Deterrence Theory And Chinese Behavior

Author : Abram N. Shulsky
Publisher : Rand Corporation
Page : 85 pages
File Size : 49,8 Mb
Release : 2000
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 0833028537

Get Book

Deterrence Theory and Chinese Behavior by Abram N. Shulsky Pdf

China's recent reforms have led to unprecedented economic growth; if this continues, China will be able to turn its great potential power into actual power. The result could be, in the very long term, the rise of China as a rival to the United States as the world's predominant power; in the nearer term, China could become a significant rival in the East Asian region. In this context, the issue for U.S. policy is how to handle a rising power, a problem that predominant powers have faced many times throughout history. It is the contention of this report that the future Sino-U.S. context will illustrate many of the problems of deterrence theory that have been discussed in recent decades; deterrence theory will be, in general, more difficult to apply than it was in the U.S.-Soviet Cold War context. The key may be to seek nonmilitary means of deterrence, i.e., diplomatic ways to manipulate the tension to China's disadvantage.

Author : Shu Guang Zhang
Publisher : Cornell University Press
Page : 328 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 1992
Category : History
ISBN : 0801427517

Get Book

Deterrence and Strategic Culture by Shu Guang Zhang Pdf

Does strategic thinking on the question of deterrence vary between cultures? Should practitioners assume a common understanding of deterrence regardless of national and cultural differences? Shu Guang Zhang takes on these questions by exploring Sino-American confrontations between 1949 and 1958. Zhang draws on recently declassified U.S. documents and previously inaccessible Chinese Communist Party records to demonstrate that the Chinese and the Americans had vastly different assessments of each other's intentions, interests, threats, strengths, and policies during this period.

Author : Avery Goldstein
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 356 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2000
Category : History
ISBN : 0804737363

Get Book

Deterrence and Security in the 21st Century by Avery Goldstein Pdf

Much recent writing about international politics understandably highlights the many changes that have followed from the collapse of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War. This book, by contrast, analyzes an important continuity that, the author argues, will characterize international strategic affairs well into the new century: nuclear deterrence will remain at the core of the security policies of the world's great powers and will continue to be an attractive option for many less powerful states worried about adversaries whose capabilities they cannot match. The central role of nuclear deterrence persists despite the advent of a new international system in which serious military threats are no longer obvious, the use of force is judged irrelevant to resolving most international disputes, and states' interests are increasingly defined in economic rather than military terms. Indeed, the author suggests why these changes may increase the appeal of nuclear deterrence in the coming decades. Beginning with a reconsideration of nuclear deterrence theory, the book takes issue with the usual emphasis on the need for invulnerable retaliatory forces and threats that leaders can rationally choose to carry out. The author explains why states, including badly outgunned states, can rely on nuclear deterrent strategies despite the difficulty they may face in deploying invulnerable forces and despite the implausibility of rationally carrying out their threats of retaliation. In the subsequent empirical analysis that examines the security policies of China, Britain, and France and taps recently declassified documents, the author suggests that the misleading standard view of what is oftentermed rational deterrence theory may well reflect the experience, or at least aspirations, of the Cold War superpowers more than the logic of deterrence itself. Case studies assessing the nuclear deterrent policies of China, B

Author : Krista Langeland,Derek Grossman
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 70 pages
File Size : 51,8 Mb
Release : 2022-04-30
Category : History
ISBN : 197740703X

Get Book

Tailoring Deterrence for China in Space by Krista Langeland,Derek Grossman Pdf

The authors examine the application of classical deterrence theory to the space domain and argue that to build a tailored deterrence strategy for China in space, China's own objectives should be considered.

