The Fallacies Of Cold War Deterrence And A New Direction

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The Fallacies of Cold War Deterrence and a New Direction

Author : Keith B. Payne
Publisher : University Press of Kentucky
Page : 228 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2021-03-17
Category : History
ISBN : 9780813160238

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The Fallacies of Cold War Deterrence and a New Direction by Keith B. Payne Pdf

In 1938, Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain hoped that a policy of appeasement would satisfy Adolf Hitler's territorial appetite and structured British policy accordingly. This plan was a failure, chiefly because Hitler was not a statesman who would ultimately conform to familiar norms. Chamberlain's policy was doomed because he had greatly misjudged Hitler's basic beliefs and thus his behavior. U.S. Cold War nuclear deterrence policy was similarly based on the confident but questionable assumption that Soviet leaders would be rational by Washington's standards; they would behave reasonably when presented with nuclear threats. The United States assumed that any sane challenger would be deterred from severe provocations because not to do so would be foolish. Keith B. Payne addresses the question of whether this line of reasoning is adequate for the post-Cold War period. By analyzing past situations and a plausible future scenario, a U.S.-Chinese crisis over Taiwan, he proposes that American policymakers move away from the assumption that all our opponents are comfortably predictable by the standards of our own culture. In order to avoid unexpected and possibly disastrous failures of deterrence, he argues, we should closely examine particular opponents' culture and beliefs in order to better anticipate their likely responses to U.S. deterrence threats.

Quarterly Review of Military Literature

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 478 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2003
Category : Military art and science
ISBN : CUB:U183043957026

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Quarterly Review of Military Literature by Anonim Pdf

Routledge Handbook of Strategic Culture

Author : Kerry M. Kartchner,Briana D. Bowen,Jeannie L. Johnson
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
Page : 515 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 2023-10-11
Category : History
ISBN : 9781000956351

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Routledge Handbook of Strategic Culture by Kerry M. Kartchner,Briana D. Bowen,Jeannie L. Johnson Pdf

This handbook offers a collection of cutting-edge essays on all aspects of strategic culture by a mix of international scholars, consultants, military officers, and policymakers. The volume explicitly addresses the analytical conundrums faced by scholars who wish to employ or generate strategic cultural insights, with substantive commentary on defining and scoping strategic culture, analytic frameworks and approaches, levels of analysis, sources of strategic culture, and modalities of change in strategic culture. The chapters engage strategic culture at the civilizational, regional, supra-national, national, non-state actor, and organizational levels. The volume is divided into five thematic parts, which will appeal to both students who are new to the subject and scholars who wish to incorporate strategic culture into their toolbox of analytical techniques. Part I assesses the evolving theoretical strengths and weaknesses of the field. Part II lays out elements of the theoretical and methodological foundations of the field, including sources and components of strategic culture. Part III presents a number of national strategic cultural profiles, representing the state of contemporary strategic culture scholarship. Part IV addresses the utility of strategic culture for practitioners and scholars. Part V summarizes the key theoretical and practical insights offered by the volume’s contributors. This handbook will be of much interest to students of strategic studies, defense studies, security studies, and international relations in general, as well as to professional practitioners.

Understanding Deterrence

Author : Keith B. Payne
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 136 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2014-06-11
Category : History
ISBN : 9781317980308

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Understanding Deterrence by Keith B. Payne Pdf

For decades, the rational actor model served as the preferred guide for U.S. deterrence policy. It has been a convenient and comforting guide because it requires little detailed knowledge of an opponent’s unique decision-making process and yet typically provides confident generalizations about how deterrence works. The model tends to postulate common decision-making parameters across the globe to reach generalizations about how deterrence will function and the types of forces that will be "stabilizing" or "destabilizing." Yet a broad spectrum of unique factors can influence an opponent’s perceptions and his calculations, and these are not easily captured by the rational actor model. The absence of uniformity means there can be very few deterrence generalizations generated by the use of the rational actor model that are applicable to the entire range of opponents. Understanding Deterrence considers how factors such as psychology, history, religion, ideology, geography, political structure, culture, proliferation and geopolitics can shape a leadership’s decision-making process, in ways that are specific and unique to each opponent. Understanding Deterrence demonstrates how using a multidisciplinary approach to deterrence analysis can better identify and assess factors that influence an opponent’s decision-making process. This identification and assessment process can facilitate the tailoring of deterrence strategies to specific purposes and result in a higher likelihood of success than strategies guided by the generalizations about opponent decision-making typically contained in the rational actor model. This book was published as a special issue of Comparative Strategy.

