Thinking Clearly

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The Art of Thinking Clearly

Author : Rolf Dobelli
Publisher : Harper Collins
Page : 384 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 2014-05-06
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9780062359803

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The Art of Thinking Clearly by Rolf Dobelli Pdf

A world-class thinker counts the 100 ways in which humans behave irrationally, showing us what we can do to recognize and minimize these “thinking errors” to make better decisions and have a better life Despite the best of intentions, humans are notoriously bad—that is, irrational—when it comes to making decisions and assessing risks and tradeoffs. Psychologists and neuroscientists refer to these distinctly human foibles, biases, and thinking traps as “cognitive errors.” Cognitive errors are systematic deviances from rationality, from optimized, logical, rational thinking and behavior. We make these errors all the time, in all sorts of situations, for problems big and small: whether to choose the apple or the cupcake; whether to keep retirement funds in the stock market when the Dow tanks, or whether to take the advice of a friend over a stranger. The “behavioral turn” in neuroscience and economics in the past twenty years has increased our understanding of how we think and how we make decisions. It shows how systematic errors mar our thinking and under which conditions our thought processes work best and worst. Evolutionary psychology delivers convincing theories about why our thinking is, in fact, marred. The neurosciences can pinpoint with increasing precision what exactly happens when we think clearly and when we don’t. Drawing on this wide body of research, The Art of Thinking Clearly is an entertaining presentation of these known systematic thinking errors--offering guidance and insight into everything why you shouldn’t accept a free drink to why you SHOULD walk out of a movie you don’t like it to why it’s so hard to predict the future to why shouldn’t watch the news. The book is organized into 100 short chapters, each covering a single cognitive error, bias, or heuristic. Examples of these concepts include: Reciprocity, Confirmation Bias, The It-Gets-Better-Before-It-Gets-Worse Trap, and the Man-With-A-Hammer Tendency. In engaging prose and with real-world examples and anecdotes, The Art of Thinking Clearly helps solve the puzzle of human reasoning.

The Art of Thinking Clearly

Author : Rolf Dobelli
Publisher : Harper Collins
Page : 259 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2013-05-14
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9780062219701

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The Art of Thinking Clearly by Rolf Dobelli Pdf

Have you ever . . . Invested time in something that, in hindsight, just wasn't worth it? Paid too much in an eBay auction? Continued to do something you knew was bad for you? Sold stocks too late, or too early? Taken credit for success, but blamed failure on external circumstances? Backed the wrong horse? These are examples of what the author calls cognitive biases, simple errors all of us make in day-to-day thinking. But by knowing what they are and how to identify them, we can avoid them and make better choices: whether in dealing with personal problems or business negotiations, trying to save money or earn profits, or merely working out what we really want in life—and strategizing the best way to get it. Already an international bestseller, The Art of Thinking Clearly distills cutting-edge research from behavioral economics, psychology, and neuroscience into a clever, practical guide for anyone who's ever wanted to be wiser and make better decisions. A novelist, thinker, and entrepreneur, Rolf Dobelli deftly shows that in order to lead happier, more prosperous lives, we don't need extra cunning, new ideas, shiny gadgets, or more frantic hyperactivity—all we need is less irrationality. Simple, clear, and always surprising, this indispensable book will change the way you think and transform your decision making—at work, at home, every day. From why you shouldn't accept a free drink to why you should walk out of a movie you don't like, from why it's so hard to predict the future to why you shouldn't watch the news, The Art of Thinking Clearly helps solve the puzzle of human reasoning.

The Art of Thinking Clearly

Author : Rolf Dobelli
Publisher : Sceptre
Page : 336 pages
File Size : 47,8 Mb
Release : 2014-05-02
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1444794876

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The Art of Thinking Clearly by Rolf Dobelli Pdf

The Art of Thinking Clearly by world-class thinker and entrepreneur Rolf Dobelli is an eye-opening look at human psychology and reasoning - essential reading for anyone who wants to avoid "cognitive errors" and make better choices in all aspects of their lives. Have you ever: Invested time in something that, with hindsight, just wasn't worth it? Or continued doing something you knew was bad for you? These are examples of cognitive biases, simple errors we all make in our day-to-day thinking. But by knowing what they are and how to spot them, we can avoid them and make better decisions. Simple, clear, and always surprising, this indispensable book will change the way you think and transform your decision-making-work, at home, every day. It reveals, in 99 short chapters, the most common errors of judgment, and how to avoid them.

