Time Series For Data Scientists

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Time Series for Data Science

Wayne A. Woodward,Bivin Philip Sadler,Stephen Robertson
Time Series for Data Science Book PDF

Author : Wayne A. Woodward,Bivin Philip Sadler,Stephen Robertson
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 529 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2022-08-01
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781000555332

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Time Series for Data Science by Wayne A. Woodward,Bivin Philip Sadler,Stephen Robertson Pdf

Data Science students and practitioners want to find a forecast that “works” and don’t want to be constrained to a single forecasting strategy, Time Series for Data Science: Analysis and Forecasting discusses techniques of ensemble modelling for combining information from several strategies. Covering time series regression models, exponential smoothing, Holt-Winters forecasting, and Neural Networks. It places a particular emphasis on classical ARMA and ARIMA models that is often lacking from other textbooks on the subject. This book is an accessible guide that doesn’t require a background in calculus to be engaging but does not shy away from deeper explanations of the techniques discussed. Features: Provides a thorough coverage and comparison of a wide array of time series models and methods: Exponential Smoothing, Holt Winters, ARMA and ARIMA, deep learning models including RNNs, LSTMs, GRUs, and ensemble models composed of combinations of these models. Introduces the factor table representation of ARMA and ARIMA models. This representation is not available in any other book at this level and is extremely useful in both practice and pedagogy. Uses real world examples that can be readily found via web links from sources such as the US Bureau of Statistics, Department of Transportation and the World Bank. There is an accompanying R package that is easy to use and requires little or no previous R experience. The package implements the wide variety of models and methods presented in the book and has tremendous pedagogical use.

Practical Time Series Analysis

Aileen Nielsen
Practical Time Series Analysis Book PDF

Author : Aileen Nielsen
Publisher : O'Reilly Media
Page : 500 pages
File Size : 46,8 Mb
Release : 2019-09-20
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781492041627

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Practical Time Series Analysis by Aileen Nielsen Pdf

Time series data analysis is increasingly important due to the massive production of such data through the internet of things, the digitalization of healthcare, and the rise of smart cities. As continuous monitoring and data collection become more common, the need for competent time series analysis with both statistical and machine learning techniques will increase. Covering innovations in time series data analysis and use cases from the real world, this practical guide will help you solve the most common data engineering and analysis challengesin time series, using both traditional statistical and modern machine learning techniques. Author Aileen Nielsen offers an accessible, well-rounded introduction to time series in both R and Python that will have data scientists, software engineers, and researchers up and running quickly. You’ll get the guidance you need to confidently: Find and wrangle time series data Undertake exploratory time series data analysis Store temporal data Simulate time series data Generate and select features for a time series Measure error Forecast and classify time series with machine or deep learning Evaluate accuracy and performance

Time Series for Data Scientists

Juana Sanchez
Time Series for Data Scientists Book PDF

Author : Juana Sanchez
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 478 pages
File Size : 46,9 Mb
Release : 2023-05-11
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781108950176

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Time Series for Data Scientists by Juana Sanchez Pdf

Learn by doing with this user-friendly introduction to time series data analysis in R. This book explores the intricacies of managing and cleaning time series data of different sizes, scales and granularity, data preparation for analysis and visualization, and different approaches to classical and machine learning time series modeling and forecasting. A range of pedagogical features support students, including end-of-chapter exercises, problems, quizzes and case studies. The case studies are designed to stretch the learner, introducing larger data sets, enhanced data management skills, and R packages and functions appropriate for real-world data analysis. On top of providing commented R programs and data sets, the book's companion website offers extra case studies, lecture slides, videos and exercise solutions. Accessible to those with a basic background in statistics and probability, this is an ideal hands-on text for undergraduate and graduate students, as well as researchers in data-rich disciplines

Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python

Francesca Lazzeri
Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python Book PDF

Author : Francesca Lazzeri
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 224 pages
File Size : 41,8 Mb
Release : 2020-12-03
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781119682387

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Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python by Francesca Lazzeri Pdf

