A Pandemic Forecasting Framework An Application Of Risk Analysis

Author : Allan Dizioli,Daniel Rivera Greenwood,Aneta Radzikowski
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 35 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 2021-08-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513594842

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A Pandemic Forecasting Framework: An Application of Risk Analysis by Allan Dizioli,Daniel Rivera Greenwood,Aneta Radzikowski Pdf

This paper introduces a simple, frequently and easily updated, close to the data epidemiological model that has been used for near-term forecast and policy analysis. We provide several practical examples of how the model has been used. We explain the epidemic development in the UK, the USA and Brazil through the model lens. Moreover, we show how our model would have predicted that a super infectious variant, such as the delta, would spread and argue that current vaccination levels in many countries are not enough to curb other waves of infections in the future. Finally, we briefly discuss the importance of how to model re-infections in epidemiological models.

Author : Dean T. Jamison,Hellen Gelband,Susan Horton,Prabhat Jha,Charles N. Mock,Rachel Nugent
Publisher : World Bank Publications
Page : 426 pages
File Size : 50,5 Mb
Release : 2017-12-06
Category : Medical
ISBN : 9781464805288

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Disease Control Priorities, Third Edition (Volume 9) by Dean T. Jamison,Hellen Gelband,Susan Horton,Prabhat Jha,Charles N. Mock,Rachel Nugent Pdf

As the culminating volume in the DCP3 series, volume 9 will provide an overview of DCP3 findings and methods, a summary of messages and substantive lessons to be taken from DCP3, and a further discussion of cross-cutting and synthesizing topics across the first eight volumes. The introductory chapters (1-3) in this volume take as their starting point the elements of the Essential Packages presented in the overview chapters of each volume. First, the chapter on intersectoral policy priorities for health includes fiscal and intersectoral policies and assembles a subset of the population policies and applies strict criteria for a low-income setting in order to propose a "highest-priority" essential package. Second, the chapter on packages of care and delivery platforms for universal health coverage (UHC) includes health sector interventions, primarily clinical and public health services, and uses the same approach to propose a highest priority package of interventions and policies that meet similar criteria, provides cost estimates, and describes a pathway to UHC.

Author : World Health Organization,World Health Organization. Global Influenza Programme
Publisher : World Health Organization
Page : 62 pages
File Size : 53,6 Mb
Release : 2009
Category : Medical
ISBN : 9789241547680

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Pandemic Influenza Preparedness and Response by World Health Organization,World Health Organization. Global Influenza Programme Pdf

This guidance is an update of WHO global influenza preparedness plan: the role of WHO and recommendations for national measures before and during pandemics, published March 2005 (WHO/CDS/CSR/GIP/2005.5).

Author : El Bachir Boukherouaa,Mr. Ghiath Shabsigh,Khaled AlAjmi,Jose Deodoro,Aquiles Farias,Ebru S Iskender,Mr. Alin T Mirestean,Rangachary Ravikumar
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 35 pages
File Size : 43,9 Mb
Release : 2021-10-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781589063952

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Powering the Digital Economy: Opportunities and Risks of Artificial Intelligence in Finance by El Bachir Boukherouaa,Mr. Ghiath Shabsigh,Khaled AlAjmi,Jose Deodoro,Aquiles Farias,Ebru S Iskender,Mr. Alin T Mirestean,Rangachary Ravikumar Pdf

This paper discusses the impact of the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in the financial sector. It highlights the benefits these technologies bring in terms of financial deepening and efficiency, while raising concerns about its potential in widening the digital divide between advanced and developing economies. The paper advances the discussion on the impact of this technology by distilling and categorizing the unique risks that it could pose to the integrity and stability of the financial system, policy challenges, and potential regulatory approaches. The evolving nature of this technology and its application in finance means that the full extent of its strengths and weaknesses is yet to be fully understood. Given the risk of unexpected pitfalls, countries will need to strengthen prudential oversight.

Author : Ajay Kumar,Sangeeta Rani,Sarita Rathee,Surbhi Bhatia
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 368 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 2023-12-19
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781003803690

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Security and Risk Analysis for Intelligent Cloud Computing by Ajay Kumar,Sangeeta Rani,Sarita Rathee,Surbhi Bhatia Pdf

This edited book is a compilation of scholarly articles on the latest developments in the field of AI, Blockchain, and ML/DL in cloud security. This book is designed for security and risk assessment professionals, and to help undergraduate, postgraduate students, research scholars, academicians, and technology professionals who are interested in learning practical approaches to cloud security. It covers practical strategies for assessing the security and privacy of cloud infrastructure and applications and shows how to make cloud infrastructure secure to combat threats and attacks, and prevent data breaches. The chapters are designed with a granular framework, starting with the security concepts, followed by hands-on assessment techniques based on real-world studies. Readers will gain detailed information on cloud computing security that—until now—has been difficult to access. This book: • Covers topics such as AI, Blockchain, and ML/DL in cloud security. • Presents several case studies revealing how threat actors abuse and exploit cloud environments to spread threats. • Explains the privacy aspects you need to consider in the cloud, including how they compare with aspects considered in traditional computing models. • Examines security delivered as a service—a different facet of cloud security.

