Economic And Business Forecasting

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Economic and Business Forecasting

John E. Silvia,Azhar Iqbal,Kaylyn Swankoski,Sarah Watt,Sam Bullard
Economic and Business Forecasting Book PDF

Author : John E. Silvia,Azhar Iqbal,Kaylyn Swankoski,Sarah Watt,Sam Bullard
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 400 pages
File Size : 51,6 Mb
Release : 2014-03-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781118569542

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Economic and Business Forecasting by John E. Silvia,Azhar Iqbal,Kaylyn Swankoski,Sarah Watt,Sam Bullard Pdf

Discover the secrets to applying simple econometric techniques to improve forecasting Equipping analysts, practitioners, and graduate students with a statistical framework to make effective decisions based on the application of simple economic and statistical methods, Economic and Business Forecasting offers a comprehensive and practical approach to quantifying and accurate forecasting of key variables. Using simple econometric techniques, author John E. Silvia focuses on a select set of major economic and financial variables, revealing how to optimally use statistical software as a template to apply to your own variables of interest. Presents the economic and financial variables that offer unique insights into economic performance Highlights the econometric techniques that can be used to characterize variables Explores the application of SAS software, complete with simple explanations of SAS-code and output Identifies key econometric issues with practical solutions to those problems Presenting the "ten commandments" for economic and business forecasting, this book provides you with a practical forecasting framework you can use for important everyday business applications.

Forecasting for Economics and Business

Gloria González-Rivera
Forecasting for Economics and Business Book PDF

Author : Gloria González-Rivera
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 749 pages
File Size : 49,6 Mb
Release : 2016-12-05
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781315510392

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Forecasting for Economics and Business by Gloria González-Rivera Pdf

For junior/senior undergraduates in a variety of fields such as economics, business administration, applied mathematics and statistics, and for graduate students in quantitative masters programs such as MBA and MA/MS in economics. A student-friendly approach to understanding forecasting. Knowledge of forecasting methods is among the most demanded qualifications for professional economists, and business people working in either the private or public sectors of the economy. The general aim of this textbook is to carefully develop sophisticated professionals, who are able to critically analyze time series data and forecasting reports because they have experienced the merits and shortcomings of forecasting practice.

Economic and Business Forecasting

John E. Silvia,Azhar Iqbal,Kaylyn Swankoski,Sarah Watt,Sam Bullard
Economic and Business Forecasting Book PDF

Author : John E. Silvia,Azhar Iqbal,Kaylyn Swankoski,Sarah Watt,Sam Bullard
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 400 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2014-03-31
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781118497098

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Economic and Business Forecasting by John E. Silvia,Azhar Iqbal,Kaylyn Swankoski,Sarah Watt,Sam Bullard Pdf

Discover the secrets to applying simple econometric techniques to improve forecasting Equipping analysts, practitioners, and graduate students with a statistical framework to make effective decisions based on the application of simple economic and statistical methods, Economic and Business Forecasting offers a comprehensive and practical approach to quantifying and accurate forecasting of key variables. Using simple econometric techniques, author John E. Silvia focuses on a select set of major economic and financial variables, revealing how to optimally use statistical software as a template to apply to your own variables of interest. Presents the economic and financial variables that offer unique insights into economic performance Highlights the econometric techniques that can be used to characterize variables Explores the application of SAS software, complete with simple explanations of SAS-code and output Identifies key econometric issues with practical solutions to those problems Presenting the "ten commandments" for economic and business forecasting, this book provides you with a practical forecasting framework you can use for important everyday business applications.

Forecasting in Business and Economics

C. W. J. Granger
Forecasting in Business and Economics Book PDF

Author : C. W. J. Granger
Publisher : Academic Press
Page : 236 pages
File Size : 50,6 Mb
Release : 2014-05-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781483273594

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Forecasting in Business and Economics by C. W. J. Granger Pdf

Forecasting in Business and Economics presents a variety of forecasting techniques and problems. This book discusses the importance of the selection of a relevant information set. Organized into 12 chapters, this book begins with an overview of the forecasting techniques that are useful in decision making. This text then discusses the difficulties in interpreting an apparent trend and discusses its implications. Other chapters consider how a time series is analyzed and forecast by discussing the methods by which a series can be generated. This book discusses as well the views of most academic time series analysts regarding the usefulness of searches for cycles in most economic and business series. The final chapter deals with the techniques developed for forecasting. This book is a valuable resource for senior undergraduates in business, economics, commerce, and management. Graduate students in operations research and production engineering will also find this book extremely useful.

Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting

Philip Hans Franses
Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting Book PDF

Author : Philip Hans Franses
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 300 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 1998-10-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0521586410

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Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting by Philip Hans Franses Pdf

An introduction to time series models for business and economic forecasting.

Understanding Economic Forecasts

David F. Hendry,Neil R. Ericsson
Understanding Economic Forecasts Book PDF

Author : David F. Hendry,Neil R. Ericsson
Publisher : MIT Press
Page : 236 pages
File Size : 42,5 Mb
Release : 2003
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0262582422

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Understanding Economic Forecasts by David F. Hendry,Neil R. Ericsson Pdf

How to interpret and evaluate economic forecasts and the uncertainties inherent in them.

Economic Forecasting

N. Carnot,V. Koen,B. Tissot
Economic Forecasting Book PDF

Author : N. Carnot,V. Koen,B. Tissot
Publisher : Springer
Page : 315 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2005-08-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780230005815

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Economic Forecasting by N. Carnot,V. Koen,B. Tissot Pdf

Economic Forecasting provides a comprehensive overview of macroeconomic forecasting. The focus is first on a wide range of theories as well as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts, and sectoral forecasting. In addition, the book addresses the main issues surrounding the use of forecasts (accuracy, communication challenges) and their policy implications. A tour of the economic data and forecasting institutions is also provided.

Practical Business Forecasting

Michael K. Evans
Practical Business Forecasting Book PDF

Author : Michael K. Evans
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 556 pages
File Size : 55,8 Mb
Release : 2002-05-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0631220658

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Practical Business Forecasting by Michael K. Evans Pdf

Stressing the concrete applications of economic forecasting, Practical Business Forecasting is accessible to a wide-range of readers, requiring only a familiarity with basic statistics. The text focuses on the use of models in forecasting, explaining how to build practical forecasting models that produce optimal results. In a clear and detailed format, the text covers estimating and forecasting with single and multi- equation models, univariate time-series modeling, and determining forecasting accuracy. Additionally, case studies throughout the book illustrate how the models are actually estimated and adjusted to generate accurate forecasts. After reading this text, students and readers should have a clearer idea of the reasoning and choices involved in building models, and a deeper foundation in estimating econometric models used in practical business forecasting.

Economic Forecasting

Graham Elliott,Allan Timmermann
Economic Forecasting Book PDF

Author : Graham Elliott,Allan Timmermann
Publisher : Princeton University Press
Page : 566 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 2016-04-05
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780691140131

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Economic Forecasting by Graham Elliott,Allan Timmermann Pdf

A comprehensive and integrated approach to economic forecasting problems Economic forecasting involves choosing simple yet robust models to best approximate highly complex and evolving data-generating processes. This poses unique challenges for researchers in a host of practical forecasting situations, from forecasting budget deficits and assessing financial risk to predicting inflation and stock market returns. Economic Forecasting presents a comprehensive, unified approach to assessing the costs and benefits of different methods currently available to forecasters. This text approaches forecasting problems from the perspective of decision theory and estimation, and demonstrates the profound implications of this approach for how we understand variable selection, estimation, and combination methods for forecasting models, and how we evaluate the resulting forecasts. Both Bayesian and non-Bayesian methods are covered in depth, as are a range of cutting-edge techniques for producing point, interval, and density forecasts. The book features detailed presentations and empirical examples of a range of forecasting methods and shows how to generate forecasts in the presence of large-dimensional sets of predictor variables. The authors pay special attention to how estimation error, model uncertainty, and model instability affect forecasting performance. Presents a comprehensive and integrated approach to assessing the strengths and weaknesses of different forecasting methods Approaches forecasting from a decision theoretic and estimation perspective Covers Bayesian modeling, including methods for generating density forecasts Discusses model selection methods as well as forecast combinations Covers a large range of nonlinear prediction models, including regime switching models, threshold autoregressions, and models with time-varying volatility Features numerous empirical examples Examines the latest advances in forecast evaluation Essential for practitioners and students alike

Handbook of Economic Forecasting

Graham Elliott,Allan Timmermann
Handbook of Economic Forecasting Book PDF

Author : Graham Elliott,Allan Timmermann
Publisher : Elsevier
Page : 667 pages
File Size : 53,6 Mb
Release : 2013-08-23
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780444627407