Learn how to apply the principles of machine learning to time series modeling with this indispensable resource Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python is an incisive and straightforward examination of one of the most crucial elements of decision-making in finance, marketing, education, and healthcare: time series modeling. Despite the centrality of time series forecasting, few business analysts are familiar with the power or utility of applying machine learning to time series modeling. Author Francesca Lazzeri, a distinguished machine learning scientist and economist, corrects that deficiency by providing readers with comprehensive and approachable explanation and treatment of the application of machine learning to time series forecasting. Written for readers who have little to no experience in time series forecasting or machine learning, the book comprehensively covers all the topics necessary to: Understand time series forecasting concepts, such as stationarity, horizon, trend, and seasonality Prepare time series data for modeling Evaluate time series forecasting models’ performance and accuracy Understand when to use neural networks instead of traditional time series models in time series forecasting Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python is full real-world examples, resources and concrete strategies to help readers explore and transform data and develop usable, practical time series forecasts. Perfect for entry-level data scientists, business analysts, developers, and researchers, this book is an invaluable and indispensable guide to the fundamental and advanced concepts of machine learning applied to time series modeling.

Practical Statistics for Data Scientists

Peter Bruce,Andrew Bruce
Practical Statistics for Data Scientists Book PDF

Author : Peter Bruce,Andrew Bruce
Publisher : "O'Reilly Media, Inc."
Page : 395 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2017-05-10
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781491952917

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Practical Statistics for Data Scientists by Peter Bruce,Andrew Bruce Pdf

Statistical methods are a key part of of data science, yet very few data scientists have any formal statistics training. Courses and books on basic statistics rarely cover the topic from a data science perspective. This practical guide explains how to apply various statistical methods to data science, tells you how to avoid their misuse, and gives you advice on what's important and what's not. Many data science resources incorporate statistical methods but lack a deeper statistical perspective. If you’re familiar with the R programming language, and have some exposure to statistics, this quick reference bridges the gap in an accessible, readable format. With this book, you’ll learn: Why exploratory data analysis is a key preliminary step in data science How random sampling can reduce bias and yield a higher quality dataset, even with big data How the principles of experimental design yield definitive answers to questions How to use regression to estimate outcomes and detect anomalies Key classification techniques for predicting which categories a record belongs to Statistical machine learning methods that “learn” from data Unsupervised learning methods for extracting meaning from unlabeled data

Machine Learning for Time-Series with Python

Ben Auffarth
Machine Learning for Time Series with Python Book PDF

Author : Ben Auffarth
Publisher : Packt Publishing Ltd
Page : 371 pages
File Size : 53,6 Mb
Release : 2021-10-29
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781801816106

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Machine Learning for Time-Series with Python by Ben Auffarth Pdf

Get better insights from time-series data and become proficient in model performance analysis Key FeaturesExplore popular and modern machine learning methods including the latest online and deep learning algorithmsLearn to increase the accuracy of your predictions by matching the right model with the right problemMaster time series via real-world case studies on operations management, digital marketing, finance, and healthcareBook Description The Python time-series ecosystem is huge and often quite hard to get a good grasp on, especially for time-series since there are so many new libraries and new models. This book aims to deepen your understanding of time series by providing a comprehensive overview of popular Python time-series packages and help you build better predictive systems. Machine Learning for Time-Series with Python starts by re-introducing the basics of time series and then builds your understanding of traditional autoregressive models as well as modern non-parametric models. By observing practical examples and the theory behind them, you will become confident with loading time-series datasets from any source, deep learning models like recurrent neural networks and causal convolutional network models, and gradient boosting with feature engineering. This book will also guide you in matching the right model to the right problem by explaining the theory behind several useful models. You'll also have a look at real-world case studies covering weather, traffic, biking, and stock market data. By the end of this book, you should feel at home with effectively analyzing and applying machine learning methods to time-series. What you will learnUnderstand the main classes of time series and learn how to detect outliers and patternsChoose the right method to solve time-series problemsCharacterize seasonal and correlation patterns through autocorrelation and statistical techniquesGet to grips with time-series data visualizationUnderstand classical time-series models like ARMA and ARIMAImplement deep learning models, like Gaussian processes, transformers, and state-of-the-art machine learning modelsBecome familiar with many libraries like Prophet, XGboost, and TensorFlowWho this book is for This book is ideal for data analysts, data scientists, and Python developers who want instantly useful and practical recipes to implement today, and a comprehensive reference book for tomorrow. Basic knowledge of the Python Programming language is a must, while familiarity with statistics will help you get the most out of this book.

