Nber Macroeconomics Annual University Of Chicago Press

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NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2021

Author : Martin Eichenbaum,Erik Hurst
Publisher : National Bureau of Economic Research Macroeconomics Annual
Page : 512 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 2022-05-17
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 0226821714

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NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2021 by Martin Eichenbaum,Erik Hurst Pdf

The NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2021 presents research-central issues in contemporary macroeconomics. Robert Hall and Marianna Kudlyak examine unemployment dynamics during economic recoveries. They present new empirical findings and explore models in which the labor market gradually draws down the stock of unemployed workers in the aftermath of a downturn. Titan Alon, Sena Coskun, Matthias Doepke, David Koll, and Michèle Tertilt analyze the relative decline in employment of women during the COVID-19 pandemic and the associated global recession. They show that increased childcare needs, which fell more heavily on women, and differences in occupations both contributed. In the case of the US, however, each of these factors account for less than 20% of the gender gap in hours worked during the pandemic. Richard Rogerson and Johanna Wallenius study the employment rates of older workers in OECD countries over the last forty years. An expansion of institutions incentivizing retirement, concurrent with negative aggregate shocks between 1970 and 1995, led to falling employment rates. This trend started to reverse in the mid-1990s when many of these institutions, such as public pension programs, were cut back. Michael Barnett, William Brock, and Lars Peter Hansen explore the consequences of risk, ambiguity, and model misspecification in climate policy design. They consider carbon emissions pricing and the effects of different sources of uncertainty--such as future information about environmental damage, uncertainties in carbon and temperature dynamics and damage functions, and the role of future green technologies--on policy design. Michael Kremer, Jack Willis, and Yang You present new evidence suggesting a steady trend toward income convergence across countries since the late 1980s. They find convergence in various determinants of economic growth across countries and a flattening of the relationship between growth and these determinants. The paper challenges theories of growth arising after earlier rejections of the neoclassical growth model.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2018

Author : Martin Eichenbaum,Jonathan A. Parker
Publisher : University of Chicago Press Journals
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2019-08-05
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 022664572X

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NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2018 by Martin Eichenbaum,Jonathan A. Parker Pdf

This volume contains six studies on current topics in macroeconomics. The first shows that while assuming rational expectations is unrealistic, a finite-horizon forward planning model can yield results similar to those of a rational expectations equilibrium. The second explores the aggregate risk of the U.S. financial sector, and in particular whether it is safer now than before the 2008 financial crisis. The third analyzes “factorless income,” output that is not measured as capital or labor income. Next, a study argues that the financial crisis increased the perceived risk of a very bad economic and financial outcome, and explores the propagation of large, rare shocks. The next paper documents the substantial recent changes in the manufacturing sector and the decline in employment among prime-aged Americans since 2000. The last paper analyzes the dynamic macroeconomic effects of border adjustment taxes.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2016

Author : Martin Eichenbaum,Jonathan A. Parker
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 448 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2017-05-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780226490366

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NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2016 by Martin Eichenbaum,Jonathan A. Parker Pdf

The thirty-first edition of the NBER Macroeconomics Annual features theoretical and empirical research on central issues in contemporary macroeconomics. The first two papers are rigorous and data-driven analyses of the European financial crisis. The third paper introduces a new set of facts about economic growth and financial ratios as well as a new macrofinancial database for the study of historical financial booms and busts. The fourth paper studies the historical effects of Federal Reserve efforts to provide guidance about the future path of the funds rate. The fifth paper explores the distinctions between models of price setting and associated nominal frictions using data on price setting behavior. The sixth paper considers the possibility that the economy displays nonlinear dynamics that lead to cycles rather than long-term convergence to a steady state. The volume also includes a short paper on the decline in the rate of global economic growth.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2013

Author : Jonathan A. Parker,Michael Woodford
Publisher : University of Chicago Press Journals
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2014-05-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 022616540X

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NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2013 by Jonathan A. Parker,Michael Woodford Pdf