Thinking Clearly

Author : Tom Rosenstiel,Amy S. Mitchell
Publisher : Columbia University Press
Page : 280 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2003-08-13
Category : Language Arts & Disciplines
ISBN : 9780231500913

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Thinking Clearly by Tom Rosenstiel,Amy S. Mitchell Pdf

Written by leading professional journalists and classroom-tested at schools of journalism, Thinking Clearly is designed to provoke conversation about the issues that shape the production and presentation of the news in the twenty-first century. These case studies depict real-life moments when people working in the news had to make critical decisions. Bearing on questions of craft, ethics, competition, and commerce, they cover a range of topics—the commercial imperatives of newsroom culture, standards of verification, the competition of public and private interests, including the question of privacy—in a variety of key episodes: Watergate, the Richard Jewell case, John McCain's 2000 presidential campaign, and the Columbine shooting, among others.

Thinking Clearly with Data

Author : Ethan Bueno de Mesquita,Anthony Fowler
Publisher : Princeton University Press
Page : 400 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2021-11-16
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9780691215013

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Thinking Clearly with Data by Ethan Bueno de Mesquita,Anthony Fowler Pdf

An engaging introduction to data science that emphasizes critical thinking over statistical techniques An introduction to data science or statistics shouldn’t involve proving complex theorems or memorizing obscure terms and formulas, but that is exactly what most introductory quantitative textbooks emphasize. In contrast, Thinking Clearly with Data focuses, first and foremost, on critical thinking and conceptual understanding in order to teach students how to be better consumers and analysts of the kinds of quantitative information and arguments that they will encounter throughout their lives. Among much else, the book teaches how to assess whether an observed relationship in data reflects a genuine relationship in the world and, if so, whether it is causal; how to make the most informative comparisons for answering questions; what questions to ask others who are making arguments using quantitative evidence; which statistics are particularly informative or misleading; how quantitative evidence should and shouldn’t influence decision-making; and how to make better decisions by using moral values as well as data. Filled with real-world examples, the book shows how its thinking tools apply to problems in a wide variety of subjects, including elections, civil conflict, crime, terrorism, financial crises, health care, sports, music, and space travel. Above all else, Thinking Clearly with Data demonstrates why, despite the many benefits of our data-driven age, data can never be a substitute for thinking. An ideal textbook for introductory quantitative methods courses in data science, statistics, political science, economics, psychology, sociology, public policy, and other fields Introduces the basic toolkit of data analysis—including sampling, hypothesis testing, Bayesian inference, regression, experiments, instrumental variables, differences in differences, and regression discontinuity Uses real-world examples and data from a wide variety of subjects Includes practice questions and data exercises

Thinking Clearly

Author : Jill LeBlanc
Publisher : W W Norton & Company Incorporated
Page : 314 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 1998
Category : Philosophy
ISBN : 0393972186

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Thinking Clearly by Jill LeBlanc Pdf

In tune with the needs of students, Thinking Clearly focuses squarely on core issues of critical reasoning.

Thinking Clearly about Death

Author : Jay F. Rosenberg
Publisher : Hackett Publishing
Page : 374 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 1998-01-01
Category : Philosophy
ISBN : 087220426X

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Thinking Clearly about Death by Jay F. Rosenberg Pdf

Jay Rosenberg's penetrating and persuasively argued analysis of the central metaphysical and moral questions pertaining to death has been updated and revised to expand and deepen several of its key arguments and to address conceptual developments of the past fifteen years. Among the topics discussed are: Life After Death; The Limits of Theorizing; The Limits of Imagination; Death and Personhood; Values and Rights; Mercy Killing; Prolonging Life; Rational Suicide; and One's Own Death. Rosenberg's prose is lucid, lively, thoroughly absorbing, and accessible to introductory-level readers. Essential reading for anyone interested in reflecting on this engaging topic.