Time Series for Data Scientists

Juana Sanchez
Time Series for Data Scientists Book PDF

Author : Juana Sanchez
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 477 pages
File Size : 46,8 Mb
Release : 2023-04-30
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781108837774

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Time Series for Data Scientists by Juana Sanchez Pdf

A user-friendly, introductory, learning-by-doing bridge between classical and machine learning time series analysis with R.

Time Series Forecasting in Python

Marco Peixeiro
Time Series Forecasting in Python Book PDF

Author : Marco Peixeiro
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
Page : 454 pages
File Size : 40,8 Mb
Release : 2022-11-15
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781638351474

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Time Series Forecasting in Python by Marco Peixeiro Pdf

Build predictive models from time-based patterns in your data. Master statistical models including new deep learning approaches for time series forecasting. In Time Series Forecasting in Python you will learn how to: Recognize a time series forecasting problem and build a performant predictive model Create univariate forecasting models that account for seasonal effects and external variables Build multivariate forecasting models to predict many time series at once Leverage large datasets by using deep learning for forecasting time series Automate the forecasting process Time Series Forecasting in Python teaches you to build powerful predictive models from time-based data. Every model you create is relevant, useful, and easy to implement with Python. You’ll explore interesting real-world datasets like Google’s daily stock price and economic data for the USA, quickly progressing from the basics to developing large-scale models that use deep learning tools like TensorFlow. About the technology You can predict the future—with a little help from Python, deep learning, and time series data! Time series forecasting is a technique for modeling time-centric data to identify upcoming events. New Python libraries and powerful deep learning tools make accurate time series forecasts easier than ever before. About the book Time Series Forecasting in Python teaches you how to get immediate, meaningful predictions from time-based data such as logs, customer analytics, and other event streams. In this accessible book, you’ll learn statistical and deep learning methods for time series forecasting, fully demonstrated with annotated Python code. Develop your skills with projects like predicting the future volume of drug prescriptions, and you’ll soon be ready to build your own accurate, insightful forecasts. What's inside Create models for seasonal effects and external variables Multivariate forecasting models to predict multiple time series Deep learning for large datasets Automate the forecasting process About the reader For data scientists familiar with Python and TensorFlow. About the author Marco Peixeiro is a seasoned data science instructor who has worked as a data scientist for one of Canada’s largest banks. Table of Contents PART 1 TIME WAITS FOR NO ONE 1 Understanding time series forecasting 2 A naive prediction of the future 3 Going on a random walk PART 2 FORECASTING WITH STATISTICAL MODELS 4 Modeling a moving average process 5 Modeling an autoregressive process 6 Modeling complex time series 7 Forecasting non-stationary time series 8 Accounting for seasonality 9 Adding external variables to our model 10 Forecasting multiple time series 11 Capstone: Forecasting the number of antidiabetic drug prescriptions in Australia PART 3 LARGE-SCALE FORECASTING WITH DEEP LEARNING 12 Introducing deep learning for time series forecasting 13 Data windowing and creating baselines for deep learning 14 Baby steps with deep learning 15 Remembering the past with LSTM 16 Filtering a time series with CNN 17 Using predictions to make more predictions 18 Capstone: Forecasting the electric power consumption of a household PART 4 AUTOMATING FORECASTING AT SCALE 19 Automating time series forecasting with Prophet 20 Capstone: Forecasting the monthly average retail price of steak in Canada 21 Going above and beyond

R for Data Science

Hadley Wickham,Garrett Grolemund
R for Data Science Book PDF

Author : Hadley Wickham,Garrett Grolemund
Publisher : "O'Reilly Media, Inc."
Page : 521 pages
File Size : 44,7 Mb
Release : 2016-12-12
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781491910368

