Managing Global Growth Risks And Commodity Price Shocks Vulnerabilities And Policy Challenges For Low Income Countries

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Managing Global Growth Risks and Commodity Price Shocks

Author : Ms.Stefania Fabrizio
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 86 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2012-06-20
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475596946

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Managing Global Growth Risks and Commodity Price Shocks by Ms.Stefania Fabrizio Pdf

As part of its work to help low-income countries manage volatility, the IMF has developed an analytical framework for assessing vulnerabilities and emerging risks that arise from changes in the external environment. This paper draws on the results of the first vulnerability exercise for low-income countries conducted by the IMF staff using this new framework. It focuses on the risks of a downturn in global growth and of further global commodity price shocks and discusses related policy challenges. Chapters review recent macroeconomic developments, including the spike in global commodity prices in early 2012; assess current risks and vulnerabilities, including how a sharp downturn in global growth and further commodity price shocks would affect low-income countries; and discuss policy challenges in the face of these risks and vulnerabilities.

Managing Global Growth Risks and Commodity Price Shocks - Vulnerabilities and Policy Challenges for Low-Income Countries

Author : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department,International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.,International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.,International Monetary Fund. African Dept.,International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 63 pages
File Size : 48,5 Mb
Release : 2011-09-21
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498338455

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Managing Global Growth Risks and Commodity Price Shocks - Vulnerabilities and Policy Challenges for Low-Income Countries by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department,International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.,International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.,International Monetary Fund. African Dept.,International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

As part of its work to help low-income countries (LICs) manage volatility, the IMF has recently developed an analytical framework to assess vulnerabilities and emerging risks that arise from changes in the external environment (see IMF, 2011a). This report draws on the results of the first Vulnerability Exercise for LICs (VE-LIC) conducted by IMF staff using this new framework. The report focuses on the risks of a downturn in global growth and of further global commodity price shocks, and discusses related policy challenges. The report is organized as follows: Chapter I reviews recent macroeconomic developments, including the spike in global commodity prices earlier this year. Chapter II assesses current risks and vulnerabilities, including how a sharp downturn in global growth and further commodity price shocks would affect LICs. Chapter III discusses policy challenges in the face of these risks and vulnerabilities.

Managing Global Growth Risks and Commodity Price Shocks

Author : Ms.Stefania Fabrizio
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 86 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2012-07-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781616353773

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Managing Global Growth Risks and Commodity Price Shocks by Ms.Stefania Fabrizio Pdf

As part of its work to help low-income countries manage volatility, the IMF has developed an analytical framework for assessing vulnerabilities and emerging risks that arise from changes in the external environment. This paper draws on the results of the first vulnerability exercise for low-income countries conducted by the IMF staff using this new framework. It focuses on the risks of a downturn in global growth and of further global commodity price shocks and discusses related policy challenges. Chapters review recent macroeconomic developments, including the spike in global commodity prices in early 2012; assess current risks and vulnerabilities, including how a sharp downturn in global growth and further commodity price shocks would affect low-income countries; and discuss policy challenges in the face of these risks and vulnerabilities.

Global Risks, Vulnerabilities, and Policy Challenges Facing Low-Income Countries

Author : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department,International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.,International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.,International Monetary Fund. African Dept.,International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 47 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 2012-10-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498339766

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Global Risks, Vulnerabilities, and Policy Challenges Facing Low-Income Countries by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department,International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.,International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.,International Monetary Fund. African Dept.,International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

The rapid recovery in many low-income countries (LICs) following the global crisis has been sustained in 2012. Softening commodity prices have led to moderating inflation pressures in most LICs. However, progress in rebuilding policy buffers has halted over the past two years, despite continued strong growth in LICs.

2013 Low-Income Countries Global Risks and Vulnerabilities Report

Author : International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.,International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 56 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2013-09-13
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498341332

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2013 Low-Income Countries Global Risks and Vulnerabilities Report by International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.,International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department Pdf

An assessment of vulnerabilities and risks in LICs remains important both for LICs themselves and for the international community. There are currently 74 LICs, eligible for concessional financing from the Fund. This group of countries has a total population of about 1.3 billion, with an average per capita income of around $850. They typically face the steepest challenges in meeting the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) and are increasingly the focus of global development assistance to assist them in this endeavor. This report serves several purposes. It provides a cross-cutting analysis of the economic vulnerabilities of LICs, yielding some general policy conclusions and messages aimed at strengthening their resilience to external shocks. It delivers a richer coverage of developments in LICs than is typically contained in the major IMF multilateral surveillance reports, where analysis is focused primarily on developments in the advanced and emerging market economies. The report serves as an effective outreach tool to country authorities and the wider public. Finally, it provides useful information to other international financial institutions (IFIs) and donors that provide financial resources to LICs on the potential financing needs of these countries under varying global scenarios.

