When Oil Peaked

Author : Kenneth S. Deffeyes
Publisher : Hill and Wang
Page : 176 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 2010-09-28
Category : Science
ISBN : 1429981326

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When Oil Peaked by Kenneth S. Deffeyes Pdf

In two earlier books, Hubbert's Peak (2001) and Beyond Oil (2005), the geologist Kenneth S. Deffeyes laid out his rationale for concluding that world oil production would continue to follow a bell-shaped curve, with the smoothed-out peak somewhere in the middle of the first decade of this millennium—in keeping with the projections of his former colleague, the pioneering petroleum geologist M. King Hubbert. Deffeyes sees no reason to deviate from that prediction, despite the ensuing global recession and the extreme volatility in oil prices associated with it. In his view, the continued depletion of existing oil fields, compounded by shortsighted cutbacks in many exploration-and-development projects, virtually assures that the mid-decade peak in global oil production will never be surpassed. In When Oil Peaked, he revisits his original forecasts, examines the arguments that were made both for and against them, adds some new supporting material to his overall case, and applies the same mode of analysis to a number of other finite gifts from the Earth: mineral resources that may be also in shorter supply than "flat-Earth" prognosticators would have us believe.

Author : National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Board on Energy and Environmental Systems,Planning Group for the Workshop on Trends in Oil Supply and Demand and the Potential for Peaking of Conventional Oil Production
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 60 pages
File Size : 51,6 Mb
Release : 2006-03-17
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780309101431

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Trends in Oil Supply and Demand, the Potential for Peaking of Conventional Oil Production, and Possible Mitigation Options by National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Board on Energy and Environmental Systems,Planning Group for the Workshop on Trends in Oil Supply and Demand and the Potential for Peaking of Conventional Oil Production Pdf

Recent events and analyses have suggested that global production of oil might peak sometime within the next few years to the next one or two decades. Other analyses, however, conclude that oil supply can meet global demand for some decades to come and that oil production peaking is much further off. To explore this issue, the NRC held a workshop, funded by the Department of Energy, bringing together analysts representing these different views. The workshop was divided into four main sessions: setting the stage; future global oil supply and demand balance; mitigation options and time to implementation; and potential follow-up activities. This report provides a summary of the workshop including the key points, issues and questions raised by the participants, and it identifies possible topics for follow-up studies. No consensus views, conclusions, or recommendations are presented.

Author : Paul Roberts
Publisher : Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
Page : 401 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2005-04-05
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780547525112

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The End of Oil by Paul Roberts Pdf

“A stunning piece of work—perhaps the best single book ever produced about our energy economy and its environmental implications” (Bill McHibbon, The New York Review of Books). Petroleum is so deeply entrenched in our economy, politics, and daily lives that even modest efforts to phase it out are fought tooth and nail. Companies and governments depend on oil revenues. Developing nations see oil as their only means to industrial success. And the Western middle class refuses to modify its energy-dependent lifestyle. But even by conservative estimates, we will have burned through most of the world’s accessible oil within mere decades. What will we use in its place to maintain a global economy and political system that are entirely reliant on cheap, readily available energy? In The End of Oil, journalist Paul Roberts talks to both oil optimists and pessimists around the world. He delves deep into the economics and politics, considers the promises and pitfalls of oil alternatives, and shows that—even though the world energy system has begun its epochal transition—we need to take a more proactive stance to avoid catastrophic disruption and dislocation.

Author : Robert Louis Hirsch,Roger H. Bezdek,Robert M. Wendling
Publisher : Nova Science Publishers
Page : 126 pages
File Size : 49,6 Mb
Release : 2007
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : IND:30000109983563

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Peaking of World Oil Production by Robert Louis Hirsch,Roger H. Bezdek,Robert M. Wendling Pdf

The peaking of world oil production presents the U.S. and the world with an unprecedented risk management problem. As peaking is approached, liquid fuel prices and price volatility will increase dramatically, and without timely mitigation, the economic, social, and political costs will be unprecedented. Viable mitigation options exist on both the supply and demand sides, but to have substantial impact, they must be initiated more than a decade in advance of peaking. Dealing with world oil production peaking will be extremely complex, involve literally trillions of dollars and require many years of intense effort. To explore these complexities, three alternative mitigation scenarios are analysed: scenario I assumes that action is not initiated until peaking occurs; scenario II assumes that action is initiated 10 years before peaking; scenario III assumes action is initiated 20 years before peaking. For this analysis estimates of the possible contributions of each mitigation option were developed, based on an assumed crash program rate of implementation.

Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Energy and Commerce. Subcommittee on Energy and Air Quality
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 96 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2005
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : PSU:000058152324

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Understanding the Peak Oil Theory by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Energy and Commerce. Subcommittee on Energy and Air Quality Pdf

Author : Mark Jaccard
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 307 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2020-02-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781108479370

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The Citizen's Guide to Climate Success by Mark Jaccard Pdf

Shows readers how we can all help solve the climate crisis by focusing on a few key, achievable actions.

Author : Laurel Graefe
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
Page : 16 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2011-04
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781437922592

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Peak Oil Debate by Laurel Graefe Pdf

For the past half-century, a debate has raged over when ¿peak oil¿ will occur ¿ the point at which output can no longer increase and production begins to level off or gradually decline. Determining how long the oil supply will last has become even more pressing because the world¿s energy supply still relies heavily on oil, and global energy demand is expected to rise steeply over the next twenty years. This article seeks to bring the peak oil debate into focus. The author provides definitions of frequently used terms, delineating types of reserves and conventional versus non-conventional resources. She also discusses how technological innovations, gov¿t. policies, and prices influence oil production. Illus. A print on demand report.

Author : R.W. Bentley
Publisher : Springer
Page : 196 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2016-03-22
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9783319263724

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Introduction to Peak Oil by R.W. Bentley Pdf

This book examines the physical and economic characteristics of the global oil resource to explain why peak oil has been so poorly understood. The author draws on information held in oil industry datasets that are not widely available outside of the specialist literature, and describes a number of methods that have been successfully used to predict oil peaks. In contrast to the widely-held view that ‘all oil forecasts are wrong’, these methods correctly predicted the current peak in global conventional oil production. Current oil forecasts are then compared to evaluate the expected dates for regional and global oil peaks for conventional oil, all-oils, and all-liquids. The dates of global peaks in the production of all-oil and all-liquids appear to be reasonably soon, while the oil price that is needed to support these global production levels continues to rise. The world faces serious constraints in its oil supply, which accounts for about one-third of total world energy use, and over 90% of the fuel used for transportation. Readers of this book will gain a thorough understanding of the critical, but poorly understood, phenomenon of peak oil that has already had significant impacts on society in terms of high oil prices, and which will place increasing constraints on mankind’s supply of energy and economic well-being in the coming years.

Author : Amory Lovins
Publisher : Chelsea Green Publishing
Page : 4 pages
File Size : 47,8 Mb
Release : 2011-10-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781603583725

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Reinventing Fire by Amory Lovins Pdf

Imagine fuel without fear. No climate change. No oil spills, no dead coalminers, no dirty air, no devastated lands, no lost wildlife. No energy poverty. No oil-fed wars, tyrannies, or terrorists. No leaking nuclear wastes or spreading nuclear weapons. Nothing to run out. Nothing to cut off. Nothing to worry about. Just energy abundance, benign and affordable, for all, forever. That richer, fairer, cooler, safer world is possible, practical, even profitable-because saving and replacing fossil fuels now works better and costs no more than buying and burning them. Reinventing Fire shows how business-motivated by profit, supported by civil society, sped by smart policy-can get the US completely off oil and coal by 2050, and later beyond natural gas as well. Authored by a world leader on energy and innovation, the book maps a robust path for integrating real, here-and-now, comprehensive energy solutions in four industries-transportation, buildings, electricity, and manufacturing-melding radically efficient energy use with reliable, secure, renewable energy supplies.Popular in tone and rooted in applied hope, Reinventing Fire shows how smart businesses are creating a potent, global, market-driven, and explosively growing movement to defossilize fuels. It points readers to trillions in savings over the next 40 years, and trillions more in new business opportunities.Whether you care most about national security, or jobs and competitive advantage, or climate and environment, this major contribution by world leaders in energy innovation offers startling innovations will support your values, inspire your support, and transform your sense of possibility.Pragmatic citizens today are more interested in outcomes than motives. Reinventing Fire answers this trans-ideological call. Whether you care most about national security, or jobs and competitive advantage, or climate and environment, its startling innovations will support your values, inspire your support, and transform your sense of possibility.

