Forecasting Fundamentals

Author : Nada Sanders
Publisher : Business Expert Press
Page : 122 pages
File Size : 54,5 Mb
Release : 2016-11-14
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781606498712

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Forecasting Fundamentals by Nada Sanders Pdf

This book is for everyone who wants to make better forecasts. It is not about mathematics and statistics. It is about following a well-established forecasting process to create and implement good forecasts. This is true whether you are forecasting global markets, sales of SKUs, competitive strategy, or market disruptions. Today, most forecasts are generated using software. However, no amount of technology and statistics can compensate for a poor forecasting process. Forecasting is not just about generating a number. Forecasters need to understand the problems they are trying to solve. They also need to follow a process that is justifiable to other parties and be implemented in practice. This is what the book is about. Accurate forecasts are essential for predicting demand, identifying new market opportunities, forecasting risks, disruptions, innovation, competition, market growth and trends. Companies can navigate this daunting landscape and improve their forecasts by following some well-established principles. This book is written to provide the fundamentals business leaders need in order to make good forecasts. These fundamentals hold true regardless of what is being forecast and what technology is being used. It provides the basic foundational principles all companies need to achieve competitive forecast accuracy.

Author : Rob J Hyndman,George Athanasopoulos
Publisher : OTexts
Page : 380 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2018-05-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780987507112

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Forecasting: principles and practice by Rob J Hyndman,George Athanasopoulos Pdf

Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

Author : Kenneth D. Lawrence,Ronald K. Klimberg,Sheila M. Lawrence
Publisher : Industrial Press Inc.
Page : 212 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2009
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 083113335X

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Fundamentals of Forecasting Using Excel by Kenneth D. Lawrence,Ronald K. Klimberg,Sheila M. Lawrence Pdf

Forecasting is an integral part of almost all business enterprises. This book provides readers with the tools to analyze their data, develop forecasting models and present the results in Excel. Progressing from data collection, data presentation, to a step-by-step development of the forecasting techniques, this essential text covers techniques that include but not limited to time series-moving average, exponential smoothing, trending, simple and multiple regression, and Box-Jenkins. And unlike other products of its kind that require either high-priced statistical software or Excel add-ins, this book does not require such software. It can be used both as a primary text and as a supplementary text. Highlights the use of Excel screen shots, data tables, and graphs. Features Full Scale Use of Excel in Forecasting without the Use of Specialized Forecast Packages Includes Excel templates. Emphasizes the practical application of forecasting. Provides coverage of Special Forecasting, including New Product Forecasting, Network Models Forecasting, Links to Input/Output Modeling, and Combination of Forecasting.

Author : William G. Sullivan,William W. Claycombe
Publisher : Prentice Hall
Page : 312 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 1977
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : MINN:31951001409220I

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Fundamentals of Forecasting by William G. Sullivan,William W. Claycombe Pdf

Textbook on forecasting techniques - deals with data collecting, statistical analysis (eg regression techniques, smoothing, delphi method), and statistical computing. Graphs, references and statistical tables.

Author : Chaman L. Jain,Jack Malehorn
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 402 pages
File Size : 43,5 Mb
Release : 2012
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 0983941300

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Fundamentals of Demand Planning and Forecasting by Chaman L. Jain,Jack Malehorn Pdf

Author : William G. Sullivan,W Wayne Claycombe
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 292 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 1979
Category : Business forecasting
ISBN : OCLC:793522961

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Fundamentals of Forecasting by William G. Sullivan,W Wayne Claycombe Pdf

Author : Jean Coiffier
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 363 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2011-12-01
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781139502702

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Fundamentals of Numerical Weather Prediction by Jean Coiffier Pdf

Numerical models have become essential tools in environmental science, particularly in weather forecasting and climate prediction. This book provides a comprehensive overview of the techniques used in these fields, with emphasis on the design of the most recent numerical models of the atmosphere. It presents a short history of numerical weather prediction and its evolution, before describing the various model equations and how to solve them numerically. It outlines the main elements of a meteorological forecast suite, and the theory is illustrated throughout with practical examples of operational models and parameterizations of physical processes. This book is founded on the author's many years of experience, as a scientist at Météo-France and teaching university-level courses. It is a practical and accessible textbook for graduate courses and a handy resource for researchers and professionals in atmospheric physics, meteorology and climatology, as well as the related disciplines of fluid dynamics, hydrology and oceanography.

Author : Stefan Luckner,Jan Schröder,Christian Slamka,Bernd Skiera,Martin Spann,Christof Weinhardt,Andreas Geyer-Schulz,Markus Franke
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 141 pages
File Size : 45,8 Mb
Release : 2011-11-04
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783834970855

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Prediction Markets by Stefan Luckner,Jan Schröder,Christian Slamka,Bernd Skiera,Martin Spann,Christof Weinhardt,Andreas Geyer-Schulz,Markus Franke Pdf

Accurate predictions are essential in many areas such as corporate decision making, weather forecasting and technology forecasting. Prediction markets help to aggregate information and gain a better understanding of the future by leveraging the wisdom of the crowds. Trading prices in prediction markets thus reflect the traders’ aggregated expectations on the outcome of uncertain future events and can be used to predict the likelihood of these events. This book demonstrates that markets are accurate predictors. Results from several empirical studies reported in this work show the importance of designing such markets properly in order to derive valuable predictions. Therefore, the findings are valuable for designing future prediction markets.

