Weather And The Calculated Risk

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Weather and the Calculated Risk

Author : Anonim
Publisher : DIANE Publishing Inc.
Page : 12 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2024-07-02
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 8210379456XXX

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Weather and the Calculated Risk by Anonim Pdf

Calculated Risk

Author : Katherine Neville
Publisher : Ballantine Books
Page : 354 pages
File Size : 50,6 Mb
Release : 1994-03-02
Category : Fiction
ISBN : 9780345386823

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Calculated Risk by Katherine Neville Pdf

"A dizzying, enjoyable caper...After reading this hard-to-put down thriller, you may put all your money in your mattress." LOS ANGELES DAILY NEWS When financial executive Verity Banks' latest proposal is axed by her boss, she decides to show how easy it is to break through automated security, hide money, and then show senior management where it is. Then her former mentor, financial wizard, Dr. Zooltan Tor ups the ante, and dares her to steal a billion dollars, invest it to earn thirty million in three months, then put the original billion back before anyone notices. To heighten the challenge, Tor and Verity will compete against each other, though Tor gives Verity an edge: she can use a computer for her theft, but he cannot.... A BOOK-OF-THE-MONTH-CLUB ALTERNATE SELECTION

Calculated Risks

Author : Gerd Gigerenzer
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
Page : 328 pages
File Size : 54,9 Mb
Release : 2002
Category : Education
ISBN : 9780743254236

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Calculated Risks by Gerd Gigerenzer Pdf

At the beginning of the twentieth century, H. G. Wells predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. But in the twenty-first century, we are often overwhelmed by a baffling array of percentages and probabilities as we try to navigate in a world dominated by statistics. Cognitive scientist Gerd Gigerenzer says that because we haven't learned statistical thinking, we don't understand risk and uncertainty. In order to assess risk -- everything from the risk of an automobile accident to the certainty or uncertainty of some common medical screening tests -- we need a basic understanding of statistics. Astonishingly, doctors and lawyers don't understand risk any better than anyone else. Gigerenzer reports a study in which doctors were told the results of breast cancer screenings and then were asked to explain the risks of contracting breast cancer to a woman who received a positive result from a screening. The actual risk was small because the test gives many false positives. But nearly every physician in the study overstated the risk. Yet many people will have to make important health decisions based on such information and the interpretation of that information by their doctors. Gigerenzer explains that a major obstacle to our understanding of numbers is that we live with an illusion of certainty. Many of us believe that HIV tests, DNA fingerprinting, and the growing number of genetic tests are absolutely certain. But even DNA evidence can produce spurious matches. We cling to our illusion of certainty because the medical industry, insurance companies, investment advisers, and election campaigns have become purveyors of certainty, marketing it like a commodity. To avoid confusion, says Gigerenzer, we should rely on more understandable representations of risk, such as absolute risks. For example, it is said that a mammography screening reduces the risk of breast cancer by 25 percent. But in absolute risks, that means that out of every 1,000 women who do not participate in screening, 4 will die; while out of 1,000 women who do, 3 will die. A 25 percent risk reduction sounds much more significant than a benefit that 1 out of 1,000 women will reap. This eye-opening book explains how we can overcome our ignorance of numbers and better understand the risks we may be taking with our money, our health, and our lives.

Calculated Risks

Author : Seanan McGuire
Publisher : Astra Publishing House
Page : 450 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2021-02-23
Category : Fiction
ISBN : 9780756411824

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Calculated Risks by Seanan McGuire Pdf

The tenth book in the fast-paced InCryptid urban fantasy series returns to the mishaps of the Price family, eccentric cryptozoologists who safeguard the world of magical creatures living in secret among humans. Just when Sarah Zellaby, adopted Price cousin and telepathic ambush predator, thought that things couldn't get worse, she's had to go and prove herself wrong. After being kidnapped and manipulated by her birth family, she has undergone a transformation called an instar, reaching back to her Apocritic origins to metamorphize. While externally the same, she is internally much more powerful, and much more difficult to control. Even by herself. After years of denial, the fact that she will always be a cuckoo has become impossible to deny. Now stranded in another dimension with a handful of allies who seem to have no idea who she is--including her cousin Annie and her maybe-boyfriend Artie, both of whom have forgotten their relationship--and a bunch of cuckoos with good reason to want her dead, Sarah must figure out not only how to contend with her situation, but with the new realities of her future. What is she now? Who is she now? Is that person someone she can live with? And when all is said and done, will she be able to get the people she loves, whether or not they've forgotten her, safely home?

