Time Series Analysis Papers

Author : Emanuel Parzen
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 588 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 1967
Category : Time-series analysis
ISBN : STANFORD:36105031924348

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Time Series Analysis Papers by Emanuel Parzen Pdf

On consistent estimates of the spectral density of a stationary time series; Analysis of a general system for the detection of amplitude-modulated noise; A central limit theorem for multilinear stochastic processes; Conditions that a stochastic process ber egodic; On consistent estimates of the spectrum of a stationary time series; On choosing an estimate of the spectral density function of a stationary time series; On asymptotically efficient consistent estimates of the spectral density function of a stationary time series; General considerations in the analysis of spectra; Mathematical considerations in the estimation of spectra; Spectral analysis of asymptotically stationary time series; On spectral analysis with missing observations and amplitude modulation; Notes on fourier analysis and spectral windows; Statistical inference on time series by Hilbert space methods; An approach to time series analysis; Regression analysis of continuous parameter time series; A new approach to the synthesis of optimal smoothing and prediction systems; Probability density functionals and reproducing kernel hilbert spaces; Extraction and detection problems and reproducing kernel hilbert spaces; On estimation of a probability density function and mode; On models for the probability of fatigue failure of a structure; An approach to empirical time series analysis.

Author : Robert H. Shumway,David S. Stoffer
Publisher : Springer
Page : 567 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2017-04-25
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9783319524528

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Time Series Analysis and Its Applications by Robert H. Shumway,David S. Stoffer Pdf

The fourth edition of this popular graduate textbook, like its predecessors, presents a balanced and comprehensive treatment of both time and frequency domain methods with accompanying theory. Numerous examples using nontrivial data illustrate solutions to problems such as discovering natural and anthropogenic climate change, evaluating pain perception experiments using functional magnetic resonance imaging, and monitoring a nuclear test ban treaty. The book is designed as a textbook for graduate level students in the physical, biological, and social sciences and as a graduate level text in statistics. Some parts may also serve as an undergraduate introductory course. Theory and methodology are separated to allow presentations on different levels. In addition to coverage of classical methods of time series regression, ARIMA models, spectral analysis and state-space models, the text includes modern developments including categorical time series analysis, multivariate spectral methods, long memory series, nonlinear models, resampling techniques, GARCH models, ARMAX models, stochastic volatility, wavelets, and Markov chain Monte Carlo integration methods. This edition includes R code for each numerical example in addition to Appendix R, which provides a reference for the data sets and R scripts used in the text in addition to a tutorial on basic R commands and R time series. An additional file is available on the book’s website for download, making all the data sets and scripts easy to load into R.

Author : Robert H. Shumway,David S. Stoffer
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 568 pages
File Size : 53,5 Mb
Release : 2014-01-15
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1475732627

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Time Series Analysis and Its Applications by Robert H. Shumway,David S. Stoffer Pdf

Author : Jonathan D. Cryer,Kung-Sik Chan
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 491 pages
File Size : 55,9 Mb
Release : 2008-03-06
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780387759593

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Time Series Analysis by Jonathan D. Cryer,Kung-Sik Chan Pdf

This book has been developed for a one-semester course usually attended by students in statistics, economics, business, engineering, and quantitative social sciences. A unique feature of this edition is its integration with the R computing environment. Basic applied statistics is assumed through multiple regression. Calculus is assumed only to the extent of minimizing sums of squares but a calculus-based introduction to statistics is necessary for a thorough understanding of some of the theory. Actual time series data drawn from various disciplines are used throughout the book to illustrate the methodology.

Author : Dr. Avishek Pal,Dr. PKS Prakash
Publisher : Packt Publishing Ltd
Page : 238 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2017-09-28
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781788294195

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Practical Time Series Analysis by Dr. Avishek Pal,Dr. PKS Prakash Pdf

