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Author : Paul Gomme,Jeremy Greenwood
Publisher : London : Department of Economics, University of Western Ontario
Page : 52 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 1992
Category : Business cycles
ISBN : UCSD:31822015419559
Author : Howard Marks
Publisher : HarperCollins
Page : 339 pages
File Size : 50,5 Mb
Release : 2018-10-02
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781328480569
A NEW YORK TIMES, WALL STREET JOURNAL, AND USA TODAY BESTSELLER The legendary investor shows how to identify and master the cycles that govern the markets. We all know markets rise and fall, but when should you pull out, and when should you stay in? The answer is never black or white, but is best reached through a keen understanding of the reasons behind the rhythm of cycles. Confidence about where we are in a cycle comes when you learn the patterns of ups and downs that influence not just economics, markets, and companies, but also human psychology and the investing behaviors that result. If you study past cycles, understand their origins and remain alert for the next one, you will become keenly attuned to the investment environment as it changes. You’ll be aware and prepared while others get blindsided by unexpected events or fall victim to emotions like fear and greed. By following Marks’s insights—drawn in part from his iconic memos over the years to Oaktree’s clients—you can master these recurring patterns to have the opportunity to improve your results.
Author : Vasant Naik,Mukundan Devarajan,Andrew Nowobilski ,Sébastien Page, CFA,Niels Pedersen
Publisher : CFA Institute Research Foundation
Page : 192 pages
File Size : 55,8 Mb
Release : 2016-12-30
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781944960155
Author : Greg N. Gregoriou
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 654 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 2009-04-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781420099553
Up-to-Date Research Sheds New Light on This Area Taking into account the ongoing worldwide financial crisis, Stock Market Volatility provides insight to better understand volatility in various stock markets. This timely volume is one of the first to draw on a range of international authorities who offer their expertise on market volatility in devel
Author : Emmanuel Jurczenko
Publisher : Elsevier
Page : 486 pages
File Size : 51,8 Mb
Release : 2015-11-24
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780081008119
This book is a compilation of recent articles written by leading academics and practitioners in the area of risk-based and factor investing (RBFI). The articles are intended to introduce readers to some of the latest, cutting edge research encountered by academics and professionals dealing with RBFI solutions. Together the authors detail both alternative non-return based portfolio construction techniques and investing style risk premia strategies. Each chapter deals with new methods of building strategic and tactical risk-based portfolios, constructing and combining systematic factor strategies and assessing the related rules-based investment performances. This book can assist portfolio managers, asset owners, consultants, academics and students who wish to further their understanding of the science and art of risk-based and factor investing. Contains up-to-date research from the areas of RBFI Features contributions from leading academics and practitioners in this field Features discussions of new methods of building strategic and tactical risk-based portfolios for practitioners, academics and students
Author : Mr.Eugenio Cerutti,Mr.Stijn Claessens,Mr.Damien Puy
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 43 pages
File Size : 50,7 Mb
Release : 2015-06-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513526638
This paper analyzes the behavior of gross capital inflows across 34 emerging markets (EMs). We first confirm that aggregate inflows to EMs co-move considerably. We then report three findings: (i) the aggregate co-movement conceals significant heterogeneity across asset types as only bank-related and portfolio bond and equity inflows do co-move; (ii) while global push factors in advanced economies mostly explain the common dynamics, their relative importance varies by type of flow; and (iii) the sensitivity to common dynamics varies significantly across borrower countries, with market structure characteristics (especially the composition of the foreign investor base and the level of liquidity) rather than borrower country’s institutional fundamentals strongly affecting sensitivities. Countries relying more on international funds and global banks are found to be more sensitive to push factors. Our findings suggest that EMs need to closely monitor their lenders and investors to assess their inflow exposures to global push factors.
