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Author : CD Moulton
Publisher : Lulu.com
Page : 197 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 2024-05-20
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9781365331046
Author : C. D. Moulton
Publisher : Flight of the Maita
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2022-07-03
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9798201875916
The crew go adventuring. They discover the Freenz. Part two, Tab poses as an alchemist in a developing society that is experiencing some kind of interference.
Author : CD Moulton
Publisher : Lulu.com
Page : 272 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 2024-05-20
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9781329913219
Author : Sergio Baldi
Publisher : BRILL
Page : 455 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2020-11-30
Category : Reference
ISBN : 9789004438484
Dictionary of Arabic Loanwords in the Languages of Central and East Africa analyzes around 3000 Arabic loanwords in more than 50 languages in the area, and completes the work started in a previous similar work on West Africa.
Author : Philip E. Tetlock,Dan Gardner
Publisher : Crown
Page : 352 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2015-09-29
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780804136709
NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.
Author : Jimmy Mans
Publisher : Sidestone Press
Page : 334 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 2012
Category : History
ISBN : 9789088900983
In this book the concept of mobility is explored for the archaeology of the Amazonian and Caribbean region. As a result of technological and methodological progress in archaeology, mobility has become increasingly visible on the level of the individual. However, as a concept it does not seem to fit with current approaches in Amazonian archaeology, which favour a move away from viewing small mobile groups as models for the deeper past. Instead of ignoring such ethnographic tyrannies, in this book they are considered to be essential for arriving at a different past. Viewing archaeological mobility as the sum of movements of both people and objects, the empirical part of Amotopoan Trails focuses on Amotopo, a small contemporary Trio village in the interior of Suriname. The movements of the Amotopoans are tracked and positioned in a century of Trio dynamics, ultimately yielding a recent archaeology of Surinamese-Trio movements for the Sipaliwini River basin (1907-2008). Alongside the construction of this archaeology, novel mobility concepts are introduced. They provide the conceptual footholds which enable the envisioning of mobility at various temporal scales, from a decade up to a century, the sequence of which has remained a blind spot in Caribbean and Amazonian archaeology.
Author : Talal Abu-Ghazaleh
Publisher : Al Manhal
Page : 176 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2015-01-01
Category : Biography & Autobiography
ISBN : 9796500183381
“Blankets become Jackets” and Selected Stories of A Life Blessed by Suffering captures the story behind the man. Dubbed the godfather of accounting Talal Abu-Ghazaleh who was driven from being a refugee to become a world leader in the business world. Motivated by the hardships of his people-the Palestinians- who are still suffering from Israeli occupation, he built a business empire recognized worldwide. From being a young boy wearing a jacket made by his mother from a blanket to a global figure who placed his potential at the service of the world around him despite all challenges. This is a powerful and descriptive vision by a person who believed in a better future more than a gloomy past.
Author : Paul Brians
Publisher : Franklin, Beedle & Associates, Inc.
Page : 261 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 2003
Category : English language
ISBN : 9781887902892
Online version of Common Errors in English Usage written by Paul Brians.
Author : Meredith Sue Willis
Publisher : iUniverse
Page : 227 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 2005-03
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9780595343980
Willis fleshes out with warmth and tenderness the complexities of family love, which not only defines commitment but deepens the need. An important new talent. -The Kirkus Reviews This is the story of a broken family trying to mend itself through three generations. It is a painful but essential process, and like all such repair jobs, it is only partly successful. Before it is over we come to know John and Vera and Mary Kay, as well as Vera's daughters, Lee and Tonie-to understand the wars they must declare and the peaces that they are able to proclaim within the state of being Scarlins. -The Philadelphia Inquirer Willis views the Scarlin family ties and loyalties, limits and tensions, with realism, sensitivity and precision. A noteworthy first novel. -Publisher's Weekly
Author : Kathleen M. Galotti
Publisher : SAGE
Page : 497 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2020
Category : Cognition
ISBN : 9781412974103
Author : Fred Karlsson
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 417 pages
File Size : 53,5 Mb
Release : 2013-02
Category : Foreign Language Study
ISBN : 9781134070534
This second edition of Finnish: An Essential Grammar has undergone profound revisions. The chapter on basic sentence structure has been rewritten and syntax has been given more space. Sections have been added on phrase types, simple clause types, and types of complex sentences. A section on discourse particles has been added. The vocabulary of the copious example sentences has been updated to give it a touch of the twenty-first century. The section on modern colloquial Finnish has been considerably expanded. Internet addresses helpful for any learner of Finnish are provided which make is possible to automatically analyse the grammatical structure of any Finnish words and sentences. It gives not only a systematic account of the structures of the written language, but also features the characteristics of colloquial Finnish. No prior knowledge is assumed on the part of the reader and grammatical rules are clearly explained without jargon. Features include: pronunciation guide, including the tendencies in present-day colloquial Finnish thorough descriptions of morphology (word structure) and syntax (sentence structure) clear rules and an abundance of concrete examples inflection tables subject index internet addresses to online software for grammatical analysis of Finnish. This is the ideal reference source both for those studying Finnish independently and for students in schools, colleges, universities and adult classes of all types.
