An Alternative Scenario For The Reunification Of Korea

Author : Steve A. Fondacaro
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 50 pages
File Size : 55,6 Mb
Release : 1997
Category : China
ISBN : OSU:32435064795362

Get Book

An Alternative Scenario for the Reunification of Korea by Steve A. Fondacaro Pdf

This paper predicts an alternate scenario to Korean reunification to those currently being discussed in and out of South Korea. Much of what has been written discusses the demise of the present North Korean government along a spectrum of turbulence, from gradual decay to violent implosion. The predicted results also vary from peaceful absorption by the South Korean government to a 'war of desperation' scenario precipitated by the decaying Northern regime in a last ditch effort to retain power. This paper explores a scenario where the two Koreas end up as secondary players in the future of the Korean peninsula. The primary regional actor to emerge will be China. As the ascendant regional power, China will shape events on the Korean Peninsula to fit its own future vision of Northeast Asia. It is further proposed that this Chinese vision will seek to maintain the peaceful division of North and South Korea in the short term (10 to 20 years) following the demise of the present North Korean government. China is seen, in this scenario, as moving unilaterally, on the basis of long-standing agreements with North Korea, into North Korea as the government implodes. It is in the Chinese interest to prevent the uncontrolled rise of a new, potentially powerful reunified Korean regional competitor. Additionally, China will seek to minimize United States' influence in the region, For obvious historical, military and economic reasons, the Japanese desire to maintain the geopolitical and economic status quo will cause them to play a supporting role in the Chinese effort. This move, together with its predictable control of the Spratly Islands oil and natural gas reserves, an already powerful military, and rapidly growing economy, will put China in a position to much more effectively influence the future of the region.

Author : Jonathan D. Pollack,Chung Min Lee
Publisher : RAND Corporation
Page : 126 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 1999
Category : History
ISBN : UOM:39015048595527

Get Book

Preparing for Korean Unification by Jonathan D. Pollack,Chung Min Lee Pdf

This study examines four alternative scenarios that would result in the unification of the Korean peninsula. The authors describe the defining characteristics of each scenario, potential indicators that would predict specific outcomes, some possible variations in paths to unification, and some operational implications for the U.S. Army under different conditions and circumstances. The four scenarios (peaceful unification, collapse and absorption, unification through armed conflict, and disequilibrium and external intervention) highlight both the increasing vulnerabilities of the North Korean state and the substantial uncertainties that attach to each outcome and to the potential U.S. policy respones.

Author : David Coghlan
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 36 pages
File Size : 49,9 Mb
Release : 2008
Category : Korea
ISBN : UFL:31262081067794

Get Book

Prospects from Korean Reunification by David Coghlan Pdf

Author : Adam B. Lowther
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 189 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2013-08-28
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781040077719

Get Book

The Asia-Pacific Century by Adam B. Lowther Pdf

When Secretary of State Hillary Clinton published "America's Pacific Century" in Foreign Policy magazine in November 2011, the administration was clearly indicating to domestic and international audiences that the United States is beginning a pivot toward the Asia-Pacific. Clinton's article served as a spark for renewed interest in the nation's Asi

Author : Korea Institute for National Unification (South Korea),Kyuryoon Kim, Jae-Jeok Park
Publisher : 길잡이미디어
Page : 304 pages
File Size : 41,8 Mb
Release : 2013-11-21
Category : Economic forecasting
ISBN : 9788984796751

Get Book

Korean Peninsula Division/Unification by Korea Institute for National Unification (South Korea),Kyuryoon Kim, Jae-Jeok Park Pdf

