Dynamic International Oil Markets

Author : C. van der Linde
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 236 pages
File Size : 48,9 Mb
Release : 2013-03-14
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9789401579131

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Dynamic International Oil Markets by C. van der Linde Pdf

Writing this book would have been impossible without the help of certain institutions and persons. For a gas-producing and oil-processing country like the Netherlands, there was surprisingly very little, publicly available, research material. Public libraries' collections contained, with a certain degree of inconsistency, little of the more specialised sources. I would therefore like to express my gratitude towards Royal Dutch Shell, and especially the library staff in The Hague, for allowing me to use the company's library, thanking them for their assistance in finding and supplying the required data. I am also grateful for the financial assistance of the 'Nederlandse organisatie voor wetenschappelijk onderzoek' (NWO) and the Faculty of Law of the University of Leiden. They provided the financial means to work a (crucial) month in the very well equipped library of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies. I am indebted to the staff of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, and particularly to Robert Mabro and Jeremy Turk, for their comments, support, and friendship. After I spent a month in the Institute in July 1989, I was able to return for two five-month periods in 1990 and 1991. For both periods, the Oxford Institute and the Leiden Law Faculty provided me with the necessary means. I would also like to express special gratitude to some people who have been a great support and supplied me with valuable comments at various stages of the study.

Author : Noureddine Krichene
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 32 pages
File Size : 43,5 Mb
Release : 2006-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : UCSD:31822034757021

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Recent Dynamics of Crude Oil Prices by Noureddine Krichene Pdf

Crude oil prices have been on a run-up spree in recent years. Their dynamics were characterized by high volatility, high intensity jumps, and strong upward drift, indicating that oil markets were constantly out-of-equilibrium. An explanation of the oil price process in terms of the underlying fundamentals of oil markets and world economy was provided, viewing pressure on oil prices mainly as a result of rigid crude oil supply and an expanding world demand for crude oil. A change in the oil price process parameters would require a change in the underlying fundamentals. Market expectations, extracted from call and put option prices, anticipated no change, in the short term, in the underlying fundamentals. Markets expected oil prices to remain volatile and jumpy, and with higher probabilities, to rise, rather than fall, above the expected mean.

Author : Salvatore Carollo
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 212 pages
File Size : 51,7 Mb
Release : 2011-11-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781119962908

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Understanding Oil Prices by Salvatore Carollo Pdf

It’s a fair bet that most of what you think you know about oil prices is wrong. Despite the massive price fluctuations of the past decade, the received wisdom on the subject has remained fundamentally unchanged since the 1970s. When asked, most people – including politicians, financial analysts and pundits – will respond with a tired litany of reasons ranging from increased Chinese and Indian competition for diminishing resources and tensions in the Middle East, to manipulation by OPEC and exorbitant petrol taxes in the EU. Yet the facts belie these explanations. For instance, what really happened in late 2008 when, in just a few weeks, oil prices plummeted from $144 dollars to $37 dollars a barrel? Did Chinese and Indian demand suddenly dry up? Did Middle East conflicts magically resolve themselves? Did OPEC flood the market with crude? In each case the answer is a definitive no – quite the opposite in fact. Industry expert Salvatore Carollo explains that the truth behind today’s increasingly volatile oil market is that over the past two decades oil prices have come untethered from all classical notions of supply and demand and have transcended any country’s, consortium’s, cartel’s, or corporate entity’s powers to control them. At play is a subtler, more complex game than most analysts realise (or are unwilling to admit to), a very dangerous game involving runaway financial speculation, self-defeating government policymaking and a concerted disinvestment in refinery capacity among the oil majors. In Understanding Oil Prices Carollo identifies the key players in this dangerous game, exploring their competing interests and motivations, their moves and countermoves. Beginning with the 1976 oil embargo and moving through the 1986 Chernobyl incident, the implementation of the US Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990, and the precipitous expansion of the oil futures market since the turn of the century, he traces the vast structural changes which have occurred within the oil industry over the past four decades, identifying their economic, social and geopolitical drivers, and analysing their fallout in the global economy. He explores the oil industry’s decision to scale down refining capacity in the face of increasing demand and the effects of global shortages of petrol, diesel, jet fuel, fuel oil, chemical feedstocks, lubricants and other essential finished products, and describes how, beginning in the year 2000, the oil futures market detached itself almost completely from the crude market, leading to the assetization of oil, and the crippling impact reckless speculation in oil futures has had on the global economy. Finally he proposes new, more sophisticated models that economists and financial analysts can use to make sense of today’s oil market, while offering industry leaders and government policymakers prescriptions for stabilising the market to ensure a relatively steady flow of affordable oil. A concise, authoritative guide to understanding the complex, oft misunderstood oil markets, Understanding Oil Prices is an important resource for energy market participants, commodity traders and investors, as well as business journalists and government policymakers alike.