Step by Step guide filled with real world practical examples. About This Book Get your first experience with data analysis with one of the most powerful types of analysis—time-series. Find patterns in your data and predict the future pattern based on historical data. Learn the statistics, theory, and implementation of Time-series methods using this example-rich guide Who This Book Is For This book is for anyone who wants to analyze data over time and/or frequency. A statistical background is necessary to quickly learn the analysis methods. What You Will Learn Understand the basic concepts of Time Series Analysis and appreciate its importance for the success of a data science project Develop an understanding of loading, exploring, and visualizing time-series data Explore auto-correlation and gain knowledge of statistical techniques to deal with non-stationarity time series Take advantage of exponential smoothing to tackle noise in time series data Learn how to use auto-regressive models to make predictions using time-series data Build predictive models on time series using techniques based on auto-regressive moving averages Discover recent advancements in deep learning to build accurate forecasting models for time series Gain familiarity with the basics of Python as a powerful yet simple to write programming language In Detail Time Series Analysis allows us to analyze data which is generated over a period of time and has sequential interdependencies between the observations. This book describes special mathematical tricks and techniques which are geared towards exploring the internal structures of time series data and generating powerful descriptive and predictive insights. Also, the book is full of real-life examples of time series and their analyses using cutting-edge solutions developed in Python. The book starts with descriptive analysis to create insightful visualizations of internal structures such as trend, seasonality and autocorrelation. Next, the statistical methods of dealing with autocorrelation and non-stationary time series are described. This is followed by exponential smoothing to produce meaningful insights from noisy time series data. At this point, we shift focus towards predictive analysis and introduce autoregressive models such as ARMA and ARIMA for time series forecasting. Later, powerful deep learning methods are presented, to develop accurate forecasting models for complex time series, and under the availability of little domain knowledge. All the topics are illustrated with real-life problem scenarios and their solutions by best-practice implementations in Python. The book concludes with the Appendix, with a brief discussion of programming and solving data science problems using Python. Style and approach This book takes the readers from the basic to advance level of Time series analysis in a very practical and real world use cases.

Author : David McDowall
Publisher : SAGE
Page : 100 pages
File Size : 49,8 Mb
Release : 1980-08
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 0803914938

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Interrupted Time Series Analysis by David McDowall Pdf

Describes ARIMA or Box Tiao models, widely used in the analysis of interupted time series quasi-experiments, assuming no statistical background beyond simple correlation. The principles and concepts of ARIMA time series analyses are developed and applied where a discrete intervention has impacted a social system. '...this is the kind of exposition I wished I had had some ten years ago when venturing into the world of autoregressive, moving-average (ARIMA) models of time-series analysis...This monograph nicely lays out a method for assessing the impact of a discrete policy or event of some importance on behavior which can be continuously observed...If widely used, as I hope, it will save a generation of social scientists fro

Author : Aileen Nielsen
Publisher : O'Reilly Media
Page : 500 pages
File Size : 43,9 Mb
Release : 2019-09-20
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781492041627

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Practical Time Series Analysis by Aileen Nielsen Pdf

Time series data analysis is increasingly important due to the massive production of such data through the internet of things, the digitalization of healthcare, and the rise of smart cities. As continuous monitoring and data collection become more common, the need for competent time series analysis with both statistical and machine learning techniques will increase. Covering innovations in time series data analysis and use cases from the real world, this practical guide will help you solve the most common data engineering and analysis challengesin time series, using both traditional statistical and modern machine learning techniques. Author Aileen Nielsen offers an accessible, well-rounded introduction to time series in both R and Python that will have data scientists, software engineers, and researchers up and running quickly. You’ll get the guidance you need to confidently: Find and wrangle time series data Undertake exploratory time series data analysis Store temporal data Simulate time series data Generate and select features for a time series Measure error Forecast and classify time series with machine or deep learning Evaluate accuracy and performance

Author : Søren Bisgaard,Murat Kulahci
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 346 pages
File Size : 54,6 Mb
Release : 2011-08-24
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781118056950

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Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by Example by Søren Bisgaard,Murat Kulahci Pdf