The Art of Thinking Clearly

Author : Rolf Dobelli
Publisher : Hachette UK
Page : 310 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2013-04-11
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9781444759556

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The Art of Thinking Clearly by Rolf Dobelli Pdf

*OVER 3 MILLION COPIES SOLD* This book will change the way you think about decision-making. If you want to lead a happier, more prosperous life, you don't need shiny gadgets, complicated ideas or frantic activity. You just need to make better choices. From why you should not accept a free drink to why you should keep a diary, from dealing with a personal problem to negotiating at work, The Art of Thinking Clearly is a simple, straightforward and always surprising guide to a better, smarter you. Making better choices will transform your life at work, at home, forever. 'A treat - highly relevant, scientifically grounded and beautifully written' Claudio Feser, Senior Partner, McKinsey 'Intelligent, informative and witty' Christoph Franz, former Lufthansa CEO PRAISE FOR ROLF DOBELLI 'Dobelli has a gift for identifying the best ideas in the world' Jonathan Haidt, author of The Righteous Mind 'One of Europe's finest minds' Matt Ridley, author of The Evolution of Everything 'A virtuosic synthesizer of ideas' Joshua Greene, author of Moral Tribes

Focus: The Art of Clear Thinking

Author : Valerie Pierce
Publisher : Mercier Press Ltd
Page : 200 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2014-05-09
Category : Self-Help
ISBN : 9781781172810

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Focus: The Art of Clear Thinking by Valerie Pierce Pdf

Focus is natural. We are born with an instinct to focus on exactly what we want and a very strong pair of lungs to help us to get it. Then, somewhere along the way, we begin to lose that focus. In the digital age we are bombarded with information from all angles and live our lives at such a breakneck pace that it sometimes seems that our lives are completely out of our control. In three easy steps this book teaches the reader how to regain control through the art of clear thinking: 1) FOCUS eliminate information overload 2) TRANSFORM negative thinking into positive action 3) THINK CLEARLY in the moment The author shows how you can use this strategy to achieve your goals in work and in life.

Make Up Your Mind

Author : Hal Mooz
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 22 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2012-02-14
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781118172711

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Make Up Your Mind by Hal Mooz Pdf

A proven decision-making system guides readers to the rightchoice every time Make Up Your Mind provides author Hal Mooz’sproprietary system for decision making. This approach consists ofthree decision-making models, including: the Decision Type Model,which characterizes what is at stake with any decision; theDecision Solution Model, which frames the most suitablealternatives; and the Decision Judgment Model, which provides tenbases for judging alternatives, some of which may be defensible andothers that, although popular, may not be defensible to challenge.These models guide the reader's thinking to the most promisingalternatives and the best choice. A decision fit person enjoys the benefit of thinking clearlyabout decisions and their outcomes and is competent to actknowledgeably and decisively about creating the alternatives andjudging them appropriately. Become decision fit. Think clearly and act decisively on yourown decisions and help others to do the same.

Mister Yam

Author : Yeng Tan
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 296 pages
File Size : 45,8 Mb
Release : 2021-08-06
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9798450939674

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Mister Yam by Yeng Tan Pdf

Mister Yam - a twentysomething year old man disillusioned with corporate work in San Francisco - would find his life forever changed after an inexplicable phone call with a strange woman and an invitation to a musical show. Thus begins a series of events that would take Mister Yam chasing nameless figures across the country; solving a mystery only he can explain.

The Art of the Good Life

Author : Rolf Dobelli
Publisher : Hachette Books
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2018-11-06
Category : Self-Help
ISBN : 0316445061

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The Art of the Good Life by Rolf Dobelli Pdf