The twenty-eighth edition of the NBER Macroeconomics Annual continues its tradition of featuring theoretical and empirical research on central issues in contemporary macroeconomics. As in previous years, this volume not only addresses recent developments in macroeconomics, but also takes up important policy-relevant questions and opens new debates that will continue for years to come. The first two papers in this year’s issue tackle fiscal and monetary policy, asking how interest rates and inflation can remain low despite fiscal policy behavior that appears inconsistent with a monetary policy regime focused only on inflation and output and not on fiscal balances as recently observed in the U.S. The third examines the implications of reference-dependent preferences and moral hazard in employment fluctuations in the labor market. The fourth paper addresses money and inflation, analyzing the long run inflation rate, the coexistence of money with pledgeable and money-like assets, and why inflation did not increase in response to business-cycle fluctuations in productivity. And the fifth looks at the stock market and how it relates to the real economy. The final chapter discusses the large and public shift towards more expansionary monetary policy that has recently occurred in Japan.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2009

Author : Daron Acemoglu,Kenneth Rogoff,Michael Woodford
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2010-07
Category : Macroeconomics
ISBN : 0226002098

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NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2009 by Daron Acemoglu,Kenneth Rogoff,Michael Woodford Pdf

The NBER Macroeconomics Annual provides a forum for important debates in contemporary macroeconomics and major developments in the theory of macroeconomic analysis and policy that include leading economists from a variety of fields. The papers and accompanying discussions in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2009 address how heterogeneous beliefs interact with equilibrium leverage and potentially lead to leverage cycles, the validity of alternative hypotheses about the reason for the recent increase in foreclosures on residential mortgages, the credit rating crisis, quantitative implications for the evolution of the U.S. wage distribution, and noisy business cycles.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2012

Author : Daron Acemoglu,Jonathan Parker,Michael Woodford
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 2013-06-22
Category : Macroeconomics
ISBN : 022605280X

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NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2012 by Daron Acemoglu,Jonathan Parker,Michael Woodford Pdf

The twenty-seventh edition of the NBER Macroeconomics Annual continues a tradition of featuring theoretical and empirical contributions that shed light on central issues in contemporary macroeconomics, pushing the frontiers of macroeconomic research on topics related to both the business cycle and economic growth and addressing important policy-relevant questions. This year's volume features two papers that illuminate two causes of the recent financial crisis: how firms accessed credit during the financial crisis and how the risk in mortgage lending was measured in the UK in the decades before the crisis. Other papers in this volume include a study of individual prices over time that draws out the implications of observed price adjustment for macroeconomic models of price stickiness, a focus on the implications of microeconomic estimates of labor supply for the determination of employment rates, a study of the empirical validity of the Keynesian explanation for employment declines during recessions, and an innovative paper that measures the efficacy of fiscal stimulus by looking at the economic impact of changes in federal highway spending across US states.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007

Author : Daron Acemoglu,Kenneth Rogoff,Michael Woodford
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2008-03
Category : Macroeconomics
ISBN : 0226002020

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NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007 by Daron Acemoglu,Kenneth Rogoff,Michael Woodford Pdf

The NBER Macroeconomics Annual provides a forum for important debates in contemporary macroeconomics and major developments in the theory of macroeconomic analysis and policy that include leading economists from a variety of fields. The papers and accompanying discussions in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007 address exchange-rate models; implications of credit market frictions; cyclical budgetary policy and economic growth; the impacts of shocks to government spending on consumption, real wages, and employment; dynamic macroeconomic models; and the role of cyclical entry of new firms and products on the nature of business-cycle fluctuations and on the effects of monetary policy.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2015

Author : Martin Eichenbaum,Jonathan A. Parker
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 448 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2016-06-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780226395746

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NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2015 by Martin Eichenbaum,Jonathan A. Parker Pdf