Author : Hans M. Flickenschild,International Monetary Fund,International Monetary Fund. Exchange and Trade Relations Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 6 pages
File Size : 55,6 Mb
Release : 1992
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781557752338

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The Managing Director's Global Policy Agenda Annual Meetings 2021 by Hans M. Flickenschild,International Monetary Fund,International Monetary Fund. Exchange and Trade Relations Department Pdf

Urgent policy action is needed to control the pandemic, limit scarring, and transform the global economy. The global recovery continues, thanks to unprecedented monetary, fiscal, and financial support over the past year. However, pandemic-induced divergences are persisting, driven by stark differences in access to vaccines and policy space. The Fund will continue to support the membership deal with these ongoing and new challenges. Our priorities are to: vaccinate the world population to stem the spread of pandemic; calibrate policies to limit scarring, support the recovery, and counter growing divergences within and between countries; and accelerate the transformation of the global economy to achieve a more inclusive, greener, and digital recovery.

Author : Aruna Tiwari,Kapil Ahuja,Anupam Yadav,Jagdish Chand Bansal,Kusum Deep,Atulya K. Nagar
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 771 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2021-10-13
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9789811627125

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Soft Computing for Problem Solving by Aruna Tiwari,Kapil Ahuja,Anupam Yadav,Jagdish Chand Bansal,Kusum Deep,Atulya K. Nagar Pdf

This two-volume book provides an insight into the 10th International Conference on Soft Computing for Problem Solving (SocProS 2020). This international conference is a joint technical collaboration of Soft Computing Research Society and Indian Institute of Technology Indore. The book presents the latest achievements and innovations in the interdisciplinary areas of soft computing. It brings together the researchers, engineers and practitioners to discuss thought-provoking developments and challenges, in order to select potential future directions. It covers original research papers in the areas including but not limited to algorithms (artificial immune system, artificial neural network, genetic algorithm, genetic programming and particle swarm optimization) and applications (control systems, data mining and clustering, finance, weather forecasting, game theory, business and forecasting applications). The book will be beneficial for young as well as experienced researchers dealing across complex and intricate real-world problems for which finding a solution by traditional methods is a difficult task.

Author : Pandey, Rajiv,Gupta, Amrit,Pandey, Agnivesh
Publisher : IGI Global
Page : 358 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2022-09-23
Category : Medical
ISBN : 9781668435342

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The Internet of Medical Things (IoMT) and Telemedicine Frameworks and Applications by Pandey, Rajiv,Gupta, Amrit,Pandey, Agnivesh Pdf

The internet of medical things provides significant advantages for the well-being of society by increasing the quality of life and reducing medical expenses. An important step towards a smart healthcare system is to utilize the potential of existing technologies in order to deliver the best services to users and improve their circumstances. With the help of internet of medical things technologies, self-care and early diagnosis are influential services in strengthening the healthcare ecosystem, especially those which utilize remote monitoring systems. The Internet of Medical Things (IoMT) and Telemedicine Frameworks and Applications focuses on the role of artificial intelligence, the internet of medical things, and telemedicine as well as the advantages and challenges that can occur from the integration of these technologies. The book also evolves methodologies to develop frameworks for the integration of the internet of medical things and telemedicine. Covering topics such as remote healthcare, medical imaging, and data science, this reference work is ideal for researchers, academicians, scholars, practitioners, instructors, and students.

Author : International Monetary,International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 38 pages
File Size : 48,5 Mb
Release : 2022-04-07
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9798400205972

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Jordan: Technical Assistance Report-Forecasting Framework for Currency in Circulation by International Monetary,International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department Pdf

The currency in circulation forecasting model presently used by the Central Bank of Jordan is aligned with international practices and provides a solid basis for liquidity management. The central bank uses an Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model with many indicator variables to model binary seasonality and to capture special events. The ARIMA model is fitted on daily currency in circulation data using a standard maximum likelihood estimator. This ARIMA approach is aligned with the models traditionally used by central banks in emerging and middle-income countries.

Author : International Monetary,International Monetary Fund. Office of Internal Audit
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 80 pages
File Size : 43,5 Mb
Release : 2021-11-30
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781616356187

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Eleventh Periodic Monitoring Report on The Status of Management Implementation Plans In Response To Board-Endorsed IEO Recommendations by International Monetary,International Monetary Fund. Office of Internal Audit Pdf

The Eleventh Periodic Monitoring Report (PMR) on the Status of Management Implementation Plans (MIPs) in Response to Board-Endorsed Independent Evaluation Office (IEO) Recommendations assessed the progress made over the past 18 months on 72 actions contained in 10 MIPs. Significant progress has been made with the implementation of management actions, despite challenges that have arisen from the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Overall, 29 of the 72 actions for which implementation progress is assessed in the Eleventh PMR were deemed to have been satisfactorily implemented, while 35 remain open, and eight actions are being reformulated in line with the Board-approved triage framework for long-standing open actions. Despite the effect of reprioritization to make space for the urgent needs of the membership resulting from the pandemic, the pace of implementation observed in the Eleventh PMR, with the 29 actions closed, significantly exceeds the previous trend of about 15 implemented actions per year. Of the 35 open actions, 16 are more than one year past their implementation due dates. The reprioritization of activities owing to the COVID-19 pandemic and resource constraints on account of several years of flat budgets led to delays in the implementation of several actions, partly because of the postponement of important reviews.

