Bilinear Stochastic Models And Related Problems Of Nonlinear Time Series Analysis

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Bilinear Stochastic Models and Related Problems of Nonlinear Time Series Analysis

Author : György Terdik
Publisher : Springer
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 1999-07-30
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 0387988726

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Bilinear Stochastic Models and Related Problems of Nonlinear Time Series Analysis by György Terdik Pdf

"Ninety percent of inspiration is perspiration. " [31] The Wiener approach to nonlinear stochastic systems [146] permits the representation of single-valued systems with memory for which a small per turbation of the input produces a small perturbation of the output. The Wiener functional series representation contains many transfer functions to describe entirely the input-output connections. Although, theoretically, these representations are elegant, in practice it is not feasible to estimate all the finite-order transfer functions (or the kernels) from a finite sam ple. One of the most important classes of stochastic systems, especially from a statistical point of view, is the case when all the transfer functions are determined by finitely many parameters. Therefore, one has to seek a finite-parameter nonlinear model which can adequately represent non linearity in a series. Among the special classes of nonlinear models that have been studied are the bilinear processes, which have found applica tions both in econometrics and control theory; see, for example, Granger and Andersen [43] and Ruberti, et al. [4]. These bilinear processes are de fined to be linear in both input and output only, when either the input or output are fixed. The bilinear model was introduced by Granger and Andersen [43] and Subba Rao [118], [119]. Terdik [126] gave the solution of xii a lower triangular bilinear model in terms of multiple Wiener-It(') integrals and gave a sufficient condition for the second order stationarity. An impor tant.

Bilinear Stochastic Models and Related Problems of Nonlinear Time Series Analysis

Author : Gyorgy Terdik
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 284 pages
File Size : 49,6 Mb
Release : 1999-07-30
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1461215536

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Bilinear Stochastic Models and Related Problems of Nonlinear Time Series Analysis by Gyorgy Terdik Pdf

The object of the present work is a systematic statistical analysis of bilinear processes in the frequency domain. The first two chapters are devoted to the basic theory of nonlinear functions of stationary Gaussian processes, Hermite polynomials, cumulants and higher order spectra, multiple Wiener-ItA integrals and finally chaotic Wiener-ItA spectral representation of subordinated processes. There are two chapters for general nonlinear time series problems.

Bilinear Stochastic Models and Related Problems of Nonlinear Time Series Analysis

Author : György Terdik
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 275 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781461215523

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Bilinear Stochastic Models and Related Problems of Nonlinear Time Series Analysis by György Terdik Pdf

The object of the present work is a systematic statistical analysis of bilinear processes in the frequency domain. The first two chapters are devoted to the basic theory of nonlinear functions of stationary Gaussian processes, Hermite polynomials, cumulants and higher order spectra, multiple Wiener-Itô integrals and finally chaotic Wiener-Itô spectral representation of subordinated processes. There are two chapters for general nonlinear time series problems.

Nonlinear Time Series

Author : Jianqing Fan,Qiwei Yao
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 565 pages
File Size : 51,7 Mb
Release : 2008-09-11
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780387693958

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Nonlinear Time Series by Jianqing Fan,Qiwei Yao Pdf

This is the first book that integrates useful parametric and nonparametric techniques with time series modeling and prediction, the two important goals of time series analysis. Such a book will benefit researchers and practitioners in various fields such as econometricians, meteorologists, biologists, among others who wish to learn useful time series methods within a short period of time. The book also intends to serve as a reference or text book for graduate students in statistics and econometrics.

Stochastic Models for Time Series

Author : Paul Doukhan
Publisher : Springer
Page : 308 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 2018-04-17
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9783319769387

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Stochastic Models for Time Series by Paul Doukhan Pdf

This book presents essential tools for modelling non-linear time series. The first part of the book describes the main standard tools of probability and statistics that directly apply to the time series context to obtain a wide range of modelling possibilities. Functional estimation and bootstrap are discussed, and stationarity is reviewed. The second part describes a number of tools from Gaussian chaos and proposes a tour of linear time series models. It goes on to address nonlinearity from polynomial or chaotic models for which explicit expansions are available, then turns to Markov and non-Markov linear models and discusses Bernoulli shifts time series models. Finally, the volume focuses on the limit theory, starting with the ergodic theorem, which is seen as the first step for statistics of time series. It defines the distributional range to obtain generic tools for limit theory under long or short-range dependences (LRD/SRD) and explains examples of LRD behaviours. More general techniques (central limit theorems) are described under SRD; mixing and weak dependence are also reviewed. In closing, it describes moment techniques together with their relations to cumulant sums as well as an application to kernel type estimation.The appendix reviews basic probability theory facts and discusses useful laws stemming from the Gaussian laws as well as the basic principles of probability, and is completed by R-scripts used for the figures. Richly illustrated with examples and simulations, the book is recommended for advanced master courses for mathematicians just entering the field of time series, and statisticians who want more mathematical insights into the background of non-linear time series.