Author : David C. Gompert
Publisher : Government Printing Office
Page : 236 pages
File Size : 55,7 Mb
Release : 2020
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 0160915732

Get Book

The Paradox of Power by David C. Gompert Pdf

The second half of the 20th century featured a strategic competition between the United States and the Soviet Union. That competition avoided World War III in part because during the 1950s, scholars like Henry Kissinger, Thomas Schelling, Herman Kahn, and Albert Wohlstetter analyzed the fundamental nature of nuclear deterrence. Decades of arms control negotiations reinforced these early notions of stability and created a mutual understanding that allowed U.S.-Soviet competition to proceed without armed conflict. The first half of the 21st century will be dominated by the relationship between the United States and China. That relationship is likely to contain elements of both cooperation and competition. Territorial disputes such as those over Taiwan and the South China Sea will be an important feature of this competition, but both are traditional disputes, and traditional solutions suggest themselves. A more difficult set of issues relates to U.S.-Chinese competition and cooperation in three domains in which real strategic harm can be inflicted in the current era: nuclear, space, and cyber. Just as a clearer understanding of the fundamental principles of nuclear deterrence maintained adequate stability during the Cold War, a clearer understanding of the characteristics of these three domains can provide the underpinnings of strategic stability between the United States and China in the decades ahead. That is what this book is about.

Author : David C. Gompert,Phillip C. Saunders
Publisher : Department of the Army
Page : 236 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2011-12-27
Category : History
ISBN : UIUC:30112108818045

Get Book

The Paradox of Power by David C. Gompert,Phillip C. Saunders Pdf

Looking deeply into the matter of strategic vulnerability, the authors address questions that this vulnerability poses: Do conditions exist for Sino-U.S. mutual deterrence in these realms? Might the two states agree on reciprocal restraint? What practical measures might build confidence in restraint? How would strategic restraint affect Sino-U.S. relations as well as security in and beyond East Asia?

Author : Gary J. Schmitt
Publisher : ReadHowYouWant.com
Page : 306 pages
File Size : 42,6 Mb
Release : 2011-02
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781458731715

Get Book

The Rise of China by Gary J. Schmitt Pdf

Khrushchev's 1959 trip across America was one of the strangest exercises in international diplomacy ever conducted - ''a surreal extravaganza,'' as historian John Lewis Gaddis called it. Khrushchev told jokes, threw tantrums, sparked a riot in a San Francisco supermarket, wowed the coeds in a home economics class in Iowa, and ogled Shirley MacLaine as she filmed a dance scene in Can-Can. He befriended and offended a cast of characters including Nelson Rockefeller, Richard Nixon, Eleanor Roosevelt, Elizabeth Taylor, and Marilyn Monroe. Published for the fiftieth anniversary of the trip, K Blows Top is a work of history that reads like a Vonnegut novel. This cantankerous communist's road trip took place against the backdrop of the fifties in capitalist America, with the shadow of the hydrogen bomb hanging over his visit like the Sword of Damocles. As Khrushchev kept reminding people, he was a hot-tempered man who possessed the power to incinerate America.

Author : Antulio J. Echevarria II
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 161 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 2024
Category : History
ISBN : 9780197760154

Get Book

Military Strategy: A Very Short Introduction by Antulio J. Echevarria II Pdf

Military Strategy: A Very Short Introduction adapts Clausewitz's framework to highlight the dynamic relationship between the main elements of strategy: purpose, method, and means. Drawing on historical examples, Antulio J. Echevarria discusses the major types of military strategy and how emerging technologies are affecting them. This second edition has been updated to include an expanded chapter on manipulation through cyberwarfare and new further reading.

Author : S. Paul Kapur
Publisher : NUS Press
Page : 280 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 2009
Category : Arms race
ISBN : 9971694433

Get Book

Dangerous Deterrent by S. Paul Kapur Pdf

Author : Andrew Scobell
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
Page : 258 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2005
Category : China
ISBN : 9781428916289

Get Book

Chinese National Security Decisionmaking Under Stress by Andrew Scobell Pdf

If there is one constant in expert analyses of the history of modern China, it is the characterization of a country perpetually in the throes of crises. While China at the mid-point of the Twenty-first Century's first decade is arguably the most secure and stable it has been in more than a century, crises continue to emerge with apparent frequency. Consequently, the study of china's behavior in conditions of tension and stress is of considerable importance to policy makers and analysts around the world.

Author : Austin G. Long
Publisher : Rand Corporation
Page : 123 pages
File Size : 43,9 Mb
Release : 2008
Category : History
ISBN : 9780833044822

Get Book

Deterrence by Austin G. Long Pdf

This book examines six decades of RAND Corporation research on deterrence for lessons relevant to the current and future strategic environments.

