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Author : Arthur F. Burns,Wesley C. Mitchell
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 602 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 1946
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : STANFORD:36105001929814
Author : Arthur Frank Burns,Wesley Clair Mitchell
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 560 pages
File Size : 47,8 Mb
Release : 1960
Category : Business cycles
ISBN : OCLC:219849121
Author : Regina Kaiser,Agustin Maravall
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 198 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781461301295
This book outlines and demonstrates problems with the use of the HP filter, and proposes an alternative strategy for inferring cyclical behavior from a time series featuring seasonal, trend, cyclical and noise components. The main innovation of the alternative strategy involves augmenting the series forecasts and back-casts obtained from an ARIMA model, and then applying the HP filter to the augmented series. Comparisons presented using artificial and actual data demonstrate the superiority of the alternative strategy.
Author : Regina Kaiser,Agustín Maravall
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 190 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 2001
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 3540951121
Author : Wesley Clair Mitchell
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 434 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 1951
Category : Business cycles
ISBN : UCAL:$B88463
Author : Wesley Clair Mitchell
Publisher : Legare Street Press
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2022-10-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1015946704
This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work is in the "public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Author : Ms.Valerie Cerra,A. Fatas,Ms.Sweta Chaman Saxena
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 50 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 2020-05-29
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513536996
Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.
Author : Wesley Clair Mitchell
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 528 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 1966
Category : Business cycles
ISBN : UOM:39076005675967
Author : Robert J. Gordon
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 882 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2007-11-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780226304595
In recent decades the American economy has experienced the worst peace-time inflation in its history and the highest unemployment rate since the Great Depression. These circumstances have prompted renewed interest in the concept of business cycles, which Joseph Schumpeter suggested are "like the beat of the heart, of the essence of the organism that displays them." In The American Business Cycle, some of the most prominent macroeconomics in the United States focuses on the questions, To what extent are business cycles propelled by external shocks? How have post-1946 cycles differed from earlier cycles? And, what are the major factors that contribute to business cycles? They extend their investigation in some areas as far back as 1875 to afford a deeper understanding of both economic history and the most recent economic fluctuations. Seven papers address specific aspects of economic activity: consumption, investment, inventory change, fiscal policy, monetary behavior, open economy, and the labor market. Five papers focus on aggregate economic activity. In a number of cases, the papers present findings that challenge widely accepted models and assumptions. In addition to its substantive findings, The American Business Cycle includes an appendix containing both the first published history of the NBER business-cycle dating chronology and many previously unpublished historical data series.
Author : Sergey Smirnov,Ataman Ozyildirim,Paulo Picchetti
Publisher : Springer
Page : 505 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 2018-08-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783319900179
This volume focuses on the analysis and measurement of business cycles in Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS). Divided into five parts, it begins with an overview of the main concepts and problems involved in monitoring and forecasting business cycles. Then it highlights the role of BRICS in the global economy and explores the interrelatedness of business cycles within BRICS. In turn, part two provides studies on the historical development of business cycles in the individual BRICS countries and describes the driving forces behind those cycles. Parts three and four present national business tendency surveys and composite cyclical indices for real-time monitoring and forecasting of various BRICS economies, while the final part discusses how the lessons learned in the BRICS countries can be used for the analysis of business cycles and their socio-political consequences in other emerging countries.
Author : Daniel Baier,Reinhold Decker,Lars Schmidt-Thieme
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 372 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2005-07-13
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 3540260072
It is a great privilege and pleasure to write a foreword for a book honor ing Wolfgang Gaul on the occasion of his sixtieth birthday. Wolfgang Gaul is currently Professor of Business Administration and Management Science and the Head of the Institute of Decision Theory and Management Science, Faculty of Economics, University of Karlsruhe (TH), Germany. He is, by any measure, one of the most distinguished and eminent scholars in the world today. Wolfgang Gaul has been instrumental in numerous leading research initia tives and has achieved an unprecedented level of success in facilitating com munication among researchers in diverse disciplines from around the world. A particularly remarkable and unique aspect of his work is that he has been a leading scholar in such diverse areas of research as graph theory and net work models, reliability theory, stochastic optimization, operations research, probability theory, sampling theory, cluster analysis, scaling and multivariate data analysis. His activities have been directed not only at these and other theoretical topics, but also at applications of statistical and mathematical tools to a multitude of important problems in computer science (e.g., w- mining), business research (e.g., market segmentation), management science (e.g., decision support systems) and behavioral sciences (e.g., preference mea surement and data mining). All of his endeavors have been accomplished at the highest level of professional excellence.
Author : Mr.Pau Rabanal,Mr.Jordi Gali Garreta
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 68 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 2004-12-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781451875652
Our answer: Not so well. We reached that conclusion after reviewing recent research on the role of technology as a source of economic fluctuations. The bulk of the evidence suggests a limited role for aggregate technology shocks, pointing instead to demand factors as the main force behind the strong positive comovement between output and labor input measures.
Author : James Hartley,Kevin Hoover,Kevin D. Salyer
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 684 pages
File Size : 50,6 Mb
Release : 2013-07-04
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781134694792
Real Business Cycle theory combines the remains of monetarism with the new classical macroeconomics, and has become one of the dominant approaches within contemporary macroeconomics today. This volume presents: * the authoritative anthology in RBC. The work contains the major articles introducing and extending the theory as well as critical literature * an extensive introduction which contains an expository summary and critical evaluation of RBC theory * comprehensive coverage and balance between seminal papers and extensions; proponents and critics; and theory and empirics. Macroeconomics is a compulsory element in most economics courses, and this book will be an essential guide to one of its major theories.
Author : C. James Hueng
Publisher : W.E. Upjohn Institute
Page : 133 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2020-09-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780880996761
Policymakers and business practitioners are eager to gain access to reliable information on the state of the economy for timely decision making. More so now than ever. Traditional economic indicators have been criticized for delayed reporting, out-of-date methodology, and neglecting some aspects of the economy. Recent advances in economic theory, econometrics, and information technology have fueled research in building broader, more accurate, and higher-frequency economic indicators. This volume contains contributions from a group of prominent economists who address alternative economic indicators, including indicators in the financial market, indicators for business cycles, and indicators of economic uncertainty.
Author : Regina Kaiser,Agustin Maravall
Publisher : Springer
Page : 190 pages
File Size : 50,7 Mb
Release : 2011-09-07
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1461301300
This book outlines and demonstrates problems with the use of the HP filter, and proposes an alternative strategy for inferring cyclical behavior from a time series featuring seasonal, trend, cyclical and noise components. The main innovation of the alternative strategy involves augmenting the series forecasts and back-casts obtained from an ARIMA model, and then applying the HP filter to the augmented series. Comparisons presented using artificial and actual data demonstrate the superiority of the alternative strategy.