Author : Rik Das,Sudarshan Nandy,Siddhartha Bhattacharyya
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 219 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 2021-09-28
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781000414691

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Disruptive Trends in Computer Aided Diagnosis by Rik Das,Sudarshan Nandy,Siddhartha Bhattacharyya Pdf

An integrated interdisciplinary approach to address complex computer aided diagnosis problems and limitations. Elucidates a rich summary of the state-of-the-art tools and techniques related to automated detection and diagnosis of life threatening diseases including pandemics. Machine learning and deep learning methodologies on evolving accurate and precise early detection and medical diagnosis systems. Information presented in an accessible way for students, researchers and medical practitioners.

Author : Silvia L. Fotea,Ioan Ş. Fotea,Sebastian Văduva
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 431 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 2022-10-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783031094217

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Post-Pandemic Realities and Growth in Eastern Europe by Silvia L. Fotea,Ioan Ş. Fotea,Sebastian Văduva Pdf

As the COVID-19 crisis comes to an end, leaders, organizations, and governments have to develop a “new normal” for doing business with a focus on protecting the environment, integrating new technologies and adapting to new social changes. Based on empirical studies and conceptual contributions from researchers and practitioners presented at the Griffiths School of Management & IT’s 12th Annual Conference on Business, Entrepreneurship and Ethics (GSMAC), this proceedings volume provides a multifaceted perspective on the impact and effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on various public and private systems including education, business organizations and consumer behavior. In particular, this book explores the impact of the pandemic on remote work and employee health, sustainable development, and economic growth, among others. It also highlights the role of data analysis in understanding trends, opportunities, and challenges in the above systems.

Author : Faruk Balli,Au Yong Hui Nee,Sikandar Ali Qalati
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 1691 pages
File Size : 54,9 Mb
Release : 2022-12-28
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9789464630527

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Proceedings of the 2022 International Conference on Economics, Smart Finance and Contemporary Trade (ESFCT 2022) by Faruk Balli,Au Yong Hui Nee,Sikandar Ali Qalati Pdf

This is an open access book. As a leading role in the global megatrend of scientific innovation, China has been creating a more and more open environment for scientific innovation, increasing the depth and breadth of academic cooperation, and building a community of innovation that benefits all. Such endeavors are making new contributions to the globalization and creating a community of shared future. To adapt to this changing world and China's fast development in the new era, The 2022 International Conference on Economics, Smart Finance and Contemporary Trade to be held in July 2022. This conference takes "bringing together global wisdom in scientific innovation to promote high-quality development" as the theme and focuses on cutting-edge research fields including Economics, Smart Finance and Contemporary Trade. This conference aims to boost development of the Greater Bay Area, expand channels of international academic exchange in science and technology, build a sharing platform of academic resources, promote scientific innovation on the global scale, strengthen academic cooperation between China and the outside world, enhance development of new energy and materials and IT, AI, and biomedicine industries. It also aims to encourage exchange of information on frontiers of research in different areas, connect the most advanced academic resources in China and the world, turn research results into industrial solutions, and bring together talents, technologies and capital to boost development.

Author : Wei Ge,Pieter Van Gelder,Xihui Gu
Publisher : Frontiers Media SA
Page : 189 pages
File Size : 51,6 Mb
Release : 2023-12-27
Category : Science
ISBN : 9782832541609

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Risk Assessment and Management of Water Conservancy Projects by Wei Ge,Pieter Van Gelder,Xihui Gu Pdf

Author : Jiří Mikyška,Clélia de Mulatier,Maciej Paszynski,Valeria V. Krzhizhanovskaya,Jack J. Dongarra,Peter M.A. Sloot
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 702 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2023-06-27
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9783031360244

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Computational Science – ICCS 2023 by Jiří Mikyška,Clélia de Mulatier,Maciej Paszynski,Valeria V. Krzhizhanovskaya,Jack J. Dongarra,Peter M.A. Sloot Pdf

The five-volume set LNCS 14073-14077 constitutes the proceedings of the 23rd International Conference on Computational Science, ICCS 2023, held in Prague, Czech Republic, during July 3-5, 2023. The total of 188 full papers and 94 short papers presented in this book set were carefully reviewed and selected from 530 submissions. 54 full and 37 short papers were accepted to the main track; 134 full and 57 short papers were accepted to the workshops/thematic tracks. The theme for 2023, "Computation at the Cutting Edge of Science", highlights the role of Computational Science in assisting multidisciplinary research. This conference was a unique event focusing on recent developments in scalable scientific algorithms, advanced software tools; computational grids; advanced numerical methods; and novel application areas. These innovative novel models, algorithms, and tools drive new science through efficient application in physical systems, computational and systems biology, environmental systems, finance, and others.