Persistent Forecasting Of Disruptive Technologies

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Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies

Author : National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 136 pages
File Size : 48,5 Mb
Release : 2010-02-15
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9780309116602

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Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies by National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies Pdf

Technological innovations are key causal agents of surprise and disruption. In the recent past, the United States military has encountered unexpected challenges in the battlefield due in part to the adversary's incorporation of technologies not traditionally associated with weaponry. Recognizing the need to broaden the scope of current technology forecasting efforts, the Office of the Director, Defense Research and Engineering (DDR&E) and the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) tasked the Committee for Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies with providing guidance and insight on how to build a persistent forecasting system to predict, analyze, and reduce the impact of the most dramatically disruptive technologies. The first of two reports, this volume analyzes existing forecasting methods and processes. It then outlines the necessary characteristics of a comprehensive forecasting system that integrates data from diverse sources to identify potentially game-changing technological innovations and facilitates informed decision making by policymakers. The committee's goal was to help the reader understand current forecasting methodologies, the nature of disruptive technologies and the characteristics of a persistent forecasting system for disruptive technology. Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies is a useful text for the Department of Defense, Homeland Security, the Intelligence community and other defense agencies across the nation.

Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologiesâ¬"Report 2

Author : National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 341 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2010-07-02
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9780309157452

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Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologiesâ¬"Report 2 by National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies Pdf

The term "disruptive technology" describes a technology that results in a sudden change affecting already established technologies or markets. Disruptive technologies cause one or more discontinuities in the normal evolutionary life cycle of technology. This may lead to an unexpected destabilization of an older technology order and an opportunity for new competitors to displace incumbents. Frequently cited examples include digital photography and desktop publishing. The first report of the series, Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies, discussed how technology forecasts were historically made, assessed various existing forecasting systems, and identified desirable attributes of a next-generation persistent long-term forecasting system for disruptive technologies. This second book attempts to sketch out high-level forecasting system designs. In addition, the book provides further evaluation of the system attributes defined in the first report, and evidence of the feasibility of creating a system with those attributes. Together, the reports are intended to help the Department of Defense and the intelligence community identify and develop a forecasting system that will assist in detecting and tracking global technology trends, producing persistent long-term forecasts of disruptive technologies, and characterizing their potential impact on future U.S. warfighting and homeland defense capabilities.

Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologiesâ¬"Report 2

Author : National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 341 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2010-08-02
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9780309149044

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Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologiesâ¬"Report 2 by National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies Pdf

The term "disruptive technology" describes a technology that results in a sudden change affecting already established technologies or markets. Disruptive technologies cause one or more discontinuities in the normal evolutionary life cycle of technology. This may lead to an unexpected destabilization of an older technology order and an opportunity for new competitors to displace incumbents. Frequently cited examples include digital photography and desktop publishing. The first report of the series, Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies, discussed how technology forecasts were historically made, assessed various existing forecasting systems, and identified desirable attributes of a next-generation persistent long-term forecasting system for disruptive technologies. This second book attempts to sketch out high-level forecasting system designs. In addition, the book provides further evaluation of the system attributes defined in the first report, and evidence of the feasibility of creating a system with those attributes. Together, the reports are intended to help the Department of Defense and the intelligence community identify and develop a forecasting system that will assist in detecting and tracking global technology trends, producing persistent long-term forecasts of disruptive technologies, and characterizing their potential impact on future U.S. warfighting and homeland defense capabilities.

Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies

Author : Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies,Air Force Studies Board,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,National Research Council
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 136 pages
File Size : 43,9 Mb
Release : 2010-01-15
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 0309386721

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Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies by Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies,Air Force Studies Board,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,National Research Council Pdf

Technological innovations are key causal agents of surprise and disruption. In the recent past, the United States military has encountered unexpected challenges in the battlefield due in part to the adversary's incorporation of technologies not traditionally associated with weaponry. Recognizing the need to broaden the scope of current technology forecasting efforts, the Office of the Director, Defense Research and Engineering (DDR&E) and the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) tasked the Committee for Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies with providing guidance and insight on how to build a persistent forecasting system to predict, analyze, and reduce the impact of the most dramatically disruptive technologies. The first of two reports, this volume analyzes existing forecasting methods and processes. It then outlines the necessary characteristics of a comprehensive forecasting system that integrates data from diverse sources to identify potentially game-changing technological innovations and facilitates informed decision making by policymakers. The committee's goal was to help the reader understand current forecasting methodologies, the nature of disruptive technologies and the characteristics of a persistent forecasting system for disruptive technology. Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies is a useful text for the Department of Defense, Homeland Security, the Intelligence community and other defense agencies across the nation.

Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies

Author : National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 137 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2010-01-15
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9780309150330

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Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies by National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies Pdf

Technological innovations are key causal agents of surprise and disruption. In the recent past, the United States military has encountered unexpected challenges in the battlefield due in part to the adversary's incorporation of technologies not traditionally associated with weaponry. Recognizing the need to broaden the scope of current technology forecasting efforts, the Office of the Director, Defense Research and Engineering (DDR&E) and the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) tasked the Committee for Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies with providing guidance and insight on how to build a persistent forecasting system to predict, analyze, and reduce the impact of the most dramatically disruptive technologies. The first of two reports, this volume analyzes existing forecasting methods and processes. It then outlines the necessary characteristics of a comprehensive forecasting system that integrates data from diverse sources to identify potentially game-changing technological innovations and facilitates informed decision making by policymakers. The committee's goal was to help the reader understand current forecasting methodologies, the nature of disruptive technologies and the characteristics of a persistent forecasting system for disruptive technology. Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies is a useful text for the Department of Defense, Homeland Security, the Intelligence community and other defense agencies across the nation.

Disruptive and Game Changing Technologies in Modern Warfare

Author : Margaret E. Kosal
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 222 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2019-09-27
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9783030283421

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Disruptive and Game Changing Technologies in Modern Warfare by Margaret E. Kosal Pdf

This book explores and analyzes emerging innovations within today’s most cutting-edge science and technology (S&T) areas, which are cited as carrying the potential to revolutionize governmental structures, economies, and international security. Some have argued that such technologies will yield doomsday scenarios and that military applications of such technologies have even greater potential than nuclear weapons to radically change the balance of power. As the United States looks to the future – whether dominated by extremist groups co-opting advanced weapons in the world of globalized non-state actors or states engaged in persistent regional conflicts in areas of strategic interest – new adversaries and new science and technology will emerge. Choices made today that affect science and technology will impact how ably the US can and will respond. Chapters within the book look at the changing strategic environment in which security operations are planned and conducted; how these impact science and technology policy choices made today; and predictions of how science and technology may play a beneficial or deleterious role in the future. Some game changing technologies have received global attention, while others may be less well known; the new technologies discussed within this proposal, as well as future discoveries, may significantly alter military capabilities and may generate new threats against military and civilian sectors.

Review of the National Defense Intelligence College's Master's Degree in Science and Technology Intelligence

Author : National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Committee for the Review of the Master's Degree Program for Science and Technology Intelligence Professionals
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 46 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 2011-11-14
Category : Education
ISBN : 9780309220545

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Review of the National Defense Intelligence College's Master's Degree in Science and Technology Intelligence by National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Committee for the Review of the Master's Degree Program for Science and Technology Intelligence Professionals Pdf

The National Research Council (NRC) was asked by the National Defense Intelligence College (NDIC) to convene a committee to review the curriculum and syllabi for their proposed master of science degree in science and technology intelligence. The NRC was asked to review the material provided by the NDIC and offer advice and recommendations regarding the program's structure and goals of the Master of Science and Technology Intelligence (MS&TI) program. The Committee for the Review of the Master's Degree Program for Science and Technology Professionals convened in May 2011, received extensive briefings and material from the NDIC faculty and administrators, and commenced a detailed review of the material. This letter report contains the findings and recommendations of the committee. Review of the National Defense Intelligence College's Master's Degree in Science and Technology Intelligence centers on two general areas. First, the committee found that the biological sciences and systems engineering were underrepresented in the existing program structure. Secondly, the committee recommends that the NDIC faculty restructure the program and course learning objectives to focus more specifically on science and technology, with particular emphasis on the empirical measurement of student achievement. Given the dynamic and ever-changing nature of science and technology, the syllabi should continue to evolve as change occurs.

Human Interaction & Emerging Technologies (IHIET 2023): Artificial Intelligence & Future Applications 

Author : Tareq Ahram and Redha Taiar
Publisher : AHFE International
Page : 1007 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2023-08-22
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781958651872

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Human Interaction & Emerging Technologies (IHIET 2023): Artificial Intelligence & Future Applications  by Tareq Ahram and Redha Taiar Pdf

Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Human Interaction and Emerging Technologies, IHIET 2023, August 22-24, 2023, Université Côte d'Azur, Nice, France.