Author : Jean-Paul Rodrigue,Claude Comtois,Brian Slack
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 432 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2013-07-18
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781136777325

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The Geography of Transport Systems by Jean-Paul Rodrigue,Claude Comtois,Brian Slack Pdf

Mobility is fundamental to economic and social activities such as commuting, manufacturing, or supplying energy. Each movement has an origin, a potential set of intermediate locations, a destination, and a nature which is linked with geographical attributes. Transport systems composed of infrastructures, modes and terminals are so embedded in the socio-economic life of individuals, institutions and corporations that they are often invisible to the consumer. This is paradoxical as the perceived invisibility of transportation is derived from its efficiency. Understanding how mobility is linked with geography is main the purpose of this book. The third edition of The Geography of Transport Systems has been revised and updated to provide an overview of the spatial aspects of transportation. This text provides greater discussion of security, energy, green logistics, as well as new and updated case studies, a revised content structure, and new figures. Each chapter covers a specific conceptual dimension including networks, modes, terminals, freight transportation, urban transportation and environmental impacts. A final chapter contains core methodologies linked with transport geography such as accessibility, spatial interactions, graph theory and Geographic Information Systems for transportation (GIS-T). This book provides a comprehensive and accessible introduction to the field, with a broad overview of its concepts, methods, and areas of application. The accompanying website for this text contains a useful additional material, including digital maps, PowerPoint slides, databases, and links to further reading and websites. The website can be accessed at: http://people.hofstra.edu/geotrans This text is an essential resource for undergraduates studying transport geography, as well as those interest in economic and urban geography, transport planning and engineering.

Author : Vaclav Smil
Publisher : Bloomsbury Publishing USA
Page : 190 pages
File Size : 44,7 Mb
Release : 2010-05-26
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780313381782

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Energy Transitions by Vaclav Smil Pdf

This bold and controversial argument shows why energy transitions are inherently complex and prolonged affairs, and how ignoring this fact raises unrealistic expectations that the United States and other global economies can be weaned quickly from a primary dependency on fossil fuels. Energy transitions are fundamental processes behind the evolution of human societies: they both drive and are driven by technical, economic, and social changes. In a bold and provocative argument, Energy Transitions: History, Requirements, Prospects describes the history of modern society's dependence on fossil fuels and the prospects for the transition to a nonfossil world. Vaclav Smil, who has published more on various aspects of energy than any working scientist, makes it clear that this transition will not be accomplished easily, and that it cannot be accomplished within the timetables established by the Obama administration. The book begins with a survey of the basic properties of modern energy systems. It then offers detailed explanations of universal patterns of energy transitions, the peculiarities of changing energy use in the world's leading economies, and the coming shifts from fossil fuels to renewable conversions. Specific cases of these transitions are analyzed for eight of the world's leading energy consumers. The author closes with perspectives on the nature and pace of the coming energy transition to renewable conversions.

Author : U.S. Government Accountability Office
Publisher : Cosimo, Inc.
Page : 90 pages
File Size : 50,6 Mb
Release : 2007-10-01
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781602067370

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Crude Oil by U.S. Government Accountability Office Pdf

Planet Earth's oil is going to run out, and soon. There is no serious debate on the matter, and this sober report, by the U.S. Government Accountability Office, baldly lays out how critical the problem is. Oil production has, without question, already peaked and in decline in the U.S. and all over areas of the globe outside the Middle East... and just how much oil is left in that powder keg region is unknown. How will an increasingly industrialized-and hence energy-hungry-world meet its energy needs over the coming decades? The comprehensive 2007 report examines key Peak Oil studies to determine how long we might have before the oil supply goes into serious decline, and then explores key technologies to enhance that supply, including ultra-deep water drilling and oil shale, as well as key technologies that could displace oil consumption in the transportation sector, from ethanol and biodiesel to hydrogen cells. This is vital reading for anyone who wants to remain informed on one of the most pressing political and technological issues of our time. The GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTABILITY OFFICE was established in 1921 as the audit, evaluation, and investigative arm of the United States Congress.