Since antiquity, people have been asking themselves what it means to live a good life. How should I live? What constitutes a good life? What's the role of fate? What's the role of money? Is leading a good life a question of mindset, or is it more about reaching your goals? Is it better to actively seek happiness or to avoid unhappiness? Each generation poses these questions anew, and somehow the answers are always fundamentally disappointing. Why? Because we're constantly searching for a single principle, a single tenet, a single rule. Yet this holy grail--a single, simple path to happiness--doesn't exist. Rolf Dobelli--successful businessman, founder of the TED-style ideas conference Zurich Minds, bestselling author, and all-around seeker of big ideas--has made finding a shortcut to happiness his life's mission. He's synthesized the leading thinkers and the latest science in happiness to find the best shortcuts to satisfaction in The Art of the Good Life, his follow up to the international bestseller The Art of Thinking Clearly (which has sold more than 2.5 million copies in 40 languages all around the globe). The Art of the Good Life is a toolkit designed for practical living. Here you'll find fifty-two happiness hacks--from guilt-free shunning of technology to gleefully paying your parking tickets--that are certain to optimize your happiness. These tips may not guarantee you a good life, but they'll give you a better chance (and that's all any of us can ask for).

The Art of Clear Thinking

Author : Patrick King
Publisher : PublishDrive
Page : 204 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2019-07-24
Category : Education
ISBN : PKEY:6610000207350

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The Art of Clear Thinking by Patrick King Pdf

Think smarter, better, and faster. Clear thinking is the key to truth, wisdom, and knowledge. Whether it’s from ourselves or others, we rarely see the world as it really is. We aren’t able to think clearly. We build our beliefs on lies, assumptions, and deceptions. This ends now. Practical methods to never be fooled, stop making mistakes, and avoid traps. The Art of Clear Thinking takes an in-depth look at the everyday illusions we come across, and how to defeat them once and for all. What makes us jump to conclusions, evaluate incorrectly, and consistently make errors when we should know better? Why do we act against our own interests so frequently? It’s just how we’re wired. But it doesn’t have to stay that way. This book gives you the tools to clear the fog from your eyes and simply think smarter. Practical methods to instantly be quick-witted, more insightful, and think more critically. Patrick King is an internationally bestselling author and social skills coach. He has sold over a million books. His writing draws of a variety of sources, from research, academic experience, coaching, and real life experience. Discover and avoid biases, blind spots, and poor logic. •The key to intellectual honesty and the biggest obstacle (that you control). •Just how flawed and biased your perceptions, perspectives, and feelings are. •Real logic and the fake logic people try to use to fool you. •How to think independently without being influenced by others. •Principles from some of history’s greatest thinkers: Descartes, Darwin, Einstein, and more.

The Great Mental Models, Volume 1

Author : Shane Parrish,Rhiannon Beaubien
Publisher : Penguin
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 2024-10-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780593719978

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The Great Mental Models, Volume 1 by Shane Parrish,Rhiannon Beaubien Pdf

Discover the essential thinking tools you’ve been missing with The Great Mental Models series by Shane Parrish, New York Times bestselling author and the mind behind the acclaimed Farnam Street blog and “The Knowledge Project” podcast. This first book in the series is your guide to learning the crucial thinking tools nobody ever taught you. Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett have credited their success to mental models–representations of how something works that can scale onto other fields. Mastering a small number of mental models enables you to rapidly grasp new information, identify patterns others miss, and avoid the common mistakes that hold people back. The Great Mental Models: Volume 1, General Thinking Concepts shows you how making a few tiny changes in the way you think can deliver big results. Drawing on examples from history, business, art, and science, this book details nine of the most versatile, all-purpose mental models you can use right away to improve your decision making and productivity. This book will teach you how to: Avoid blind spots when looking at problems. Find non-obvious solutions. Anticipate and achieve desired outcomes. Play to your strengths, avoid your weaknesses, … and more. The Great Mental Models series demystifies once elusive concepts and illuminates rich knowledge that traditional education overlooks. This series is the most comprehensive and accessible guide on using mental models to better understand our world, solve problems, and gain an advantage.

Thinking Clearly

Author : Tom Rosenstiel,Amy S. Mitchell
Publisher : Columbia University Press
Page : 280 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 2003
Category : Journalism
ISBN : 9780231125895

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Thinking Clearly by Tom Rosenstiel,Amy S. Mitchell Pdf

Explores the issues that shape the production and presentation of news in the twenty-first century, with case studies depicting real-life moments in which people in the news had to make critical decisions.