Economic And Business Forecasting

Author : John E. Silvia,Azhar Iqbal,Kaylyn Swankoski,Sarah Watt,Sam Bullard
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 400 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 2014-03-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781118569542

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Economic and Business Forecasting by John E. Silvia,Azhar Iqbal,Kaylyn Swankoski,Sarah Watt,Sam Bullard Pdf

Discover the secrets to applying simple econometric techniques to improve forecasting Equipping analysts, practitioners, and graduate students with a statistical framework to make effective decisions based on the application of simple economic and statistical methods, Economic and Business Forecasting offers a comprehensive and practical approach to quantifying and accurate forecasting of key variables. Using simple econometric techniques, author John E. Silvia focuses on a select set of major economic and financial variables, revealing how to optimally use statistical software as a template to apply to your own variables of interest. Presents the economic and financial variables that offer unique insights into economic performance Highlights the econometric techniques that can be used to characterize variables Explores the application of SAS software, complete with simple explanations of SAS-code and output Identifies key econometric issues with practical solutions to those problems Presenting the "ten commandments" for economic and business forecasting, this book provides you with a practical forecasting framework you can use for important everyday business applications.

Author : Gloria González-Rivera
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 511 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2016-12-05
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781315510408

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Forecasting for Economics and Business by Gloria González-Rivera Pdf

For junior/senior undergraduates in a variety of fields such as economics, business administration, applied mathematics and statistics, and for graduate students in quantitative masters programs such as MBA and MA/MS in economics. A student-friendly approach to understanding forecasting. Knowledge of forecasting methods is among the most demanded qualifications for professional economists, and business people working in either the private or public sectors of the economy. The general aim of this textbook is to carefully develop sophisticated professionals, who are able to critically analyze time series data and forecasting reports because they have experienced the merits and shortcomings of forecasting practice.

Author : C. W. J. Granger
Publisher : Academic Press
Page : 237 pages
File Size : 55,9 Mb
Release : 2014-05-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781483273594

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Forecasting in Business and Economics by C. W. J. Granger Pdf

Forecasting in Business and Economics presents a variety of forecasting techniques and problems. This book discusses the importance of the selection of a relevant information set. Organized into 12 chapters, this book begins with an overview of the forecasting techniques that are useful in decision making. This text then discusses the difficulties in interpreting an apparent trend and discusses its implications. Other chapters consider how a time series is analyzed and forecast by discussing the methods by which a series can be generated. This book discusses as well the views of most academic time series analysts regarding the usefulness of searches for cycles in most economic and business series. The final chapter deals with the techniques developed for forecasting. This book is a valuable resource for senior undergraduates in business, economics, commerce, and management. Graduate students in operations research and production engineering will also find this book extremely useful.

Author : John E. Silvia,Azhar Iqbal,Kaylyn Swankoski,Sarah Watt,Sam Bullard
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 400 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 2014-03-31
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781118497098

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Economic and Business Forecasting by John E. Silvia,Azhar Iqbal,Kaylyn Swankoski,Sarah Watt,Sam Bullard Pdf

Discover the secrets to applying simple econometric techniques to improve forecasting Equipping analysts, practitioners, and graduate students with a statistical framework to make effective decisions based on the application of simple economic and statistical methods, Economic and Business Forecasting offers a comprehensive and practical approach to quantifying and accurate forecasting of key variables. Using simple econometric techniques, author John E. Silvia focuses on a select set of major economic and financial variables, revealing how to optimally use statistical software as a template to apply to your own variables of interest. Presents the economic and financial variables that offer unique insights into economic performance Highlights the econometric techniques that can be used to characterize variables Explores the application of SAS software, complete with simple explanations of SAS-code and output Identifies key econometric issues with practical solutions to those problems Presenting the "ten commandments" for economic and business forecasting, this book provides you with a practical forecasting framework you can use for important everyday business applications.

Author : Philip Hans Franses
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 300 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 1998-10-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0521586410

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Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting by Philip Hans Franses Pdf

An introduction to time series models for business and economic forecasting.

Author : Michael K. Evans
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 556 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2002-05-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0631220658

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Practical Business Forecasting by Michael K. Evans Pdf

Stressing the concrete applications of economic forecasting, Practical Business Forecasting is accessible to a wide-range of readers, requiring only a familiarity with basic statistics. The text focuses on the use of models in forecasting, explaining how to build practical forecasting models that produce optimal results. In a clear and detailed format, the text covers estimating and forecasting with single and multi- equation models, univariate time-series modeling, and determining forecasting accuracy. Additionally, case studies throughout the book illustrate how the models are actually estimated and adjusted to generate accurate forecasts. After reading this text, students and readers should have a clearer idea of the reasoning and choices involved in building models, and a deeper foundation in estimating econometric models used in practical business forecasting.

Author : David F. Hendry,Neil R. Ericsson
Publisher : MIT Press
Page : 236 pages
File Size : 50,7 Mb
Release : 2003
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0262582422

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Understanding Economic Forecasts by David F. Hendry,Neil R. Ericsson Pdf

How to interpret and evaluate economic forecasts and the uncertainties inherent in them.