Author : Martin D. D. Evans
Publisher : Princeton University Press
Page : 561 pages
File Size : 54,7 Mb
Release : 2011-03-14
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781400838844

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Exchange-Rate Dynamics by Martin D. D. Evans Pdf

A comprehensive and in-depth look at exchange-rate dynamics Variations in the foreign exchange market influence all aspects of the world economy, and understanding these dynamics is one of the great challenges of international economics. This book provides a new, comprehensive, and in-depth examination of the standard theories and latest research in exchange-rate economics. Covering a vast swath of theoretical and empirical work, the book explores established theories of exchange-rate determination using macroeconomic fundamentals, and presents unique microbased approaches that combine the insights of microstructure models with the macroeconomic forces driving currency trading. Macroeconomic models have long assumed that agents—households, firms, financial institutions, and central banks—all have the same information about the structure of the economy and therefore hold the same expectations and uncertainties regarding foreign currency returns. Microbased models, however, look at how heterogeneous information influences the trading decisions of agents and becomes embedded in exchange rates. Replicating key features of actual currency markets, these microbased models generate a rich array of empirical predictions concerning trading patterns and exchange-rate dynamics that are strongly supported by data. The models also show how changing macroeconomic conditions exert an influence on short-term exchange-rate dynamics via their impact on currency trading. Designed for graduate courses in international macroeconomics, international finance, and finance, and as a go-to reference for researchers in international economics, Exchange-Rate Dynamics guides readers through a range of literature on exchange-rate determination, offering fresh insights for further reading and research. Comprehensive and in-depth examination of the latest research in exchange-rate economics Outlines theoretical and empirical research across the spectrum of modeling approaches Presents new results on the importance of currency trading in exchange-rate determination Provides new perspectives on long-standing puzzles in exchange-rate economics End-of-chapter questions cement key ideas

Author : George Wilton
Publisher : Az Boek
Page : 49 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2024-04-27
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9786256315822

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Financial forecasting: tools and techniques for stability by George Wilton Pdf

Author : N. Carnot,V. Koen,B. Tissot
Publisher : Springer
Page : 495 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2011-07-26
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780230306448

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Economic Forecasting and Policy by N. Carnot,V. Koen,B. Tissot Pdf

Economic Forecasting provides a comprehensive overview of macroeconomic forecasting. The focus is first on a wide range of theories as well as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts, and sectoral forecasting.

Author : Javier Contreras
Publisher : MDPI
Page : 259 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2018-04-06
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9783038424154

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Forecasting Models of Electricity Prices by Javier Contreras Pdf

This book is a printed edition of the Special Issue "Forecasting Models of Electricity Prices" that was published in Energies

Author : Roger Mason,Roger Mason Ltd
Publisher : Teach Yourself
Page : 120 pages
File Size : 50,6 Mb
Release : 2013-02-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781444182750

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Successful Budgeting and Forecasting in a Week: Teach Yourself by Roger Mason,Roger Mason Ltd Pdf

The book will enable readers to understand the purposes of the different budgets and forecasts and it will explain in detail how they are prepared and used. In many cases budgeting is an important (and often unpopular) part of their job and the book will show them how to do it more effectively and more quickly. It should increase their confidence and develop their management skills. The book will not just focus on the technical sides of budgeting - it will also focus on the softer skills of getting buy-in and navigating company political.

Author : Shawn Milrad
Publisher : Elsevier
Page : 246 pages
File Size : 42,7 Mb
Release : 2017-11-16
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780128092569

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Synoptic Analysis and Forecasting by Shawn Milrad Pdf

Synoptic Analysis and Forecasting: An Introductory Toolkit provides the bridge between the introductory fundamentals of a meteorology course and advanced synoptic-dynamic analysis for undergraduate students. It helps students to understand the principles of weather analysis, which will complement computer forecast models. This valuable reference also imparts qualitative weather analysis and forecasting tools and techniques to non-meteorologist end users, such as emergency/disaster managers, aviation experts, and environmental health and safety experts who need to have a foundational knowledge of weather forecasting. Presents the fundamentals of weather analysis and forecasting Offers clear accessible writing aimed at students from a variety of mathematical backgrounds Discusses the reading and interpretation of surface observations and METAR code, processes associated with the motion and intensity of cyclones and anticyclones, and quantitative and/or qualitative diagnosis of processes associated with ascent and descent

Author : George Kress
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 257 pages
File Size : 51,8 Mb
Release : 1988
Category : Electronic
ISBN : OCLC:848354377

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Practical Techniques of Business Forecasting by George Kress Pdf