Bayesian Statistics For The Social Sciences

Author : David Kaplan
Publisher : Guilford Publications
Page : 275 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2023-10-02
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781462553556

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Bayesian Statistics for the Social Sciences by David Kaplan Pdf

The second edition of this practical book equips social science researchers to apply the latest Bayesian methodologies to their data analysis problems. It includes new chapters on model uncertainty, Bayesian variable selection and sparsity, and Bayesian workflow for statistical modeling. Clearly explaining frequentist and epistemic probability and prior distributions, the second edition emphasizes use of the open-source RStan software package. The text covers Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, Bayesian linear regression and generalized linear models, model evaluation and comparison, multilevel modeling, models for continuous and categorical latent variables, missing data, and more. Concepts are fully illustrated with worked-through examples from large-scale educational and social science databases, such as the Program for International Student Assessment and the Early Childhood Longitudinal Study. Annotated RStan code appears in screened boxes; the companion website (www.guilford.com/kaplan-materials) provides data sets and code for the book's examples. New to This Edition *Utilizes the R interface to Stan--faster and more stable than previously available Bayesian software--for most of the applications discussed. *Coverage of Hamiltonian MC; Cromwell’s rule; Jeffreys' prior; the LKJ prior for correlation matrices; model evaluation and model comparison, with a critique of the Bayesian information criterion; variational Bayes as an alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling; and other new topics. *Chapters on Bayesian variable selection and sparsity, model uncertainty and model averaging, and Bayesian workflow for statistical modeling.

Author : Simon Jackman
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 598 pages
File Size : 51,8 Mb
Release : 2009-10-27
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 0470686634

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Bayesian Analysis for the Social Sciences by Simon Jackman Pdf

Bayesian methods are increasingly being used in the social sciences, as the problems encountered lend themselves so naturally to the subjective qualities of Bayesian methodology. This book provides an accessible introduction to Bayesian methods, tailored specifically for social science students. It contains lots of real examples from political science, psychology, sociology, and economics, exercises in all chapters, and detailed descriptions of all the key concepts, without assuming any background in statistics beyond a first course. It features examples of how to implement the methods using WinBUGS – the most-widely used Bayesian analysis software in the world – and R – an open-source statistical software. The book is supported by a Website featuring WinBUGS and R code, and data sets.

Author : David Kaplan
Publisher : Guilford Publications
Page : 274 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2023-11-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781462553549

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Bayesian Statistics for the Social Sciences by David Kaplan Pdf

"Since the publication of the first edition, Bayesian statistics is, arguably, still not the norm in the formal quantitative methods training of social scientists. Typically, the only introduction that a student might have to Bayesian ideas is a brief overview of Bayes' theorem while studying probability in an introductory statistics class. This is not surprising. First, until relatively recently, it was not feasible to conduct statistical modeling from a Bayesian perspective owing to its complexity and lack of available software. Second, Bayesian statistics represents a powerful alternative to frequentist (conventional) statistics and, therefore, can be controversial, especially in the context of null hypothesis significance testing. However, over the last 20 years, or so, considerably progress has been made in the development and application of complex Bayesian statistical methods, due mostly to developments and availability of proprietary and open-source statistical software tools. And, although Bayesian statistics is not quite yet an integral part of the quantitative training of social scientists, there has been increasing interest in the application of Bayesian methods, and it is not unreasonable to say that in terms of theoretical developments and substantive applications, Bayesian statistics has arrived. Because of extensive developments in Bayesian theory and computation since the publication of the first edition of this book, there was a pressing need for a thorough update of the material to reflect new developments in Bayesian methodology and software. The basic foundations of Bayesian statistics remain more or less the same, but this second edition encompasses many new extensions"--

Author : Ivan Jeliazkov,Xin-She Yang
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 352 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2014-11-04
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781118771129

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Bayesian Inference in the Social Sciences by Ivan Jeliazkov,Xin-She Yang Pdf