Author : Graham Elliott,Allan Timmermann
Publisher : Elsevier
Page : 667 pages
File Size : 43,5 Mb
Release : 2013-08-23
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780444627407

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Handbook of Economic Forecasting by Graham Elliott,Allan Timmermann Pdf

The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

Author : Wang, Jue,Wang, Shouyang
Publisher : IGI Global
Page : 406 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2010-06-30
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781615206308

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Business Intelligence in Economic Forecasting: Technologies and Techniques by Wang, Jue,Wang, Shouyang Pdf

With the rapid development of economic globalization and information technology, the field of economic forecasting continues its expeditious advancement, providing business and government with applicable technologies. This book discusses various business intelligence techniques including neural networks, support vector machine, genetic programming, clustering analysis, TEI@I, fuzzy systems, text mining, and many more. It serves as a valuable reference for professionals and researchers interested in BI technologies and their practical applications in economic forecasting, as well as policy makers in business organizations and governments.

Author : N. Carnot,V. Koen,B. Tissot
Publisher : Springer
Page : 315 pages
File Size : 55,6 Mb
Release : 2005-08-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780230005815

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Economic Forecasting by N. Carnot,V. Koen,B. Tissot Pdf

Economic Forecasting provides a comprehensive overview of macroeconomic forecasting. The focus is first on a wide range of theories as well as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts, and sectoral forecasting. In addition, the book addresses the main issues surrounding the use of forecasts (accuracy, communication challenges) and their policy implications. A tour of the economic data and forecasting institutions is also provided.

Author : Graham Elliott,Allan Timmermann
Publisher : Princeton University Press
Page : 566 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 2016-04-05
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780691140131

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Economic Forecasting by Graham Elliott,Allan Timmermann Pdf

A comprehensive and integrated approach to economic forecasting problems Economic forecasting involves choosing simple yet robust models to best approximate highly complex and evolving data-generating processes. This poses unique challenges for researchers in a host of practical forecasting situations, from forecasting budget deficits and assessing financial risk to predicting inflation and stock market returns. Economic Forecasting presents a comprehensive, unified approach to assessing the costs and benefits of different methods currently available to forecasters. This text approaches forecasting problems from the perspective of decision theory and estimation, and demonstrates the profound implications of this approach for how we understand variable selection, estimation, and combination methods for forecasting models, and how we evaluate the resulting forecasts. Both Bayesian and non-Bayesian methods are covered in depth, as are a range of cutting-edge techniques for producing point, interval, and density forecasts. The book features detailed presentations and empirical examples of a range of forecasting methods and shows how to generate forecasts in the presence of large-dimensional sets of predictor variables. The authors pay special attention to how estimation error, model uncertainty, and model instability affect forecasting performance. Presents a comprehensive and integrated approach to assessing the strengths and weaknesses of different forecasting methods Approaches forecasting from a decision theoretic and estimation perspective Covers Bayesian modeling, including methods for generating density forecasts Discusses model selection methods as well as forecast combinations Covers a large range of nonlinear prediction models, including regime switching models, threshold autoregressions, and models with time-varying volatility Features numerous empirical examples Examines the latest advances in forecast evaluation Essential for practitioners and students alike

Author : James H. Stock,Mark W. Watson
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 350 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 2008-04-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780226774749

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Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting by James H. Stock,Mark W. Watson Pdf

The inability of forecasters to predict accurately the 1990-1991 recession emphasizes the need for better ways for charting the course of the economy. In this volume, leading economists examine forecasting techniques developed over the past ten years, compare their performance to traditional econometric models, and discuss new methods for forecasting and time series analysis.

Author : Michael Clements,David F. Hendry
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 402 pages
File Size : 47,9 Mb
Release : 1998-10-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0521634806

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Forecasting Economic Time Series by Michael Clements,David F. Hendry Pdf

This book provides a formal analysis of the models, procedures, and measures of economic forecasting with a view to improving forecasting practice. David Hendry and Michael Clements base the analyses on assumptions pertinent to the economies to be forecast, viz. a non-constant, evolving economic system, and econometric models whose form and structure are unknown a priori. The authors find that conclusions which can be established formally for constant-parameter stationary processes and correctly-specified models often do not hold when unrealistic assumptions are relaxed. Despite the difficulty of proceeding formally when models are mis-specified in unknown ways for non-stationary processes that are subject to structural breaks, Hendry and Clements show that significant insights can be gleaned. For example, a formal taxonomy of forecasting errors can be developed, the role of causal information clarified, intercept corrections re-established as a method for achieving robustness against forms of structural change, and measures of forecast accuracy re-interpreted.

Author : Paul Newbold,Theodore Bos
Publisher : Thomson South-Western
Page : 598 pages
File Size : 42,5 Mb
Release : 1994
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0538828749

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Introductory Business & Economic Forecasting by Paul Newbold,Theodore Bos Pdf

Rev. ed. of: Introductory business forecasting. 1990. Includes bibliographical references and index.

Author : Charles W. Gross,Robin Peterson
Publisher : Houghton Mifflin
Page : 424 pages
File Size : 49,9 Mb
Release : 1983
Category : Business forecasting
ISBN : NWU:35556000108076

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Business Forecasting by Charles W. Gross,Robin Peterson Pdf