Elements of Nonlinear Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

Author : Jan G. De Gooijer
Publisher : Springer
Page : 618 pages
File Size : 50,7 Mb
Release : 2017-03-30
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9783319432526

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Elements of Nonlinear Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by Jan G. De Gooijer Pdf

This book provides an overview of the current state-of-the-art of nonlinear time series analysis, richly illustrated with examples, pseudocode algorithms and real-world applications. Avoiding a “theorem-proof” format, it shows concrete applications on a variety of empirical time series. The book can be used in graduate courses in nonlinear time series and at the same time also includes interesting material for more advanced readers. Though it is largely self-contained, readers require an understanding of basic linear time series concepts, Markov chains and Monte Carlo simulation methods. The book covers time-domain and frequency-domain methods for the analysis of both univariate and multivariate (vector) time series. It makes a clear distinction between parametric models on the one hand, and semi- and nonparametric models/methods on the other. This offers the reader the option of concentrating exclusively on one of these nonlinear time series analysis methods. To make the book as user friendly as possible, major supporting concepts and specialized tables are appended at the end of every chapter. In addition, each chapter concludes with a set of key terms and concepts, as well as a summary of the main findings. Lastly, the book offers numerous theoretical and empirical exercises, with answers provided by the author in an extensive solutions manual.

Non-Linear Time Series

Author : Kamil Feridun Turkman,Manuel González Scotto,Patrícia de Zea Bermudez
Publisher : Springer
Page : 245 pages
File Size : 42,6 Mb
Release : 2014-09-29
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9783319070285

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Non-Linear Time Series by Kamil Feridun Turkman,Manuel González Scotto,Patrícia de Zea Bermudez Pdf

This book offers a useful combination of probabilistic and statistical tools for analyzing nonlinear time series. Key features of the book include a study of the extremal behavior of nonlinear time series and a comprehensive list of nonlinear models that address different aspects of nonlinearity. Several inferential methods, including quasi likelihood methods, sequential Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods and particle filters, are also included so as to provide an overall view of the available tools for parameter estimation for nonlinear models. A chapter on integer time series models based on several thinning operations, which brings together all recent advances made in this area, is also included. Readers should have attended a prior course on linear time series, and a good grasp of simulation-based inferential methods is recommended. This book offers a valuable resource for second-year graduate students and researchers in statistics and other scientific areas who need a basic understanding of nonlinear time series.

Recent Developments in Nonlinear Cointegration with Applications to Macroeconomics and Finance

Author : Gilles Dufrénot,Valérie Mignon
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 319 pages
File Size : 49,6 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475736151

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Recent Developments in Nonlinear Cointegration with Applications to Macroeconomics and Finance by Gilles Dufrénot,Valérie Mignon Pdf

This book is an introductory exposition of different topics that emerged in the literature as unifying themes between two fields of econometrics of time series, namely nonlinearity and nonstationarity. Papers on these topics have exploded over the last two decades, but they are rarely ex amined together. There is, undoubtedly, a variety of arguments that justify such a separation. But there are also good reasons that motivate their combination. People who are reluctant to a combined analysis might argue that nonlinearity and nonstationarity enhance non-trivial problems, so their combination does not stimulate interest in regard to plausibly increased difficulties. This argument can, however, be balanced by other ones of an economic nature. A predominant idea, today, is that a nonstationary series exhibits persistent deviations from its long-run components (either deterministic or stochastic trends). These persistent deviations are modelized in various ways: unit root models, fractionally integrated processes, models with shifts in the time trend, etc. However, there are many other behaviors inherent to nonstationary processes, that are not reflected in linear models. For instance, economic variables with mixture distributions, or processes that are state-dependent, undergo episodes of changing dynamics. In models with multiple long-run equi libria, the moving from an equilibrium to another sometimes implies hys teresis. Also, it is known that certain shocks can change the economic fundamentals, thereby reducing the possibility that an initial position is re-established after a shock (irreversibility).