Presents new models, methods, and techniques and considers important real-world applications in political science, sociology, economics, marketing, and finance Emphasizing interdisciplinary coverage, Bayesian Inference in the Social Sciences builds upon the recent growth in Bayesian methodology and examines an array of topics in model formulation, estimation, and applications. The book presents recent and trending developments in a diverse, yet closely integrated, set of research topics within the social sciences and facilitates the transmission of new ideas and methodology across disciplines while maintaining manageability, coherence, and a clear focus. Bayesian Inference in the Social Sciences features innovative methodology and novel applications in addition to new theoretical developments and modeling approaches, including the formulation and analysis of models with partial observability, sample selection, and incomplete data. Additional areas of inquiry include a Bayesian derivation of empirical likelihood and method of moment estimators, and the analysis of treatment effect models with endogeneity. The book emphasizes practical implementation, reviews and extends estimation algorithms, and examines innovative applications in a multitude of fields. Time series techniques and algorithms are discussed for stochastic volatility, dynamic factor, and time-varying parameter models. Additional features include: Real-world applications and case studies that highlight asset pricing under fat-tailed distributions, price indifference modeling and market segmentation, analysis of dynamic networks, ethnic minorities and civil war, school choice effects, and business cycles and macroeconomic performance State-of-the-art computational tools and Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms with related materials available via the book’s supplemental website Interdisciplinary coverage from well-known international scholars and practitioners Bayesian Inference in the Social Sciences is an ideal reference for researchers in economics, political science, sociology, and business as well as an excellent resource for academic, government, and regulation agencies. The book is also useful for graduate-level courses in applied econometrics, statistics, mathematical modeling and simulation, numerical methods, computational analysis, and the social sciences.

Author : Jeff Gill
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 696 pages
File Size : 50,8 Mb
Release : 2007-11-26
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781584885627

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Bayesian Methods by Jeff Gill Pdf

The first edition of Bayesian Methods: A Social and Behavioral Sciences Approach helped pave the way for Bayesian approaches to become more prominent in social science methodology. While the focus remains on practical modeling and basic theory as well as on intuitive explanations and derivations without skipping steps, this second edition incorporates the latest methodology and recent changes in software offerings. New to the Second Edition Two chapters on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) that cover ergodicity, convergence, mixing, simulated annealing, reversible jump MCMC, and coupling Expanded coverage of Bayesian linear and hierarchical models More technical and philosophical details on prior distributions A dedicated R package (BaM) with data and code for the examples as well as a set of functions for practical purposes such as calculating highest posterior density (HPD) intervals Requiring only a basic working knowledge of linear algebra and calculus, this text is one of the few to offer a graduate-level introduction to Bayesian statistics for social scientists. It first introduces Bayesian statistics and inference, before moving on to assess model quality and fit. Subsequent chapters examine hierarchical models within a Bayesian context and explore MCMC techniques and other numerical methods. Concentrating on practical computing issues, the author includes specific details for Bayesian model building and testing and uses the R and BUGS software for examples and exercises.

Author : Scott M. Lynch
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 376 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2007-06-30
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9780387712659

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Introduction to Applied Bayesian Statistics and Estimation for Social Scientists by Scott M. Lynch Pdf

This book outlines Bayesian statistical analysis in great detail, from the development of a model through the process of making statistical inference. The key feature of this book is that it covers models that are most commonly used in social science research - including the linear regression model, generalized linear models, hierarchical models, and multivariate regression models - and it thoroughly develops each real-data example in painstaking detail.

Author : Lawrence D. Phillips
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 472 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 1974
Category : Bayesian statistical decision theory
ISBN : UCAL:B5000270

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Bayesian Statistics for Social Scientists by Lawrence D. Phillips Pdf

Author : Therese M. Donovan,Ruth M. Mickey
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
Page : 430 pages
File Size : 46,8 Mb
Release : 2019
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780198841296

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Bayesian Statistics for Beginners by Therese M. Donovan,Ruth M. Mickey Pdf

This is an entry-level book on Bayesian statistics written in a casual, and conversational tone. The authors walk a reader through many sample problems step-by-step to provide those with little background in math or statistics with the vocabulary, notation, and understanding of the calculations used in many Bayesian problems.