This year, the NBER Macroeconomics Annual celebrates its thirtieth volume. The first two papers examine China’s macroeconomic development. “Trends and Cycles in China's Macroeconomy” by Chun Chang, Kaiji Chen, Daniel F. Waggoner, and Tao Zha outlines the key characteristics of growth and business cycles in China. “Demystifying the Chinese Housing Boom” by Hanming Fang, Quanlin Gu, Wei Xiong, and Li-An Zhou constructs a new house price index, showing that Chinese house prices have grown by ten percent per year over the past decade. The third paper, “External and Public Debt Crises” by Cristina Arellano, Andrew Atkeson, and Mark Wright, asks why there appear to be large differences across countries and subnational jurisdictions in the effect of rising public debts on economic outcomes. The fourth, “Networks and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Exploration” by Daron Acemoglu, Ufuk Akcigit, and William Kerr, explains how the network structure of the US economy propagates the effect of gross output productivity shocks across upstream and downstream sectors. The fifth and sixth papers investigate the usefulness of surveys of household’s beliefs for understanding economic phenomena. “Expectations and Investment,” by Nicola Gennaioli, Yueran Ma, and Andrei Shleifer, demonstrates that a chief financial officer's expectations of a firm's future earnings growth is related to both the planned and actual future investment of that firm. “Declining Desire to Work and Downward Trends in Unemployment and Participation” by Regis Barnichon and Andrew Figura shows that an increasing number of prime-age Americans who are not in the labor force report no desire to work and that this decline accelerated during the second half of the 1990s.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2017

Author : Martin Eichenbaum,Jonathan A. Parker
Publisher : University of Chicago Press Journals
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 50,6 Mb
Release : 2018-05-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 022657766X

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NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2017 by Martin Eichenbaum,Jonathan A. Parker Pdf

Volume 32 of the NBER Macroeconomics Annual features six theoretical and empirical studies of important issues in contemporary macroeconomics, and a keynote address by former IMF chief economist Olivier Blanchard. In one study, SeHyoun Ahn, Greg Kaplan, Benjamin Moll, Thomas Winberry, and Christian Wolf examine the dynamics of consumption expenditures in non-representative-agent macroeconomic models. In another, John Cochrane asks which macro models most naturally explain the post-financial-crisis macroeconomic environment, which is characterized by the co-existence of low and nonvolatile inflation rates, near-zero short-term interest rates, and an explosion in monetary aggregates. Manuel Adelino, Antoinette Schoar, and Felipe Severino examine the causes of the lending boom that precipitated the recent U.S. financial crisis and Great Recession. Steven Durlauf and Ananth Seshadri investigate whether increases in income inequality cause lower levels of economic mobility and opportunity. Charles Manski explores the formation of expectations, considering the efficacy of directly measuring beliefs through surveys as an alternative to making the assumption of rational expectations. In the final research paper, Efraim Benmelech and Nittai Bergman analyze the sharp declines in debt issuance and the evaporation of market liquidity that coincide with most financial crises. Blanchard’s keynote address discusses which distortions are central to understanding short-run macroeconomic fluctuations.

Agglomeration Economics

Author : Edward L. Glaeser
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 376 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2010-04-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780226297927

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Agglomeration Economics by Edward L. Glaeser Pdf

When firms and people are located near each other in cities and in industrial clusters, they benefit in various ways, including by reducing the costs of exchanging goods and ideas. One might assume that these benefits would become less important as transportation and communication costs fall. Paradoxically, however, cities have become increasingly important, and even within cities industrial clusters remain vital. Agglomeration Economics brings together a group of essays that examine the reasons why economic activity continues to cluster together despite the falling costs of moving goods and transmitting information. The studies cover a wide range of topics and approach the economics of agglomeration from different angles. Together they advance our understanding of agglomeration and its implications for a globalized world.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 2022

Author : Martin Eichenbaum,Erik Hurst,Valerie Ramey
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 478 pages
File Size : 49,8 Mb
Release : 2023-05-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780226828244

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NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 2022 by Martin Eichenbaum,Erik Hurst,Valerie Ramey Pdf

