Author : Richard C. Rothermel
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 28 pages
File Size : 53,7 Mb
Release : 1983
Category : Forest fire forecasting
ISBN : MINN:31951D03001362S
Field Procedures for Verification and Adjustment of Fire Behavior Predictions by Richard C. Rothermel Pdf
The problem of verifying predictions of fire behavior, primarily rate of spread, is discussed in terms of the fire situation for which predictions are made, and the type of fire where data are to be collected. Procedures for collecting data and performing analysis are presented for both readily accessible fires where data should be complete, and for inaccessible fires where data are likely to be incomplete. The material is prepared for use by field units, with no requirements for special equipment or computers. Procedures for selecting the most representative fuel model, for overall evaluation of prediction capability, and for developing calibration coefficients to improve future predictions are presented. Illustrated examples from several fires are included. The material is a companion publication to the fire prediction manual titled, 'INT-GTR-143: How to predict the spread and intensity of forest and range fire' by R. C. Rothermel.