Machine Learning For Economics And Finance In Tensorflow 2

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Machine Learning for Economics and Finance in TensorFlow 2

Author : Isaiah Hull
Publisher : Apress
Page : 368 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2020-11-26
Category : Computers
ISBN : 1484263723

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Machine Learning for Economics and Finance in TensorFlow 2 by Isaiah Hull Pdf

Work on economic problems and solutions with tools from machine learning. ML has taken time to move into the space of academic economics. This is because empirical work in economics is concentrated on the identification of causal relationships in parsimonious statistical models; whereas machine learning is oriented towards prediction and is generally uninterested in either causality or parsimony. That leaves a gap for both students and professionals in the economics industry without a standard reference. This book focuses on economic problems with an empirical dimension, where machine learning methods may offer something of value. This includes coverage of a variety of discriminative deep learning models (DNNs, CNNs, RNNs, LSTMs, the Transformer Model, etc.), generative machine learning models, random forests, gradient boosting, clustering, and feature extraction. You'll also learn about the intersection of empirical methods in economics and machine learning, including regression analysis, text analysis, and dimensionality reduction methods, such as principal components analysis. TensorFlow offers a toolset that can be used to setup and solve any mathematical model, including those commonly used in economics. This book is structured to teach through a sequence of complete examples, each framed in terms of a specific economic problem of interest or topic. Otherwise complicated content is then distilled into accessible examples, so you can use TensorFlow to solve workhorse models in economics and finance. What You'll Learn Define, train, and evaluate machine learning models in TensorFlow 2 Apply fundamental concepts in machine learning, such as deep learning and natural language processing, to economic and financial problems Solve workhorse models in economics and finance Who This Book Is For Students and data scientists working in the economics industry. Academic economists and social scientists who have an interest in machine learning are also likely to find this book useful.

Machine Learning for Finance

Author : Jannes Klaas
Publisher : Packt Publishing Ltd
Page : 457 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 2019-05-30
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781789134698

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Machine Learning for Finance by Jannes Klaas Pdf

A guide to advances in machine learning for financial professionals, with working Python code Key FeaturesExplore advances in machine learning and how to put them to work in financial industriesClear explanation and expert discussion of how machine learning works, with an emphasis on financial applicationsDeep coverage of advanced machine learning approaches including neural networks, GANs, and reinforcement learningBook Description Machine Learning for Finance explores new advances in machine learning and shows how they can be applied across the financial sector, including in insurance, transactions, and lending. It explains the concepts and algorithms behind the main machine learning techniques and provides example Python code for implementing the models yourself. The book is based on Jannes Klaas’ experience of running machine learning training courses for financial professionals. Rather than providing ready-made financial algorithms, the book focuses on the advanced ML concepts and ideas that can be applied in a wide variety of ways. The book shows how machine learning works on structured data, text, images, and time series. It includes coverage of generative adversarial learning, reinforcement learning, debugging, and launching machine learning products. It discusses how to fight bias in machine learning and ends with an exploration of Bayesian inference and probabilistic programming. What you will learnApply machine learning to structured data, natural language, photographs, and written textHow machine learning can detect fraud, forecast financial trends, analyze customer sentiments, and moreImplement heuristic baselines, time series, generative models, and reinforcement learning in Python, scikit-learn, Keras, and TensorFlowDig deep into neural networks, examine uses of GANs and reinforcement learningDebug machine learning applications and prepare them for launchAddress bias and privacy concerns in machine learningWho this book is for This book is ideal for readers who understand math and Python, and want to adopt machine learning in financial applications. The book assumes college-level knowledge of math and statistics.

AI and Macroeconomic Modeling: Deep Reinforcement Learning in an RBC Model

Author : Tohid Atashbar,Rui Aruhan Shi
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 31 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2023-02-24
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9798400235252

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AI and Macroeconomic Modeling: Deep Reinforcement Learning in an RBC Model by Tohid Atashbar,Rui Aruhan Shi Pdf

This study seeks to construct a basic reinforcement learning-based AI-macroeconomic simulator. We use a deep RL (DRL) approach (DDPG) in an RBC macroeconomic model. We set up two learning scenarios, one of which is deterministic without the technological shock and the other is stochastic. The objective of the deterministic environment is to compare the learning agent's behavior to a deterministic steady-state scenario. We demonstrate that in both deterministic and stochastic scenarios, the agent's choices are close to their optimal value. We also present cases of unstable learning behaviours. This AI-macro model may be enhanced in future research by adding additional variables or sectors to the model or by incorporating different DRL algorithms.

