Oil Shocks And The Zero Bound On Nominal Interest Rates

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Oil Shocks and the Zero Bound on Nominal Interest Rates

Author : Martin Bodenstein
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
Page : 47 pages
File Size : 42,6 Mb
Release : 2011-04
Category : Reference
ISBN : 9781437980509

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Oil Shocks and the Zero Bound on Nominal Interest Rates by Martin Bodenstein Pdf

Beginning in 2009, in many advanced economies, policy rates reached their zero lower bound (ZLB). Almost at the same time, oil prices started rising again. The authors analyze how the ZLB affects the propagation of oil shocks. As these shocks move inflation and output in opposite directions, their effects on economic activity are cushioned when monetary policy is constrained. The burst of inflation from an oil price increase lowers real interest rates at the ZLB and stimulates theinterest-sensitive component of GDP, offsetting the usual contractionary effects. In fact, if the increase in oil prices is gradual, the persistent rise in inflation can cause a GDP expansion. Illus. This is a print on demand report.

International Dimensions of Monetary Policy

Author : Jordi Galí,Mark Gertler
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 663 pages
File Size : 43,5 Mb
Release : 2010-03-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780226278872

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International Dimensions of Monetary Policy by Jordi Galí,Mark Gertler Pdf

United States monetary policy has traditionally been modeled under the assumption that the domestic economy is immune to international factors and exogenous shocks. Such an assumption is increasingly unrealistic in the age of integrated capital markets, tightened links between national economies, and reduced trading costs. International Dimensions of Monetary Policy brings together fresh research to address the repercussions of the continuing evolution toward globalization for the conduct of monetary policy. In this comprehensive book, the authors examine the real and potential effects of increased openness and exposure to international economic dynamics from a variety of perspectives. Their findings reveal that central banks continue to influence decisively domestic economic outcomes—even inflation—suggesting that international factors may have a limited role in national performance. International Dimensions of Monetary Policy will lead the way in analyzing monetary policy measures in complex economies.

Monetary Policy Response to Oil Price Shocks

Author : Jean-Marc Natal
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
Page : 59 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 2010
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781437933857

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Monetary Policy Response to Oil Price Shocks by Jean-Marc Natal Pdf

How should monetary authorities react to an oil price shock? A trade-off between stabilizing inflation and the welfare relevant output gap arises in a distorted economy once one recognizes: (1) that oil (energy) cannot be easily substituted by other factors in the short-run; (2) that there is no fiscal transfer available to policymakers to neutralize the steady-state distortion due to monopolistic competition; and (3) that increases in oil prices also directly affect consumption by raising the price of fuel, heating oil, and other energy sources. The author derives an interest rate feedback rule that mimics the optimal plan in all relevant dimensions but that depends only on observables, namely core inflation, oil price inflation, and the growth rate of output. Illus.

Systematic Monetary Policy and the Effects of Oil Price Shocks

Author : Ben Bernanke,Mark Gertler,Mark Watson
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 76 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 1997
Category : Monetary policy
ISBN : IND:30000120736081

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Systematic Monetary Policy and the Effects of Oil Price Shocks by Ben Bernanke,Mark Gertler,Mark Watson Pdf

Inflation, Nominal Interest Rates, and the Variability of Output

Author : Mr.Bankim Chadha,Daniel Tsiddon
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 42 pages
File Size : 44,7 Mb
Release : 1996-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : UCSD:31822023649494

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Inflation, Nominal Interest Rates, and the Variability of Output by Mr.Bankim Chadha,Daniel Tsiddon Pdf

This paper examines the distribution of output around capacity when money demand is a nonlinear function of the nominal interest rate such that nominal interest rates cannot become negative. When fluctuations in output result primarily from disturbances to the money market, the variance of output is shown to be an increasing function of the trend inflation rate. When they result from disturbances to the goods market, the variance of output is a decreasing function of the trend inflation rate. When both disturbances are significant, there exists, in general, a critical non-zero trend inflation rate that minimizes the variance of output.