Author : Bassam Fattouh
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 47,9 Mb
Release : 2022
Category : Electronic
ISBN : OCLC:1373351356

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Dynamics of Crude Oil Price Differentials by Bassam Fattouh Pdf

Author : Andrei V. Belyi
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 196 pages
File Size : 53,5 Mb
Release : 2020-03-26
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783030290894

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Beyond Market Assumptions: Oil Price as a Global Institution by Andrei V. Belyi Pdf

This book defines oil price as a social institution that exists beyond supply-demand mechanisms. Discussing oil markets in the context of the broader sociology of prices, it covers a number of theoretical and practical dimensions, such as new market uncertainties and trends, and social perceptions of energy security and of power. Further, based on case studies it explores the implications for OPEC, Russia, and Central and Eastern Europe, as well as for the energy transition and for international investment arbitration. Featuring contributions from leading academics, researchers and business professionals, the book offers an interdisciplinary perspective on the oil price. “This book brings together an impressive team of scholars with fresh perspectives on the oil price. Even as the world attempts energy transition, oil consumption continues and the oil price is likely to become even more unpredictable and unclear than in the past. This book helps make sense of this challenging topic.” -Indra Overland is a Research Professor and Head of Centre for Energy Research, Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI) “A revealing and multidimensional analysis of oil price fluctuations in a market that seeks less uncertainty. This book discusses market and price evolution in the context of market theories, history and real-time market analysis. A welcome and timely contribution to our understanding of global energy markets.” Dr. Sara Vakhshouri is Founder and President of SVB Energy International and Professor of Energy Security at the Institute of World Politics.

Author : Vivian Randhawa
Publisher : GRIN Verlag
Page : 30 pages
File Size : 43,7 Mb
Release : 2018-05-14
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783668702943

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The impact of oil price dynamics on global economy by Vivian Randhawa Pdf

Seminar paper from the year 2014 in the subject Business economics - Trade and Distribution, grade: 1,7, Hamburg University of Applied Sciences, language: English, abstract: After oil was discovered in the late 19th century, oil prices were primarily determined first by the major petroleum companies and then by the oil-exporting nations, who joined forces in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). In the 1960s, the market-oriented pricing system was adopted and since then oil prices are primarily formed by supply and demand. Oil prices are characterized by permanent price fluctuations. Especially rapid price rises and longer-term fluctuations are at the focus of many scientific work. Because oil is an indispensable resource for the global economy, the question arises after the economic impacts of such price developments. While oil- exporting countries benefit from strong price rises, oil- importing countries, with emerging countries leading the way, are negatively affected. The interplay of these opposite effects and the global economic situation are crucial for the net effect on global economy.

Author : Mr.Peter Wickham
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 20 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 1996-08-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781451954722

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Volatility of Oil Prices by Mr.Peter Wickham Pdf

This paper examines the behavior of crude oil prices since 1980, and in particular the volatility of these prices. The empirical analysis covers “spot” prices for one of the key internationally traded crudes, namely Dated Brent Blend. A GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic) model, which allows the conditional variance to be time-variant, is estimated for the period which includes the oil price slump of 1986 and the surge in prices in 1990 as a result of the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait. The paper also discusses the growth of futures and derivative markets and the dynamic links between spot and futures markets.

Author : C. van der Linde
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 179 pages
File Size : 53,7 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781461545750

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The State and the International Oil Market by C. van der Linde Pdf

Abbreviations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ix Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Chapter 2 REDRAWING THE BOUNDARIES BETWEEN STATE AND COMPANY . . . 3 Chapter 3 STATE PARTICIPATION IN THE ECONOMY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Chapter 4 INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC INSTABILITY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 Chapter 5 THE FAILURE OF OPEC TO SECURE ECONOMIC RENTS . . . . . . . . . . 67 Chapter 6 TURNING BLACK GOLD INTO DEVELOPMENT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 Chapter 7 NATIONAL OIL COMPANIES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 Chapter 8 AMBITIOUS CONSOLIDATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127 Chapter 9 STRATEGIC CONSOLIDATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 155 Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 165 PREFACE This book has been kicking around my desk for quite some time. On and off I returned to my work on the role of the state in the economy and the international oil market, but for a long time I was not satisfied with the shape it was in. I understand now that I needed the insights developed over the past couple of years on the role of the state, regulation, liberalization, privatization, and the recent events in the international oil industry to bring all my ideas together in a more coherent format. It was the events that followed the Asian financial crisis that drew me back to finish writing this book. The early beginnings of this book were developed at the Institute of International Affairs, Chatham I-louse, in London, where I was a research fellow with the Energy and Environment Programme in 1992 and 1993. At the Colorado School of Mines, I had the opportunity to test my ideas in a graduate class, and continue the research.

