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Author : Nathan Mager
Publisher : Praeger
Page : 264 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 1987
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : STANFORD:36105038180407
A study of the Kondatieff Wave Theory in light of current evidence and experience. The book is aimed at anyone interested in general economic history, economic theory and business cycles, and Kondratieff cultists.
Author : Tessaleno C. Devezas
Publisher : IOS Press
Page : 352 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2006
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781586035884
Considerable progress has been made in understanding the underlying mechanisms driving the long-wave behaviour of the world socioeconomic development. A controversial mechanism discussed is the close relationship between K-waves and the outbreak of majors wars.
Author : Nikolaĭ Dmitrievich Kondratʹev
Publisher : [New York] : Richardson & Snyder
Page : 160 pages
File Size : 55,7 Mb
Release : 1984
Category : Business cycles
ISBN : UCSC:32106007097121
Author : Nikolai D. Kondratieff
Publisher : Ravenio Books
Page : 20 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 1978
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 8210379456XXX
THE idea that the dynamics of economic life in the capitalistic social order is not of a simple and linear but rather of a complex and cyclical character is nowadays generally recognized. Science, however, has fallen far short of clarifying the nature and the types of these cyclical, wave-like movements. When in economics we speak of cycles, we generally mean seven to eleven year business cycles. But these seven to eleven year movements are obviously not the only type of economic cycles. The dynamics of economic life is in reality more complicated. In addition to the above-mentioned cycles, which we shall agree to call “intermediate,” the existence of still shorter waves of about three and one-half years’ length has recently been shown to be probable. But that is not all. There is, indeed, reason to assume the existence of long waves of an average length of about 50 years in the capitalistic economy, a fact which still further complicates the problem of economic dynamics.
Author : Leonid E. Grinin,Tessaleno C. Devezas,Andrey V. Korotayev,Sergey Yu. Malkov,Arno Tausсh,Brian J. L. Berry,Euel Elliott,Marco Gallegati,Zenonas Norkus,Valentina M. Bondarenko,Stephen I. Ternyik,Elżbieta Mączyńska,William R. Thompson,Leo Nefiodow,Anthony Harper
Publisher : ООО "Издательство "Учитель"
Page : 224 pages
File Size : 53,9 Mb
Release : 2024-06-18
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9785705750818
Though the researchers of the theory of long and medium-term cycles are certainly worried about the economic situation, they understand that the cyclicity still remains an inevitable attribute of economic development. And Juglar's aphorism that crisis is a consequence of the preceded prosperity is still true. In this third issue of the Yearbook ‘Kondratieff Waves’ with the subtitle ‘Cycles, Crises, and Forecasts’, we present a number of insight contributions on nature, egularities, and interconnections among cycles of different duration. Some economic cycles may result in a severe economic crisis. The current one shows once again the importance of the study of cyclical dynamics and its peculiarities. Between the 1980s and 1990s the Keynesian receipts were replaced by neoliberal and monetarist ones which seemed to be miraculous as well. The depleted growth was marked with the largest global crisis of 2008 which also showed that within globalization when regulation in the international arena is impossible yet, there recur the signs of Juglar cycles of the 19th and first half of the 20th centuries with their uncontrollable upwards and sharp declines evolving into collapses and panic. This is supported by the fact that for eight years the world has been at the depressive phase. This edition will be useful for economists, social scientists, as well as for a wide range of those interested in the problems of the past, present, and future of global economy and globalization. This research has been supported by the Russian Foundation for the Humanities (Project No 16-02-14053 г).