Authoritative takes on the most current and pressing issues in macroeconomics today. The NBER Macroeconomics Annual provides a forum for leading economists to participate in important debates in macroeconomics and to report on major developments in macroeconomic analysis and policy. The NBER Macroeconomics Annual brings together leading scholars to discuss five research papers on central issues in contemporary macroeconomics. First, Andrea Eisfeldt, Antonio Falato, and Mindy Xiaolan document the rise of a new class of worker that receives part of its labor income as equity-based compensation, its role in the recent decline in the labor share of income, and implications for the returns to skilled labor and the implied capital-skill complementarity. Next, Michael Bauer and Eric Swanson focus on monetary policy shocks and argue the correlation between estimated monetary surprises and previously available information can be explained by uncertainty about the parameters of the monetary policy rule. Using new data and methods they find effects of monetary policy on macroeconomic variables that are much larger than previously estimated. Job Boerma and Loukas Karabarbounis provide a framework for quantitatively exploring the gap in wealth between White and Black Americans over the past 150 years and examine the effectiveness of reparations as a tool for closing this gap. Guido Menzio considers workers who do not have rational expectations, and whose “stubborn” beliefs change the response of wages to technology shocks, resulting in sticky wages. He finds that the larger the fraction of workers with stubborn beliefs, the more volatile unemployment is. Finally, Rishabh Aggarwal, Adrien Auclert, Matthew Rognlie, and Ludwig Straub investigate the growth—particularly in the United States—of private savings, current account deficits, and fiscal deficits after 2020. They argue that fiscal deficits lead to large and persistent increases in private savings and current account deficits.

Milton Friedman on Economics

Author : Milton Friedman
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 180 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2010-11-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780226263519

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Milton Friedman on Economics by Milton Friedman Pdf

On his death in the autumn of 2006, Milton Friedman was lauded as “the grandmaster of free-market economic theory in the postwar era” by the New York Times and “the most influential economist of the second half of the 20th century” by the Economist. Winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics in 1976, Friedman was both a highly respected economist and a prominent public intellectual, the leader of a revolution in economic and political thought that argued robustly in favor of virtues of free markets and laissez-faire policies. Milton Friedman on Economics: Selected Papers collects a variety of Friedman’s papers on topics in economics that were originally published in the Journal of Political Economy. Opening with Friedman’s 1977 Nobel Lecture, the volume spans nearly the whole of his career, incorporating papers from as early as 1948 and as late as 1990. An excellent introduction to Friedman’s economic thought, Milton Friedman will be essential for anyone tracing the course of twentieth-century economics and politics.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2021

Author : Martin Eichenbaum,Erik Hurst
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 491 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2022-05-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780226821726

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NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2021 by Martin Eichenbaum,Erik Hurst Pdf

The NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2021 presents research-central issues in contemporary macroeconomics. Robert Hall and Marianna Kudlyak examine unemployment dynamics during economic recoveries. They present new empirical findings and explore models in which the labor market gradually draws down the stock of unemployed workers in the aftermath of a downturn. Titan Alon, Sena Coskun, Matthias Doepke, David Koll, and Michèle Tertilt analyze the relative decline in employment of women during the COVID-19 pandemic and the associated global recession. They show that increased childcare needs, which fell more heavily on women, and differences in occupations both contributed. In the case of the US, however, each of these factors account for less than 20% of the gender gap in hours worked during the pandemic. Richard Rogerson and Johanna Wallenius study the employment rates of older workers in OECD countries over the last forty years. An expansion of institutions incentivizing retirement, concurrent with negative aggregate shocks between 1970 and 1995, led to falling employment rates. This trend started to reverse in the mid-1990s when many of these institutions, such as public pension programs, were cut back. Michael Barnett, William Brock, and Lars Peter Hansen explore the consequences of risk, ambiguity, and model misspecification in climate policy design. They consider carbon emissions pricing and the effects of different sources of uncertainty—such as future information about environmental damage, uncertainties in carbon and temperature dynamics and damage functions, and the role of future green technologies—on policy design. Michael Kremer, Jack Willis, and Yang You present new evidence suggesting a steady trend toward income convergence across countries since the late 1980s. They find convergence in various determinants of economic growth across countries and a flattening of the relationship between growth and these determinants. The paper challenges theories of growth arising after earlier rejections of the neoclassical growth model.

Nber Macroeconomics Annual. 2008

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 462 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2009-07-01
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 0226002055

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Nber Macroeconomics Annual. 2008 by Anonim Pdf