Financial Machine Learning

Author : BRYAN KELLY; DACHENG XIU.,Bryan Kelly
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 54,7 Mb
Release : 2023
Category : BUSINESS & ECONOMICS
ISBN : 1638282919

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Financial Machine Learning by BRYAN KELLY; DACHENG XIU.,Bryan Kelly Pdf

Financial Machine Learning surveys the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. The authors highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend promising directions for future research. This survey is designed for both financial economists interested in grasping machine learning tools, as well as for statisticians and machine learners seeking interesting financial contexts where advanced methods may be deployed.This survey is organized as follows. Section 2 analyzes the theoretical benefits of highly parameterized machine learning models in financial economics. Section 3 surveys the variety of machine learning methods employed in the empirical analysis of asset return predictability. Section 4 focuses on machine learning analyses of factor pricing models and the resulting empirical conclusions for risk-return tradeoffs. Section 5 presents the role of machine learning in identifying optimal portfolios and stochastic discount factors. Section 6 offers brief conclusions and directions for future work.

The Essentials of Machine Learning in Finance and Accounting

Author : Mohammad Zoynul Abedin,M. Kabir Hassan,Petr Hajek,Mohammed Mohi Uddin
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 259 pages
File Size : 42,6 Mb
Release : 2021-06-20
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781000394115

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The Essentials of Machine Learning in Finance and Accounting by Mohammad Zoynul Abedin,M. Kabir Hassan,Petr Hajek,Mohammed Mohi Uddin Pdf

• A useful guide to financial product modeling and to minimizing business risk and uncertainty • Looks at wide range of financial assets and markets and correlates them with enterprises’ profitability • Introduces advanced and novel machine learning techniques in finance such as Support Vector Machine, Neural Networks, Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbors, Extreme Learning Machine, Deep Learning Approaches and applies them to analyze finance data sets • Real world applicable examples to further understanding

Prediction of Stock Market Index Movements with Machine Learning

Author : Nazif AYYILDIZ
Publisher : Özgür Publications
Page : 121 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2023-12-16
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9789754478211

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Prediction of Stock Market Index Movements with Machine Learning by Nazif AYYILDIZ Pdf

The book titled "Prediction of Stock Market Index Movements with Machine Learning" focuses on the performance of machine learning methods in forecasting the future movements of stock market indexes and identifying the most advantageous methods that can be used across different stock exchanges. In this context, applications have been conducted on both developed and emerging market stock exchanges. The stock market indexes of developed countries such as NYSE 100, NIKKEI 225, FTSE 100, CAC 40, DAX 30, FTSE MIB, TSX; and the stock market indexes of emerging countries such as SSE, BOVESPA, RTS, NIFTY 50, IDX, IPC, and BIST 100 were selected. The movement directions of these stock market indexes were predicted using decision trees, random forests, k-nearest neighbors, naive Bayes, logistic regression, support vector machines, and artificial neural networks methods. Daily dataset from 01.01.2012 to 31.12.2021, along with technical indicators, were used as input data for analysis. According to the results obtained, it was determined that artificial neural networks were the most effective method during the examined period. Alongside artificial neural networks, logistic regression and support vector machines methods were found to predict the movement direction of all indexes with an accuracy of over 70%. Additionally, it was noted that while artificial neural networks were identified as the best method, they did not necessarily achieve the highest accuracy for all indexes. In this context, it was established that the performance of the examined methods varied among countries and indexes but did not differ based on the development levels of the countries. As a conclusion, artificial neural networks, logistic regression, and support vector machines methods are recommended as the most advantageous approaches for predicting stock market index movements.