Author : Leonid E. Grinin,Andrey V. Korotayev,Askar A. Akaev,Brian J. L. Berry,Valentina M. Bondarenko,Tessaleno C. Devezas,Claude Diebolt,Sergey Yu. Glazyev,Ruslan S. Grinberg,Bert de Groot,Masaaki Hirooka,Boris N. Kuzyk,Witold Kwasnicki,Francisco Louçã,Vladimir I. Mayevsky,Leo Nefiodow,Carlota Perez,Sanjay Prasad,Arno Tausch,William R. Thompson,Andrew B. Tylecote,Yuri V. Yakovets
Publisher : ООО "Издательство "Учитель"
Page : 232 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2024-06-18
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9785705757404
This fourth issue of the Yearbook ‘Kondratieff Waves’ has the subtitle ‘The Spectrum of Opinions’, as its papers cover a whole range of problems. The Yearbook consists of three sections. The Introduction of this issue is dedicated to Nikolai Kondratieff's ideas which still are important to an analysis of the world economic situation. The first section (Long Waves in the Context of World Economy and Politics) includes five contributions devoted to the study of different spheres from economy to jihadism. The speeches of Kondratieff medal laureates are published in the second section (Kondratieff Medal: Winners' Speeches). It presents a very impressive collection of different views of well-known and young researchers. The last section (Reviews and Notes) includes Antony Harper's re view of Leonid Grinin, Andrey Korotayev and Arno Tausch's monograph ‘Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery’ published by Springer International Publishing. This issue will be useful for economists, social scientists, as well as for a wide range of those interested in the problems of the past, present, and future of global economy and globalization.
Author : Leonid Grinin,Tessaleno Devezas,Andrey Korotayev
Publisher : ООО "Издательство "Учитель"
Page : 224 pages
File Size : 41,8 Mb
Release : 2012-05-30
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9785705732876
Kondratieff waves constitute a sort of mystery that has been haunting economic and social researchers for almost a century. Why do we observe such regularity in the long-term behavior of economic and non-economic indicators? Why in certain periods do we observe prolonged upswings, whereas in other periods – notwithstanding all the enormous efforts of interested macroeconomic actors – economic development is accompanied by prolonged depressions? What gets out of order in social and economic mechanisms? Since the seminal works published by Kondratieff, a number of outstanding researchers have made significant contributions to our understanding of the possible factors affecting and provoking long-term fluctuations of human economic affairs. On the other hand, it has become more and more clear that K-waves influence many social-related processes. However, nobody appears to have found yet an entirely satisfactory solution of ‘Kondratieff's mystery’, and it continues to attract researchers. That is why we have decided to try to unite the forces of such researchers around the new almanac. This first issue offers a wide panorama of views on the Kondratieff waves' phenomenon; here one can also find information on Kondratieff’s life and works. This edition will be useful for economists, social scientists, as well as for a wide circle of those interested in the problems of the past, present, and future of world economics and globalization.
Author : Leo Nefiodow
Publisher : Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
Page : 252 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 2017-04-19
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1545485143
What are the major new growth markets of the future? Why do groundbreaking innovations - like the computer, the automobile or the steam engine in the past - increasingly fail to materialize? What are the current growth barriers that hinder the further development of economy and society? The reader will find answers to these questions in this book. The Theory of Long Waves serves as a scientific foundation. In short, it states that economic and social development is significantly determined by periodic cycles that last between 40 and 60 years. In honor of their discoverer Nikolai Kondratieff, these long waves are called Kondratieff cycles. Since the late 18th century, economists have empirically proven five Kondratieff cycles. The long waves have a particularly strategic role: those, who identify the respective current Kondratieff cycle early on are able to focus on the future, to take the lead in economic and social development and benefit the most from its momentum - just like the leading command of information technology during the last, the fifth Kondratieff cycle made full employment and increasing wealth possible for these countries. The sixth Kondratieff cycle has begun with the turn of this century. As the analyses in this book show, health care will be the driving force of this new Kondratieff cycle. However, health is not just seen in a physical, but also in a holistic sense, encompassing the physical, psychological, mental, psycho-mental, social, ecological and spiritual aspects. Why are health expenditures that were previously considered a mere cost factor going to assume the role of a growth locomotive in the future? We need to recall the findings of modern growth theory here: the most important source for economic growth in developed countries is productivity advancements. The analyses in this book show that a new understanding of health is indispensable to improve productivity on all levels of the economy and society. Thanks to this new understanding, health will become a strategic weapon for the next decades. This book is tailored to a general audience, includes 76 graphics and 13 tables and is aimed at stakeholders in economy and society, experts and managers and all those, who are interested in the future. Aside from a profound analysis, the book also describes measures to develop the sixth Kondratieff.
Author : Alfred Klienknecht,Ernest Mandel,Immanuel Wallersten
Publisher : Springer
Page : 355 pages
File Size : 44,7 Mb
Release : 1993-02-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781349224500
This book presents new methods for the analysis of time series and the identification of long waves. In Part One it is shown that new time series analyses confirm the existence of Kondratieff long waves in economic growth for the 19th and 20th centuries. Part Two presents evidence on long waves in aggregate profit rates for selected major industrialized countries. Part Three covers theoretical discussions and attempts at modeling social, economic and technological factors in long waves.
