Probability Is All We Have

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Probability is All We Have

James K. Hammitt
Probability is All We Have Book PDF

Author : James K. Hammitt
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 306 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 2019-03-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780429578298

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Probability is All We Have by James K. Hammitt Pdf

First published in 1990. In this study, the author suggests ways that policy-makers can think about environmental policy choice that responds to the importance of uncertainty and delay. Hammitt describes several tools for environmental policy analysis and illustrates their application to important policy issues. In the first part of the book, dealing with stratospheric-ozone depletion, the author describes techniques for accommodating outcome uncertainties. The second part of the study considers the health risks associated with pesticide residues on food. The final section addresses the issue of potential global climate change, and describes how the tools explored can be applied to this new challenge. This book should be of greatest interest to academic, government, and industry analysts and others concerned with improving methods for environmental-policy making.

Introduction to Probability

Joseph K. Blitzstein,Jessica Hwang
Introduction to Probability Book PDF

Author : Joseph K. Blitzstein,Jessica Hwang
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 599 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2014-07-24
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781466575578

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Introduction to Probability by Joseph K. Blitzstein,Jessica Hwang Pdf

Developed from celebrated Harvard statistics lectures, Introduction to Probability provides essential language and tools for understanding statistics, randomness, and uncertainty. The book explores a wide variety of applications and examples, ranging from coincidences and paradoxes to Google PageRank and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Additional application areas explored include genetics, medicine, computer science, and information theory. The print book version includes a code that provides free access to an eBook version. The authors present the material in an accessible style and motivate concepts using real-world examples. Throughout, they use stories to uncover connections between the fundamental distributions in statistics and conditioning to reduce complicated problems to manageable pieces. The book includes many intuitive explanations, diagrams, and practice problems. Each chapter ends with a section showing how to perform relevant simulations and calculations in R, a free statistical software environment.

The Probability of God

Dr. Stephen D. Unwin
The Probability of God Book PDF

Author : Dr. Stephen D. Unwin
Publisher : Forum Books
Page : 274 pages
File Size : 50,7 Mb
Release : 2004-10-26
Category : Religion
ISBN : 9781400054787

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The Probability of God by Dr. Stephen D. Unwin Pdf

Does God exist? This is probably the most debated question in the history of mankind. Scholars, scientists, and philosophers have spent their lifetimes trying to prove or disprove the existence of God, only to have their theories crucified by other scholars, scientists, and philosophers. Where the debate breaks down is in the ambiguities and colloquialisms of language. But, by using a universal, unambiguous language—namely, mathematics—can this question finally be answered definitively? That’s what Dr. Stephen Unwin attempts to do in this riveting, accessible, and witty book, The Probability of God. At its core, this groundbreaking book reveals how a math equation developed more than 200 years ago by noted European philosopher Thomas Bayes can be used to calculate the probability that God exists. The equation itself is much more complicated than a simple coin toss (heads, He’s up there running the show; tails, He’s not). Yet Dr. Unwin writes with a clarity that makes his mathematical proof easy for even the nonmathematician to understand and a verve that makes his book a delight to read. Leading you carefully through each step in his argument, he demonstrates in the end that God does indeed exist. Whether you’re a devout believer and agree with Dr. Unwin’s proof or are unsure about all things divine, you will find this provocative book enlightening and engaging. “One of the most innovative works [in the science and religion movement] is The Probability of God...An entertaining exercise in thinking.”—Michael Shermer, Scientific American “Unwin’s book [is] peppered with wry, self-deprecating humor that makes the scientific discussions more accessible...Spiritually inspiring.”--Chicago Sun Times “A pleasantly breezy account of some complicated matters well worth learning about.”--Philadelphia Inquirer “One of the best things about the book is its humor.”--Cleveland Plain Dealer “In a book that is surprisingly lighthearted and funny, Unwin manages to pack in a lot of facts about science and philosophy.”--Salt Lake Tribune

Probability is All We Have

James K. Hammitt
Probability is All We Have Book PDF

Author : James K. Hammitt
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 261 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2019-03-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780429576188

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Probability is All We Have by James K. Hammitt Pdf

First published in 1990. In this study, the author suggests ways that policy-makers can think about environmental policy choice that responds to the importance of uncertainty and delay. Hammitt describes several tools for environmental policy analysis and illustrates their application to important policy issues. In the first part of the book, dealing with stratospheric-ozone depletion, the author describes techniques for accommodating outcome uncertainties. The second part of the study considers the health risks associated with pesticide residues on food. The final section addresses the issue of potential global climate change, and describes how the tools explored can be applied to this new challenge. This book should be of greatest interest to academic, government, and industry analysts and others concerned with improving methods for environmental-policy making.

Probability

D. H. Mellor
Probability Book PDF

Author : D. H. Mellor
Publisher : Psychology Press
Page : 176 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2005
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 0415282500

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Probability by D. H. Mellor Pdf

This work presents the basic concepts of probability to philosophy students who are new to this area of the subject.