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R for Data Science by Hadley Wickham,Garrett Grolemund Pdf

Learn how to use R to turn raw data into insight, knowledge, and understanding. This book introduces you to R, RStudio, and the tidyverse, a collection of R packages designed to work together to make data science fast, fluent, and fun. Suitable for readers with no previous programming experience, R for Data Science is designed to get you doing data science as quickly as possible. Authors Hadley Wickham and Garrett Grolemund guide you through the steps of importing, wrangling, exploring, and modeling your data and communicating the results. You'll get a complete, big-picture understanding of the data science cycle, along with basic tools you need to manage the details. Each section of the book is paired with exercises to help you practice what you've learned along the way. You'll learn how to: Wrangle—transform your datasets into a form convenient for analysis Program—learn powerful R tools for solving data problems with greater clarity and ease Explore—examine your data, generate hypotheses, and quickly test them Model—provide a low-dimensional summary that captures true "signals" in your dataset Communicate—learn R Markdown for integrating prose, code, and results

Artificial Intelligence with Python Cookbook

Ben Auffarth
Artificial Intelligence with Python Cookbook Book PDF

Author : Ben Auffarth
Publisher : Packt Publishing Ltd
Page : 459 pages
File Size : 55,9 Mb
Release : 2020-10-30
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781789137965

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Artificial Intelligence with Python Cookbook by Ben Auffarth Pdf

Work through practical recipes to learn how to solve complex machine learning and deep learning problems using Python Key FeaturesGet up and running with artificial intelligence in no time using hands-on problem-solving recipesExplore popular Python libraries and tools to build AI solutions for images, text, sounds, and imagesImplement NLP, reinforcement learning, deep learning, GANs, Monte-Carlo tree search, and much moreBook Description Artificial intelligence (AI) plays an integral role in automating problem-solving. This involves predicting and classifying data and training agents to execute tasks successfully. This book will teach you how to solve complex problems with the help of independent and insightful recipes ranging from the essentials to advanced methods that have just come out of research. Artificial Intelligence with Python Cookbook starts by showing you how to set up your Python environment and taking you through the fundamentals of data exploration. Moving ahead, you’ll be able to implement heuristic search techniques and genetic algorithms. In addition to this, you'll apply probabilistic models, constraint optimization, and reinforcement learning. As you advance through the book, you'll build deep learning models for text, images, video, and audio, and then delve into algorithmic bias, style transfer, music generation, and AI use cases in the healthcare and insurance industries. Throughout the book, you’ll learn about a variety of tools for problem-solving and gain the knowledge needed to effectively approach complex problems. By the end of this book on AI, you will have the skills you need to write AI and machine learning algorithms, test them, and deploy them for production. What you will learnImplement data preprocessing steps and optimize model hyperparametersDelve into representational learning with adversarial autoencodersUse active learning, recommenders, knowledge embedding, and SAT solversGet to grips with probabilistic modeling with TensorFlow probabilityRun object detection, text-to-speech conversion, and text and music generationApply swarm algorithms, multi-agent systems, and graph networksGo from proof of concept to production by deploying models as microservicesUnderstand how to use modern AI in practiceWho this book is for This AI machine learning book is for Python developers, data scientists, machine learning engineers, and deep learning practitioners who want to learn how to build artificial intelligence solutions with easy-to-follow recipes. You’ll also find this book useful if you’re looking for state-of-the-art solutions to perform different machine learning tasks in various use cases. Basic working knowledge of the Python programming language and machine learning concepts will help you to work with code effectively in this book.

