Principles Process And Practice Of Professional Number Juggling

Author : Alan R. Jones
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 242 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2018-09-13
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781351661355

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Principles, Process and Practice of Professional Number Juggling by Alan R. Jones Pdf

Principles, Process and Practice of Professional Number Juggling (Volume 1 of the Working Guides to Estimating & Forecasting series) sets the scene of TRACEability and good estimate practice that is followed in the other volumes in this series of five working guides. It clarifies the difference between an Estimating Process, Procedure, Approach, Method and Technique. It expands on these definitions of Approach (Top-down, Bottom-up and ‘Ethereal’) and Method (Analogy, Parametric and ‘Trusted Source’) and discusses how these form the basis of all other means of establishing an estimate. This volume also underlines the importance of ‘data normalisation’ in any estimating procedure, and demonstrates that the Estimating by Analogy Method, in essence, is a simple extension of Data Normalisation. The author looks at simple measures of assessing the maturity or health of an estimate, and offers a means of assessing a spreadsheet for any inherent risks or errors that may be introduced by failing to follow good practice in spreadsheet design and build. This book provides a taster of the more numerical techniques covered in the remainder of the series by considering how an estimator can potentially exploit Benford’s Law (traditionally used in Fraud Detection) to identify systematic bias from third party contributors. It will be a valuable resource for estimators, engineers, accountants, project risk specialists as well as students of cost engineering.

Author : Alan Jones
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 248 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2018
Category : Costs, Industrial
ISBN : 1138063967

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Principles, Process and Practice of Professional Number Juggling by Alan Jones Pdf

Principles, Process and Practice of Professional Number Juggling (Volume 1) sets the scene of TRACEability and good estimate practice that is followed in the other volumes in this series of five working guides. It clarifies the difference between an Estimating Process, Procedure, Approach, Method and Technique. It expands on these definitions of Approach (Top-down, Bottom-up and 'Ethereal') and Method (Analogy, Parametric and 'Trusted Source') and discusses how these form the basis of all other means of establishing an estimate. This volume also underlines the importance of "data normalisation" in any estimating procedure, and demonstrates that the Estimating by Analogy Method, in essence, is a simple extension of Data Nomalisation. The author looks at simple measures of assessing the maturity or health of an estimate, and offers a means of assessing a spreadsheet for any inherent risks or errors that may be introduced by failing to follow good practice in spreadsheet design and build. This book provides a taster of the more numerical techniques covered in the remainder of the series by considering how an Estimator can potentially exploit Benford's Law (traditionally used in Fraud Detection) to identify systematic bias from third party contributors. It will be a valuable resource for estimators, engineers, accountants, project risk specialists as well as students of cost engineering.

Author : Alan R. Jones
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 467 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 2018-10-09
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781351661379

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Probability, Statistics and Other Frightening Stuff by Alan R. Jones Pdf

Probability, Statistics and Other Frightening Stuff (Volume II of the Working Guides to Estimating & Forecasting series) considers many of the commonly used Descriptive Statistics in the world of estimating and forecasting. It considers values that are representative of the ‘middle ground’ (Measures of Central Tendency), and the degree of data scatter (Measures of Dispersion and Shape) around the ‘middle ground’ values. A number of Probability Distributions and where they might be used are discussed, along with some fascinating and useful ‘rules of thumb’ or short-cut properties that estimators and forecasters can exploit in plying their trade. With the help of a ‘Correlation Chicken’, the concept of partial correlation is explained, including how the estimator or forecaster can exploit this in reflecting varying levels of independence and imperfect dependence between an output or predicted value (such as cost) and an input or predictor variable such as size. Under the guise of ‘Tails of the unexpected’ the book concludes with two chapters devoted to Hypothesis Testing (or knowing when to accept or reject the validity of an assumed estimating relationship), and a number of statistically-based tests to help the estimator to decide whether to include or exclude a data point as an ‘outlier’, one that appears not to be representative of that which the estimator is tasked to produce. This is a valuable resource for estimators, engineers, accountants, project risk specialists as well as students of cost engineering.

Author : Alan R. Jones
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 292 pages
File Size : 54,7 Mb
Release : 2018-09-13
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781351661294

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Risk, Opportunity, Uncertainty and Other Random Models by Alan R. Jones Pdf

Risk, Opportunity, Uncertainty and Other Random Models (Volume V in the Working Guides to Estimating and Forecasting series) goes part way to debunking the myth that research and development cost are somewhat random, as under certain conditions they can be observed to follow a pattern of behaviour referred to as a Norden-Rayleigh Curve, which unfortunately has to be truncated to stop the myth from becoming a reality! However, there is a practical alternative in relation to a particular form of PERT-Beta Curve. However, the major emphasis of this volume is the use of Monte Carlo Simulation as a general technique for narrowing down potential outcomes of multiple interacting variables or cost drivers. Perhaps the most common of these in the evaluation of Risk, Opportunity and Uncertainty. The trouble is that many Monte Carlo Simulation tools are ‘black boxes’ and too few estimators and forecasters really appreciate what is happening inside the ‘black box’. This volume aims to resolve that and offers tips into things that might need to be considered to remove some of the uninformed random input that often creates a misinformed misconception of ‘it must be right!’ Monte Carlo Simulation can be used to model variable determine Critical Paths in a schedule, and is key to modelling Waiting Times and cues with random arisings. Supported by a wealth of figures and tables, this is a valuable resource for estimators, engineers, accountants, project risk specialists as well as students of cost engineering.