Research Methodology in Management and Industrial Engineering

Author : Carolina Machado,J. Paulo Davim
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 159 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 2020-03-13
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9783030408961

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Research Methodology in Management and Industrial Engineering by Carolina Machado,J. Paulo Davim Pdf

This book deals with methodological issues in the field of management and industrial engineering. It aims to answer the following questions that researchers face every time they look to develop their research: How can we design a research project? What kind of paradigm should we follow? Should we develop a qualitative / phenomenological research or a quantitative / positivistic one? What technics for data collections can we use? Should we use the entire population or a sample? What kind of sampling techniques can we have? This book provides discussion and the exchange of information on principles, strategies, models, techniques, applications and methodological options possible to develop in research in management and industrial engineering. It communicates the latest developments and thinking on the research methodologies subject in the different areas, worldwide. It seeks cultural and geographic diversity in studies highlighting research methodologies that can be used in these different study areas. This book has a special interest in research on important issues that transcend the boundaries of single academic subjects. It presents contributions that challenge the paradigms and assumptions of individual disciplines or functions, with chapters grounded in conceptual and / or empirical literature. The main aim of this book is to provide a channel of communication to disseminate knowledge between academics and researchers, with a special focus on the management and industrial engineering fields. This book can serve as a useful reference for academics, researchers, managers, engineers, and other professionals in related matters with research methodologies. Contributors have identified the theoretical and practical implications of their methodological options to the development and improvement of their different study and research areas.

Agent and Multi-Agent Systems: Technologies and Applications

Author : Gordan Jezic,Robert J. Howlett,Lakhmi C. Jain
Publisher : Springer
Page : 468 pages
File Size : 55,7 Mb
Release : 2015-06-09
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9783319197289

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Agent and Multi-Agent Systems: Technologies and Applications by Gordan Jezic,Robert J. Howlett,Lakhmi C. Jain Pdf

Agents and multi-agent systems are related to a modern software paradigm which has long been recognized as a promising technology for constructing autonomous, complex and intelligent systems. The topics covered in this volume include agent-oriented software engineering, agent co-operation, co-ordination, negotiation, organization and communication, distributed problem solving, specification of agent communication languages, agent privacy, safety and security, formalization of ontologies and conversational agents. The volume highlights new trends and challenges in agent and multi-agent research and includes 38 papers classified in the following specific topics: learning paradigms, agent-based modeling and simulation, business model innovation and disruptive technologies, anthropic-oriented computing, serious games and business intelligence, design and implementation of intelligent agents and multi-agent systems, digital economy, and advances in networked virtual enterprises. Published papers have been presented at the 9th KES Conference on Agent and Multi-Agent Systems – Technologies and Applications (KES-AMSTA 2015) held in Sorrento, Italy. Presented results should be of value to the research community working in the fields of artificial intelligence, collective computational intelligence, robotics, dialogue systems and, in particular, agent and multi-agent systems, technologies, tools and applications.

Routledge Handbook of Defence Studies

Author : David J. Galbreath,John R. Deni
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 398 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2018-02-12
Category : History
ISBN : 9781317307082

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Routledge Handbook of Defence Studies by David J. Galbreath,John R. Deni Pdf

The Routledge Handbook of Defence Studies provides a comprehensive collection of essays on contemporary defence studies by leading international scholars. Defence studies is a multi-disciplinary study of how agents, predominantly states, prepare for and go to war. Whereas security studies has been broadened and stretched to cover at times the near totality of international and domestic affairs, and war studies has come to mean not just operations and tactics but also experiences and outcomes, defence studies remains a coherent area of study primarily aimed at how defence policy changes over time and in relation to stimulating factors such as alterations in power, strategy and technology. This new Handbook offers a complete landscape of this area of study and contributes to a review of defence studies in terms of policy, security and war, but also looks forward to new challenges to existing conceptions of defence and how this is changing as states and their militaries also change. The volume is divided into four thematic sections: Defence as Policy; Defence Practice; Operations and Tactics; and Contemporary Defence Issues. The ability to review the field while also looking forward to further research is an important element of a sustainable text on defence studies. In as much as this volume is able to highlight the main themes of defence studies, it also offers an in-depth look into how defence issues can be examined and compared in a contemporary setting. This Handbook will be of great interest to students of defence studies, strategic studies, war studies, security studies and IR.

Technology Assessment

Author : Tugrul U. Daim
Publisher : Erich Schmidt Verlag GmbH & Co KG
Page : 264 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2011
Category : Information technology
ISBN : 3503126759

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Technology Assessment by Tugrul U. Daim Pdf

"Understanding the technology dynamics is a required capability in today's technology driven industries. This volume focuses on three areas: technology assessment, technology forecasting and technology diffusion. It shows: an introduction to different types of assessment methods and applications from different sectors including energy, healthcare and communications; technology forecasting and foresight and a review of conventional and emerging methods; and the diffusion of technologies by exploring adoption of products and services from different sectors."--Back cover.

