The Future Of National Intelligence

Author : Shay Hershkovitz
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
Page : 189 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2022-10-15
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781538160718

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The Future of National Intelligence by Shay Hershkovitz Pdf

National intelligence agencies have long adjusted to the opportunities and threats from new technologies, and have created structures, concepts, and practices to best apply new capabilities. But such recent technological developments as artificial intelligence are different in kind. Increasingly affordable to nongovernmental actors, they are powerful enough to overwhelm and marginalize much of what agencies do. In The Future of National Intelligence: How Emerging Technologies Reshape Intelligence Communities, Shay Hershkovitz argues that only with a new paradigm can these agencies take up this fundamentally new technological challenge.

Author : Mark M. Lowenthal
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 160 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2017-08-31
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781509520329

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The Future of Intelligence by Mark M. Lowenthal Pdf

Intelligence is, by definition, a shadowy business. Yet many aspects of this secret world are now more openly analyzed and discussed, a trend which has inevitably prompted lively debate about intelligence gathering and analysis: what should be allowed? What boundaries, if any, should be drawn? And what changes and challenges lie ahead for intelligence activities and agencies? In this compelling book, leading intelligence scholar Mark Lowenthal explores the future of intelligence. There are, he argues, three broad areas – information technology and intelligence collection; analysis; and governance – that indicate the potential for rather dramatic change in the world of intelligence. But whether these important vectors for change will improve how intelligence works or make it more difficult remains to be seen. The only certainty is that intelligence will remain an essential feature of statecraft in our increasingly dangerous world. Drawing on the author's forty years' experience in U.S. intelligence, The Future of Intelligence offers a broad and authoritative starting point for the ongoing debate about what intelligence could be and how it may function in the years ahead.

Author : Gregory F. Treverton,Professor in Intelligence Analysis Wilhelm Agrell,Wilhelm Agrell
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 304 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2014-05-14
Category : History
ISBN : 0511729057

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National Intelligence Systems by Gregory F. Treverton,Professor in Intelligence Analysis Wilhelm Agrell,Wilhelm Agrell Pdf

This book takes stock of the underlying intellectual sub-structure of intelligence.

Author : B. Raman
Publisher : Lancer Publishers
Page : 430 pages
File Size : 47,9 Mb
Release : 2002
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 8170622220

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Intelligence by B. Raman Pdf

This Book Is Invaluable Not Merely For Those Engaged In Intelligence Gathering And Dissemination But Also For Every Student Of Current Affairs And Indeed Everyone Who Wishes To Remain Abreast Of The Current International Political And Military Scenario.

Author : National Intelligence Council (U.S.)
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 118 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2004
Category : History
ISBN : MINN:31951D021892928

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Mapping the Global Future by National Intelligence Council (U.S.) Pdf

Takes a long-term view of the future. Offers a fresh look at how key global trends might develop over the next decade and a half to influence world events. Offers a range of possibilities and potential discontinuities. Builds upon methods used to develop two earlier studies, "Global Trends 2010" and "Global Trends 2015”. Employs a wide variety of innovative methodologies and approaches, including extensive consultations with a wide range of governmental and non-governmental experts. Includes a CD-ROM in a pocket which contains the entire text of the report. National Intelligence Council 2004-13.

Author : National Intelligence Council
Publisher : Cosimo Reports
Page : 158 pages
File Size : 49,8 Mb
Release : 2021-03
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1646794974

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Global Trends 2040 by National Intelligence Council Pdf

"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

Author : National Intelligence Council (U.S.)
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 99 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 2008-11-15
Category : Economic forecasting
ISBN : 1453686045

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Global Trends 2025 by National Intelligence Council (U.S.) Pdf

This report was prepared by the U.S. National Intelligence Council to show how key global trends might develop over the next 15 years to influence world events. Given many possible futures, it offers a range of possibilities. It will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying key trends, the factors that drive them, where they seem to be headed, and how they might interact. The report examines a small number of variables that will have a disproportionate influence on future events. (Note: this is a B&W reprint of the color original.)

Author : Robert Hutchings,Gregory F. Treverton
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
Page : 257 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2019-06-20
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780190940003

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Truth to Power by Robert Hutchings,Gregory F. Treverton Pdf

Truth to Power, the first-ever history of the U.S. National Intelligence Council (NIC), is told through the reflections of its eight Chairs in the period from the end of the Cold War until 2017. Co-editors Robert Hutchings and Gregory Treverton add a substantial introduction placing the NIC in its historical context going all the way back to the Board of National Estimates in the 1940s, as well as a concluding chapter that highlights key themes and judgments. This historic mission of this remarkable but little-known organization, now forty years old, is strategic intelligence assessment in service of senior American foreign policymakers. Its signature inside products, National Intelligence Estimates, are now accompanied by the NIC's every-four-years Global Trends. Unclassified, Global Trends has become a noted NIC brand, its release awaited by officials, academics and private sector managers around the world. Truth to Power tracks the NIC's role in providing strategic analysis on every major foreign policy issue confronting the United States during this consequential period. Chapters provide insider insights on the Balkan wars of the 1990s, the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, the invasion and occupation of Iraq in 2003, the nuclear weapons programs in Iran and North Korea, upheaval in the Middle East including the rise and fall of the Islamic State, the rise of China, and the Russia's turn toward aggression under Vladimir Putin. The book also assesses the NIC's newly expanded role in direct support to meetings of the National Security Council as well as its longstanding role in producing longer-range strategic intelligence.

