Imf Lending In An Interconnected World

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IMF Lending in an Interconnected World

Jean-Guillaume Poulain,Julien Reynaud
IMF Lending in an Interconnected World Book PDF

Author : Jean-Guillaume Poulain,Julien Reynaud
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 30 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 2017-07-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484308967

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IMF Lending in an Interconnected World by Jean-Guillaume Poulain,Julien Reynaud Pdf

We analyze the determinants of IMF lending since the early nineties, a period during which the roles of financial cycles and interconnectedness as amplifiers and transmitters of economic crises have gained prominence. First, we show that the global financial cycle is an important driver of IMF lending cycles. Second, using a panel of 91 advanced, emerging, and frontier economies over 1992-2014, we show that global factors and interconnectedness, as proxied by a countries’ potential exposure to economic spillovers from trade partners, together with more traditional idiosyncratic factors, have a significant impact on the probability that a member country obtains financial assistance from the IMF. Our results are robust to various robustness checks. The approach presented in this paper can be used to assess future demand for IMF financial assistance.

Assessing IMF Lending: a Model of Sample Selection

Nicolas Mäder,Jean-Guillaume Poulain,Julien Reynaud
Assessing IMF Lending a Model of Sample Selection Book PDF

Author : Nicolas Mäder,Jean-Guillaume Poulain,Julien Reynaud
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 23 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2019-07-19
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498324618

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Assessing IMF Lending: a Model of Sample Selection by Nicolas Mäder,Jean-Guillaume Poulain,Julien Reynaud Pdf

Extending previous work on the determinants of IMF lending in an interconnected world, we introduce a model of sample selection in which both selection and size dimensions of individual IMF arrangements are presented within a unified econometric framework. We allow for unobserved heterogeneity to create an additional channel for sample selection at the country level. The results suggest that higher external financing needs, larger exchange rate depreciation, lower GDP growth, as well as deteriorated global financial conditions, are associated with larger individual IMF arrangement sizes. Using the estimated parameters, Monte Carlo simulation of a wide spectrum of global shock scenarios suggest that the distribution of potential aggregate IMF lending exhibits a substantial right tail. Our approach may provide an insightful input to broader policy discussions on the adequacy of the IMF resources.

The IMF and the Future

Graham Bird
The IMF and the Future Book PDF

Author : Graham Bird
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 314 pages
File Size : 45,8 Mb
Release : 2014-05-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781134700707

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The IMF and the Future by Graham Bird Pdf

The International Monetary Fund has been criticised from both the right and the left of the political spectrum with the right arguing that it is too interventionist and creates more problems than it solves and the left on occasion demanding that it be abolished altogether. What seems almost beyond question is that the IMF needs to be reformed. Defining a future role for the IMF will always be a controversial issue, but vital to any considerations will be a measured assessment of how it has operated in the past. This excellent new book from an internationally respected expert on the IMF intends to do just that. Starting with an historical background tracing the evolution of the IMF, the book goes on to cover such themes as: *The circumstances under which countries turn to the IMF *The various aspects of IMF conditionality *Institutional issues such as lending facilities and how the fund is resourced. Bringing together an array of articles, this excellent new book will undoubtedly be required reading for anyone with a serious interest in development studies as well as being an eye-opening read for policy makers involved with the IMF.

IMF Lending in an Interconnected World

Jean-Guillaume Poulain,Julien Reynaud
IMF Lending in an Interconnected World Book PDF

Author : Jean-Guillaume Poulain,Julien Reynaud
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 30 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 2017-07-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484305867

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IMF Lending in an Interconnected World by Jean-Guillaume Poulain,Julien Reynaud Pdf

We analyze the determinants of IMF lending since the early nineties, a period during which the roles of financial cycles and interconnectedness as amplifiers and transmitters of economic crises have gained prominence. First, we show that the global financial cycle is an important driver of IMF lending cycles. Second, using a panel of 91 advanced, emerging, and frontier economies over 1992-2014, we show that global factors and interconnectedness, as proxied by a countries’ potential exposure to economic spillovers from trade partners, together with more traditional idiosyncratic factors, have a significant impact on the probability that a member country obtains financial assistance from the IMF. Our results are robust to various robustness checks. The approach presented in this paper can be used to assess future demand for IMF financial assistance.