An intuition-based approach enables you to master time series analysis with ease Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by Example provides the fundamental techniques in time series analysis using various examples. By introducing necessary theory through examples that showcase the discussed topics, the authors successfully help readers develop an intuitive understanding of seemingly complicated time series models and their implications. The book presents methodologies for time series analysis in a simplified, example-based approach. Using graphics, the authors discuss each presented example in detail and explain the relevant theory while also focusing on the interpretation of results in data analysis. Following a discussion of why autocorrelation is often observed when data is collected in time, subsequent chapters explore related topics, including: Graphical tools in time series analysis Procedures for developing stationary, non-stationary, and seasonal models How to choose the best time series model Constant term and cancellation of terms in ARIMA models Forecasting using transfer function-noise models The final chapter is dedicated to key topics such as spurious relationships, autocorrelation in regression, and multiple time series. Throughout the book, real-world examples illustrate step-by-step procedures and instructions using statistical software packages such as SAS, JMP, Minitab, SCA, and R. A related Web site features PowerPoint slides to accompany each chapter as well as the book's data sets. With its extensive use of graphics and examples to explain key concepts, Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by Example is an excellent book for courses on time series analysis at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. it also serves as a valuable resource for practitioners and researchers who carry out data and time series analysis in the fields of engineering, business, and economics.

Author : Daniel Peña,George C. Tiao,Ruey S. Tsay
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 494 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2011-01-25
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781118031223

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A Course in Time Series Analysis by Daniel Peña,George C. Tiao,Ruey S. Tsay Pdf

New statistical methods and future directions of research in time series A Course in Time Series Analysis demonstrates how to build time series models for univariate and multivariate time series data. It brings together material previously available only in the professional literature and presents a unified view of the most advanced procedures available for time series model building. The authors begin with basic concepts in univariate time series, providing an up-to-date presentation of ARIMA models, including the Kalman filter, outlier analysis, automatic methods for building ARIMA models, and signal extraction. They then move on to advanced topics, focusing on heteroscedastic models, nonlinear time series models, Bayesian time series analysis, nonparametric time series analysis, and neural networks. Multivariate time series coverage includes presentations on vector ARMA models, cointegration, and multivariate linear systems. Special features include: Contributions from eleven of the worldâ??s leading figures in time series Shared balance between theory and application Exercise series sets Many real data examples Consistent style and clear, common notation in all contributions 60 helpful graphs and tables Requiring no previous knowledge of the subject, A Course in Time Series Analysis is an important reference and a highly useful resource for researchers and practitioners in statistics, economics, business, engineering, and environmental analysis. An Instructor's Manual presenting detailed solutions to all the problems in he book is available upon request from the Wiley editorial department.

Author : Rob J Hyndman,George Athanasopoulos
Publisher : OTexts
Page : 380 pages
File Size : 53,7 Mb
Release : 2018-05-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780987507112

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Forecasting: principles and practice by Rob J Hyndman,George Athanasopoulos Pdf

Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

Author : Peter J. Brockwell,Richard A. Davis
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 429 pages
File Size : 50,5 Mb
Release : 2013-03-14
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781475725261

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Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting by Peter J. Brockwell,Richard A. Davis Pdf

Some of the key mathematical results are stated without proof in order to make the underlying theory acccessible to a wider audience. The book assumes a knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra, and elementary statistics. The emphasis is on methods and the analysis of data sets. The logic and tools of model-building for stationary and non-stationary time series are developed in detail and numerous exercises, many of which make use of the included computer package, provide the reader with ample opportunity to develop skills in this area. The core of the book covers stationary processes, ARMA and ARIMA processes, multivariate time series and state-space models, with an optional chapter on spectral analysis. Additional topics include harmonic regression, the Burg and Hannan-Rissanen algorithms, unit roots, regression with ARMA errors, structural models, the EM algorithm, generalized state-space models with applications to time series of count data, exponential smoothing, the Holt-Winters and ARAR forecasting algorithms, transfer function models and intervention analysis. Brief introducitons are also given to cointegration and to non-linear, continuous-time and long-memory models. The time series package included in the back of the book is a slightly modified version of the package ITSM, published separately as ITSM for Windows, by Springer-Verlag, 1994. It does not handle such large data sets as ITSM for Windows, but like the latter, runs on IBM-PC compatible computers under either DOS or Windows (version 3.1 or later). The programs are all menu-driven so that the reader can immediately apply the techniques in the book to time series data, with a minimal investment of time in the computational and algorithmic aspects of the analysis.