Author : John Y. Campbell,Luis M. Viceira
Publisher : OUP Oxford
Page : 272 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2002-01-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780191606915
Academic finance has had a remarkable impact on many financial services. Yet long-term investors have received curiously little guidance from academic financial economists. Mean-variance analysis, developed almost fifty years ago, has provided a basic paradigm for portfolio choice. This approach usefully emphasizes the ability of diversification to reduce risk, but it ignores several critically important factors. Most notably, the analysis is static; it assumes that investors care only about risks to wealth one period ahead. However, many investors—-both individuals and institutions such as charitable foundations or universities—-seek to finance a stream of consumption over a long lifetime. In addition, mean-variance analysis treats financial wealth in isolation from income. Long-term investors typically receive a stream of income and use it, along with financial wealth, to support their consumption. At the theoretical level, it is well understood that the solution to a long-term portfolio choice problem can be very different from the solution to a short-term problem. Long-term investors care about intertemporal shocks to investment opportunities and labor income as well as shocks to wealth itself, and they may use financial assets to hedge their intertemporal risks. This should be important in practice because there is a great deal of empirical evidence that investment opportunities—-both interest rates and risk premia on bonds and stocks—-vary through time. Yet this insight has had little influence on investment practice because it is hard to solve for optimal portfolios in intertemporal models. This book seeks to develop the intertemporal approach into an empirical paradigm that can compete with the standard mean-variance analysis. The book shows that long-term inflation-indexed bonds are the riskless asset for long-term investors, it explains the conditions under which stocks are safer assets for long-term than for short-term investors, and it shows how labor income influences portfolio choice. These results shed new light on the rules of thumb used by financial planners. The book explains recent advances in both analytical and numerical methods, and shows how they can be used to understand the portfolio choice problems of long-term investors.
Author : Saibal Kar,Debabrata Datta
Publisher : Springer
Page : 164 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2014-10-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9788132220176
This book is an attempt to capture and analyze several idiosyncratic features of industry and labor in the developing world. Available books and graduate-level texts in labor economics largely discuss industrial and labor market situations prevalent in developed countries, where well-defined institutional arrangements and regulations create a very different scope of analysis. The patterns of choice in training and contracts in the labor market more apparent in developing and transition countries are discussed, as are the information-theoretic results. The book also critically examines labor migration, a context in which the developing and transition countries represent large sources in the present global order. A broad base of empirical observations from industries is used to develop analytical conjectures on risk-sharing arrangements between workers and employers, while strong intuitive explanations are combined with relevant mathematical and graphical derivations, ensuring the book’s readability among graduate students pursuing courses in labor economics and industrial economics for developing and transition countries. The book may also serve as a valuable reference guide for all students in advanced human resources courses at management schools. Presenting state-of-the art research findings in all of its chapters, the book discusses numerous institutional peculiarities of the developing world, making the results distinct in view of the general scope of labor economics.
Author : Edward E. Qian
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 245 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2016-02-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498738804
Written by an experienced researcher and portfolio manager who coined the term "risk parity," this book provides readers with a practical understanding of the risk parity investment approach. It uses fundamental, quantitative, and historical analysis to address the merit of risk parity as well as the practical and underlying aspects of risk parity investing. Requiring no advanced degrees in quantitative fields, the book analyzes risk parity performance from historical periods and more recent market environments.
Author : Mr.Plamen K Iossifov,Tomas Dutra Schmidt
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 40 pages
File Size : 53,7 Mb
Release : 2021-02-05
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513568652
We analyze a range of macrofinancial indicators to extract signals about cyclical systemic risk across 107 economies over 1995–2020. We construct composite indices of underlying liquidity, solvency and mispricing risks and analyze their patterns over the financial cycle. We find that liquidity and solvency risk indicators tend to be counter-cyclical, whereas mispricing risk ones are procyclical, and they all lead the credit cycle. Our results lend support to high-level accounts that risks were underestimated by stress indicators in the run-up to the 2008 global financial crisis. The policy implications of conflicting risk signals would depend on the phase of the credit cycle.