2014 Triennial Surveillance Review - Staff Background Studies

Author : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 120 pages
File Size : 47,9 Mb
Release : 2014-07-30
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498343077

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2014 Triennial Surveillance Review - Staff Background Studies by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department Pdf

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Coping with the Global Financial Crisis

Author : Ms.Stefania Fabrizio
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 52 pages
File Size : 53,6 Mb
Release : 2010-03-16
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781589069299

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Coping with the Global Financial Crisis by Ms.Stefania Fabrizio Pdf

This forthcoming title in the Departmental Paper Series describes the special challenges facing low-income countries as economic growth contracts by an estimated 1.1 percent globally. Coping with the Crisis: Challenges Facing Low-Income Countries provides an assessment of the implications of the financial crisis for low-income countries, evaluates the short-term macroeconomic outlook for these countries, and discusses the policy challenges they face. Chapters cover the outlook for global economic growth and commodity prices, an overview of how low-income countries have been affected, fiscal policy, monetary and exchange rate policy responses, potential external financing needs and how the international community, including the IMF, can help countries meet them. The challenges ahead for low-income countries are delineated, including debt vulnerabilities and the need for countries to develop well-regulated local capital markets and banking systems, as well as enhanced public sector efficiency.

Commodity Price Volatility and Inclusive Growth in Low-Income Countries

Author : Mr.Rabah Arezki,Ms.Catherine A Pattillo,Mr.Marc G Quintyn,Min Zhu
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 408 pages
File Size : 42,5 Mb
Release : 2012-10-24
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781616353797

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Commodity Price Volatility and Inclusive Growth in Low-Income Countries by Mr.Rabah Arezki,Ms.Catherine A Pattillo,Mr.Marc G Quintyn,Min Zhu Pdf

In the years following the global financial crisis, many low-income countries experienced rapid recovery and strong economic growth. However, many are now facing enormous difficulties because of rapidly rising food and fuel prices, with the threat of millions of people being pushed into poverty around the globe. The risk of continued food price volatility is a systemic challenge, and a failure in one country has been shown to have a profound impact on entire regions. This volume addresses the challenges of commodity price volatility for low-income countries and explores some macroeconomic policy options for responding to commodity price shocks. The book then looks at inclusive growth policies to address inequality in commodity-exporting countries, particularly natural resource rich countries. Perspectives from the Middle East and North Africa, sub-Saharan Africa, emerging Asia, and Mexico are presented and, finally, the role of the international donor community is examined. This volume is a must read for policymakers everywhere, from those in advanced, donor countries to those in countries with the poorest and most vulnerable populations.

Managing Volatility in Low-Income Countries - The Role and Potential for Contingent Financial Instruments

Author : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department,International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.,International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Financial Systems Dept.,International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department,International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.,World Bank
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 59 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 2011-10-31
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498338325

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Managing Volatility in Low-Income Countries - The Role and Potential for Contingent Financial Instruments by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department,International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.,International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Financial Systems Dept.,International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department,International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.,World Bank Pdf

The paper examines the case for contingent financial instruments for low-income countries (LICs), from both the market and official sector. These include commodity price hedging instruments, contingent debt instruments (commodity-linked bonds, deferred repayment loans), and natural disaster insurance, for example. The paper considers the adequacy of the existing framework of ex post and ex ante support to LICs facing exogenous shocks, and examines the need for and possible constraints to greater availability of contingent instruments. Would there be a role for the international community, particularly the IMF and World Bank, in helping to address the constraints that limit development and use of these instruments?

Handbook on Food

Author : Raghbendra Jha,Raghav Gaiha,Anil B. Deolalikar
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
Page : 565 pages
File Size : 53,5 Mb
Release : 2014-01-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781781004296

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Handbook on Food by Raghbendra Jha,Raghav Gaiha,Anil B. Deolalikar Pdf

'This volume is a welcome and timely contribution to a topic of enduring importance. The global consequences of recent food price crises underscore the need to examine food security issues from diverse perspectives. This volume meets that need, featuring accessible yet cutting-edge analyses of food security by leading experts in fields as diverse as trade, nutrition, public health, production, political economy, and behavioral economics. It will be of interest to a wide range of scholars and practitioners.' --Steven Block, Tufts University, US. 'This excellent volume offers a compact but wide-ranging survey of recent research on important changes in global food markets. Its 20 chapters accurately capture important areas of scholarly agreement as well as on-going debates among economists studying agriculture and nutrition, with several provocative original contributions from other fields. The book draws particularly on the authors' long experience in Asia, offering widely-applicable insights for scholars and policy analysts seeking to understand the past, present and future of food around the world.' --William A. Masters, Tufts University, US. The global population is forecasted to reach 9.4 billion by 2050, with much of this increase concentrated in developing regions and cities. Ensuring adequate food and nourishment to this large population is a pressing economic, moral and even security challenge and requires research (and action) from a multi-disciplinary perspective. This book provides the first such integrated approach to tackling this problem by addressing the multiplicity of challenges posed by rising global population, diet diversification and urbanization in developing countries and climate change. It examines key topics such as: the impact of prosperity on food demand, the role of international trade in addressing food insecurity, the challenge posed by greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture and land degradation, the implication on labor markets of severe under-nutrition, viability of small scale farms, strategies to augment food availability. The Handbook on Food would be a welcome supplementary text for courses on development economics, particularly those concentrating on agricultural development, climate change and food availability, as well as nutrition.

