in Latin America

Author : Callye R. M. Masten
Publisher : ProQuest
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2008
Category : Foreign exchange rates
ISBN : 0549388028

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The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on U.S. Foreign Direct Investment in Latin America by Callye R. M. Masten Pdf

The determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI) have been widely examined. Previous studies have shown that exchange rates play a vital role in the analysis and are a major determinant in the flow of FDI. Most research has focused on examining how exchange rate volatility affects the economies of developed nations. However, little research has been done in understanding the impact of exchange rate volatility on FDI flows to Latin America. Developing countries lack the capital that is needed for further growth. Therefore, FDI is important to developing countries, because it allows them to gain the necessary capital. This paper examines the relationship between exchange rate volatility, political institutions and FDI flows into Latin America across two sectors: food processing, and industrial manufacturing. Empirical results show that exchange rate volatility significantly deters the flow of U.S. FDI into Latin America. Other significant economic factors are U.S. interest rates and openness to trade. Conflict and corruption are the political risk factors that have significant impacts on FDI flows. Conclusions from the paper recommend governments in Latin America to implement macroeconomic polices that promote stability, which could help reduce exchange rate volatility and lower inflation.

Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs

Author : Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 2013
Category : Banks and banking, Central
ISBN : 9291319627

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Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs by Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico Pdf

Volatility and Growth

Author : Philippe Aghion,Abhijit Banerjee
Publisher : OUP Oxford
Page : 160 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2005-07-28
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0199248613

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Volatility and Growth by Philippe Aghion,Abhijit Banerjee Pdf

It has long been recognized that productivity growth and the business cycle are closely interrelated. Yet, until recently, the two phenomena have been investigated separately in the economics literature. This book provides the first consistent attempt to analyze the effects of macroeconomic volatility on productivity growth, and also the reverse causality from growth to business cycles. The authors show that by looking at the economy through the lens of private entrepreneurs, whoinvest under credit constraints, one can go some way towards explaining persistent macroeconomic volatility and the effects of volatility on growth.Beginning with an analysis of the effects of volatility on growth, the authors argue that the lower the level of financial development in a country the more detrimental the effect of volatility on growth. This prediction is confirmed by cross-country panel regressions. The data also suggests that a fixed exchange rate regime or more countercyclical budgetary policies are growth-enhancing in countries with a lower level of financial development. The former reduce aggregate volatility whereas thelatter reduce the negative effects of volatility on long-term productivity-enhancing investment by firms.The book concludes with an investigation into how the interplay between credit constraints and pecuniary externalities is sufficient to generate persistent business cycles and to explain the occurrence of currency crises.

PPP Strikes Back

Author : Mr. Haroon Mumtaz,Mr. Jean Imbs,Mr. Morten O. Ravn,Ms. Helene Rey
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 43 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 2003-04-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781451895537

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PPP Strikes Back by Mr. Haroon Mumtaz,Mr. Jean Imbs,Mr. Morten O. Ravn,Ms. Helene Rey Pdf

We show the importance of a dynamic aggregation bias in accounting for the PPP puzzle. We prove that established time-series and panel methods substantially exaggerate the persistence of real exchange rates because of heterogeneity in the dynamics of disaggregated relative prices. When heterogeneity is properly taken into account, estimates of the real exchange rate half-life fall dramatically, to little more than one year, or significantly below Rogoff''s "consensus view" of three to five years. We show that corrected estimates are consistent with plausible nominal rigidities, thus, arguably, solving the PPP puzzle.

Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries

Author : Mr. Marco Airaudo
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 65 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2016-03-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475523164

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Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries by Mr. Marco Airaudo Pdf

We analyze coordination of monetary and exchange rate policy in a two-sector model of a small open economy featuring imperfect substitution between domestic and foreign financial assets. Our central finding is that management of the exchange rate greatly enhances the efficacy of inflation targeting. In a flexible exchange rate system, inflation targeting incurs a high risk of indeterminacy where macroeconomic fluctuations can be driven by self-fulfilling expectations. Moreover, small inflation shocks may escalate into much larger increases in inflation ex post. Both problems disappear when the central bank leans heavily against the wind in a managed float.

Misalignment of Exchange Rates

Author : Richard C. Marston
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 332 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2008-04-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780226507255

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Misalignment of Exchange Rates by Richard C. Marston Pdf

Economists writing on flexible exchange rates in the 1960s foresaw neither the magnitude nor the persistence of the changes in real exchange rates that have occurred in the last fifteen years. Unexpectedly large movements in relative prices have lead to sharp changes in exports and imports, disrupting normal trading relations and causing shifts in employment and output. Many of the largest changes are not equilibrium adjustments to real disturbances but represent instead sustained departures from long-run equilibrium levels, with real exchange rates remaining "misaligned" for years at a time. Contributors to Misalignment of Exchange Rates address a series of questions about misalignment. Several papers investigate the causes of misalignment and the extent to which observed movements in real exchange rates can be attributed to misalignment. These studies are conducted both empirically, through the experiences of the United States, Great Britain, Japan, and the countries of the European Monetary System, and theoretically, through models of imperfect competition. Attention is then turned to the effects of misalignment, especially on employment and production, and to detailed estimates of the effects of changes in exchange rates on several industries, including the U.S. auto industry. In response to the contention that there is significant "hysteresis" in the adjustment of employment and production to changes in exchange rates, contributors also attempt to determine whether the effects of misalignment can be reversed once exchange rates return to earlier levels. Finally, the issue of how to avoid—or at least control—misalignment through macroeconomic policy is confronted.

Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa

Author : Mr.Dhaneshwar Ghura,Mr.Michael T. Hadjimichael
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 32 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 1995-12-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781451855753

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Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa by Mr.Dhaneshwar Ghura,Mr.Michael T. Hadjimichael Pdf

The paper investigates empirically the determinants of economic growth for a large sample of sub-Saharan African countries during 1981-92. The results indicate that (i) an increase in private investment has a relatively large positive impact on per capita growth; (ii) growth is stimulated by public policies that lower the budget deficit in relation to GDP (without reducing government investment), reduce the rate of inflation, maintain external competitiveness, promote structural reforms, encourage human capital development, and slow population growth; and (iii) convergence of per capita income occurs after controlling for human capital development and public policies.