Conventional Deterrence

Author : John J. Mearsheimer
Publisher : Cornell University Press
Page : 298 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 1985-08-21
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781501713255

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Conventional Deterrence by John J. Mearsheimer Pdf

Conventional Deterrence is a book about the origins of war. Why do nations faced with the prospect of large-scale conventional war opt for or against an offensive strategy? John J. Mearsheimer examines a number of crises that led to major conventional wars to explain why deterrence failed. He focuses first on Allied and German decision making in the years 1939–1940, analyzing why the Allies did not strike first against Germany after declaring war and, conversely, why the Germans did attack the West. Turning to the Middle East, he examines the differences in Israeli and Egyptian strategic doctrines prior to the start of the major conventional conflicts in that region. Mearsheimer then critically assays the relative strengths and weaknesses of NATO and the Warsaw Pact to determine the prospects for conventional deterrence in any future crisis. He is also concerned with examining such relatively technical issues as the impact of precision-guided munitions (PGM) on conventional deterrence and the debate over maneuver versus attrition warfare.Mearsheimer pays considerable attention to questions of military strategy and tactics. Challenging the claim that conventional detrrence is largely a function of the numerical balance of forces, he also takes issue with the school of thought that ascribes deterrence failures to the dominance of "offensive" weaponry. In addition to examining the military consideration underlying deterrence, he also analyzes the interaction between those military factors and the broader political considerations that move a nation to war.

Author : Frans Osinga,Tim Sweijs
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 538 pages
File Size : 48,9 Mb
Release : 2020-12-03
Category : Law
ISBN : 9789462654198

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NL ARMS Netherlands Annual Review of Military Studies 2020 by Frans Osinga,Tim Sweijs Pdf

This open access volume surveys the state of the field to examine whether a fifth wave of deterrence theory is emerging. Bringing together insights from world-leading experts from three continents, the volume identifies the most pressing strategic challenges, frames theoretical concepts, and describes new strategies. The use and utility of deterrence in today’s strategic environment is a topic of paramount concern to scholars, strategists and policymakers. Ours is a period of considerable strategic turbulence, which in recent years has featured a renewed emphasis on nuclear weapons used in defence postures across different theatres; a dramatic growth in the scale of military cyber capabilities and the frequency with which these are used; and rapid technological progress including the proliferation of long-range strike and unmanned systems. These military-strategic developments occur in a polarized international system, where cooperation between leading powers on arms control regimes is breaking down, states widely make use of hybrid conflict strategies, and the number of internationalized intrastate proxy conflicts has quintupled over the past two decades. Contemporary conflict actors exploit a wider gamut of coercive instruments, which they apply across a wider range of domains. The prevalence of multi-domain coercion across but also beyond traditional dimensions of armed conflict raises an important question: what does effective deterrence look like in the 21st century? Answering that question requires a re-appraisal of key theoretical concepts and dominant strategies of Western and non-Western actors in order to assess how they hold up in today’s world. Air Commodore Professor Dr. Frans Osinga is the Chair of the War Studies Department of the Netherlands Defence Academy and the Special Chair in War Studies at the University Leiden. Dr. Tim Sweijs is the Director of Research at The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies and a Research Fellow at the Faculty of Military Sciences of the Netherlands Defence Academy in Breda.

Author : James Reed Golden,Asa A. Clark,Bruce E. Arlinghaus
Publisher : Free Press
Page : 266 pages
File Size : 44,7 Mb
Release : 1984
Category : Political Science
ISBN : UOM:39015008394978

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Conventional Deterrence by James Reed Golden,Asa A. Clark,Bruce E. Arlinghaus Pdf

Europa, forsvar, krigsførelse, nuklear afskrækkelse, økonomi, politik.

Author : Jonathan Shimshoni
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 284 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 1988
Category : History
ISBN : UOM:39015012425628

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Israel and Conventional Deterrence by Jonathan Shimshoni Pdf

Author : European Security Study,Andrew J Goodpastor
Publisher : Westview Press
Page : 174 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 1985-05-16
Category : History
ISBN : UVA:X001020147

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Strengthening Conventional Deterrence In Europe by European Security Study,Andrew J Goodpastor Pdf

Author : National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Commission on Physical Sciences, Mathematics, and Applications,Naval Studies Board
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 243 pages
File Size : 48,5 Mb
Release : 1997-04-02
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9780309175104

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Post-Cold War Conflict Deterrence by National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Commission on Physical Sciences, Mathematics, and Applications,Naval Studies Board Pdf

Deterrence as a strategic concept evolved during the Cold War. During that period, deterrence strategy was aimed mainly at preventing aggression against the United States and its close allies by the hostile Communist power centersâ€"the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) and its allies, Communist China and North Korea. In particular, the strategy was devised to prevent aggression involving nuclear attack by the USSR or China. Since the end of the Cold War, the risk of war among the major powers has subsided to the lowest point in modern history. Still, the changing nature of the threats to American and allied security interests has stimulated a considerable broadening of the deterrence concept. Post-Cold War Conflict Deterrence examines the meaning of deterrence in this new environment and identifies key elements of a post-Cold War deterrence strategy and the critical issues in devising such a strategy. It further examines the significance of these findings for the U.S. Navy and Marine Corps. Quantitative and qualitative measures to support judgments about the potential success or failure of deterrence are identified. Such measures will bear on the suitability of the naval forces to meet the deterrence objectives. The capabilities of U.S. naval forces that especially bear on the deterrence objectives also are examined. Finally, the book examines the utility of models, games, and simulations as decision aids in improving the naval forces' understanding of situations in which deterrence must be used and in improving the potential success of deterrence actions.