International Monetary Fund Annual Report 2019 Financial Statements

International Monetary Fund
International Monetary Fund Annual Report 2019 Financial Statements Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 122 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 2019-10-04
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513511726

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International Monetary Fund Annual Report 2019 Financial Statements by International Monetary Fund Pdf

The audited consolidated financial statements of the International Monetary Fund as of April 30, 2019 and 2018

Understanding Financial Interconnectedness

International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department,International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department,International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept.
Understanding Financial Interconnectedness Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department,International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department,International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 45 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2010-04-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498336758

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Understanding Financial Interconnectedness by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department,International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department,International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept. Pdf

This paper seeks to advance our understanding of global financial interconnectedness by (i) mapping aspects of the architecture of global finance and (ii) investigating critical fault lines related to interconnectedness along which systemic risks were built up and shocks transmitted in the crisis. It thus takes initial steps toward operationalizing enhanced financial sector and macro-financial surveillance called for by the IMF’s Executive Board and by experts such as de Larosiere et al. (2009). Getting a better handle on interconnectedness would strengthen the Fund‘s ability, together with the Financial Stability Board, to track systemic risk concentrations. It would also inform spillover and vulnerability analyses, and sharpen bilateral and multilateral surveillance.

The International Monetary Fund in the Global Economy

Mark S. Copelovitch
The International Monetary Fund in the Global Economy Book PDF

Author : Mark S. Copelovitch
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 375 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 2010
Category : Electronic books
ISBN : 0511716079

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The International Monetary Fund in the Global Economy by Mark S. Copelovitch Pdf

"The explosive growth and increasing complexity of global financial markets are defining characteristics of the contemporary world economy. Unfortunately, financial globalization has been accompanied by a marked increase in the frequency and severity of financial crises. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has taken a central role in managing these crises through its loans to developing countries. Despite extensive analysis and criticism of the IMF in recent years, key questions remain unanswered. Why does the Fund treat some countries more generously than others? To what extent is IMF lending driven by political factors rather than economic concerns? In whose interests does the IMF act? In this book, Mark Copelovitch offers novel answers to these questions. Combining statistical analysis with detailed case studies, he demonstrates how the politics and policies of the IMF have evolved over the last three decades in response to fundamental changes in the composition of international capital flows"--Provided by publisher.

International Monetary Fund Annual Report 2019

International Monetary Fund. Secretary's Department
International Monetary Fund Annual Report 2019 Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Secretary's Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 108 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 2019-10-04
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498321563

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International Monetary Fund Annual Report 2019 by International Monetary Fund. Secretary's Department Pdf

This issue of Annual Report discusses that the global economy is at a delicate moment. The expansion of early 2018 has lost momentum, in large part in response to rising trade tensions. There are threats from rising financial vulnerabilities and geopolitical uncertainties. These challenges call for policymakers to avoid missteps and to take the right policy steps: at home, across borders, and globally. In addition to several major reviews looking at IMF conditionality, economic and financial surveillance, and lending facilities, the management has deepened its analysis on trade spillovers and financial stability and are revamping frameworks for debt sustainability assessment in low-income and market access countries. Building on earlier research that showed how trade can boost incomes and living standards by enabling the flow of technology across countries, the October 2018 World Economic Outlook provided illustrative scenarios of the potential impact of escalating trade tensions between the United States and China.

A New Multilateralism for the 21st Century

Ms.Christine Lagarde
A New Multilateralism for the 21st Century Book PDF

Author : Ms.Christine Lagarde
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 16 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 2014-02-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513598604

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A New Multilateralism for the 21st Century by Ms.Christine Lagarde Pdf

This chapter presents the content of the Richard Dimbleby lecture, which has been delivered by an influential business or a political figure every year since 1972. Christine Lagarde, Managing Director of the IMF, delivered the 2014 lecture at Guildhall in London on February 3. The 44 nations gathering at Bretton Woods have been determined to set a new course based on the principle that peace and prosperity flow from the font of cooperation. Fundamentally, the new multilateralism needs to instil a broader sense of social responsibility on the part of all players in the modern global economy. A renewed commitment to openness and to the mutual benefits of trade and foreign investment is requested. It also requires collective responsibility for managing an international monetary system that has travelled light-years since the old Bretton Woods system. The collective responsibility would translate into all monetary institutions cooperating closely mindful of the potential impact of their policies on others.

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications

Mr.Stijn Claessens,Mr.Ayhan Kose
Financial Crises Explanations Types and Implications Book PDF

Author : Mr.Stijn Claessens,Mr.Ayhan Kose
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 66 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 2013-01-30
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475561005

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Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications by Mr.Stijn Claessens,Mr.Ayhan Kose Pdf

This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.