Python Data Science Handbook

Jake VanderPlas
Python Data Science Handbook Book PDF

Author : Jake VanderPlas
Publisher : "O'Reilly Media, Inc."
Page : 743 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2016-11-21
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781491912133

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Python Data Science Handbook by Jake VanderPlas Pdf

For many researchers, Python is a first-class tool mainly because of its libraries for storing, manipulating, and gaining insight from data. Several resources exist for individual pieces of this data science stack, but only with the Python Data Science Handbook do you get them all—IPython, NumPy, Pandas, Matplotlib, Scikit-Learn, and other related tools. Working scientists and data crunchers familiar with reading and writing Python code will find this comprehensive desk reference ideal for tackling day-to-day issues: manipulating, transforming, and cleaning data; visualizing different types of data; and using data to build statistical or machine learning models. Quite simply, this is the must-have reference for scientific computing in Python. With this handbook, you’ll learn how to use: IPython and Jupyter: provide computational environments for data scientists using Python NumPy: includes the ndarray for efficient storage and manipulation of dense data arrays in Python Pandas: features the DataFrame for efficient storage and manipulation of labeled/columnar data in Python Matplotlib: includes capabilities for a flexible range of data visualizations in Python Scikit-Learn: for efficient and clean Python implementations of the most important and established machine learning algorithms

Practical Time Series Analysis

Dr. Avishek Pal,Dr. PKS Prakash
Practical Time Series Analysis Book PDF

Author : Dr. Avishek Pal,Dr. PKS Prakash
Publisher : Packt Publishing Ltd
Page : 238 pages
File Size : 42,6 Mb
Release : 2017-09-28
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781788294195

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Practical Time Series Analysis by Dr. Avishek Pal,Dr. PKS Prakash Pdf

Step by Step guide filled with real world practical examples. About This Book Get your first experience with data analysis with one of the most powerful types of analysis—time-series. Find patterns in your data and predict the future pattern based on historical data. Learn the statistics, theory, and implementation of Time-series methods using this example-rich guide Who This Book Is For This book is for anyone who wants to analyze data over time and/or frequency. A statistical background is necessary to quickly learn the analysis methods. What You Will Learn Understand the basic concepts of Time Series Analysis and appreciate its importance for the success of a data science project Develop an understanding of loading, exploring, and visualizing time-series data Explore auto-correlation and gain knowledge of statistical techniques to deal with non-stationarity time series Take advantage of exponential smoothing to tackle noise in time series data Learn how to use auto-regressive models to make predictions using time-series data Build predictive models on time series using techniques based on auto-regressive moving averages Discover recent advancements in deep learning to build accurate forecasting models for time series Gain familiarity with the basics of Python as a powerful yet simple to write programming language In Detail Time Series Analysis allows us to analyze data which is generated over a period of time and has sequential interdependencies between the observations. This book describes special mathematical tricks and techniques which are geared towards exploring the internal structures of time series data and generating powerful descriptive and predictive insights. Also, the book is full of real-life examples of time series and their analyses using cutting-edge solutions developed in Python. The book starts with descriptive analysis to create insightful visualizations of internal structures such as trend, seasonality and autocorrelation. Next, the statistical methods of dealing with autocorrelation and non-stationary time series are described. This is followed by exponential smoothing to produce meaningful insights from noisy time series data. At this point, we shift focus towards predictive analysis and introduce autoregressive models such as ARMA and ARIMA for time series forecasting. Later, powerful deep learning methods are presented, to develop accurate forecasting models for complex time series, and under the availability of little domain knowledge. All the topics are illustrated with real-life problem scenarios and their solutions by best-practice implementations in Python. The book concludes with the Appendix, with a brief discussion of programming and solving data science problems using Python. Style and approach This book takes the readers from the basic to advance level of Time series analysis in a very practical and real world use cases.

Forecasting: principles and practice

Rob J Hyndman,George Athanasopoulos
Forecasting principles and practice Book PDF

Author : Rob J Hyndman,George Athanasopoulos
Publisher : OTexts
Page : 380 pages
File Size : 54,9 Mb
Release : 2018-05-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780987507112

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Forecasting: principles and practice by Rob J Hyndman,George Athanasopoulos Pdf

Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

Hands-On Time Series Analysis with R

Rami Krispin
Hands On Time Series Analysis with R Book PDF

Author : Rami Krispin
Publisher : Packt Publishing Ltd
Page : 438 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2019-05-31
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781788624046

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Hands-On Time Series Analysis with R by Rami Krispin Pdf