Probability Matching Priors: Higher Order Asymptotics

Author : Gauri Sankar Datta,Rahul Mukerjee
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 138 pages
File Size : 42,6 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781461220367

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Probability Matching Priors: Higher Order Asymptotics by Gauri Sankar Datta,Rahul Mukerjee Pdf

This is the first book on the topic of probability matching priors. It targets researchers, Bayesian and frequentist; graduate students in Statistics.

Estimation in Conditionally Heteroscedastic Time Series Models

Author : Daniel Straumann
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 239 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2006-01-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783540269786

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Estimation in Conditionally Heteroscedastic Time Series Models by Daniel Straumann Pdf

In his seminal 1982 paper, Robert F. Engle described a time series model with a time-varying volatility. Engle showed that this model, which he called ARCH (autoregressive conditionally heteroscedastic), is well-suited for the description of economic and financial price. Nowadays ARCH has been replaced by more general and more sophisticated models, such as GARCH (generalized autoregressive heteroscedastic). This monograph concentrates on mathematical statistical problems associated with fitting conditionally heteroscedastic time series models to data. This includes the classical statistical issues of consistency and limiting distribution of estimators. Particular attention is addressed to (quasi) maximum likelihood estimation and misspecified models, along to phenomena due to heavy-tailed innovations. The used methods are based on techniques applied to the analysis of stochastic recurrence equations. Proofs and arguments are given wherever possible in full mathematical rigour. Moreover, the theory is illustrated by examples and simulation studies.

Non-linear Time Series

Author : Howell Tong
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
Page : 592 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 1990
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : MINN:31951D00520332J

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Non-linear Time Series by Howell Tong Pdf

Written by an internationally recognized expert in the field, this book provides a valuable introduction to the rapidly growing area of non-linear time series. Because developments in the study of dynamical systems have motivated many of the advances discussed here, the author's coverage includes such fundamental concepts of dynamical systems theory as limit cycles, Lyapunov functions, thresholds, and stability, with detailed descriptions of their role in the analysis of non-linear time series data. As the first accessible and comprehensive account of these exciting new developments, this unique volume bridges the gap between linear and chaotic time series analysis. Both statisticians and dynamical systems theorists will value its survey of recent developments and the present state of research, as well as the discussion of a number of unsolved problems in the field.

Long-Range Dependence and Self-Similarity

Author : Vladas Pipiras,Murad S. Taqqu
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 693 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2017-04-18
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781107039469

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Long-Range Dependence and Self-Similarity by Vladas Pipiras,Murad S. Taqqu Pdf

A modern and rigorous introduction to long-range dependence and self-similarity, complemented by numerous more specialized up-to-date topics in this research area.

Weighted Empirical Processes in Dynamic Nonlinear Models

Author : Hira L. Koul
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 454 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 2002-06-13
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 0387954767

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Weighted Empirical Processes in Dynamic Nonlinear Models by Hira L. Koul Pdf

This book presents a unified approach for obtaining the limiting distributions of minimum distance. It discusses classes of goodness-of-t tests for fitting an error distribution in some of these models and/or fitting a regression-autoregressive function without assuming the knowledge of the error distribution. The main tool is the asymptotic equi-continuity of certain basic weighted residual empirical processes in the uniform and L2 metrics.

Advances in Directional and Linear Statistics

Author : Martin T. Wells,Ashis SenGupta
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 321 pages
File Size : 50,8 Mb
Release : 2010-11-04
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9783790826289

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Advances in Directional and Linear Statistics by Martin T. Wells,Ashis SenGupta Pdf

The present volume consists of papers written by students, colleagues and collaborators of Sreenivasa Rao Jammalamadaka from various countries, and covers a variety of research topics which he enjoys and contributed immensely to.

Measuring Business Cycles in Economic Time Series

Author : Regina Kaiser,Agustin Maravall
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 190 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781461301295

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Measuring Business Cycles in Economic Time Series by Regina Kaiser,Agustin Maravall Pdf

This book outlines and demonstrates problems with the use of the HP filter, and proposes an alternative strategy for inferring cyclical behavior from a time series featuring seasonal, trend, cyclical and noise components. The main innovation of the alternative strategy involves augmenting the series forecasts and back-casts obtained from an ARIMA model, and then applying the HP filter to the augmented series. Comparisons presented using artificial and actual data demonstrate the superiority of the alternative strategy.