Author : Harry Kloman
Publisher : iUniverse
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2010-10-04
Category : Cooking
ISBN : 9781450258678
How old is Ethiopian cuisine and the unique way of eating it? Ethiopians proudly say their cuisine goes back 3,000 to 5,000 years. Archaeologists and historians now believe it emerged in the first millennium A.D. in Aksum, an ancient kingdom that occupied whats now the northern region of Ethiopia and the southern region of neighboring Eritrea. But regardless of when Ethiopians began to eat spicy wots atop the spongy flatbread injera, or when they first drank the intoxicating honey wine called tej, their cuisine remains unique in the world. Mesob Across America: Ethiopian Food in the U.S.A. brings together what respected scholars and passionate Ethiopians know and believe about this delectable cuisine. From the ingredients of the Ethiopian kitchen the foods, the spices, and the ways of combining them to a close-up look at the cuisines history and culture, Mesob Across America is both comprehensive and anecdotal. Explore the history of how restaurant communities emerged in the U.S., and visit them as they exist today. Learn how to prepare a five-course Ethiopian meal, including homemade tej. And solve the mystery of when Ethiopian food made its debut in America which was not when most Ethiopians think it did.
Author : Claus Madsen
Publisher : ESO
Page : 564 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 2012
Category : Nature
ISBN : 9783527412037
Die Geschichte der Europäischen SÃ1/4dsternwarte (ESO) nimmt den Leser mit auf eine Reise von den ersten Teleskopen bis hin zu zukÃ1/4nftigen Projekten und verdeutlicht, wie der stete Fortschritt unsere Sicht auf das Universum immer wieder verändert.
Author : Rudy Rucker
Publisher : Tor Books
Page : 324 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 2009-02-03
Category : Fiction
ISBN : 9781466804876
It all begins next year in California. A maladjusted computer industry billionaire and a somewhat crazy US President initiate a radical transformation of the world through sentient nanotechnology; sort of the equivalent of biological artificial intelligence. At first they succeed, but their plans are reversed by Chu, an autistic boy. The next time it isn't so easy to stop them. Most of the story takes place in a world after a heretofore unimaginable transformation, where all the things look the same but all the people are different (they're able to read each others' minds, for starters). Travel to and from other nearby worlds in the quantum universe is possible, so now our world is visited by giant humanoids from another quantum universe, and some of them mean to tidy up the mess we've made. Or maybe just run things. At the Publisher's request, this title is being sold without Digital Rights Management Software (DRM) applied.
Author : Alistair Coleman
Publisher : Penguin UK
Page : 192 pages
File Size : 46,8 Mb
Release : 2018-11-15
Category : Photography
ISBN : 9781405938969
The news can be overwhelming, with reports on post-Brexit food shortages, the underfunded NHS, and international trade wars, but local news is filled with many other serious matters. ___________ Naked gardener puts neighbour off sausages Sports coach irate because KFC staff 'didn't cook him chicken' Fury after Morrisons wouldn't sell couple meat pies before 9am House fire started by squirrel disrupts funeral People across the UK are suffering the horrors of naked neighbours, large potholes, and parking fines. Packed with the best that regional journalism can offer, there are chapters on antisocial behaviour, transport hell and fast-food nightmares. Local issues may not be worthy of national headlines, but they certainly make people very, very angry...