Monetary Policy Alternatives at the Zero Bound

Author : Ben S. Bernanke,Vincent R. Reinhart,Brian P. Sack
Publisher : www.bnpublishing.com
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 2009-03
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1607961059

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Monetary Policy Alternatives at the Zero Bound by Ben S. Bernanke,Vincent R. Reinhart,Brian P. Sack Pdf

The success over the years in reducing inflation and, consequently, the average level of nominal interest rates has increased the likelihood that the nominal policy interest rate may become constrained by the zero lower bound. When that happens, a central bank can no longer stimulate aggregate demand by further interest-rate reductions and must rely on "non-standard" policy alternatives. To assess the potential effectiveness of such policies, we analyze the behavior of selected asset prices over short periods surrounding central bank statements or other types of financial or economic news and estimate "noarbitrage" models of the term structure for the United States and Japan. There is some evidence that central bank communications can help to shape public expectations of future policy actions and that asset purchases in large volume by a central bank would be able to affect the price or yield of the targeted asset.

The Curse of Cash

Author : Kenneth S. Rogoff
Publisher : Princeton University Press
Page : 318 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2017-06-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781400888726

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The Curse of Cash by Kenneth S. Rogoff Pdf

“A brilliant and lucid new book” (John Lanchester, New York Times Magazine) about why paper money and digital currencies lie at the heart of many of the world’s most difficult problems—and their solutions In The Curse of Cash, acclaimed economist and bestselling author Kenneth Rogoff explores the past, present, and future of currency, showing why, contrary to conventional economic wisdom, the regulation of paper bills—and now digital currencies—lies at the heart some of the world’s most difficult problems, but also their potential solutions. When it comes to currency, history shows that the private sector often innovates but eventually the government regulates and appropriates. Using examples ranging from the history of standardized coinage to the development of paper money, Rogoff explains why the cryptocurrency boom will inevitably end with dominant digital currencies created and controlled by governments, regardless of what Bitcoin libertarians want. Advanced countries still urgently need to stem the global flood of large paper bills—the vast majority of which serve no legitimate purpose and only enable tax evasion and other crimes—but cryptocurrencies are like $100 bills on steroids. The Curse of Cash is filled with revealing insights about many of the most pressing issues facing monetary policymakers, from quantitative easing to alternative inflation targeting regimes. It also explains in detail why, if low interest rates persist, the best way to reinvigorate monetary policy is to implement fully effective and unconstrained negative interest rates. Provocative, engaging, and backed by compelling original arguments and evidence, The Curse of Cash has sparked widespread debate and its ideas have moved to the center of financial and policy discussions.

Negative Interest Rates

Author : Luís Brandão Marques,Marco Casiraghi,Gaston Gelos,Güneş Kamber,Roland Meeks
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 84 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2021-03-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513570082

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Negative Interest Rates by Luís Brandão Marques,Marco Casiraghi,Gaston Gelos,Güneş Kamber,Roland Meeks Pdf

This paper focuses on negative interest rate policies and covers a broad range of its effects, with a detailed discussion of findings in the academic literature and of broader country experiences.

Hysteresis and Business Cycles

Author : Ms.Valerie Cerra,A. Fatas,Ms.Sweta Chaman Saxena
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 50 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2020-05-29
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513536996

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Hysteresis and Business Cycles by Ms.Valerie Cerra,A. Fatas,Ms.Sweta Chaman Saxena Pdf

Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.

Monetary Policy Strategy

Author : Frederic S. Mishkin
Publisher : MIT Press
Page : 561 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2009-08-21
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780262513371

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Monetary Policy Strategy by Frederic S. Mishkin Pdf