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Handbook of Economic Forecasting by Graham Elliott,Allan Timmermann Pdf

The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

Time Series Analysis and Adjustment

Haim Y Bleikh,Professor Warren L Young
Time Series Analysis and Adjustment Book PDF

Author : Haim Y Bleikh,Professor Warren L Young
Publisher : Gower Publishing, Ltd.
Page : 149 pages
File Size : 50,7 Mb
Release : 2014-07-28
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781472400727

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Time Series Analysis and Adjustment by Haim Y Bleikh,Professor Warren L Young Pdf

In Time Series Analysis and Adjustment the authors explain how the last four decades have brought dramatic changes in the way researchers analyze economic and financial data on behalf of economic and financial institutions and provide statistics to whomsoever requires them. Such analysis has long involved what is known as econometrics, but time series analysis is a different approach driven more by data than economic theory and focused on modelling. An understanding of time series and the application and understanding of related time series adjustment procedures is essential in areas such as risk management, business cycle analysis, and forecasting. Dealing with economic data involves grappling with things like varying numbers of working and trading days in different months and movable national holidays. Special attention has to be given to such things. However, the main problem in time series analysis is randomness. In real-life, data patterns are usually unclear, and the challenge is to uncover hidden patterns in the data and then to generate accurate forecasts. The case studies in this book demonstrate that time series adjustment methods can be efficaciously applied and utilized, for both analysis and forecasting, but they must be used in the context of reasoned statistical and economic judgment. The authors believe this is the first published study to really deal with this issue of context.

Introductory Business & Economic Forecasting

Paul Newbold,Theodore Bos
Introductory Business Economic Forecasting Book PDF

Author : Paul Newbold,Theodore Bos
Publisher : Thomson South-Western
Page : 598 pages
File Size : 49,9 Mb
Release : 1994
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0538828749

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Introductory Business & Economic Forecasting by Paul Newbold,Theodore Bos Pdf

Rev. ed. of: Introductory business forecasting. 1990. Includes bibliographical references and index.

Forecasting for Economics and Business

Gloria González-Rivera
Forecasting for Economics and Business Book PDF

Author : Gloria González-Rivera
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 511 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2016-12-05
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781315510408

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Forecasting for Economics and Business by Gloria González-Rivera Pdf

For junior/senior undergraduates in a variety of fields such as economics, business administration, applied mathematics and statistics, and for graduate students in quantitative masters programs such as MBA and MA/MS in economics. A student-friendly approach to understanding forecasting. Knowledge of forecasting methods is among the most demanded qualifications for professional economists, and business people working in either the private or public sectors of the economy. The general aim of this textbook is to carefully develop sophisticated professionals, who are able to critically analyze time series data and forecasting reports because they have experienced the merits and shortcomings of forecasting practice.

Forecasting Economic Time Series

Michael Clements,David F. Hendry
Forecasting Economic Time Series Book PDF

Author : Michael Clements,David F. Hendry
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 402 pages
File Size : 40,9 Mb
Release : 1998-10-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0521634806

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Forecasting Economic Time Series by Michael Clements,David F. Hendry Pdf

An extended formal analysis of economic forecasting co-authored by one of the world's leading econometricians.

Business Forecasting

A. Reza Hoshmand
Business Forecasting Book PDF

Author : A. Reza Hoshmand
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 563 pages
File Size : 49,7 Mb
Release : 2009-12-04
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781135257125

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Business Forecasting by A. Reza Hoshmand Pdf

The information age has brought greater interconnection across the world, and transformed the global marketplace. To remain competitive, business firms look for ways of improving their ability to gauge business and economic conditions around the world. At the same time, advances in technology have revolutionized the way we process information and prepare business and economic forecasts. Secondary data searches, data collection, data entry and analysis, graphical visualization, and reporting can all be accomplished with the help of computers that provide access to information not previously available. Forecasters should therefore learn the techniques and models involved, as applied in this new era. Business Forecasting: A Practical Approach is intended as an applied text for students and practitioners of forecasting who have some background in economics and statistics. The presentation is conceptual in nature with emphasis on rationale, application, and interpretation of the most commonly used forecasting techniques. The goal of this book is to provide students and managers with an overview of a broad range of techniques and an understanding of the strengths and weaknesses of each approach. It is based on the assumption that forecasting skills are best developed and retained by starting with simple models, followed by repeated exposure to real world examples. The book makes extensive use of international examples to amplify concepts.