Author : Ho Kim Hin/David
Publisher : Partridge Publishing Singapore
Page : 435 pages
File Size : 51,6 Mb
Release : 2020-09-24
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781543760064
This book is concerned with the unique findings, contributions and recommendations made on several crucial issues, relating to the concomitant subjects of direct real estate (DRE) risk premiums and DRE risk management. Chapter 1 examines the institutional nature of legal origin and the total returns (TRs), from investing in a country’s DRE and via the adoption of a multi-factor arbitrage pricing theory (APT) model. Chapter 2 affirms the true historical volatility to be a reasonable estimation of international DRE risk premiums, when the autoregressive lag orders of the de-smoothed returns and the multi-factor model are taken into account. Chapter 3’s real world of international DRE investing counts on sustainable international DRE investing, imperative for the investing organization’s willingness and preparedness to effectively manage risk or uncertainty, early enough as part of the risk management cycle, in pursuing high risk-adjusted TRs for DRE assets. Chapter 4 recommends a model of the intuitive build-up approach of forming the DRE investment hurdle rates for new DRE investing. The resultant DRE risk premiums serve a rough guide to ensure that the DRE hurdle rate is stringent and high enough, to achieve the risk-adjusted and Sharpe-optimal portfolio TR. Chapter 5 examines the integrated DRE investment strategy for a 13-city Pan Asia DRE portfolio, of office, industrial real estate and public listed DRE companies, adopting the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and the Markowitz quadratic programming models. Such models enable the versatile strategic asset (SAA) and the tactical asset (TAA) allocations. Chapter 6 enables the DRE institutional investor to achieve a comprehensive and in-depth return and risk assessment at the DRE level for the 4 prime Asia residential sectors of Shanghai (SH), Beijing (BJ), Bangkok (BK), and Kuala Lumpur (KL), under the DRE VaR, incremental DRE VaR and the risk-adjusted return on capital (RAROC), Chapter 7 reiterates that public policies on macroeconomic management have to be consistent and non-conflicting in a widely accepted ‘policy compact’. It is because the policies reinforce the fundamental investment value of large and complex developments, affecting the sustainable viability like the integrated resort (IR)-at-Marina-Bay, Singapore. Chapter 8 draws attention to the aftermath of the Asian economic crisis, terrorism and viral epidemics, that compel more DRE investors to risk-diversify their operations beyond their primary market into other parts of Asia. However, limited studies examine risk-reduction diversification strategies via split returns i.e. decomposing TRs into rental-yield returns and capital value (CV) returns. Chapter 9 proposes and recommends the intelligent building (IB) framework, via the fuzzy logic (FL) engine, leading to a robust measure of building intelligence, and a standard guideline for a consistent performance-based structure for the promotion of the correct IB classification.
Author : Randall E. Eberts,Erica L. Groshen,Lee Hoskins
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 166 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2019-07-26
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781315488554
During much of the 1980s, US wage growth has been unexpectedly slow in the face of relatively low unemployment rates and high capacity utilization rates. This collection of papers resulting from the Wage Structure Conference held by the Federal Research Bank of Cleveland, November 1989, helps explain labour market behaviour in that period. The contributors - academic and research economists in labour economics - provide a comprehensive assessment of the current state of the wage-setting process in the US labour market.
Author : Roger W Garrison
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 289 pages
File Size : 54,9 Mb
Release : 2000-10-19
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781134895908
Time and Money argues persuasively that the troubles which characterise modern capital-intensive economies, particularly the episodes of boom and bust, may best be analysed with the aid of a capital-based macroeconomics. The primary focus of this text is the intertemporal structure of capital, an area that until now has been neglected in favour of labour and money-based macroeconomics.
Author : National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on Basic Research in the Behavioral and Social Sciences
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 301 pages
File Size : 48,5 Mb
Release : 1988-02-01
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780309037495
This volume explores the scientific frontiers and leading edges of research across the fields of anthropology, economics, political science, psychology, sociology, history, business, education, geography, law, and psychiatry, as well as the newer, more specialized areas of artificial intelligence, child development, cognitive science, communications, demography, linguistics, and management and decision science. It includes recommendations concerning new resources, facilities, and programs that may be needed over the next several years to ensure rapid progress and provide a high level of returns to basic research.
Author : Robert D. Arnott,Frank J. Fabozzi
Publisher : Irwin Professional Publishing
Page : 448 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 1992
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : UVA:X004375966
No issue is more critical to institutional investors than asset allocation. In today's volatile and increasingly global financial markets, asset mix and portfolio allocation are ever more important. However, the term asset allocation means different things to different people in different contexts. Whether policy asset allocation, tactical asset allocation or dynamic strategies for asset allocation, the policies and tactics are designed to reshape the return distribution. Because there are a number of decisions to make and issues to evaluate when reviewing asset allocation, this authoritative text assembles some of the best thinking in the investment world today on the subject of asset allocation. In Active Asset Allocation, pension sponsors, endowment and foundation managers and portfolio managers will find answers to many of the perplexing problems of assessing and managing the asset mix. Editors Robert D. Arnott and Frank J. Fabozzi, joined by a host of eminent practitioners and theoreticians, focus on the many dimensions of the asset allocation decision, tactical asset allocation and the risks associated with active asset allocation. Completely revised to reflect the latest thinking, Active Asset Allocation updates the ground-breaking material that made the first edition a critically acclaimed best-seller. Some of these current thoughts on asset allocation are communicated through a comprehensive series of chapters, including Managing the Asset Mix; Asset Performance and Surplus Control; Risk-Adjusted Surplus; Tax Consequences of Trading; A Disciplined Approach to Global Asset Allocation; Does Tactical Asset Allocation Work? and At Last, a Rational Case forLong-Horizon Risk Tolerance and for Asset Allocation Timing?