Disruptive Technologies

Author : Paul Armstrong
Publisher : Kogan Page Publishers
Page : 249 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2023-01-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781398609211

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Disruptive Technologies by Paul Armstrong Pdf

The next two decades will see more waves of technological disruption than the previous fifty. Adaptability and understanding of technological changes are now mission-critical to every business. Disruptive Technologies offers a three-step framework that enables readers to choose how their business responds to technological upheaval rather than being led by changes forced upon them. Showing how to understand a new technology, evaluate the challenge it poses, and finally respond to it, readers will come away secure in the knowledge that they have a workable system with which they can navigate ongoing technological disruption. This second edition features new chapters on the Metaverse and Web 3.0, as well as case studies and discussions of emerging technologies such as NFTs, artificial intelligence, virtual and augmented reality, graphene and 3D/4D printing. If companies do not grasp how developing technologies will impact their operations, supply chains, people and products, they have little hope of weathering the ongoing storm of digital disruption. Disruptive Technologies is your essential guide to creating a stable response to constant technological upheaval.

Big Bang Disruption

Author : Larry Downes,Paul Nunes
Publisher : Penguin
Page : 271 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 2014-01-07
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780698143388

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Big Bang Disruption by Larry Downes,Paul Nunes Pdf

It used to take years or even decades for disruptive innovations to dethrone dominant products and services. But now any business can be devastated virtually overnight by something better and cheaper. How can executives protect themselves and harness the power of Big Bang Disruption? Just a few years ago, drivers happily spent more than $200 for a GPS unit. But as smartphones exploded in popularity, free navigation apps exceeded the performance of stand-alone devices. Eighteen months after the debut of the navigation apps, leading GPS manufacturers had lost 85 percent of their market value. Consumer electronics and computer makers have long struggled in a world of exponential technology improvements and short product life spans. But until recently, hotels, taxi services, doctors, and energy companies had little to fear from the information revolution. Those days are gone forever. Software-based products are replacing physical goods. And every service provider must compete with cloud-based tools that offer customers a better way to interact. Today, start-ups with minimal experience and no capital can unravel your strategy before you even begin to grasp what’s happening. Never mind the “innovator’s dilemma”—this is the innovator’s disaster. And it’s happening in nearly every industry. Worse, Big Bang Disruptors may not even see you as competition. They don’t share your approach to customer service, and they’re not sizing up your product line to offer better prices. You may simply be collateral damage in their efforts to win completely different markets. The good news is that any business can master the strategy of the start-ups. Larry Downes and Paul Nunes analyze the origins, economics, and anatomy of Big Bang Disruption. They identify four key stages of the new innovation life cycle, helping you spot potential disruptors in time. And they offer twelve rules for defending your markets, launching disruptors of your own, and getting out while there’s still time. Based on extensive research by the Accenture Institute for High Performance and in-depth interviews with entrepreneurs, investors, and executives from more than thirty industries, Big Bang Disruption will arm you with strategies and insights to thrive in this brave new world.

The Future of Disruptive Technologies

Author : Dr Srikanth Gaddam
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 160 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 2020-11-20
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9798568464518

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The Future of Disruptive Technologies by Dr Srikanth Gaddam Pdf

Embracing Disruptive Technology & Leveraging Each for Career Development is Possible - If You Keep Reading!When Dr. Srikanth Gaddam's 15-year-old son broached the possibilities of landing a high-paying programming job without a college degree, he had to pause and reflect. After all, "even Bill Gates or Steve Jobs did not complete college but became billionaires."On the one hand, society has conditioned us that college is the ultimate mark of success. On the other, it takes 10,000 hours to master anything if you're truly keen.This spurred author, angel investor, and seasoned entrepreneur Dr. Srikanth Gaddam to gather insights on the best technologies for people, young and old, to begin to study and master - whether or not they decide to undergo formal education.With the aim to educate and encourage every reader to adopt disruptive technologies, as well as to understand their impact on the future of businesses and societies, "The Future Of Disruptive Technologies" was born.Throughout this insightful book, readers will: -Learn how Cloud Computing is used to innovate in cheaper and faster ways-Find out why Big Data is the new "oil" - the new raw material for businesses-Understand how futures are reinvented with Artificial Intelligence (AI)-Educate themselves on why Data Privacy must be a priority in Cybersecurity-Immerse themselves in all the new ways people behave and interact with machines-Discover a world where dreams become reality - virtual and augmented realities-Find out how 5G networks are transforming lives at high speed-And so much more!With so many different technologies to choose from, it's easy to become overwhelmed.In "The Future Of Disruptive Technologies", any young adult or professional in their mid-careers stuck with old technologies can take the first step to grasp both the present and future impacts of technology... and how to leverage each.Scroll up, Click on "Buy Now with 1-Click", and Grab a Copy Today!