Author : Johan A. K. Suykens,Tony Van Gestel,Jos De Brabanter
Publisher : World Scientific
Page : 318 pages
File Size : 50,8 Mb
Release : 2002
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9812381511

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Least Squares Support Vector Machines by Johan A. K. Suykens,Tony Van Gestel,Jos De Brabanter Pdf

This book focuses on Least Squares Support Vector Machines (LS-SVMs) which are reformulations to standard SVMs. LS-SVMs are closely related to regularization networks and Gaussian processes but additionally emphasize and exploit primal-dual interpretations from optimization theory. The authors explain the natural links between LS-SVM classifiers and kernel Fisher discriminant analysis. Bayesian inference of LS-SVM models is discussed, together with methods for imposing spareness and employing robust statistics. The framework is further extended towards unsupervised learning by considering PCA analysis and its kernel version as a one-class modelling problem. This leads to new primal-dual support vector machine formulations for kernel PCA and kernel CCA analysis. Furthermore, LS-SVM formulations are given for recurrent networks and control. In general, support vector machines may pose heavy computational challenges for large data sets. For this purpose, a method of fixed size LS-SVM is proposed where the estimation is done in the primal space in relation to a Nystrom sampling with active selection of support vectors. The methods are illustrated with several examples.

Author : Robert Alan Yaffee,Monnie McGee
Publisher : Elsevier
Page : 555 pages
File Size : 51,7 Mb
Release : 2000-05-12
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780080478708

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An Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by Robert Alan Yaffee,Monnie McGee Pdf

Providing a clear explanation of the fundamental theory of time series analysis and forecasting, this book couples theory with applications of two popular statistical packages--SAS and SPSS. The text examines moving average, exponential smoothing, Census X-11 deseasonalization, ARIMA, intervention, transfer function, and autoregressive error models and has brief discussions of ARCH and GARCH models. The book features treatments of forecast improvement with regression and autoregression combination models and model and forecast evaluation, along with a sample size analysis for common time series models to attain adequate statistical power. The careful linkage of the theoretical constructs with the practical considerations involved in utilizing the statistical packages makes it easy for the user to properly apply these techniques. Describes principal approaches to time series analysis and forecasting Presents examples from public opinion research, policy analysis, political science, economics, and sociology Math level pitched to general social science usage Glossary makes the material accessible for readers at all levels

Author : Vijay Kotu,Bala Deshpande
Publisher : Morgan Kaufmann
Page : 568 pages
File Size : 40,8 Mb
Release : 2018-11-27
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9780128147627

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Data Science by Vijay Kotu,Bala Deshpande Pdf

Learn the basics of Data Science through an easy to understand conceptual framework and immediately practice using RapidMiner platform. Whether you are brand new to data science or working on your tenth project, this book will show you how to analyze data, uncover hidden patterns and relationships to aid important decisions and predictions. Data Science has become an essential tool to extract value from data for any organization that collects, stores and processes data as part of its operations. This book is ideal for business users, data analysts, business analysts, engineers, and analytics professionals and for anyone who works with data. You’ll be able to: Gain the necessary knowledge of different data science techniques to extract value from data. Master the concepts and inner workings of 30 commonly used powerful data science algorithms. Implement step-by-step data science process using using RapidMiner, an open source GUI based data science platform Data Science techniques covered: Exploratory data analysis, Visualization, Decision trees, Rule induction, k-nearest neighbors, Naïve Bayesian classifiers, Artificial neural networks, Deep learning, Support vector machines, Ensemble models, Random forests, Regression, Recommendation engines, Association analysis, K-Means and Density based clustering, Self organizing maps, Text mining, Time series forecasting, Anomaly detection, Feature selection and more... Contains fully updated content on data science, including tactics on how to mine business data for information Presents simple explanations for over twenty powerful data science techniques Enables the practical use of data science algorithms without the need for programming Demonstrates processes with practical use cases Introduces each algorithm or technique and explains the workings of a data science algorithm in plain language Describes the commonly used setup options for the open source tool RapidMiner

Author : Chris Chatfield
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 281 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2000-10-25
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781420036206

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Time-Series Forecasting by Chris Chatfield Pdf

From the author of the bestselling "Analysis of Time Series," Time-Series Forecasting offers a comprehensive, up-to-date review of forecasting methods. It provides a summary of time-series modelling procedures, followed by a brief catalogue of many different time-series forecasting methods, ranging from ad-hoc methods through ARIMA and state-space