Author : Thomas Boyd-Carpenter
Publisher : Springer
Page : 200 pages
File Size : 41,8 Mb
Release : 1989-06-18
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781349105021

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Conventional Deterrence into the 1990s by Thomas Boyd-Carpenter Pdf

A selection of ten lectures on the future of conventional deterrence is drawn together by a new essay on the subject. The study suggests how NATO policy, strategy and tactics must evolve to cope with new circumstances and limited budgets, and the role Britain should play in this.

Author : Robert Jervis,Richard Ned Lebow,Janice Gross Stein
Publisher : JHU Press
Page : 401 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 1989-04-01
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9781421401331

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Psychology and Deterrence by Robert Jervis,Richard Ned Lebow,Janice Gross Stein Pdf

Detterence is the most basic concept in American foreign policy today. But past practice indicates it often fails to work - and may increase the risk of war. Psychology and Deterrence reveals this stratgy's hidden and generally simplistic assumptions about the nature of power and aggression, threat and response, and calculation and behavior in the international arena. Most current analysis, the authors, note, ignore decisionmakers' emotions, preceptions, and domestic political needs, assuming instead that people repond to crisis in highly rational ways. Examining the historical evidence from a psychological perspective, Psychology and Deterrence offers case studies on the origins of World War I, the 1973 Arab-Israeli conflict, and the Falklands Wars as seen by the most important participants. These case studies reveal national leaders to be both more cautious and more reckless than theory would predict. They also show how deterrence strategies often backfire by aggravating a nation's sense of insequrity, thereby calling forth the very behavior they seek to prevent. The authors' conclusions offer important insights for superpower bargaining and nuclear deterrence.

Author : Andrew J. Goodpastor,Gen Rtd
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 166 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2019-10-02
Category : Deterrence (Strategy)
ISBN : 036728894X

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Strengthening Conventional Deterrence in Europe by Andrew J. Goodpastor,Gen Rtd Pdf

The European Security Study (ESECS) published its Report on "Strengthening Conventional Deterrence in Europe" in May 1983. The Study was prompted by concern about the relation of NATO dependence on the early use of nuclear weapons to its primary purpose of maintaining secure peace with freedom in the NATO region.

Author : Elli Lieberman
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 330 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2013
Category : History
ISBN : 9780415682138

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Reconceptualizing Deterrence by Elli Lieberman Pdf

This book offers a reconceptualisation of conventional deterrence theory, and applies it to enduring rivalries in the Middle East. The work argues that many of the problems encountered in the development of deterrence theory lay in the fact that it was developed during the Cold War, when the immediate problem it had to address was how to prevent catastrophic nuclear wars. The logic of nuclear deterrence compelled a preoccupation with the problem of stability over credibility; however, because the logic of conventional deterrence is different, the solution of the tension between credibility and stability is achieved by deference to credibility, due to the requirements of reputation and costly signaling. This book aims to narrow the gap between theory and evidence. It explores how a reconceptualization of the theory as a process that culminates in the internalization of deterrence within enduring rivalries is better suited to account for its final success: a finding that has eluded deterrence theorists for long. This interdisciplinary book will be of much interest to students of deterrence theory, strategic studies, international security, Middle Eastern studies and IR in general.

Author : S. Paul Kapur
Publisher : NUS Press
Page : 280 pages
File Size : 51,6 Mb
Release : 2009
Category : Arms race
ISBN : 9971694433

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Dangerous Deterrent by S. Paul Kapur Pdf

Author : John Harvey,RAAF Air Power Studies Centre
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 121 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 1997
Category : Australia
ISBN : 0642265046

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Conventional Deterrence and National Security by John Harvey,RAAF Air Power Studies Centre Pdf

Author : Gary L. Guertner
Publisher : Springer
Page : 193 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 1990-06-18
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781349114481

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Deterrence and Defence in a Post-Nuclear World by Gary L. Guertner Pdf

This book studies the obstacles to conventional deterrence, deterrence Soviet style, Soviet incentives for conventional deterrence and arms control.

Author : Max G. Manwaring
Publisher : Psychology Press
Page : 160 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2001
Category : History
ISBN : 0714651338

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Deterrence in the 21st Century by Max G. Manwaring Pdf

This anthology argues that facing the diverse threats in the 'new world disorder' requires a new look and new approaches. The requirement is to establish that contemporary deterrence demands replacing the old 'nuclear theology' with new policy and strategy to deal with the myriad state, non-state, and trans-national nuclear and non-nuclear menaces that have heretofore been ignored or wished away.

Author : Max G. Manwaring
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 160 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2013-02-01
Category : History
ISBN : 9781136336164

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Deterrence in the Twenty-first Century by Max G. Manwaring Pdf

This anthology argues that facing the diverse threats in the 'new world disorder' requires a new look and new approaches. The requirement is to establish that contemporary deterrence demands replacing the old 'nuclear theology' with new policy and strategy to deal with the myriad state, non-state, and trans-national nuclear and non-nuclear menaces that have heretofore been ignored or wished away.