Helping Developing Countries Address Public Debt Management Challenges - An IMF-World Bank Capacity Building Partnership

Author : World Bank,International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.,International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 29 pages
File Size : 53,6 Mb
Release : 2013-05-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498342155

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Helping Developing Countries Address Public Debt Management Challenges - An IMF-World Bank Capacity Building Partnership by World Bank,International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.,International Monetary Fund Pdf

In 2009, the Boards of the IMF and World Bank jointly endorsed a capacity building program to help developing countries strengthen their public debt management frameworks. A key aspect of the program was to help developing countries implement the framework developed by staffs to formulate an effective medium-term debt management strategy (MTDS). The Boards also supported the continued use of the complementary framework—the Debt Management Performance Assessment (DeMPA)—developed in 2007, to assess the effectiveness of the broader institutional arrangements for public debt management. This paper provides an update on the implementation of the program since its endorsement in 2009.

Global Monitoring Report 2012

Author : World Bank,International Monetary Fund
Publisher : World Bank Publications
Page : 192 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2012-04-24
Category : Medical
ISBN : 9780821395233

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Global Monitoring Report 2012 by World Bank,International Monetary Fund Pdf

This year's report summarizes the short- and long-term impact of food prices on several MDGs, explores future trends, and review policy responses, from domestic policies such as social safety nets, nutritional programs and agricultural policies, to regional trade policies to support by the international community.

Managing Climate Risk in the U.S. Financial System

Author : Leonardo Martinez-Diaz,Jesse M. Keenan
Publisher : U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission
Page : 196 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2020-09-09
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780578748412

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Managing Climate Risk in the U.S. Financial System by Leonardo Martinez-Diaz,Jesse M. Keenan Pdf

This publication serves as a roadmap for exploring and managing climate risk in the U.S. financial system. It is the first major climate publication by a U.S. financial regulator. The central message is that U.S. financial regulators must recognize that climate change poses serious emerging risks to the U.S. financial system, and they should move urgently and decisively to measure, understand, and address these risks. Achieving this goal calls for strengthening regulators’ capabilities, expertise, and data and tools to better monitor, analyze, and quantify climate risks. It calls for working closely with the private sector to ensure that financial institutions and market participants do the same. And it calls for policy and regulatory choices that are flexible, open-ended, and adaptable to new information about climate change and its risks, based on close and iterative dialogue with the private sector. At the same time, the financial community should not simply be reactive—it should provide solutions. Regulators should recognize that the financial system can itself be a catalyst for investments that accelerate economic resilience and the transition to a net-zero emissions economy. Financial innovations, in the form of new financial products, services, and technologies, can help the U.S. economy better manage climate risk and help channel more capital into technologies essential for the transition. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5247742

World Economic Outlook, April 2012

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 299 pages
File Size : 49,9 Mb
Release : 2012-04-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781616352462

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World Economic Outlook, April 2012 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

The April 2012 issue of the World Economic Outlook assesses the prospects for the global economy, which has gradually strengthened after a major setback during 2011. The threat of a sharp global slowdown eased with improved activity in the United States and better policies in the euro area. Weak recovery will likely resume in the major advanced economies, and activity will remain relatively solid in most emerging and developing economies. However, recent improvements are very fragile. Policymakers must calibrate policies to support growth in the near term and must implement fundamental changes to achieve healthy growth in the medium term. Chapter 3 examines how policies directed at real estate markets can accelerate the improvement of household balance sheets and thus support otherwise anemic consumption. Chapter 4 examines how swings in commodity prices affect commodity-exporting economies, many of which have experienced a decade of good growth. With commodity prices unlikely to continue growing at the recent elevated pace, however, these economies may have to adapt their fiscal and other policies to lower potential output growth in the future.

Finance & Development, June 2012

Author : International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 60 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2012-05-31
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781451922202

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Finance & Development, June 2012 by International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept. Pdf

Five years after the first stirrings of the crisis, some countries have recovered, but others are still struggling. F&D looks at the world today and sees a complex and mixed picture for the future of the world economy. In "Tracking the Global Recovery" we learn that most emerging markets seem to have moved on from the effects of the crisis, but most advanced economies have not. "Fixing the System" looks at how the pace of reforms to strengthen financial regulation has now slowed. World Bank trade economist Bernard Hoekman takes stock of incipient moves toward protectionism in "Trade Policy: So Far So Good?". "Bystanders at the Collapse" looks at how emerging markets and low-income countries weathered the global recession. Financier Mohamed El-Erian weighs in on the potential threat posed by large payment surpluses and deficits in "Stable Disequilibrium." Also in the magazine, we explore what's happening in commodities markets, assess the rise of green technologies, take a look at the shifts in South Asia's labor force, and uncover the harm money laundering can inflict on national economies. F&D's People in Economics series profiles Laura Tyson, Minder of the Gaps, and the Back to Basics series explains how money markets provide a way for borrowers to meet short-term financial needs.