Author : Richard A. Chechile
Publisher : MIT Press
Page : 473 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2020-09-08
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780262044585

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Bayesian Statistics for Experimental Scientists by Richard A. Chechile Pdf

An introduction to the Bayesian approach to statistical inference that demonstrates its superiority to orthodox frequentist statistical analysis. This book offers an introduction to the Bayesian approach to statistical inference, with a focus on nonparametric and distribution-free methods. It covers not only well-developed methods for doing Bayesian statistics but also novel tools that enable Bayesian statistical analyses for cases that previously did not have a full Bayesian solution. The book's premise is that there are fundamental problems with orthodox frequentist statistical analyses that distort the scientific process. Side-by-side comparisons of Bayesian and frequentist methods illustrate the mismatch between the needs of experimental scientists in making inferences from data and the properties of the standard tools of classical statistics. The book first covers elementary probability theory, the binomial model, the multinomial model, and methods for comparing different experimental conditions or groups. It then turns its focus to distribution-free statistics that are based on having ranked data, examining data from experimental studies and rank-based correlative methods. Each chapter includes exercises that help readers achieve a more complete understanding of the material. The book devotes considerable attention not only to the linkage of statistics to practices in experimental science but also to the theoretical foundations of statistics. Frequentist statistical practices often violate their own theoretical premises. The beauty of Bayesian statistics, readers will learn, is that it is an internally coherent system of scientific inference that can be proved from probability theory.

Author : Andrew Gelman,John B. Carlin,Hal S. Stern,David B. Dunson,Aki Vehtari,Donald B. Rubin
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 677 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2013-11-01
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781439840955

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Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition by Andrew Gelman,John B. Carlin,Hal S. Stern,David B. Dunson,Aki Vehtari,Donald B. Rubin Pdf

Now in its third edition, this classic book is widely considered the leading text on Bayesian methods, lauded for its accessible, practical approach to analyzing data and solving research problems. Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition continues to take an applied approach to analysis using up-to-date Bayesian methods. The authors—all leaders in the statistics community—introduce basic concepts from a data-analytic perspective before presenting advanced methods. Throughout the text, numerous worked examples drawn from real applications and research emphasize the use of Bayesian inference in practice. New to the Third Edition Four new chapters on nonparametric modeling Coverage of weakly informative priors and boundary-avoiding priors Updated discussion of cross-validation and predictive information criteria Improved convergence monitoring and effective sample size calculations for iterative simulation Presentations of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, variational Bayes, and expectation propagation New and revised software code The book can be used in three different ways. For undergraduate students, it introduces Bayesian inference starting from first principles. For graduate students, the text presents effective current approaches to Bayesian modeling and computation in statistics and related fields. For researchers, it provides an assortment of Bayesian methods in applied statistics. Additional materials, including data sets used in the examples, solutions to selected exercises, and software instructions, are available on the book’s web page.

Author : Ben Lambert
Publisher : SAGE
Page : 744 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2018-04-20
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781526418265

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A Student’s Guide to Bayesian Statistics by Ben Lambert Pdf

Supported by a wealth of learning features, exercises, and visual elements as well as online video tutorials and interactive simulations, this book is the first student-focused introduction to Bayesian statistics. Without sacrificing technical integrity for the sake of simplicity, the author draws upon accessible, student-friendly language to provide approachable instruction perfectly aimed at statistics and Bayesian newcomers. Through a logical structure that introduces and builds upon key concepts in a gradual way and slowly acclimatizes students to using R and Stan software, the book covers: An introduction to probability and Bayesian inference Understanding Bayes′ rule Nuts and bolts of Bayesian analytic methods Computational Bayes and real-world Bayesian analysis Regression analysis and hierarchical methods This unique guide will help students develop the statistical confidence and skills to put the Bayesian formula into practice, from the basic concepts of statistical inference to complex applications of analyses.

