Financial Contagion Through Bank Deleveraging

Author : Mr.Thierry Tressel
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 39 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2010-10-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781455209361

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Financial Contagion Through Bank Deleveraging by Mr.Thierry Tressel Pdf

The financial crisis has highlighted the importance of various channels of financial contagion across countries. This paper first presents stylized facts of international banking activities during the crisis. It then describes a simple model of financial contagion based on bank balance sheet identities and behavioral assumptions of deleveraging. Cascade effects can be triggered by bank losses or contractions of interbank lending activities. As a result of shocks on assets or on liabilities of banks, a global deleveraging of international banking activities can occur. Simple simulations are presented to illustrate the use of the model and the relative importance of contagion channels, relying on bank losses of advanced countries’ banking systems during the financial crisis to calibrate the shock. The outcome of the simulations is compared with the deleveraging observed during the crisis suggesting that leverage is a major determinant of financial contagion.

Author : Ms.Yevgeniya Korniyenko,Manasa Patnam,Rita Maria del Rio-Chanon,Mason A. Porter
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 41 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 2018-05-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484353240

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Evolution of the Global Financial Network and Contagion: A New Approach by Ms.Yevgeniya Korniyenko,Manasa Patnam,Rita Maria del Rio-Chanon,Mason A. Porter Pdf

This paper studies the interconnectedness of the global financial system and its susceptibility to shocks. A novel multilayer network framework is applied to link debt and equity exposures across countries. Use of this approach—that examines simultaneously multiple channels of transmission and their important higher order effects—shows that ignoring the heterogeneity of financial exposures, and simply aggregating all claims, as often done in other studies, can underestimate the extent and effects of financial contagion.The structure of the global financial network has changed since the global financial crisis, impacted by European bank’s deleveraging and higher corporate debt issuance. Still, we find that the structure of the system and contagion remain similar in that network is highly susceptible to shocks from central countries and those with large financial systems (e.g., the USA and the UK). While, individual European countries (excluding the UK) have relatively low impact on shock propagation, the network is highly susceptible to the shocks from the entire euro area. Another important development is the rising role of the Asian countries and the noticeable increase in network susceptibility to shocks from China and Hong Kong SAR economies.

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 40 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 2018
Category : Electronic
ISBN : OCLC:1293387752

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Evolution of the Global Financial Network and Contagion by Anonim Pdf

Author : Mr.Eugenio Cerutti,Mr.Stijn Claessens
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 38 pages
File Size : 43,7 Mb
Release : 2014-09-25
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498332620

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The Great Cross-Border Bank Deleveraging by Mr.Eugenio Cerutti,Mr.Stijn Claessens Pdf

International banks greatly reduced their direct cross-border and local affiliates’ lending as the global financial crisis strained balance sheets, lowered borrower demand, and changed government policies. Using bilateral, lender-borrower countrydata and controlling for credit demand, we show that reductions largely varied in line with markets’ prior assessments of banks’ vulnerabilities, with banks’ financial statement variables and lender-borrower country characteristics playing minor roles. We find evidence that moving resources within banking groups became more restricted as drivers of reductions in direct cross-border loans differ from those for local affiliates’ lending, especially for impaired banking systems. Home bias induced by government interventions, however, affected both equally.

Author : Mr.Eugenio Cerutti,Mr.Stijn Claessens
Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 2014-09-25
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1498354785

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The Great Cross-Border Bank Deleveraging by Mr.Eugenio Cerutti,Mr.Stijn Claessens Pdf

International banks greatly reduced their direct cross-border and local affiliates’ lending as the global financial crisis strained balance sheets, lowered borrower demand, and changed government policies. Using bilateral, lender-borrower countrydata and controlling for credit demand, we show that reductions largely varied in line with markets’ prior assessments of banks’ vulnerabilities, with banks’ financial statement variables and lender-borrower country characteristics playing minor roles. We find evidence that moving resources within banking groups became more restricted as drivers of reductions in direct cross-border loans differ from those for local affiliates’ lending, especially for impaired banking systems. Home bias induced by government interventions, however, affected both equally.

Author : Falk Bräuning,Falko Fecht
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 43,7 Mb
Release : 2016
Category : Electronic
ISBN : OCLC:959697816

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Relationship Lending in the Interbank Market and the Price of Liquidity by Falk Bräuning,Falko Fecht Pdf

Author : T. R. Hurd
Publisher : Springer
Page : 139 pages
File Size : 54,6 Mb
Release : 2016-05-25
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9783319339306

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Contagion! Systemic Risk in Financial Networks by T. R. Hurd Pdf

This volume presents a unified mathematical framework for the transmission channels for damaging shocks that can lead to instability in financial systems. As the title suggests, financial contagion is analogous to the spread of disease, and damaging financial crises may be better understood by bringing to bear ideas from studying other complex systems in our world. After considering how people have viewed financial crises and systemic risk in the past, it delves into the mechanics of the interactions between banking counterparties. It finds a common mathematical structure for types of crises that proceed through cascade mappings that approach a cascade equilibrium. Later chapters follow this theme, starting from the underlying random skeleton graph, developing into the theory of bootstrap percolation, ultimately leading to techniques that can determine the large scale nature of contagious financial cascades.

