Trading Against The Crowd

Author : John F. Summa
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 227 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 2004-10-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780471701019

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Trading Against the Crowd by John F. Summa Pdf

Efficient market theorists contend that markets are random and thus not predictable. With the publication of Trading Against theCrowd, however, noted author, economist, and professional trader John Summa convincingly shows that investor sentiment can be incorporated into profitable stock and stock market trading systems. In this groundbreaking book, Summa explains how to use popular gauges of crowd psychology, such as put/call ratios, option-implied volatility, short sales, investor surveys, and advisory opinion to trade against, or contrary to, prevailing market sentiment. He also makes compelling arguments against the efficient markets hypothesis with the presentation of his own quantitative weekly bear and bull news-flow intensity indices, which he builds from news scans. This data series, and other popular measures of crowd psychology, are processed through custom indicators that are programmed into profitable trading systems, such as Squeeze Play I & II, Tsunami Sentiment Wave, and the Fourth Estate. Trading Against the Crowd is the first book to provide a comprehensive assessment of investor crowd psychology, offering valuable market timing tools and trading techniques, including: MetaStock and Trade Station system and custom indicator code; comparative statistical studies of CBOE, OEX, and equity-only put/call ratios; straightforward instructions for combining price triggers with sentiment indicators; a practical guide to understanding put/call ratios, short sales, investor surveys, newsletter opinion, and stock market news-flow intensity; how to use LEAP options as trading vehicles to avoid use of stop loss orders; use of put/call ratios for trading the Treasury bond futures market; and test results and evaluation of trading system performance. Many of today’s professional money managers rely on investor sentiment for improved market timing. They know that at extremes of market sentiment, markets tend to be the most predictable.Trading Against the Crowd shows how you can begin to profit from these short- to medium-term sentiment waves generated by the actions of the speculative crowd. Put into practice powerful sentiment data using thoroughly back-tested trading systems, and rise above the herd mentality of the investor crowd, where potentially large profits await.

Author : Carl Gyllenram
Publisher : Wiley
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 2000-10-30
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0471387746

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Trading With Crowd Psychology by Carl Gyllenram Pdf

LET THE SOUND OF THE CROWD HELP YOU CREATE A SUCCESSFUL TRADING PLAN Praise for Carl Gyllenram and Trading with Crowd Psychology "Investing is first and foremost a psychological process and good market technicians are really psychologists. Mr. Gyllenram understands this and his book offers deep insight into the psychology of the trading range, the area from which big moves-up and down-emerge." --John Bollinger CFA, CMT, President, www.EquityTrader.com "Every trader and investor will recognize themselves and their habits (good and bad) among the characters whose trading decisions are so vividly described in this book, and all should discover ways of improving those trading decisions. A very timely publication." --Michael Smyrk Global Coordinator, International Federation of Technical Analysts "Carl Gyllenram takes a new approach to looking at the workings and importance of crowd psychology in the financial markets ... [he] shows a clear understanding of the subject, providing a thoroughly useful addition to the writings on crowd psychology." --Anne WhitbyFSTA, Vice Chairman, Society of Technical Analysts UK "We are an emotional species and seldom more so than when dealing with money. It is this raw human factor that creates most of the volatility in all financial and commodity markets, not economics ... With this book Carl Gyllenram has made an important contribution to the subject of Behavioral Technical Analysis." --David FullerGlobal Strategist at Stockcube Research Ltd. Writer of the Fullermoney investment letter

Author : Grace Cheng
Publisher : Harriman House Limited
Page : 264 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2010-04-19
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780857190246

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7 Winning Strategies For Trading Forex by Grace Cheng Pdf

Many traders go around searching for that one perfect trading strategy that works all the time in the global FOREX (foreign exchange/currency) market. Frequently, they will complain that a strategy doesn't work. Few people understand that successful trading of the FOREX market entails the application of the right strategy for the right market condition. 7 Winning Strategies For Trading Forex covers: - Why people should be paying attention to the FOREX market, which is the world's largest and most liquid financial market - How understanding the structure of this market can be beneficial to the independent trader - How to overcome the odds and become a successful trader - How you can select high-probability trades with good entries and exits. Grace Cheng highlights seven trading strategies, each of which is to be applied in a unique way and is designed for differing market conditions. She shows how traders can use the various market conditions to their advantage by tailoring the strategy to suit each one. This revealing book also sheds light on how the FOREX market works, how you can incorporate sentiment analysis into your trading, and how trading in the direction of institutional activity can give you a competitive edge in the trading arena. This invaluable book is ideal for new and current traders wanting to improve their trading performance. Filled with practical advice, this book is a must-read for traders who want to know exactly how they can make money in the FOREX market.