Build efficient forecasting models using traditional time series models and machine learning algorithms. Key FeaturesPerform time series analysis and forecasting using R packages such as Forecast and h2oDevelop models and find patterns to create visualizations using the TSstudio and plotly packagesMaster statistics and implement time-series methods using examples mentionedBook Description Time series analysis is the art of extracting meaningful insights from, and revealing patterns in, time series data using statistical and data visualization approaches. These insights and patterns can then be utilized to explore past events and forecast future values in the series. This book explores the basics of time series analysis with R and lays the foundations you need to build forecasting models. You will learn how to preprocess raw time series data and clean and manipulate data with packages such as stats, lubridate, xts, and zoo. You will analyze data and extract meaningful information from it using both descriptive statistics and rich data visualization tools in R such as the TSstudio, plotly, and ggplot2 packages. The later section of the book delves into traditional forecasting models such as time series linear regression, exponential smoothing (Holt, Holt-Winter, and more) and Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models with the stats and forecast packages. You'll also cover advanced time series regression models with machine learning algorithms such as Random Forest and Gradient Boosting Machine using the h2o package. By the end of this book, you will have the skills needed to explore your data, identify patterns, and build a forecasting model using various traditional and machine learning methods. What you will learnVisualize time series data and derive better insightsExplore auto-correlation and master statistical techniquesUse time series analysis tools from the stats, TSstudio, and forecast packagesExplore and identify seasonal and correlation patternsWork with different time series formats in RExplore time series models such as ARIMA, Holt-Winters, and moreEvaluate high-performance forecasting solutionsWho this book is for Hands-On Time Series Analysis with R is ideal for data analysts, data scientists, and all R developers who are looking to perform time series analysis to predict outcomes effectively. A basic knowledge of statistics is required; some knowledge in R is expected, but not mandatory.

Build a Career in Data Science

Emily Robinson,Jacqueline Nolis
Build a Career in Data Science Book PDF

Author : Emily Robinson,Jacqueline Nolis
Publisher : Manning Publications
Page : 352 pages
File Size : 47,8 Mb
Release : 2020-03-24
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781617296246

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Build a Career in Data Science by Emily Robinson,Jacqueline Nolis Pdf

Summary You are going to need more than technical knowledge to succeed as a data scientist. Build a Career in Data Science teaches you what school leaves out, from how to land your first job to the lifecycle of a data science project, and even how to become a manager. Purchase of the print book includes a free eBook in PDF, Kindle, and ePub formats from Manning Publications. About the technology What are the keys to a data scientist’s long-term success? Blending your technical know-how with the right “soft skills” turns out to be a central ingredient of a rewarding career. About the book Build a Career in Data Science is your guide to landing your first data science job and developing into a valued senior employee. By following clear and simple instructions, you’ll learn to craft an amazing resume and ace your interviews. In this demanding, rapidly changing field, it can be challenging to keep projects on track, adapt to company needs, and manage tricky stakeholders. You’ll love the insights on how to handle expectations, deal with failures, and plan your career path in the stories from seasoned data scientists included in the book. What's inside Creating a portfolio of data science projects Assessing and negotiating an offer Leaving gracefully and moving up the ladder Interviews with professional data scientists About the reader For readers who want to begin or advance a data science career. About the author Emily Robinson is a data scientist at Warby Parker. Jacqueline Nolis is a data science consultant and mentor. Table of Contents: PART 1 - GETTING STARTED WITH DATA SCIENCE 1. What is data science? 2. Data science companies 3. Getting the skills 4. Building a portfolio PART 2 - FINDING YOUR DATA SCIENCE JOB 5. The search: Identifying the right job for you 6. The application: Résumés and cover letters 7. The interview: What to expect and how to handle it 8. The offer: Knowing what to accept PART 3 - SETTLING INTO DATA SCIENCE 9. The first months on the job 10. Making an effective analysis 11. Deploying a model into production 12. Working with stakeholders PART 4 - GROWING IN YOUR DATA SCIENCE ROLE 13. When your data science project fails 14. Joining the data science community 15. Leaving your job gracefully 16. Moving up the ladder