Author : Barry R. Schneider,Patrick D. Ellis
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 466 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 2012
Category : Arms control
ISBN : 0974740381

Get Book

Tailored Deterrence by Barry R. Schneider,Patrick D. Ellis Pdf

Author : Suisheng Zhao
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 251 pages
File Size : 49,6 Mb
Release : 2007-12-21
Category : History
ISBN : 9781134071098

Get Book

China-US Relations Transformed by Suisheng Zhao Pdf

China’s emergence in the 21st century to the status of great power has significant implications for its relationship with the United States, the sole superpower in the post-Cold War World. Now that China is rising as an economic, political, and military power and has expanded its diplomatic activism beyond Asia into Europe, Latin America, Africa, and the Middle East, its rise has profoundly transformed its relationship with the US and compelled leaders in both countries to redefine their positions toward each other. This book, written by leading scholars and policy analysts from both the US and China, explores the transformation and multifaceted nature of US-China relations, including how the political elite in both countries have defined their strategic objectives in response to China’s rise and managed their relations accordingly. It provides an up-to-date analysis on the policy adjustments of the last decade, and covers all the important issue areas such as security, nuclear deterrence, military modernization, energy, trade and economic interaction, and Asia-Pacific power reconfiguration. It does not seek to confirm either an alarmist or optimistic position but presents different views and assessments by foreign policy specialists with the hope that leaders in Washington and Beijing may make positive adjustments in their policies to avoid confrontation and war. It will also be an invaluable resource for students and scholars of US and Chinese politics, international relations and comparative politics.

Author : Ka Po Ng
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 306 pages
File Size : 53,9 Mb
Release : 2005-08-09
Category : History
ISBN : 9781135769246

Get Book

Interpreting China's Military Power by Ka Po Ng Pdf

Although inter-state tensions have generally been easing after the Cold War, military power remains a dominant factor in Asian regional politics. As China, operating the world's largest army, grows stronger, there are ongoing debates over the implications for Asia's regional security. This book argues that it is imperative to look beyond the empirical observations and conventional materialist reading of Chinese military development to understand its dynamics and directions in doctrinal terms and put it in a readiness context for evaluation. Military doctrine has long been under-studied and is often treated as a subject separate from force development. But, as this study contends, this factor is necessary for interpreting the making and purposes of China's military power because it forms the intellectual foundation of military structural and hardware development. When loaded with political rhetoric, it also communicates to us the intended uses of the military power. The role of doctrine is reinforced in the context of military readiness, which defines what for and how the army is getting ready. Force development is evaluated in structural, operational and directional terms. The importance of this analytical framework based on military doctrine and readiness is demonstrated in a survey of the evolutionof Chinese military doctrine and force development. As the Chinese People's Liberation Army has continued to adjust its military structure and operation to follow the doctrinal lead, its switches between the doctines of local war and total war have seen corresponding changes to the emphasis between operational and structural readiness.

Author : John J. Mearsheimer
Publisher : Cornell University Press
Page : 298 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 1985-08-21
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781501713255

Get Book

Conventional Deterrence by John J. Mearsheimer Pdf

Conventional Deterrence is a book about the origins of war. Why do nations faced with the prospect of large-scale conventional war opt for or against an offensive strategy? John J. Mearsheimer examines a number of crises that led to major conventional wars to explain why deterrence failed. He focuses first on Allied and German decision making in the years 1939–1940, analyzing why the Allies did not strike first against Germany after declaring war and, conversely, why the Germans did attack the West. Turning to the Middle East, he examines the differences in Israeli and Egyptian strategic doctrines prior to the start of the major conventional conflicts in that region. Mearsheimer then critically assays the relative strengths and weaknesses of NATO and the Warsaw Pact to determine the prospects for conventional deterrence in any future crisis. He is also concerned with examining such relatively technical issues as the impact of precision-guided munitions (PGM) on conventional deterrence and the debate over maneuver versus attrition warfare.Mearsheimer pays considerable attention to questions of military strategy and tactics. Challenging the claim that conventional detrrence is largely a function of the numerical balance of forces, he also takes issue with the school of thought that ascribes deterrence failures to the dominance of "offensive" weaponry. In addition to examining the military consideration underlying deterrence, he also analyzes the interaction between those military factors and the broader political considerations that move a nation to war.