The Fund’s Lending Framework and Sovereign Debt - Annexes

International Monetary Fund
The Fund s Lending Framework and Sovereign Debt Annexes Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 112 pages
File Size : 49,7 Mb
Release : 2014-05-23
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498343336

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The Fund’s Lending Framework and Sovereign Debt - Annexes by International Monetary Fund Pdf

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Global Financial Stability Report, October 2019

International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Global Financial Stability Report October 2019 Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 109 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2019-10-16
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498324021

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Global Financial Stability Report, October 2019 by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department Pdf

The October 2019 Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR) identifies the current key vulnerabilities in the global financial system as the rise in corporate debt burdens, increasing holdings of riskier and more illiquid assets by institutional investors, and growing reliance on external borrowing by emerging and frontier market economies. The report proposes that policymakers mitigate these risks through stricter supervisory and macroprudential oversight of firms, strengthened oversight and disclosure for institutional investors, and the implementation of prudent sovereign debt management practices and frameworks for emerging and frontier market economies.

Global Financial Stability Report, April 2021

International Monetary Fund
Global Financial Stability Report April 2021 Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 92 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2021-04-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513569673

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Global Financial Stability Report, April 2021 by International Monetary Fund Pdf

Extraordinary policy measures have eased financial conditions and supported the economy, helping to contain financial stability risks. Chapter 1 warns that there is a pressing need to act to avoid a legacy of vulnerabilities while avoiding a broad tightening of financial conditions. Actions taken during the pandemic may have unintended consequences such as stretched valuations and rising financial vulnerabilities. The recovery is also expected to be asynchronous and divergent between advanced and emerging market economies. Given large external financing needs, several emerging markets face challenges, especially if a persistent rise in US rates brings about a repricing of risk and tighter financial conditions. The corporate sector in many countries is emerging from the pandemic overindebted, with notable differences depending on firm size and sector. Concerns about the credit quality of hard-hit borrowers and profitability are likely to weigh on the risk appetite of banks. Chapter 2 studies leverage in the nonfinancial private sector before and during the COVID-19 crisis, pointing out that policymakers face a trade-off between boosting growth in the short term by facilitating an easing of financial conditions and containing future downside risks. This trade-off may be amplified by the existing high and rapidly building leverage, increasing downside risks to future growth. The appropriate timing for deployment of macroprudential tools should be country-specific, depending on the pace of recovery, vulnerabilities, and policy tools available. Chapter 3 turns to the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on the commercial real estate sector. While there is little evidence of large price misalignments at the onset of the pandemic, signs of overvaluation have now emerged in some economies. Misalignments in commercial real estate prices, especially if they interact with other vulnerabilities, increase downside risks to future growth due to the possibility of sharp price corrections.

Canada

International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Canada Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 85 pages
File Size : 42,6 Mb
Release : 2019-06-24
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498321112

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Canada by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department Pdf

This Financial System Stability Assessment paper discusses that Canada has enjoyed favorable macroeconomic outcomes over the past decades, and its vibrant financial system continues to grow robustly. However, macrofinancial vulnerabilities—notably, elevated household debt and housing market imbalances—remain substantial, posing financial stability concerns. Various parts of the financial system are directly exposed to the housing market and/or linked through housing finance. The financial system would be able to manage severe macrofinancial shocks. Major deposit-taking institutions would remain resilient, but mortgage insurers would need additional capital in a severe adverse scenario. Housing finance is broadly resilient, notwithstanding some weaknesses in the small non-prime mortgage lending segment. Although banks’ overall capital buffers are adequate, additional required capital for mortgage exposures, along with measures to increase risk-based differentiation in mortgage pricing, would be desirable. This would help ensure adequate through-the cycle buffers, improve mortgage risk-pricing, and limit procyclical effects induced by housing market corrections.

Balance Sheet Network Analysis of Too-Connected-to-Fail Risk in Global and Domestic Banking Systems

Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau
Balance Sheet Network Analysis of Too Connected to Fail Risk in Global and Domestic Banking Systems Book PDF

Author : Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 27 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2010-04-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781455200665

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Balance Sheet Network Analysis of Too-Connected-to-Fail Risk in Global and Domestic Banking Systems by Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau Pdf

The 2008/9 financial crisis highlighted the importance of evaluating vulnerabilities owing to interconnectedness, or Too-Connected-to-Fail risk, among financial institutions for country monitoring, financial surveillance, investment analysis and risk management purposes. This paper illustrates the use of balance sheet-based network analysis to evaluate interconnectedness risk, under extreme adverse scenarios, in banking systems in mature and emerging market countries, and between individual banks in Chile, an advanced emerging market economy.