Author : Mr.Kangni R Kpodar,Mr.Chadi Abdallah
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 32 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 2017-01-18
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475567779

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Dynamic Fuel Price Pass-Through by Mr.Kangni R Kpodar,Mr.Chadi Abdallah Pdf

This paper assesses the dynamic pass-through of crude oil price shocks to retail fuel prices using a novel database on monthly retail fuel prices for 162 countries. The impulse response functions suggest that on average, a one cent increase in crude oil prices per liter translates into a 1.2 cent increase in the retail gasoline price at peak level six months after the shock. However, the estimates vary significantly across country groups, ranging from about 0.5 cent in MENA countries to two cents in advanced economies. The results also show that positive oil price shocks have a larger impact than negative price shocks on the retail gasoline price. Finally, the paper underscores the importance of the new dataset in refining estimates of the fiscal cost of incomplete pass-through.

Author : Bhaskar Bagchi,Dhrubaranjan Dandapat,Susmita Chatterjee
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
Page : 224 pages
File Size : 51,8 Mb
Release : 2016-11-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781786355539

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Dynamic Linkages and Volatility Spillover by Bhaskar Bagchi,Dhrubaranjan Dandapat,Susmita Chatterjee Pdf

This book examines the dynamic relationship and volatility spillovers between crude oil prices, exchange rates and stock markets of emerging economies. Unfortunately very little research has been conducted to analyze the volatility spillovers and dynamic relationship between crude oil prices, exchange rates and stock markets of India.

Author : Maximilian Kuhn
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 390 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 2014-01-17
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9783658000936

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Enabling the Iranian Gas Export Options by Maximilian Kuhn Pdf

Maximilian Kuhn investigates one of the most pressing, yet neglected subjects in the field of global energy politics: the integration of the Iranian gas market. Possessing the world’s second-largest proven natural gas reserves, Iran is a hypothetical energy giant-in-waiting. Yet over three decades of internal divisions, coupled with crippling international sanctions, have left Iran unable to capitalize on its vast energy potential. Increasing global demand for natural gas and a government in constant need of finding new sources of revenue to meet the needs of a fast-growing population should lead Iran to eventually become a large-scale gas exporter. How this could take place and what the implications for global gas markets would be are the central research questions tackled by this study. The study allows a look beyond international politics, Iranian political decision-making, investment laws, and pipeline games.

Author : Robert Pirog
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
Page : 20 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 2011-04
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781437938432

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Role of National Oil Companies in the International Oil Market by Robert Pirog Pdf

In the U.S., the term ¿big oil co.¿ is likely to be taken to mean the major private international oil co., largely based in Europe or America. However, while some of those co. are indeed among the largest in the world, a majority of the largest oil co. are state-owned, national oil co. (NOC). NOC hold the majority of petroleum reserves and produce the majority of the world¿s supply of crude oil. NOC hold exclusive rights to exploration and development of petroleum resources within the home country, they also can decide on the degree to which they require participation by private co. in those activities. Contents of this report: Market Position of NOC; Objectives and Characteristics of NOC; Policy Analysis. Tables. This is a print on demand report.

Author : Neil Herman Jacoby
Publisher : Free Press
Page : 358 pages
File Size : 51,6 Mb
Release : 1974
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : UCSD:31822003919891

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Multinational Oil by Neil Herman Jacoby Pdf

Author : Bassam Fattouh,Oxford Institute for Energy Studies
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 38 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2008-01-01
Category : Petroleum products
ISBN : 1901795705

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The Dynamics of Crude Oil Price Differentials by Bassam Fattouh,Oxford Institute for Energy Studies Pdf

Author : Blake C. Clayton
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2015-10-14
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781316409305

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Commodity Markets and the Global Economy by Blake C. Clayton Pdf

In an era defined by financial upheaval, few parts of the economy have witnessed the kind of volatility seen in commodities markets. In this book, Blake Clayton, a Wall Street analyst and adjunct fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, draws on the latest thinking from academia and the private sector to deliver a clear-eyed analysis of pressing questions at the intersection of commodity markets, natural resource economics, and public policy. The result is a work that challenges the conventional wisdom about how these markets function and provides a fresh perspective on what public policy can do to improve them.