Financial Machine Learning

Author : Bryan T. Kelly,Dacheng Xiu
Publisher : Now Publishers
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2023-11-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1638282900

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Financial Machine Learning by Bryan T. Kelly,Dacheng Xiu Pdf

Financial Machine Learning surveys the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. The authors highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend promising directions for future research. This survey is designed for both financial economists interested in grasping machine learning tools, as well as for statisticians and machine learners seeking interesting financial contexts where advanced methods may be deployed. This survey is organized as follows. Section 2 analyzes the theoretical benefits of highly parameterized machine learning models in financial economics. Section 3 surveys the variety of machine learning methods employed in the empirical analysis of asset return predictability. Section 4 focuses on machine learning analyses of factor pricing models and the resulting empirical conclusions for risk-return tradeoffs. Section 5 presents the role of machine learning in identifying optimal portfolios and stochastic discount factors. Section 6 offers brief conclusions and directions for future work.

Artificial Intelligence, Learning and Computation in Economics and Finance

Author : Ragupathy Venkatachalam
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 331 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2023-02-15
Category : Science
ISBN : 9783031152948

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Artificial Intelligence, Learning and Computation in Economics and Finance by Ragupathy Venkatachalam Pdf

This book presents frontier research on the use of computational methods to model complex interactions in economics and finance. Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning and simulations offer effective means of analyzing and learning from large as well as new types of data. These computational tools have permeated various subfields of economics, finance, and also across different schools of economic thought. Through 16 chapters written by pioneers in economics, finance, computer science, psychology, complexity and statistics/econometrics, the book introduces their original research and presents the findings they have yielded. Theoretical and empirical studies featured in this book draw on a variety of approaches such as agent-based modeling, numerical simulations, computable economics, as well as employing tools from artificial intelligence and machine learning algorithms. The use of computational approaches to perform counterfactual thought experiments are also introduced, which help transcend the limits posed by traditional mathematical and statistical tools. The book also includes discussions on methodology, epistemology, history and issues concerning prediction, validation, and inference, all of which have become pertinent with the increasing use of computational approaches in economic analysis.

Advances in Financial Machine Learning

Author : Marcos Lopez de Prado
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 395 pages
File Size : 49,8 Mb
Release : 2018-02-02
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781119482109

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Advances in Financial Machine Learning by Marcos Lopez de Prado Pdf

Learn to understand and implement the latest machine learning innovations to improve your investment performance Machine learning (ML) is changing virtually every aspect of our lives. Today, ML algorithms accomplish tasks that – until recently – only expert humans could perform. And finance is ripe for disruptive innovations that will transform how the following generations understand money and invest. In the book, readers will learn how to: Structure big data in a way that is amenable to ML algorithms Conduct research with ML algorithms on big data Use supercomputing methods and back test their discoveries while avoiding false positives Advances in Financial Machine Learning addresses real life problems faced by practitioners every day, and explains scientifically sound solutions using math, supported by code and examples. Readers become active users who can test the proposed solutions in their individual setting. Written by a recognized expert and portfolio manager, this book will equip investment professionals with the groundbreaking tools needed to succeed in modern finance.

Machine Learning in Asset Pricing

Author : Stefan Nagel
Publisher : Princeton University Press
Page : 156 pages
File Size : 40,8 Mb
Release : 2021-05-11
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780691218700

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Machine Learning in Asset Pricing by Stefan Nagel Pdf

A groundbreaking, authoritative introduction to how machine learning can be applied to asset pricing Investors in financial markets are faced with an abundance of potentially value-relevant information from a wide variety of different sources. In such data-rich, high-dimensional environments, techniques from the rapidly advancing field of machine learning (ML) are well-suited for solving prediction problems. Accordingly, ML methods are quickly becoming part of the toolkit in asset pricing research and quantitative investing. In this book, Stefan Nagel examines the promises and challenges of ML applications in asset pricing. Asset pricing problems are substantially different from the settings for which ML tools were developed originally. To realize the potential of ML methods, they must be adapted for the specific conditions in asset pricing applications. Economic considerations, such as portfolio optimization, absence of near arbitrage, and investor learning can guide the selection and modification of ML tools. Beginning with a brief survey of basic supervised ML methods, Nagel then discusses the application of these techniques in empirical research in asset pricing and shows how they promise to advance the theoretical modeling of financial markets. Machine Learning in Asset Pricing presents the exciting possibilities of using cutting-edge methods in research on financial asset valuation.