Author : David Hackett Fischer
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
Page : 556 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 1999
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 019512121X
Fischer has examined price records in many nations, and finds that great waves of rising prices in the 13th-, 16th-, 18th-, and 20th centuries were all marked by price swings of increasing volatility, falling wages, a growing gap between rich and poor, and an increase in violent crime, family disintegration, and cultural despair. 109 graphs & charts. 7 maps.
Author : Glen Segell
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 224 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2023-04-12
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9783031245138
This book, written in honor of Arno Tausch, presents cutting-edge research on globalization, development, and global values. Internationally renowned authors cover topics such as global economic and political cycles, global values, and support for terrorism. Over the last five decades, the Austrian political scientist Arno Tausch was a pioneer in studies on globalization, development and global values. This collection of essays takes up the issues dealt with by Tausch and presents perspectives for the 21st Century. Throughout his work, Tausch applied quantitative methods to study the fundamental issues of the global political economy and the global political system, like dependency, economic and political cycles, and global values, based on a rigorous study of available social scientific data, like the World Values Survey and the Arab Barometer.
Author : J.J. Van Duijn
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 254 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2013-11-05
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781136599873
Of all fluctuations in economic activity, the long wave or Kondratieff cycle is easily the most puzzling and least understood one. Does it really exist, and if so, is it only a cycle in prices or a cycle in economic activity at large? What causes it, and has it been confined to Europe or does it affect the world economy as a whole? These questions, which seemed of little relevance in the prosperous years of the postwar growth era, have gained new importance since 1973. With the downturn of the long wave, interest in it has enjoyed a revival, as it did in the 1930s. A great number of publications on the long wave have appeared since 1973, many of which have added to our insight of what causes the recurrent alternations of growth acceleration and retardation. This book is the first in the English language in which all important long wave theories, old as well as recent, are brought together. It focuses on the long wave as an international phenomenon, affecting all industrialised countries. It contains new theory as well as empirical evidence and in the final section suggests a number of policy recommendations to generate innovation. This book offers an interpretation of long-term economic development different from those commonly found in the literature. It will be of interest to students and scholars of the economics of growth and change, as well as to economic historians and policy-makers. This book was first published in 1983.
Author : Ernest Mandel
Publisher : Verso
Page : 188 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 1995-06-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 185984037X
Provides an in-depth explanation of the underlying determinants of trade cycles and the essential political and other extraeconommic factors that are required for the timing of the all-important upswing. Ernest Mandel is the author of "The Formation of the
Author : Leonid Grinin,Andrey Korotayev,Arno Tausch
Publisher : Springer
Page : 265 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2016-10-25
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783319412627
This thought-provoking monograph analyzes long- medium- and short-term global cycles of prosperity, recession, and depression, plotting them against centuries of important world events. Major research on economic and political cycles is integrated to clarify evolving relationships between the global center and its periphery as well as current worldwide economic upheavals and potential future developments. Central to this survey are successive waves of industrial and, later, technological and cybernetic progress, leading to the current era of globalization and the changes of the roles of both Western powers and former minors players, however that will lead to the formation of the world order without a hegemon. Additionally, the authors predict what they term the Great Convergence, the lessening of inequities between the global core and the rest of the world, including the wealth gap between First and Third World nations. Among the topics in this ambitious volume: · Why politics is often omitted from economic analysis. · Why economic cycles are crucial to understanding the modern geopolitical landscape. · How the aging of the developed world will affect world technological and economic future.“/p> · The evolving technological forecast for Global North and South. · Where the U.S. is likely to stand on the future world stage. Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery will inspire discussion and debate among sociologists, global economists, demographers, global historians, and futurologists. This expert knowledge is necessary for further research, proactive response, and preparedness for a new age of sociopolitical change.
Author : Natalia Mirovitskaya,William L. Ascher
Publisher : Duke University Press
Page : 436 pages
File Size : 50,8 Mb
Release : 2001
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0822327457
DIVA compilation of definitions, terms, and critical commentary on aspects of sustainable development and environmental policy, with a strong emphasis on policy tools, policy practices, and systems of international environmental governance./div