Author : Carl Futia
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 279 pages
File Size : 44,7 Mb
Release : 2009-06-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780470495766

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The Art of Contrarian Trading by Carl Futia Pdf

Why is it so hard to beat the market? How can you avoid getting caught in bubbles and crashes? You will find the answers in Carl Futia’s new book, The Art of Contrarian Trading. This book will teach you Futia’s novel method of contrarian trading from the ground up. In 16 chapters filled with facts and many historical examples Futia explains the principles and practice of contrarian trading. Discover the Edge which separates winning speculators from the losers. Find out how to apply the No Free Lunch principle to identify profitable trading methods. Learn about the wisdom and the follies of investment crowds – and how crowds are formed by information cascades that drive stock prices too high or too low relative to fair value. Discover the power of your Media Diary - and how to use it to spot these information cascades, measure the strength of the crowd’s beliefs, and decide when the crowd’s view is about to be proven wrong. You will watch Futia apply these principles of contrarian trading to navigate safely and profitably through the last 26 tumultuous years of roller coaster swings in the U.S. stock market – a time during which Futia kept his own media diary and developed his Grand Strategy of Contrarian Trading. See how this Grand Strategy worked during the Great Bull Market of 1982-2000. Watch the Contrarian Rebalancing technique in practice during the dot.com crash of 2000-2002. Find out when the Aggressive Contrarian Trader bought and sold during the bull market of 2002-2007. Read about the causes of the Panic of 2008 and ups and downs of contrarian trading during that dangerous time. Futia shows you how the market turning points during the 1982-2008 period were foreshadowed by magazine covers and newspaper headlines that astonishingly and consistently encouraged investors to do the wrong thing at the wrong time. By monitoring crowd beliefs revealed by news media headlines – and with the guidance provided by the many historical examples Futia provides – a trader or investor will be well-equipped to anticipate and profit from market turning points.

Author : Richard L. Peterson
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 368 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2016-03-21
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781119122760

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Trading on Sentiment by Richard L. Peterson Pdf

In his debut book on trading psychology, Inside the Investor’s Brain, Rich­ard Peterson demonstrated how managing emotions helps top investors outperform. Now, in Trading on Sentiment, he takes you inside the science of crowd psychol­ogy and demonstrates that not only do price patterns exist, but the most predictable ones are rooted in our shared human nature. Peterson’s team developed text analysis engines to mine data - topics, beliefs, and emotions - from social media. Based on that data, they put together a market-neutral social media-based hedge fund that beat the S&P 500 by more than twenty-four percent—through the 2008 financial crisis. In this groundbreaking guide, he shows you how they did it and why it worked. Applying algorithms to so­cial media data opened up an unprecedented world of insight into the elusive patterns of investor sentiment driving repeating market moves. Inside, you gain a privi­leged look at the media content that moves investors, along with time-tested techniques to make the smart moves—even when it doesn’t feel right. This book digs underneath technicals and fundamentals to explain the primary mover of market prices - the global information flow and how investors react to it. It provides the expert guidance you need to develop a competitive edge, manage risk, and overcome our sometimes-flawed human nature. Learn how traders are using sentiment analysis and statistical tools to extract value from media data in order to: Foresee important price moves using an understanding of how investors process news. Make more profitable investment decisions by identifying when prices are trending, when trends are turning, and when sharp market moves are likely to reverse. Use media sentiment to improve value and momentum investing returns. Avoid the pitfalls of unique price patterns found in commodities, currencies, and during speculative bubbles Trading on Sentiment deepens your understanding of markets and supplies you with the tools and techniques to beat global markets— whether they’re going up, down, or sideways.

Author : Gustave Le Bon
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 680 pages
File Size : 53,9 Mb
Release : 1897
Category : Crowds
ISBN : STANFORD:36105004881459

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The Crowd by Gustave Le Bon Pdf

Author : Tony Plummer
Publisher : McGraw-Hill Trade
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 49,9 Mb
Release : 1993
Category : Business enterprises
ISBN : 1557385432

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The Psychology of Technical Analysis by Tony Plummer Pdf

A brilliant, insightful work which gives a thorough examination of the dynamics of crowd behavior: how it works, what causes it, how it influences the markets. Explains in detail Elliott Wave, the Golden Ratio, and why these and other forms of technical analysis work, why and how they are all related to crowd behavior and psychology.

Author : Brendan Moynihan
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 260 pages
File Size : 51,8 Mb
Release : 1997-04-29
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0471177822

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Trading on Expectations by Brendan Moynihan Pdf

Vor einer erfolgreichen Verkaufsplanung steht die sorgfältige Marktanalyse. Bei dieser nicht unkomplizierten Aufgabe hilft Ihnen die neue Methode, die in diesem Buch erläutert wird: Wichtige psychologische und technische Indikatoren des Marktverhaltens werden verknüpft. Eine unentbehrliche Fundgrube für alle Händler, die strategische Entscheidungen für ihr Geschäft treffen müssen.