Deep Learning with TensorFlow 2 and Keras

Author : Antonio Gulli,Amita Kapoor,Sujit Pal
Publisher : Packt Publishing Ltd
Page : 647 pages
File Size : 53,5 Mb
Release : 2019-12-27
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781838827724

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Deep Learning with TensorFlow 2 and Keras by Antonio Gulli,Amita Kapoor,Sujit Pal Pdf

Build machine and deep learning systems with the newly released TensorFlow 2 and Keras for the lab, production, and mobile devices Key FeaturesIntroduces and then uses TensorFlow 2 and Keras right from the startTeaches key machine and deep learning techniquesUnderstand the fundamentals of deep learning and machine learning through clear explanations and extensive code samplesBook Description Deep Learning with TensorFlow 2 and Keras, Second Edition teaches neural networks and deep learning techniques alongside TensorFlow (TF) and Keras. You’ll learn how to write deep learning applications in the most powerful, popular, and scalable machine learning stack available. TensorFlow is the machine learning library of choice for professional applications, while Keras offers a simple and powerful Python API for accessing TensorFlow. TensorFlow 2 provides full Keras integration, making advanced machine learning easier and more convenient than ever before. This book also introduces neural networks with TensorFlow, runs through the main applications (regression, ConvNets (CNNs), GANs, RNNs, NLP), covers two working example apps, and then dives into TF in production, TF mobile, and using TensorFlow with AutoML. What you will learnBuild machine learning and deep learning systems with TensorFlow 2 and the Keras APIUse Regression analysis, the most popular approach to machine learningUnderstand ConvNets (convolutional neural networks) and how they are essential for deep learning systems such as image classifiersUse GANs (generative adversarial networks) to create new data that fits with existing patternsDiscover RNNs (recurrent neural networks) that can process sequences of input intelligently, using one part of a sequence to correctly interpret anotherApply deep learning to natural human language and interpret natural language texts to produce an appropriate responseTrain your models on the cloud and put TF to work in real environmentsExplore how Google tools can automate simple ML workflows without the need for complex modelingWho this book is for This book is for Python developers and data scientists who want to build machine learning and deep learning systems with TensorFlow. This book gives you the theory and practice required to use Keras, TensorFlow 2, and AutoML to build machine learning systems. Some knowledge of machine learning is expected.

Reinforcement Learning for Finance

Author : Samit Ahlawat
Publisher : Apress
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 41,8 Mb
Release : 2022-12-27
Category : Computers
ISBN : 1484288343

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Reinforcement Learning for Finance by Samit Ahlawat Pdf

This book introduces reinforcement learning with mathematical theory and practical examples from quantitative finance using the TensorFlow library. Reinforcement Learning for Finance begins by describing methods for training neural networks. Next, it discusses CNN and RNN – two kinds of neural networks used as deep learning networks in reinforcement learning. Further, the book dives into reinforcement learning theory, explaining the Markov decision process, value function, policy, and policy gradients, with their mathematical formulations and learning algorithms. It covers recent reinforcement learning algorithms from double deep-Q networks to twin-delayed deep deterministic policy gradients and generative adversarial networks with examples using the TensorFlow Python library. It also serves as a quick hands-on guide to TensorFlow programming, covering concepts ranging from variables and graphs to automatic differentiation, layers, models, and loss functions. After completing this book, you will understand reinforcement learning with deep q and generative adversarial networks using the TensorFlow library. What You Will Learn Understand the fundamentals of reinforcement learning Apply reinforcement learning programming techniques to solve quantitative-finance problems Gain insight into convolutional neural networks and recurrent neural networks Understand the Markov decision process Who This Book Is ForData Scientists, Machine Learning engineers and Python programmers who want to apply reinforcement learning to solve problems.

Machine Learning and Causality: The Impact of Financial Crises on Growth

Author : Mr.Andrew J Tiffin
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 30 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 2019-11-01
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781513518305

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Machine Learning and Causality: The Impact of Financial Crises on Growth by Mr.Andrew J Tiffin Pdf

Machine learning tools are well known for their success in prediction. But prediction is not causation, and causal discovery is at the core of most questions concerning economic policy. Recently, however, the literature has focused more on issues of causality. This paper gently introduces some leading work in this area, using a concrete example—assessing the impact of a hypothetical banking crisis on a country’s growth. By enabling consideration of a rich set of potential nonlinearities, and by allowing individually-tailored policy assessments, machine learning can provide an invaluable complement to the skill set of economists within the Fund and beyond.