Author : Isabelle Duyvesteyn,Ben de Jong,Joop Reijn
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 274 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2014-04-11
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781135095635

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The Future of Intelligence by Isabelle Duyvesteyn,Ben de Jong,Joop Reijn Pdf

This volume discusses the challenges the future holds for different aspects of the intelligence process and for organisations working in the field. The main focus of Western intelligence services is no longer on the intentions and capabilities of the Soviet Union and its allies. Instead, at present, there is a plethora of threats and problems that deserve attention. Some of these problems are short-term and potentially acute, such as terrorism. Others, such as the exhaustion of natural resources, are longer-term and by nature often more difficult to foresee in their implications. This book analyses the different activities that make up the intelligence process, or the ‘intelligence cycle’, with a focus on changes brought about by external developments in the international arena, such as technology and security threats. Drawing together a range of key thinkers in the field, The Future of Intelligence examines possible scenarios for future developments, including estimations about their plausibility, and the possible consequences for the functioning of intelligence and security services. This book will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, strategic studies, foreign policy, security studies and IR in general.

Author : National Intelligence Council (U.S.)
Publisher : U.S. Government Printing Office
Page : 166 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2012
Category : Balance of power
ISBN : 0160915430

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Global Trends 2030 by National Intelligence Council (U.S.) Pdf

This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. As with the NIC's previous Global Trends reports, we do not seek to predict the future, which would be an impossible feat, but instead provide a framework for thinking about possible futures and their implications. In-depth research, detailed modeling and a variety of analytical tools drawn from public, private and academic sources were employed in the production of Global Trends 2030. NIC leadership engaged with experts in nearly 20 countries, from think tanks, banks, government offices and business groups, to solicit reviews of the report.

Author : Gregory F. Treverton
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 288 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2003-03-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 052153349X

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Reshaping National Intelligence for an Age of Information by Gregory F. Treverton Pdf

Gregory Treverton, former US National Intelligence council head, demonstrates how government intelligence must change.

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 124 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2005
Category : Electronic
ISBN : OCLC:938576656

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Mapping the Global Future by Anonim Pdf

Author : Richard A. Best
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
Page : 14 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2010-11
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781437936971

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Intelligence Reform After Five Years by Richard A. Best Pdf

The Intell. Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act of 2004 was the most significant legislation affecting the U.S. intell. community since the National Security Act of 1947. The 2004 act attempted to ensure closer coordination among intell. agencies espec. in regard to counter-terrorism efforts. It established the position of Dir. of National Intell. (DNI) to coordinate the nation¿s intell. effort. The DNI speaks for U.S. intell., briefs the Pres., has authority to develop the budget for the national intell. effort and manage appropriations made by Congress, and can transfer personnel and funds from one agency to another. Contents of this report: Intro.; Background; The Intell. Reform Act of 2004; Positive Assessment; Negative Views; Alternative Views; Future Direction.

Author : Twentieth Century Fund. Task Force on the Future of U.S. Intelligence,Allan E. Goodman,Gregory F. Treverton,Philip Zelikow
Publisher : Brookings Institution Press
Page : 296 pages
File Size : 55,9 Mb
Release : 1996
Category : History
ISBN : UOM:39015040644265

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In from the Cold by Twentieth Century Fund. Task Force on the Future of U.S. Intelligence,Allan E. Goodman,Gregory F. Treverton,Philip Zelikow Pdf

Author : National Intelligence Council
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2005
Category : Globalization
ISBN : 1410203921

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Mapping the Global Future by National Intelligence Council Pdf

Mapping the Global Future: Report of the National Intelligence Council's 2020 Project is the third unclassified report prepared by the National Intelligence Council (NIC) in recent years that takes a long-term view of the future. It offers a fresh look at how key global trends might develop over the next decade and a half to influence world events. Mindful that there are many possible "futures," our report offers a range of possibilities and potential discontinuities, as a way of opening our minds to developments we might otherwise miss. As I used to say to my students at Princeton, linear analysis will get you a much-changed caterpillar, but it won't get you a butterfly. For that you need a leap of imagination. We hope this project, and the dialogue it stimulates, will help us make that leap --not to predict the world of 2020, which is clearly beyond our capacity-- but to better prepare for the kinds of challenges that may lie ahead. --- Robert L. Hutchings