This book analyzes the cost of division that the four powers must bear as well as the benefits of nification they will acquire. There has been much research on the same topic, but mostly done from the perspective of Korean scholars. However, this book provides perspectives of scholars from each of the four states as well as Asia-Pacific region. This book is part of an ongoing effort by KINU to strengthen South Korea’s unification diplomacy. This book is divided into 10 chapters. Chapter 1-8 analyze the cost of division and the benefits of unification from the security and economic perspective of the United States, Japan, China, and Russia. Chapter 9 and 10 look at the bigger picture by discussing the division cost and benefits of unification from the standpoint of the Asia-Pacific region as a whole. Based on the analyses of the chapters, the conclusion chapter examines the similarities and differences of the division cost that the four powers must bear as well as the benefits they will obtain. Introduction The Costs of Division and the Benefits of Unification for the Four Northeast Asian Powers/ Kook-Shin Kim, Jae-Jeok Park Chapter 1 The Costs of Korean Division and the Benefits of Korean Unification for U.S. National Security/ Kongdan Katy Oh Chapter 2 Economic Implications for the United States of the Divided Korean Peninsula/ William B. Brown Chapter 3 Korean Peninsula Division/Unification and China : From the Security Perspective of China/ Ming Liu Chapter 4 Korean Peninsula Division/Unification and China : From the Economic Perspective of China/ Jiyoung Zheng,Jianzhong Jiang Chapter 5 Korean Peninsula Division/Unification : From the Security Perspective of Japan/ Tomohiko Satake Chapter 6 Costs and Benefits of Korean Unification for Japan : Political and Economic Perspectives/ Sachio Nakato Chapter 7 Korean Peninsula Division/Unification and Russia : From the Security Perspective of Russia/ Leonid Petrov Chapter 8 Korean Peninsula Division/Unification and Russia : From the Economic Perspective of Russia/ Alexander Fedorovskiy Chapter 9 Korean Peninsula Division/Unification and Security Order in the Asia-Pacific Region/ Thomas S. Wilkins Chapter 10 Korean Peninsula Unification : Opportunities and Challenges to Asia-Pacific Economies/ Jeffrey Robertson

Author : Adam Lowther
Publisher : Government Printing Office
Page : 294 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 2013
Category : Asia
ISBN : 1585662240

Get Book

The Asia-Pacific Century by Adam Lowther Pdf

When Secretary of State Hillary Clinton published "America's Pacific Century" in Foreign Policy magazine in November 2011, the administration was clearly indicating to domestic and international audiences that the United States is beginning a pivot toward the Asia-Pacific. Clinton's article served as a spark for renewed interest in the nation's Asi.

Author : Kongdan Oh,Ralph C. Hassig
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 261 pages
File Size : 43,7 Mb
Release : 2016-09-16
Category : History
ISBN : 9781315290751

Get Book

Korea Briefing by Kongdan Oh,Ralph C. Hassig Pdf

This new edition of Korea Briefing provides a timely analysis of the evolving relationship between South and North Korea. In June 2000, after years of ignoring the South Korean government, the North Korean leader Kim Jong II finally agreed to a summit meeting with South Korea's President Kim Dae Jung. As a sign of reconciliation, the summit meeting has prompted Korea and its neighbors to rethink the assumptions of the Cold War era. With contributions by a multi-national panel of Koreanexperts, the book discusses a wide range of topics, including South Korean politics and economy; Korea's relations with its neighbors and with the United States; recent changes in North Korea; the fate of North Korean defectors; and lessons in German reunification for the two Koreas. The discussions are supplemented by a glossary, a chronology of events occurring from June 1999 to June 2001, and a bibliography.

Author : Harry Ward Richardson,Chang-Hee Christine Bae
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
Page : 276 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 2011-01-01
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781849805797

Get Book

Regional and Urban Policy and Planning on the Korean Peninsula by Harry Ward Richardson,Chang-Hee Christine Bae Pdf

The potential for reunification of the two Koreas, whether in the short or long term, argues for a comprehensive look at policy and planning issues that encompass the peninsula as a whole. This book deals with spatial policy issues in both South and North Korea in a broad and non-political way. Part one deals with South Korea, examining cultural changes, the capital city of Seoul, Greenbelt policy, the balanced national (regional) development strategy, and the new mega-regional approach. Part two delves into aspects of development in North Korea, such as the limitations of national statistics, the marketization of the economy, integration with the rest of North East Asia, and the need for a spatial infrastructure strategy. Part three examines the case for reunification in the interests of both the South and North. It argues that a transitional approach would be less costly and less risky than sudden reunification primarily via an early strategy of shifting more capital to the North and later by moderating migration flows to the South. The book also examines whether the capital should remain in Seoul or be relocated elsewhere should reunification occur. Professors, students and public policy officials in the fields of Asian studies, regional economics and planning, urban studies and political science and any reader interested in the future of Korea will find this book very current and enlightening.