Author : Jamie Saettele
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 208 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2017-11-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780470208236

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Sentiment in the Forex Market by Jamie Saettele Pdf

Crowds move markets and at major market turning points, the crowds are almost always wrong. When crowd sentiment is overwhelmingly positive or overwhelmingly negative ? it's a signal that the trend is exhausted and the market is ready to move powerfully in the opposite direction. Sentiment has long been a tool used by equity, futures, and options traders. In Sentiment in the Forex Market, FXCM analyst Jaime Saettele applies sentiment analysis to the currency market, using both traditional and new sentiment indicators, including: Commitment of Traders reports; time cycles; pivot points; oscillators; and Fibonacci time and price ratios. He also explains how to interpret news coverage of the markets to get a sense of when participants have become overly bullish or bearish. Saettele points out that several famous traders such as George Soros and Robert Prechter made huge profits by identifying shifts in crowd sentiment at major market turning points. Many individual traders lose money in the currency market, Saettele asserts, because they are too short-term oriented and trade impulsively. He believes retail traders would be much more successful if they adopted a longer-term, contrarian approach, utilizing sentiment indicators to position themselves at the beginning points of major trends.

Author : Don Cassidy
Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
Page : 338 pages
File Size : 54,7 Mb
Release : 2002
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0071376046

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Trading on Volume by Don Cassidy Pdf

Volume can be the key to understanding what is relly happening in the stock market. Volume is a dynamic aspect of the market, reflective of supply and demand, and thus crowd behaviour. This work gives a complete explanation of volume and how it can be used to trade more effectively. It shows that volume behaviour and changes can provide important clues to price movement, in direct contrast to such established theories as random walk and efficient markets that state that price is essentially unpredictable. The book explains how volume discloses the amount and type of interest in a stock. By examining and understanding the dynamics of volume, the trader can pinpoint the rise, climax and fall of the activity of market participants (behavioural finance), which provides an extremely reliable indicator of price reversal in real time. Knowing this helps the trader get out near stock or market tops and buy near stock or market bottoms.

Author : Don Snellgrove
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 160 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2008-03-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0470229179

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Selective Forex Trading by Don Snellgrove Pdf

Selective Forex Trading skillfully outlines author Don Snellgrove’s S90/Crossover: an independently verified technical indicator that has provided traders with the ability to achieve over 100 consecutive Forex trades without a single loss. Whether you’re a seasoned professional or just getting started, this approach—which is based on historical resistance and support points within a trading range—can assist you in entering and exiting positions for the greatest profits possible.

Author : Gary Shoup
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 548 pages
File Size : 42,7 Mb
Release : 2013-10-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781135926458

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International Guide to Foreign Currency Management by Gary Shoup Pdf

Financial managers rarely find a one-stop source for a complete course in currency management. Expanding on his work, Currency Risk Management, Gary Shoup builds a practical foreign currency management program. This extensive text covers everything managers and their consultants need to implement a program, from trends in exchange rates to understanding pricing determinants. He discusses in detail the market for currencies, price forecasting, exposure and risk management, managing accounting exposure, and managing strategic exposure.

Author : William J. Raynor
Publisher : Global Professional Publishi
Page : 552 pages
File Size : 54,6 Mb
Release : 1999
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1888998008

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The International Dictionary of Artificial Intelligence by William J. Raynor Pdf

This work shows how to capture the business of mid-sized companies - from the basic concepts of foreign exhange to prospecting the corporate client. The author shows the finer points of foreign exchange regimes recognized by the IMF and that exchange rates are a matter of government restrictions

Author : Ellen Hertz
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 260 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 1998-06-18
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0521564972

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The Trading Crowd by Ellen Hertz Pdf

In 1992, there was an explosion of 'stock fever' in Shanghai. 'From the moment I set foot in Shanghai until my last day there, people from all walks of life wanted to talk to me about the market', Ellen Hertz writes. Her 1998 study sets the stock market and its players in the context of Shanghai society, and it probes the dominant role played by the state, which has yielded a stock market very different from those of the West. A trained anthropologist, she explains the way in which investors and officials construct a 'moral storyline' to make sense of this great structural innovation, identifying a struggle between three groups of actors - the big investors, the little investors, and the state - to control the market.

Author : Jack D. Schwager
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 357 pages
File Size : 54,7 Mb
Release : 2002-05-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780471485551

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Stock Market Wizards by Jack D. Schwager Pdf

This decade has witnessed the most dynamic bull market in US stock history, a collapse in commodity prices, and dramatic failures in some of the world's leading hedge funds. How have some traders managed to significantly outperform a stock market that,until recently, moved virtually straight up? This book will feature interviews with those traders who achieved phenomenal success, from an Ohio farmer who has constantly made triple-digit returns, to a Turkish emigre who transformed a $16000 account into $6 million, to spectacularly successful professional hedge-fund managers such as Michael Lancer of the Lancer Group and Michael Masters of Capital Management. Today, the action is on the stock market. This book will be a must-have for that sector, as well as for the legions of individuals who eagerly bought Market Wizards.