Machine Learning in Finance

Author : Matthew F. Dixon,Igor Halperin,Paul Bilokon
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 565 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 2020-07-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783030410681

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Machine Learning in Finance by Matthew F. Dixon,Igor Halperin,Paul Bilokon Pdf

This book introduces machine learning methods in finance. It presents a unified treatment of machine learning and various statistical and computational disciplines in quantitative finance, such as financial econometrics and discrete time stochastic control, with an emphasis on how theory and hypothesis tests inform the choice of algorithm for financial data modeling and decision making. With the trend towards increasing computational resources and larger datasets, machine learning has grown into an important skillset for the finance industry. This book is written for advanced graduate students and academics in financial econometrics, mathematical finance and applied statistics, in addition to quants and data scientists in the field of quantitative finance. Machine Learning in Finance: From Theory to Practice is divided into three parts, each part covering theory and applications. The first presents supervised learning for cross-sectional data from both a Bayesian and frequentist perspective. The more advanced material places a firm emphasis on neural networks, including deep learning, as well as Gaussian processes, with examples in investment management and derivative modeling. The second part presents supervised learning for time series data, arguably the most common data type used in finance with examples in trading, stochastic volatility and fixed income modeling. Finally, the third part presents reinforcement learning and its applications in trading, investment and wealth management. Python code examples are provided to support the readers' understanding of the methodologies and applications. The book also includes more than 80 mathematical and programming exercises, with worked solutions available to instructors. As a bridge to research in this emergent field, the final chapter presents the frontiers of machine learning in finance from a researcher's perspective, highlighting how many well-known concepts in statistical physics are likely to emerge as important methodologies for machine learning in finance.

Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading

Author : Stefan Jansen
Publisher : Packt Publishing Ltd
Page : 822 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2020-07-31
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781839216787

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Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading by Stefan Jansen Pdf

Leverage machine learning to design and back-test automated trading strategies for real-world markets using pandas, TA-Lib, scikit-learn, LightGBM, SpaCy, Gensim, TensorFlow 2, Zipline, backtrader, Alphalens, and pyfolio. Purchase of the print or Kindle book includes a free eBook in the PDF format. Key FeaturesDesign, train, and evaluate machine learning algorithms that underpin automated trading strategiesCreate a research and strategy development process to apply predictive modeling to trading decisionsLeverage NLP and deep learning to extract tradeable signals from market and alternative dataBook Description The explosive growth of digital data has boosted the demand for expertise in trading strategies that use machine learning (ML). This revised and expanded second edition enables you to build and evaluate sophisticated supervised, unsupervised, and reinforcement learning models. This book introduces end-to-end machine learning for the trading workflow, from the idea and feature engineering to model optimization, strategy design, and backtesting. It illustrates this by using examples ranging from linear models and tree-based ensembles to deep-learning techniques from cutting edge research. This edition shows how to work with market, fundamental, and alternative data, such as tick data, minute and daily bars, SEC filings, earnings call transcripts, financial news, or satellite images to generate tradeable signals. It illustrates how to engineer financial features or alpha factors that enable an ML model to predict returns from price data for US and international stocks and ETFs. It also shows how to assess the signal content of new features using Alphalens and SHAP values and includes a new appendix with over one hundred alpha factor examples. By the end, you will be proficient in translating ML model predictions into a trading strategy that operates at daily or intraday horizons, and in evaluating its performance. What you will learnLeverage market, fundamental, and alternative text and image dataResearch and evaluate alpha factors using statistics, Alphalens, and SHAP valuesImplement machine learning techniques to solve investment and trading problemsBacktest and evaluate trading strategies based on machine learning using Zipline and BacktraderOptimize portfolio risk and performance analysis using pandas, NumPy, and pyfolioCreate a pairs trading strategy based on cointegration for US equities and ETFsTrain a gradient boosting model to predict intraday returns using AlgoSeek's high-quality trades and quotes dataWho this book is for If you are a data analyst, data scientist, Python developer, investment analyst, or portfolio manager interested in getting hands-on machine learning knowledge for trading, this book is for you. This book is for you if you want to learn how to extract value from a diverse set of data sources using machine learning to design your own systematic trading strategies. Some understanding of Python and machine learning techniques is required.