Living Like Indians

Author : Allan A. Macfarlan
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
Page : 320 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2011-03-09
Category : Sports & Recreation
ISBN : 9781626367401

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Living Like Indians by Allan A. Macfarlan Pdf

For children and adults alike, Living Like Indians is the essential guide to Native American recreation and activities. Written with recreation directors in mind, this wonderful field companion provides thoughtful learning activities along with a history of the Native Americans. Tracking, camping, and exploring nature are only a few of the topics found in this book. The author provides suggestions for over 1,000 projects for indoor and outdoor activities, and also includes practical first aid and wilderness advice on cooking, fishing, games, storytelling, observing wildlife, and more—all from the Native American perspective.

Calculated Risk

Author : Mark W. Clark
Publisher : Plunkett Lake Press
Page : 476 pages
File Size : 48,9 Mb
Release : 2024-05-01
Category : Biography & Autobiography
ISBN : 8210379456XXX

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Calculated Risk by Mark W. Clark Pdf

“[The World War II campaign] of the Mediterranean Theatre - the ‘soft underbelly of the Axis’ as Churchill so wrongly called it - was compounded of elements reminiscent of the heyday of the Foreign Legion - intrigue, suspense, a secret mission to a secret seaside villa in Algeria... the strange but necessary alliance with Darlan, and then the bloody, muddy and most unexpectedly long and difficult Italian campaign where the roster of troops sounded like the roll-call of the allied nations. These are elements to make any book interesting, and, if past history, still exciting, and General Clark has capitalized fully on them. There are sketches of Churchill, of Eisenhower in his difficult coordinating position, of the war’s lesser known heroes, the officers and enlisted men of the battle command Clark wanted and finally received. And there is the series of almost fatal blunders which followed the taking of Rome when the Western Allies seemed almost determined to play into the hands of the Russians. Tito might have left the Kremlin’s orbit sooner, and the present list of satellite nations might have been smaller. And when Clark was made American high commissioner of Austria he experienced more of the same lack of foresight and he concludes with a political sophistication not common to the military – ‘We celebrated a victory when in reality we had not won the War’. Honest, forceful, colorful, this is one of the best books to come from World War II’s top brass.” — Kirkus “Calculated Risk deals in large part with events and situations in which General Clark and I were not only close associates but friends and comrades. But even if I am, therefore, a prejudiced witness, I cheerfully and unhesitatingly prophesy that thousands will find the book as accurate and as completely absorbing as I did.” — Dwight D. Eisenhower “[F]orthright, hard-hitting stuff... This book [...] should be widely read... A high-powered, high-tempered man [...] afraid of nothing and no man, [Clark] was consistently given tough assignments. His superiors always seem to have had complete confidence in his ability to carry out these assignments and always gave him their full moral support... The whole Mediterranean Campaign, he says, was a calculated risk. The North African Campaign was an extremely perilous military adventure. Aside from possible French and probable German resistance in North Africa, there was always the threat of Spanish or German attack via Spanish Morocco on our extended lines of communication, an attack which might well have been fatal... a fascinating book.” — Richard E. Danielson, The Atlantic

Research Reporting Series

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 568 pages
File Size : 53,9 Mb
Release : 1973
Category : Environmental engineering
ISBN : UOM:39015039965812

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Research Reporting Series by Anonim Pdf

The Epidemiology of Plant Diseases

Author : D.G. Jones
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 480 pages
File Size : 43,5 Mb
Release : 2013-03-09
Category : Medical
ISBN : 9789401733021

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The Epidemiology of Plant Diseases by D.G. Jones Pdf

Most branches of science have what might be termed a 'core area' which is both related to and helps to integrate peripheral topics to form the overall subject area. Without this central link, the subject is simply a collection of disparate, albeit gener ally related topics. What genetics is to plant breeding, epidemiology is to the subject of plant pathology and, no matter what individual topic is considered, it is always possible to recognize the interaction with and relationship to epidemiological factors. Broadly speaking, until the 1950s, plant pathology was considered as the applied side of mycology and, indeed, the British Society of Plant Pathology was spawned from its mentor, the British Mycological Society, with considerable help from The Association of Applied Biology. However, with the exploding world popu lation and the growing demand for food, plant pathologists became increasingly aware of the need for a more considered, measured, precise and even holistic approach to their subject and, particularly, to plant disease management. Looking back over 40 years of teaching and research in plant pathology, it was very clear that the 'core' of the subject was epidemiology and that this 'new' study was developing a very distinct identity which was rapidly being recognized in its own right. The 'shotgun' approach to plant disease 'control' was quickly perceived to be too inexact and almost every aspect of the subject was being reviewed, refined and advanced.