Author : Victor D. Cha
Publisher : CSIS Reports
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2014
Category : Korea (North)
ISBN : 1442240490

Get Book

Korean Unification in a New Era by Victor D. Cha Pdf

In light of growing discussion about the future of the Korean peninsula, the CSIS Korea Chair held a major conference featuring senior-level policy and scholarly discussions on the topic of unification, and this report provides a record of that conference. It was a landmark event addressing economic, business, political, and security opportunities of unification, and it was cohosted with the National Research Council for Economics, Humanities and Social Sciences (NRCS) of the Republic of Korea and a consortium of other institutions.

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 706 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2007
Category : Korea (North)
ISBN : STANFORD:36105213166296

Get Book

International Journal of Korean Unification Studies by Anonim Pdf

Author : Andrei Lankov
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 350 pages
File Size : 42,5 Mb
Release : 2015
Category : History
ISBN : 9780199390038

Get Book

The Real North Korea by Andrei Lankov Pdf

In The Real North Korea, Lankov substitutes cold, clear analysis for the overheated rhetoric surrounding this opaque police state. Based on vast expertise, this book reveals how average North Koreans live, how their leaders rule, and how both survive

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 152 pages
File Size : 53,5 Mb
Release : 2002
Category : East Asia
ISBN : UIUC:30112060531636

Get Book

Northeast Asia Regional Security and the United States Military by Anonim Pdf

This is the 47th volume in the Occasional Paper series of the United States Air Force Institute for National Security Studies (INSS). Among its many contributions to United States security, two noted repositories of strategic expertise within the United States Army are its foreign area officer cadre and the Department of Social Sciences faculty at the United States Military Academy. This collection of papers on Northeast Asian regional security taps the combined strength of both; its authors are four Army officers with demonstrated regional expertise, all currently or formerly assigned to West Point's Department of Social Sciences. The combined set of papers covers a broad and relevant swath of territory, both geographic and conceptual. The first paper, by Jay Parker, addresses the regional security context with special emphasis on that strategic landscape as viewed from the perspective of Japanese security and the United States' role both in Japanese security and within the broader region. Sue Bryant then fits the Korean peninsula into that regional security context, adding special emphasis on the Korean road toward unification and on the continuing U.S. military presence in Korea both for peninsular and regional security reasons. Finally, Russ Howard and Al Wilner add China to the mix and also add the third level of analysis -- their focus is on post September 11, 2001 issues and opportunities, and the specific military-to-military dimension of the United States' overall military presence and policy. Together, the papers cover the region as well as policy recommendations from macro U.S. security and military policy, to force presence, to the significant roles of individual service members.

Author : Wonmo Dong
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 304 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 2016-07-08
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781315500676

Get Book

The Two Koreas and the United States by Wonmo Dong Pdf

As Korea enters a hopeful new chapter in its history, this timely book, with contributions by distinguished experts in the field, addresses the fragility of the political, economic, and military balance within the two Koreas and in Northeast Asia. It provides in-depth analysis of the principal factors that gave rise to the persisting Cold War on the Korean peninsula, and successfully unravels many aspects of the complicated domestic and economic dynamics of the two Koreas, the patterns of relationship between the two rival states, as well as their changing relationships with the United States and other major powers.

Author : Tsuneo Akaha
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 191 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2013-04-15
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781134534074

Get Book

The Future of North Korea by Tsuneo Akaha Pdf

This volume explores the possibility of North Korea's'soft-landing' as the most desirable outcome on the Korean Peninsula. The collection of essays by noted students of Asian security examines the perspectives and interests of North and South Korea, the United States, China, Russia and Japan regarding North Korea's future, including the possibility of its neutrality.

Author : Young Whan Kihl
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 422 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 2015-03-26
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781317453321

Get Book

Transforming Korean Politics by Young Whan Kihl Pdf

Over the past fifteen years, South Korea has transformed itself from an authoritarian government into a new democracy with a vibrant capitalist economy. Modernization, democratization, and globalization have played important roles in this transformation, and have greatly influenced the programs and policies of Korea's Sixth Republic. Covering developments through the 2003 elections, this book shows how the South Korean government and society have been shaped not only by the dynamics of these forces, but also by their interaction with the cultural norms of a post-Confucian society. The author provides a conceptual framework and baseline for examining political developments in Korea, and offers an analysis of the factors that are transforming Korean institutions, society, and politics. He discusses the forces shaping Korea's political economy and the performance of successive ROK governments, and also highlights the challenges faced by the newly elected administration of Roh Moo Huan, the North Korean issue, and more.