Author : Sumio Watanabe
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 331 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2018-04-27
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781482238082

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Mathematical Theory of Bayesian Statistics by Sumio Watanabe Pdf

Mathematical Theory of Bayesian Statistics introduces the mathematical foundation of Bayesian inference which is well-known to be more accurate in many real-world problems than the maximum likelihood method. Recent research has uncovered several mathematical laws in Bayesian statistics, by which both the generalization loss and the marginal likelihood are estimated even if the posterior distribution cannot be approximated by any normal distribution. Features Explains Bayesian inference not subjectively but objectively. Provides a mathematical framework for conventional Bayesian theorems. Introduces and proves new theorems. Cross validation and information criteria of Bayesian statistics are studied from the mathematical point of view. Illustrates applications to several statistical problems, for example, model selection, hyperparameter optimization, and hypothesis tests. This book provides basic introductions for students, researchers, and users of Bayesian statistics, as well as applied mathematicians. Author Sumio Watanabe is a professor of Department of Mathematical and Computing Science at Tokyo Institute of Technology. He studies the relationship between algebraic geometry and mathematical statistics.

Author : Stanislav Kolenikov,Lori Thombs,Douglas Steinley
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 222 pages
File Size : 42,5 Mb
Release : 2010-02-22
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780470583326

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Statistics in the Social Sciences by Stanislav Kolenikov,Lori Thombs,Douglas Steinley Pdf

A one-of-a-kind compilation of modern statistical methods designed to support and advance research across the social sciences Statistics in the Social Sciences: Current Methodological Developments presents new and exciting statistical methodologies to help advance research and data analysis across the many disciplines in the social sciences. Quantitative methods in various subfields, from psychology to economics, are under demand for constant development and refinement. This volume features invited overview papers, as well as original research presented at the Sixth Annual Winemiller Conference: Methodological Developments of Statistics in the Social Sciences, an international meeting that focused on fostering collaboration among mathematical statisticians and social science researchers. The book provides an accessible and insightful look at modern approaches to identifying and describing current, effective methodologies that ultimately add value to various fields of social science research. With contributions from leading international experts on the topic, the book features in-depth coverage of modern quantitative social sciences topics, including: Correlation Structures Structural Equation Models and Recent Extensions Order-Constrained Proximity Matrix Representations Multi-objective and Multi-dimensional Scaling Differences in Bayesian and Non-Bayesian Inference Bootstrap Test of Shape Invariance across Distributions Statistical Software for the Social Sciences Statistics in the Social Sciences: Current Methodological Developments is an excellent supplement for graduate courses on social science statistics in both statistics departments and quantitative social sciences programs. It is also a valuable reference for researchers and practitioners in the fields of psychology, sociology, economics, and market research.

Author : Jeff Gill
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 689 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2014-12-11
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781439862490

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Bayesian Methods by Jeff Gill Pdf

An Update of the Most Popular Graduate-Level Introductions to Bayesian Statistics for Social ScientistsNow that Bayesian modeling has become standard, MCMC is well understood and trusted, and computing power continues to increase, Bayesian Methods: A Social and Behavioral Sciences Approach, Third Edition focuses more on implementation details of th

Author : T. Rajaretnam
Publisher : SAGE Publishing India
Page : 309 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 2015-12-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9789351506560

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Statistics for Social Sciences by T. Rajaretnam Pdf

A comprehensive guide to the practical applications of statistics in social sciences This book brings out the relevance of statistical tools and methods in social sciences. Describing the various statistical techniques, it highlights their purpose and application along with a brief overview on how to interpret results and draw inferences. Topical and up-to-date, it examines: • different types of statistical variables and their treatment • tabulation and graphical presentation of data • theoretical distributions and common parametric and non-parametric tests, including analysis of variance and correlation ratio • linear regression including checking for violation of assumptions, transformations of variables and predictions • inequality measures such as Lorenz curve, Gini coefficient, dissimilarity index and human development index among others. It will be indispensable for students and scholars of statistics, econometrics, psychology and those interested in the application of statistics in social sciences.