Author : Alan R. Jones
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 304 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 2018-09-13
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781351661478

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Learning, Unlearning and Re-Learning Curves by Alan R. Jones Pdf

Learning, Unlearning and Re-learning Curves (Volume IV of the Working Guides to Estimating & Forecasting series) focuses in on Learning Curves, and the various tried and tested models of Wright, Crawford, DeJong, Towill-Bevis and others. It explores the differences and similarities between the various models and examines the key properties that Estimators and Forecasters can exploit. A discussion about Learning Curve Cost Drivers leads to the consideration of a little used but very powerful technique of Learning Curve modelling called Segmentation, which looks at an organisation’s complex learning curve as the product of multiple shallower learning curves. Perhaps the biggest benefit is that it simplifies the calculations in Microsoft Excel where there is a change in the rate of learning observed or expected. The same technique can be used to model and calibrate discontinuities in the learning process that result in setbacks and uplifts in time or cost. This technique is compared with other, better known techniques such as Anderlohr’s. Equivalent Unit Learning is another, relative new technique that can be used alongside traditional completed unit learning to give an early warning of changes in the rates of learning. Finally, a Learning Curve can be exploited to estimate the penalty of collaborative working across multiple partners. Supported by a wealth of figures and tables, this is a valuable resource for estimators, engineers, accountants, project risk specialists, as well as students of cost engineering.

Author : Alan R. Jones
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 498 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 2018-10-09
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781351661447

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Best Fit Lines & Curves by Alan R. Jones Pdf

Best Fit Lines and Curves, and Some Mathe-Magical Transformations (Volume III of the Working Guides to Estimating & Forecasting series) concentrates on techniques for finding the Best Fit Line or Curve to some historical data allowing us to interpolate or extrapolate the implied relationship that will underpin our prediction. A range of simple ‘Moving Measures’ are suggested to smooth the underlying trend and quantify the degree of noise or scatter around that trend. The advantages and disadvantages are discussed and a simple way to offset the latent disadvantage of most Moving Measure Techniques is provided. Simple Linear Regression Analysis, a more formal numerical technique that calculates the line of best fit subject to defined ‘goodness of fit’ criteria. Microsoft Excel is used to demonstrate how to decide whether the line of best fit is a good fit, or just a solution in search of some data. These principles are then extended to cover multiple cost drivers, and how we can use them to quantify 3-Point Estimates. With a deft sleight of hand, certain commonly occurring families of non-linear relationships can be transformed mathe-magically into linear formats, allowing us to exploit the powers of Regression Analysis to find the Best Fit Curves. The concludes with an exploration of the ups and downs of seasonal data (Time Series Analysis). Supported by a wealth of figures and tables, this is a valuable resource for estimators, engineers, accountants, project risk specialists as well as students of cost engineering.

Author : Salah Ud-Din Khan,Alexander V. Nakhabov
Publisher : Woodhead Publishing
Page : 514 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2020-06-16
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9780128189436

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Nuclear Reactor Technology Development and Utilization by Salah Ud-Din Khan,Alexander V. Nakhabov Pdf

Nuclear Reactor Technology Development and Utilization presents the theory and principles of the most common advanced nuclear reactor systems and provides a context for the value and utilization of nuclear power in a variety of applications both inside and outside a traditional nuclear setting. As countries across the globe realize their plans for a sustainable energy future, the need for innovative nuclear reactor design is increasing, and this book will provide a deep understanding of how these technologies can aid in a region’s goal for clean and reliable energy. Dr Khan and Dr Nakhabov, alongside their team of expert contributors, discuss a variety of important topics, including nuclear fuel cycles, plant decommissioning and hybrid energy systems, while considering a variety of diverse uses such as nuclear desalination, hydrogen generation and radioisotope production. Knowledge acquired enables the reader to conduct further research in academia and industry, and apply the latest design, development, integration, safety and economic guidance to their work and research. Combines reactor fundamentals with a contemporary look at evolving trends in the design of advanced reactors and their application to both nuclear and non-nuclear uses Analyses the latest research and uses of hybrid systems which bring together nuclear technology with renewable energy technologies Presents applications, economic factors and an analysis of sustainability factors in one comprehensive resource