Author : Kenneth D. Worth
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 90 pages
File Size : 49,7 Mb
Release : 2010-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 143276084X

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Peak Oil and the Second Great Depression (2010-2030) by Kenneth D. Worth Pdf

Peak Oil is the point of maximum global oil production. In Peak Oil and the Second Great Depression (2010-2030), the author argues that the likely peak in global oil production occurred in the period 2005-2008, due to the peaking of Saudi Arabian oil production during that time. The evidence of a peak in Saudi crude oil production in 2008 is presented and discussed in some detail. The most significant piece of evidence of a Saudi peak in production in 2008 was the inability of Saudi oil ministers to increase production in the period 2005 to 2008 despite record crude oil prices and the drilling of thousands of new wells in Saudi Arabia's seven major oil fields. Because it could not increase production in the face of rising global demand, Saudi Arabia was unable to prevent a spike in the price of oil to around $150 a barrel. A dramatic economic contraction in the developed economies ensued. In the years ahead, it is argued, continued economic growth in the developing world including China will put upward pressure on the price of oil, which will create severe economic difficulties for the indebted developed economies such as the US which rely on imported energy. The book examines the likely policy responses of American statesmen and central bankers to the economic difficulties created by very high prices for petroleum. Oil at very high and indeed painful prices in the face of already historic levels of personal and governmental indebtedness, it is argued, will create large scale unemployment on levels not seen since the (First) Great Depression as expenditures for foreign oil dramatically reduce spending available for the domestic economy. The author argues that the policy response to the economic difficulties will be to create a general rise in the price level to reduce the burden of the existing debt on households, businesses and governmental entities. As prices, and especially wages, rise, domestic spending will recover and unemployment will be reduced, although this process could take several decades. Very significant inflation will likely be necessary to prevent an even more severe drop in employment and output in the economy than that we are already experiencing given the magnitude of the shock to the economy created by continued declines in global oil production. The inflation thus created, as well as the other dramatic changes in the economy as a result of Peak Oil, will alter the approach that would optimally be taken by investors and those wishing to preserve savings. The issues of asset allocation and sector weighting are explored together with alternative investments in commodities and real estate. The focus is primarily on domestic equities, but a rather unusual sector weighting strategy is proposed as most likely to produce positive results during two decades that will otherwise be most disappointing for the investing public. Peak Oil will also create opportunities for speculation which are explored in the final chapters of the book.

Author : Michael C. Ruppert
Publisher : Chelsea Green Publishing
Page : 266 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2009-12-15
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781603582995

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Confronting Collapse by Michael C. Ruppert Pdf

The book that inspired the movie Collapse. The world is running short of energy-especially cheap, easy-to-find oil. Shortages, along with resulting price increases, threaten industrialized civilization, the global economy, and our entire way of life. In Confronting Collapse, author Michael C. Ruppert, a former LAPD narcotics officer turned investigative journalist, details the intricate connections between money and energy, including the ways in which oil shortages and price spikes triggered the economic crash that began in September 2008. Given the 96 percent correlation between economic growth and greenhouse gas emissions and the unlikelihood of economic growth without a spike in energy use, Ruppert argues that we are not, in fact, on the verge of economic recovery, but on the verge of complete collapse. Ruppert's truth is not merely inconvenient. It is utterly devastating. But there is still hope. Ruppert outlines a 25-point plan of action, including the creation of a second strategic petroleum reserve for the use of state and local governments, the immediate implementation of a national Feed-in Tariff mandating that electric utilities pay 3 percent above market rates for all surplus electricity generated from renewable sources, a thorough assessment of soil conditions nationwide, and an emergency action plan for soil restoration and sustainable agriculture.

Author : Colin John Campbell
Publisher : multi-science publishing
Page : 428 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 2005
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0906522390

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Oil Crisis by Colin John Campbell Pdf

"Colin Campbell is renowned for his lucid earlier work, 'The coming oil crisis'. Eight years on, events have proved his analysis right. Now, he argues that the oil crisis has come. The familiar technical explanation of the crisis is carefully made again : essentially, that there is no more oil to be found. That fact is beginning to manifest itself in heightened competition for the remaining resource ; which is why America invaded Iraq ; why Central Asia is in turmoil ; why oil is persistently priced above $50/barrel (and why Goldman Sachs think $100 a barrel is not too unlikely in the near future). The problem - of an oil-less world - is beyond the grasp of politicians. They can fiddle with ideas about renewables or hydrogen but they, along with most of humanity, have not really grasped that it is the oil economy that enables about a 7 billion world population to be sustained. A wholly new world is imminent. It is not likely to be very pleasant. Dr Campbell outlines our grim future." -- book cover.