Tailored Deterrence

Author : Barry R. Schneider,Patrick D. Ellis
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 466 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 2012
Category : Arms control
ISBN : 0974740381

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Tailored Deterrence by Barry R. Schneider,Patrick D. Ellis Pdf

The Sheriff

Author : Colin S. Gray
Publisher : University Press of Kentucky
Page : 208 pages
File Size : 55,8 Mb
Release : 2014-07-11
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780813147970

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The Sheriff by Colin S. Gray Pdf

Since the end of the Cold War, and especially since September 11, few issues have been more hotly debated than the United States' role in the world. In this hard-nosed but sophisticated examination, Colin S. Gray argues that America is the indispensable guardian of world order. Gray's constructive critique of recent trends in national security is holistic, rooting defense issues and prospective answers both in U.S. national security policy, broadly defined, and in the emerging international security environment. Colin S. Gray is professor of international politics and strategic studies at the University of Reading, England, and senior fellow at the National Institute for Public Policy in Fairfax, Virginia. He is the author of seventeen books, including Modern Strategy and Strategy for Chaos: Revolutions in Military Affairs and the Evidence of History.

The Great American Gamble

Author : Keith B. Payne
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 500 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 2008
Category : History
ISBN : STANFORD:36105131741675

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The Great American Gamble by Keith B. Payne Pdf

The United Kingdom and Nuclear Deterrence

Author : Jeremy Stocker
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 112 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2007
Category : Foreign Language Study
ISBN : UVA:X030166816

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The United Kingdom and Nuclear Deterrence by Jeremy Stocker Pdf

This Adelphi Paper argues that it makes sense to remain a nuclear power in an uncertain and nuclear-armed world. Given that deterrence needs are now less acute, but more complex than in the past, it asserts that deterrence also needs to be aligned with non-proliferation policies, which seek to reduce the scale of threats that need to be deterred.

Deterrence and Clarity

Author : Clifton W. Sherrill
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 448 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2003
Category : Asia
ISBN : UCSD:31822035179084

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Deterrence and Clarity by Clifton W. Sherrill Pdf

Ballistic Missile Defence for Australia

Author : Stephan Frühling
Publisher : Strategic and Defence Studies Centre
Page : 146 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 2003
Category : Australia
ISBN : UCSD:31822033353921

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Ballistic Missile Defence for Australia by Stephan Frühling Pdf

Complex Deterrence

Author : T. V. Paul,Patrick M. Morgan,James J. Wirtz
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 370 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2009-09
Category : Political Science
ISBN : STANFORD:36105124157822

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Complex Deterrence by T. V. Paul,Patrick M. Morgan,James J. Wirtz Pdf

Papers presented at a conference at McGill University in Montraeal in May 2007.

MAINTAINING EFFECTIVE DETERRENCE.

Author : Colin S. Gray
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 51,8 Mb
Release : 2022
Category : Electronic
ISBN : OCLC:1396879098

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MAINTAINING EFFECTIVE DETERRENCE. by Colin S. Gray Pdf

The Encyclopedia of the Cold War

Author : Spencer C. Tucker
Publisher : ABC-CLIO
Page : 480 pages
File Size : 55,7 Mb
Release : 2007-09-12
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 1851097015

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The Encyclopedia of the Cold War by Spencer C. Tucker Pdf

A comprehensive five-volume reference on the defining conflict of the second half of the 20th century, covering all aspects of the Cold War as it influenced events around the world. The conflict that dominated world events for nearly five decades is now captured in a multivolume work of unprecedented magnitude—from a publisher widely acclaimed for its authoritative military and historical references. Under the direction of internationally known military historian Spencer Tucker, ABC-CLIO's The Encyclopedia of the Cold War: A Political, Social, and Military History offers the most current and comprehensive treatment ever published of the ideological conflict that not so long ago enveloped the globe. From the Second World War to the collapse of the Soviet Union, The Encyclopedia of the Cold War provides authoritative information on all military conflicts, battlefield and surveillance technologies, diplomatic initiatives, important individuals and organizations, national histories, economic developments, societal and cultural events, and more. The nearly 1,300 entries, plus topical essays and an extraordinarily rich documents volume, draw heavily on recently opened Russian, Eastern European, and Chinese archives. The work is a definitive cornerstone reference on one of the most important historical topics of our time.

Strategic Culture and Weapons of Mass Destruction

Author : Jeannie L. Johnson,Kerry M. Kartchner,Jeffrey A. Larsen
Publisher : Palgrave MacMillan
Page : 316 pages
File Size : 55,6 Mb
Release : 2009-02-13
Category : History
ISBN : STANFORD:36105131761913

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Strategic Culture and Weapons of Mass Destruction by Jeannie L. Johnson,Kerry M. Kartchner,Jeffrey A. Larsen Pdf

Interest in reviving strategic culture as a field of study results from the inadequacy of traditional analytical approaches and calls to develop a new framework to guide policymaking in the post-9/11 security environment. The book considers 10 case studies of WMD decision-making, profiling culture in terms of geography, shared narratives, group relationships, threat perception, ideology, religion, economics, leadership style, and more. Strategic culture can help us more accurately evaluate intelligence regarding dangers emanating from other cultures and improve our strategic communications. A strategic cultural perspective makes us appreciate the requirements for promoting U.S. global responsibilities in a multi-cultural context, negotiate across cultures more effectively, and forecast the implications of cultural change for strategic planning purposes.

Strategic Studies Quarterly

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 694 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2009
Category : Strategy
ISBN : STANFORD:36105133479886

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Strategic Studies Quarterly by Anonim Pdf