A leading academic authority and policymaker discusses monetary policy strategy from the perspectives of both scholar and practitioner, offering theory, econometric evidence, and extensive case studies. This book by a leading authority on monetary policy offers a unique view of the subject from the perspectives of both scholar and practitioner. Frederic Mishkin is not only an academic expert in the field but also a high-level policymaker. He is especially well positioned to discuss the changes in the conduct of monetary policy in recent years, in particular the turn to inflation targeting. Monetary Policy Strategy describes his work over the last ten years, offering published papers, new introductory material, and a summing up, “Everything You Wanted to Know about Monetary Policy Strategy, But Were Afraid to Ask,” which reflects on what we have learned about monetary policy over the last thirty years. Mishkin blends theory, econometric evidence, and extensive case studies of monetary policy in advanced and emerging market and transition economies. Throughout, his focus is on these key areas: the importance of price stability and a nominal anchor; fiscal and financial preconditions for achieving price stability; central bank independence as an additional precondition; central bank accountability; the rationale for inflation targeting; the optimal inflation target; central bank transparency and communication; and the role of asset prices in monetary policy.

International Macroeconomics

Author : Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé,Martín Uribe,Michael Woodford
Publisher : Princeton University Press
Page : 482 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 2022-09-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780691170640

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International Macroeconomics by Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé,Martín Uribe,Michael Woodford Pdf

An essential introduction to one of the most timely and important subjects in economics International Macroeconomics presents a rigorous and theoretically elegant treatment of real-world international macroeconomic problems, incorporating the latest economic research while maintaining a microfounded, optimizing, and dynamic general equilibrium approach. This one-of-a-kind textbook introduces a basic model and applies it to fundamental questions in international economics, including the determinants of the current account in small and large economies, processes of adjustment to shocks, the determinants of the real exchange rate, the role of fixed and flexible exchange rates in models with nominal rigidities, and interactions between monetary and fiscal policy. The book confronts theoretical predictions using actual data, highlighting both the power and limits of given theories and encouraging critical thinking. Provides a rigorous and elegant treatment of fundamental questions in international macroeconomicsBrings undergraduate and master’s instruction in line with modern economic researchFollows a microfounded, optimizing, and dynamic general equilibrium approachAddresses fundamental questions in international economics, such as the role of capital controls in the presence of financial frictions and balance-of-payments crisesUses real-world data to test the predictions of theoretical modelsFeatures a wealth of exercises at the end of each chapter that challenge students to hone their theoretical skills and scrutinize the empirical relevance of modelsAccompanied by a website with lecture slides for every chapter

Routledge Handbook of Energy Economics

Author : Uğur Soytaş,Ramazan Sarı
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 736 pages
File Size : 53,5 Mb
Release : 2019-09-23
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781315459639

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Routledge Handbook of Energy Economics by Uğur Soytaş,Ramazan Sarı Pdf

Energy consumption and production have major influences on the economy, environment, and society, but in return they are also influenced by how the economy is structured, how the social institutions work, and how the society deals with environmental degradation. The need for integrated assessment of the relationship between energy, economy, environment, and society is clear, and this handbook offers an in-depth review of all four pillars of the energy-economy-environment-society nexus. Bringing together contributions from all over the world, this handbook includes sections devoted to each of the four pillars. Moreover, as the financialization of commodity markets has made risk analysis more complicated and intriguing, the sections also cover energy commodity markets and their links to other financial and non-financial markets. In addition, econometric modeling and the forecasting of energy needs, as well as energy prices and volatilities, are also explored. Each part emphasizes the multidisciplinary nature of the energy economics field and from this perspective, chapters offer a review of models and methods used in the literature. The Routledge Handbook of Energy Economics will be of great interest to all those studying and researching in the area of energy economics. It offers guideline suggestions for policy makers as well as for future research.

Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies of the Euro Area

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 120 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2002-10-29
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781451812985

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Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies of the Euro Area by International Monetary Fund Pdf

This paper examines monetary and exchange rate policies of the euro area. The paper reviews the European Central Bank’s definition of price stability, and examines the factors determining “the optimal rate of inflation” in the euro area. It reviews the benefits of price stability, including the reduction in the distortions of savings and investment behavior that stem from the interaction between nominal tax systems and inflation. It then goes on to evaluate arguments for maintaining a small positive inflation rate in the context of the euro area.

Inflation Expectations

Author : Peter J. N. Sinclair
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 402 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2009-12-16
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781135179779

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Inflation Expectations by Peter J. N. Sinclair Pdf

Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.