Climate Uncertainty and Risk

Author : Judith Curry
Publisher : Anthem Press
Page : 217 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2023-06-06
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781785278181

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Climate Uncertainty and Risk by Judith Curry Pdf

World leaders have made a forceful statement that climate change is the greatest challenge facing humanity in the 21st century. However, little progress has been made in implementing policies to address climate change. In Climate Uncertainty and Risk, eminent climate scientist Judith Curry shows how we can break this gridlock. This book helps us rethink the climate change problem, the risks we are facing and how we can respond to these challenges. Understanding the deep uncertainty surrounding the climate change problem helps us to better assess the risks. This book shows how uncertainty and disagreement can be part of the decision-making process. It provides a road map for formulating pragmatic solutions. Climate Uncertainty and Risk is essential reading for those concerned about the environment, professionals dealing with climate change and our national leaders.

Challenger

Author : Adam Higginbotham
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
Page : 576 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 2024-05-14
Category : Biography & Autobiography
ISBN : 9781982176617

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Challenger by Adam Higginbotham Pdf

"From the New York Times bestselling author of Midnight in Chernobyl comes the definitive, dramatic, minute-by-minute story of the Challenger disaster based on fascinating new archival research and in-depth reporting-a riveting history that reads like a thriller"--

Beef Cattle Science Handbook, Vol. 19

Author : Frank H. Baker
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 1210 pages
File Size : 42,5 Mb
Release : 2019-08-20
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780429705212

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Beef Cattle Science Handbook, Vol. 19 by Frank H. Baker Pdf

The 1983 International Stockinen's School Handbooks include more than 200 technical papers presented at this year's Stockmen's School-sponsored by Wlnrock International-by outstanding animal scientists, agribusiness leaders, and livestock producers expert in animal technology, animal management, and general fields relevant to animal agriculture. The Handbooks represent advanced technology in a problem-oriented form readily accessible to livestock producers, operators of family farms, managers of agri-buslnesses, scholars, and students of animal agriculture. The Beef Cattle Science Handbook, the Dairy Science Handbook, the Sheep and Goat Handbook, and the Stud Managers' Handbook each include papers on such general topics as genetics and selection; general anatomy and physiology; reproduction; behavior and animal welfare; feeds and nutrition; pastures, ranges, and forests; health, diseases, and parasites; buildings, equipment, and environment; animal management; marketing and economics (including product processing, when relevant}; farm and ranch business management and economics; computer use in animal enterprises; and production systems. The four Handbooks also contain papers specifically related to the type of animal considered

Climate Change Risks and Adaptation Linking Policy and Economics

Author : OECD
Publisher : OECD Publishing
Page : 144 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2015-07-07
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9789264234611

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Climate Change Risks and Adaptation Linking Policy and Economics by OECD Pdf

Building on the experience of OECD countries, this report sets out how the latest economic evidence and tools can enable better policy making for adaptation.

Global Climate Change and Extreme Weather Events

Author : Institute of Medicine,Board on Global Health,Forum on Microbial Threats
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 302 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2008-09-23
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780309177757

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Global Climate Change and Extreme Weather Events by Institute of Medicine,Board on Global Health,Forum on Microbial Threats Pdf

Long before the "germ theory" of disease was described, late in the nineteenth century, humans knew that climatic conditions influence the appearance and spread of epidemic diseases. Ancient notions about the effects of weather and climate on disease remain embedded in our collective consciousness-through expressions such as "cold" for rhinovirus infections; "malaria," derived from the Latin for "bad air;" and the common complaint of feeling "under the weather." Today, evidence is mounting that earth's climate is changing at a faster rate than previously appreciated, leading researchers to view the longstanding relationships between climate and disease with new urgency and from a global perspective. On December 4 and 5, 2007, the Forum on Microbial Threats hosted a public workshop in Washington, DC to consider the possible infectious disease impacts of global climate change and extreme weather events on human, animal, and plant health, as well as their expected implications for global and national security.