Lectures on Intelligent Systems

Leonardo Vanneschi,Sara Silva
Lectures on Intelligent Systems Book PDF

Author : Leonardo Vanneschi,Sara Silva
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 352 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2023-01-13
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9783031179228

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Lectures on Intelligent Systems by Leonardo Vanneschi,Sara Silva Pdf

This textbook provides the reader with an essential understanding of computational methods for intelligent systems. These are defined as systems that can solve problems autonomously, in particular problems where algorithmic solutions are inconceivable for humans or not practically executable by computers. Despite the rapidly growing applications in this field, the book avoids application details, instead focusing on computational methods that equip the reader with the methodological tools and competencies necessary to tackle current and future complex applications. The book consists of two parts: computational intelligence methods for optimization, and machine learning. Part I begins with the concept of optimization, and introduces local search algorithms, genetic algorithms, and particle swarm optimization. Part II begins with an introduction to machine learning and covers several methods, many of which can be used as supervised learning algorithms, such as decision tree learning, artificial neural networks, genetic programming, Bayesian learning, support vector machines, and ensemble methods, plus a discussion of unsupervised learning. This textbook is written in a self-contained style, suitable for undergraduate or graduate students in computer science and engineering, and for self-study by researchers and practitioners.

Knowledge Engineering

Gheorghe Tecuci,Dorin Marcu,Mihai Boicu,David A. Schum
Knowledge Engineering Book PDF

Author : Gheorghe Tecuci,Dorin Marcu,Mihai Boicu,David A. Schum
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 481 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2016-09-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781107122567

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Knowledge Engineering by Gheorghe Tecuci,Dorin Marcu,Mihai Boicu,David A. Schum Pdf

Using robust software, this book focuses on learning assistants for evidence-based reasoning that learn complex problem solving from humans.

Philosophical Theories of Probability

Donald Gillies
Philosophical Theories of Probability Book PDF

Author : Donald Gillies
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 239 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2012-09-10
Category : Philosophy
ISBN : 9781134672455

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Philosophical Theories of Probability by Donald Gillies Pdf

The Twentieth Century has seen a dramatic rise in the use of probability and statistics in almost all fields of research. This has stimulated many new philosophical ideas on probability. Philosophical Theories of Probability is the first book to present a clear, comprehensive and systematic account of these various theories and to explain how they relate to one another. Gillies also offers a distinctive version of the propensity theory of probability, and the intersubjective interpretation, which develops the subjective theory.

Causation in Science and the Methods of Scientific Discovery

Rani Lill Anjum,Stephen Mumford
Causation in Science and the Methods of Scientific Discovery Book PDF

Author : Rani Lill Anjum,Stephen Mumford
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 304 pages
File Size : 53,9 Mb
Release : 2018-09-10
Category : Philosophy
ISBN : 9780191053399

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Causation in Science and the Methods of Scientific Discovery by Rani Lill Anjum,Stephen Mumford Pdf

Causation is the main foundation upon which the possibility of science rests. Without causation, there would be no scientific understanding, explanation, prediction, nor application in new technologies. How we discover causal connections is no easy matter, however. Causation often lies hidden from view and it is vital that we adopt the right methods for uncovering it. The choice of methods will inevitably reflect what one takes causation to be, making an accurate account of causation an even more pressing matter. This enquiry informs the correct norms for an empirical study of the world. In Causation in Science and the Methods of Scientific Discovery, Rani Lill Anjum and Stephen Mumford propose nine new norms of scientific discovery. A number of existing methodological and philosophical orthodoxies are challenged as they argue that progress in science is being held back by an overly simplistic philosophy of causation.

Why Christian Faith Still Makes Sense (Acadia Studies in Bible and Theology)

C. Stephen Evans
Why Christian Faith Still Makes Sense Acadia Studies in Bible and Theology Book PDF

Author : C. Stephen Evans
Publisher : Baker Academic
Page : 157 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 2015-05-12
Category : Religion
ISBN : 9781493400225

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Why Christian Faith Still Makes Sense (Acadia Studies in Bible and Theology) by C. Stephen Evans Pdf

In recent years the Christian faith has been challenged by skeptics, including the New Atheists, who claim that belief in God is simply not reasonable. Here prominent Christian philosopher C. Stephen Evans offers a fresh, contemporary, and nuanced response. He makes the case for belief in a personal God through an exploration of natural "signs," which open our minds to theistic possibilities and foster belief in the Christian revelation. Evans then discusses why God's self-revelation is both authoritative and authentic. This sophisticated yet accessible book provides a clear account of the evidence for Christian faith, concluding that it still makes sense to believe.

Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way

Will Kurt
Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way Book PDF

Author : Will Kurt
Publisher : No Starch Press
Page : 258 pages
File Size : 42,5 Mb
Release : 2019-07-16
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781593279578

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Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way by Will Kurt Pdf

Fun guide to learning Bayesian statistics and probability through unusual and illustrative examples. Probability and statistics are increasingly important in a huge range of professions. But many people use data in ways they don't even understand, meaning they aren't getting the most from it. Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way will change that. This book will give you a complete understanding of Bayesian statistics through simple explanations and un-boring examples. Find out the probability of UFOs landing in your garden, how likely Han Solo is to survive a flight through an asteroid shower, how to win an argument about conspiracy theories, and whether a burglary really was a burglary, to name a few examples. By using these off-the-beaten-track examples, the author actually makes learning statistics fun. And you'll learn real skills, like how to: - How to measure your own level of uncertainty in a conclusion or belief - Calculate Bayes theorem and understand what it's useful for - Find the posterior, likelihood, and prior to check the accuracy of your conclusions - Calculate distributions to see the range of your data - Compare hypotheses and draw reliable conclusions from them Next time you find yourself with a sheaf of survey results and no idea what to do with them, turn to Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way to get the most value from your data.

A Philosophical Guide to Conditionals

Jonathan Bennett
A Philosophical Guide to Conditionals Book PDF

Author : Jonathan Bennett
Publisher : Clarendon Press
Page : 402 pages
File Size : 49,7 Mb
Release : 2003-04-03
Category : Philosophy
ISBN : 9780191531743

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A Philosophical Guide to Conditionals by Jonathan Bennett Pdf

Conditional sentences are among the most intriguing and puzzling features of language: analysis of their meaning and function has important implications for, and uses in, many areas of philosophy. Jonathan Bennett, one of the world's leading experts, distils many years' work and teaching into this Philosophical Guide to Conditionals, the fullest and most authoritative treatment of the subject. The literature on conditionals is difficult - needlessly so. Bennett's treatment is meticulously careful and luminously clear. He presents and evaluates in detail various approaches to the understanding of 'indicative' conditionals (like 'If Shakespeare didn't write Hamlet, some aristocrat did') and 'subjunctive' conditionals (like 'If rabbits had not been deliberately introduced into New Zealand, there would be none there today'); and he offers his own view, which will be recognized as a major original contribution to the subject. Journeying through this intellectual territory brings one into contact with the metaphysics of possible worlds, probability and belief-change, probability and logic, the pragmatics of conversation, determinism, ambiguity, vagueness, the law of excluded middle, facts versus events, and more. One might perhaps learn more philosophy from a thorough study of conditionals than from any other kind of work. Bennett's Guide is an ideal introduction for undergraduates with a philosophical grounding, and will also be a rich source of illumination and stimulation for graduate students and professional philosophers.

Probability and Statistics

Michael J. Evans,Jeffrey S. Rosenthal
Probability and Statistics Book PDF

Author : Michael J. Evans,Jeffrey S. Rosenthal
Publisher : WH Freeman
Page : 200 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 2010-03-01
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 1429224630

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Probability and Statistics by Michael J. Evans,Jeffrey S. Rosenthal Pdf

Unlike traditional introductory math/stat textbooks, Probability and Statistics: The Science of Uncertainty brings a modern flavor to the course, incorporating the computer and offering an integrated approach to inference that includes the frequency approach and the Bayesian inference. From the start the book integrates simulations into its theoretical coverage, and emphasizes the use of computer-powered computation throughout. Math and science majors with just one year of calculus can use this text and experience a refreshing blend of applications and theory that goes beyond merely mastering the technicalities. The new edition includes a number of features designed to make the material more accessible and level-appropriate to the students taking this course today.

Public Key Cryptography - PKC 2003

Yvo Desmedt
Public Key Cryptography PKC 2003 Book PDF

Author : Yvo Desmedt
Publisher : Springer
Page : 376 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2003-07-01
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9783540362883

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Public Key Cryptography - PKC 2003 by Yvo Desmedt Pdf

This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 6th International Workshop on Practice and Theory in Public Key Cryptosystems, PKC 2003, held in Miami, Florida, USA in January 2003. The 26 revised full papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from 105 submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on Diffie-Hellman based schemes, threshold cryptography, reduction proofs, broadcast and tracing, digital signatures, specialized multiparty cryptography, cryptanalysis, elliptic curves: implementation attacks, implementation and hardware issues, new public key schemes, and elliptic curves: general issues.

Statistical Inference and Probability

John MacInnes
Statistical Inference and Probability Book PDF

Author : John MacInnes
Publisher : SAGE
Page : 152 pages
File Size : 49,6 Mb
Release : 2022-03-01
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781529711028

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Statistical Inference and Probability by John MacInnes Pdf

An experienced author in the field of data analytics and statistics, John Macinnes has produced a straight-forward text that breaks down the complex topic of inferential statistics with accessible language and detailed examples. It covers a range of topics, including: · Probability and Sampling distributions · Inference and regression · Power, effect size and inverse probability Part of The SAGE Quantitative Research Kit, this book will give you the know-how and confidence needed to succeed on your quantitative research journey.