Author : Michelle M. Kazmer
Publisher : Peter Lang
Page : 340 pages
File Size : 50,8 Mb
Release : 2004
Category : Computers
ISBN : 0820468479

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Learning, Culture, and Community in Online Education by Michelle M. Kazmer Pdf

In 1996 the Graduate School of Library and Information Science at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign began an Internet-based teaching program, allowing students across the United States - and the world - to earn a Master's degree from a distance. The program, known as LEEP (Library Education Experimental Project), has been an outstanding success, and as an early innovation in Internet use, provides important lessons on how to flourish in an online environment. Learning, Culture and Community in Online Education brings together significant new research on online education, using the LEEP program as a model to reveal a wealth of information about innovative online practices. Contributions by administrators, philosophers, faculty, librarians, technical staff, and researchers in the traditions of education, computer science, folklore, information science, and sociology, reveal the many perspectives to be taken into account when creating and maintaining distance learning programs. More than an analysis of the LEEP program, this book is an essential introduction to the variety of social and educational phenomena that occur within the socio-technical environments that support online learners.

Author : Saundra K. Lipe,Sharon Beasley
Publisher : Lippincott Williams & Wilkins
Page : 358 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2004
Category : Medical
ISBN : 0781740428

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Critical Thinking in Nursing by Saundra K. Lipe,Sharon Beasley Pdf

This text introduces nursing students to the cognitive skills, or thought processes, required of professional nurses. Using a practical approach and a nursing process framework throughout, the book provides a bridge between the theory and the application of these skills. Cognitive skills are presented in a competency-based, clinically oriented format, with emphasis on teaching critical thinking. Chapters end with a workbook section, to provide students with real-world applications of what they have learned. Case studies and checklists throughout aid the student in applying content. The book is written at an accessible reading level.

Author : Carol Smallwood,Melissa J. Clapp
Publisher : Scarecrow Press
Page : 315 pages
File Size : 49,6 Mb
Release : 2012
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780810882133

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How to Thrive as a Solo Librarian by Carol Smallwood,Melissa J. Clapp Pdf

Collection of footage featuring top skiers traversing extreme terrain at high speeds. Hosted by Johnny Mosely, the programme includes action from mountains in Japan, Norway and Austria and features athletes such as Colby West, Jess McMillan, David Wise and Olympic medallist Ted Ligety.

Author : Sheryl E. Burgstahler,Rebecca C. Cory
Publisher : Harvard Education Press
Page : 387 pages
File Size : 54,9 Mb
Release : 2010-01-01
Category : Education
ISBN : 9781612500935

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Universal Design in Higher Education by Sheryl E. Burgstahler,Rebecca C. Cory Pdf

Universal Design in Higher Education looks at the design of physical and technological environments at institutions of higher education; at issues pertaining to curriculum and instruction; and at the full array of student services. Universal Design in Higher Education is a comprehensive guide for researchers and practitioners on creating fully accessible college and university programs. It is founded upon, and contributes to, theories of universal design in education that have been gaining increasingly wide attention in recent years. As greater numbers of students with disabilities attend postsecondary educational institutions, administrators have expressed increased interest in making their programs accessible to all students. This book provides both theoretical and practical guidance for schools as they work to turn this admirable goal into a reality. It addresses a comprehensive range of topics on universal design for higher education institutions, thus making a crucial contribution to the growing body of literature on special education and universal design. This book will be of unique value to university and college administrators, and to special education researchers, practitioners, and activists.

Author : S. I. Strong,Stacie I. Strong
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
Page : 293 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 2014
Category : Law
ISBN : 9780199684557

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How to Write Law Essays & Exams by S. I. Strong,Stacie I. Strong Pdf

This book provides law students with a practical and proven method of analysing and answering essays and exam questions. Designed for students of all levels, including A-level, university, conversion, and vocational courses, the text teaches vital writing and analytical skills to help students in their substantive law studies.

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 600 pages
File Size : 45,8 Mb
Release : 1988
Category : Aeronautics
ISBN : IND:30000090387113

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Airman by Anonim Pdf

Author : Michael Gelb,Tony Buzan
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 196 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 1998
Category : Juggling
ISBN : 1854106023

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Lessons from the Art of Juggling by Michael Gelb,Tony Buzan Pdf

Author : Karina R. Jensen,Stephanie Kaudela-Baum,Rob Sheffield
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
Page : 406 pages
File Size : 55,8 Mb
Release : 2023-12-07
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781837533961

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Innovation Leadership in Practice by Karina R. Jensen,Stephanie Kaudela-Baum,Rob Sheffield Pdf

Innovation Leadership in Practice provides a unique source of new insights on the role of innovation leadership and effective practices through conceptual models, empirical case studies, development interventions, and tools.