Author : Mehmet Ziya Gorpe,Giovanni Covi,Christoffer Kok
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 63 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2019-05-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498312073

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CoMap: Mapping Contagion in the Euro Area Banking Sector by Mehmet Ziya Gorpe,Giovanni Covi,Christoffer Kok Pdf

This paper presents a novel approach to investigate and model the network of euro area banks’ large exposures within the global banking system. Drawing on a unique dataset, the paper documents the degree of interconnectedness and systemic risk of the euro area banking system based on bilateral linkages. We develop a Contagion Mapping model fully calibrated with bank-level data to study the contagion potential of an exogenous shock via credit and funding risks. We find that tipping points shifting the euro area banking system from a less vulnerable state to a highly vulnerable state are a non-linear function of the combination of network structures and bank-specific characteristics.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 2015-04-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1498372937

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Global Financial Stability Report, April 2015 by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department Pdf

The current report finds that, despite an improvement in economic prospects in some key advanced economies, new challenges to global financial stability have arisen. The global financial system is being buffeted by a series of changes, including lower oil prices and, in some cases, diverging growth patterns and monetary policies. Expectations for rising U.S. policy rates sparked a significant appreciation of the U.S. dollar, while long term bond yields in many advanced economies have decreased—and have turned negative for almost a third of euro area sovereign bonds—on disinflation concerns and the prospect of continued monetary accommodation. Emerging markets are caught in these global cross currents, with some oil exporters and other facing new stability challenges, while others have gained more policy space as a result of lower fuel prices and reduced inflationary pressures. The report also examines changes in international banking since the global financial crisis and finds that these changes are likely to promote more stable bank lending in host countries. Finally, the report finds that the asset management industry needs to strengthen its oversight framework to address financial stability risks from incentive problems between end-investors and portfolio managers and the risk of runs due to liquidity mismatches.

Author : M. Ayhan Kose,Peter Nagle,Franziska Ohnsorge,Naotaka Sugawara
Publisher : World Bank Publications
Page : 403 pages
File Size : 54,6 Mb
Release : 2021-03-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781464815454

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Global Waves of Debt by M. Ayhan Kose,Peter Nagle,Franziska Ohnsorge,Naotaka Sugawara Pdf

The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.

Author : Mr.Luc Laeven,Ms.Deniz Igan,Mr.Stijn Claessens,Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 42 pages
File Size : 48,5 Mb
Release : 2010-02-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781451963021

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Lessons and Policy Implications from the Global Financial Crisis by Mr.Luc Laeven,Ms.Deniz Igan,Mr.Stijn Claessens,Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia Pdf

The ongoing global financial crisis is rooted in a combination of factors common to previous financial crises and some new factors. The crisis has brought to light a number of deficiencies in financial regulation and architecture, particularly in the treatment of systemically important financial institutions, the assessments of systemic risks and vulnerabilities, and the resolution of financial institutions. The global nature of the financial crisis has made clear that financially integrated markets, while offering many benefits, can also pose significant risks, with large real economic consequences. Deep reforms are therefore needed to the international financial architecture to safeguard the stability of an increasingly financially integrated world.

Author : Markus Brunnermeier,Arvind Krishnamurthy
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 286 pages
File Size : 50,5 Mb
Release : 2014-10-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780226092645

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Risk Topography by Markus Brunnermeier,Arvind Krishnamurthy Pdf

The recent financial crisis and the difficulty of using mainstream macroeconomic models to accurately monitor and assess systemic risk have stimulated new analyses of how we measure economic activity and the development of more sophisticated models in which the financial sector plays a greater role. Markus Brunnermeier and Arvind Krishnamurthy have assembled contributions from leading academic researchers, central bankers, and other financial-market experts to explore the possibilities for advancing macroeconomic modeling in order to achieve more accurate economic measurement. Essays in this volume focus on the development of models capable of highlighting the vulnerabilities that leave the economy susceptible to adverse feedback loops and liquidity spirals. While these types of vulnerabilities have often been identified, they have not been consistently measured. In a financial world of increasing complexity and uncertainty, this volume is an invaluable resource for policymakers working to improve current measurement systems and for academics concerned with conceptualizing effective measurement.

Author : Mr.Stijn Claessens,Mr.Ayhan Kose
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 66 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 2013-01-30
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475561005

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Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications by Mr.Stijn Claessens,Mr.Ayhan Kose Pdf

This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 94 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 2012-04-18
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781616352479

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Global Financial Stability Report, April 2012 by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department Pdf

The April 2012 Global Financial Stability Report assesses changes in risks to financial stability over the past six months, focusing on sovereign vulnerabilities, risks stemming from private sector deleveraging, and assessing the continued resilience of emerging markets. The report probes the implications of recent reforms in the financial system for market perception of safe assets, and investigates the growing public and private costs of increased longevity risk from aging populations.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 24 pages
File Size : 48,5 Mb
Release : 2013-03-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484319413

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Costa Rica by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Pdf

This article is a synopsis on Costa Rica’s international spillovers, potential estimates, fiscal challenges, and banking systems. Spillovers are originated by cross-country trade and financial linkages, and also by the impact of global fiscal consolidation. The banking sector has about one-third foreign bank assets, and these foreign investments are controlled by the United States. So a shock in the United States or China will have adverse effects on Costa Rica. To have a medium- and long-term sustainability, Costa Rica needs to have some fiscal adjustments.