Probability Statistics And Decision Making In The Atmospheric Sciences

Author : Allan Murphy,Richard W. Katz
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 547 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2019-07-11
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781000308204

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Probability, Statistics, And Decision Making In The Atmospheric Sciences by Allan Murphy,Richard W. Katz Pdf

Methodology drawn from the fields of probability. statistics and decision making plays an increasingly important role in the atmosphericsciences. both in basic and applied research and in experimental and operational studies. Applications of such methodology can be found in almost every facet of the discipline. from the most theoretical and global (e.g., atmospheric predictability. global climate modeling) to the most practical and local (e.g., crop-weather modeling forecast evaluation). Almost every issue of the multitude of journals published by the atmospheric sciences community now contain some or more papers involving applications of concepts and/or methodology from the fields of probability and statistics. Despite the increasingly pervasive nature of such applications. very few book length treatments of probabilistic and statistical topics of particular interest to atmospheric scientists have appeared (especially inEnglish) since the publication of the pioneering works of Brooks andCarruthers (Handbook of Statistical Methods in Meteorology) in 1953 and Panofsky and Brier-(some Applications of)statistics to Meteor) in 1958. As a result. many relatively recent developments in probability and statistics are not well known to atmospheric scientists and recent work in active areas of meteorological research involving significant applications of probabilistic and statistical methods are not familiar to the meteorological community as a whole.

Author : Allan H. Murphy,Richard W. Katz
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 545 pages
File Size : 55,7 Mb
Release : 1985
Category : Atmosphere
ISBN : 0865311536

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Probability, Statistics, and Decision Making in the Atmospheric Sciences by Allan H. Murphy,Richard W. Katz Pdf

Author : Allan Murphy,Richard W. Katz
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 547 pages
File Size : 42,7 Mb
Release : 2019-07-11
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781000236323

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Probability, Statistics, And Decision Making In The Atmospheric Sciences by Allan Murphy,Richard W. Katz Pdf

Methodology drawn from the fields of probability. statistics and decision making plays an increasingly important role in the atmosphericsciences. both in basic and applied research and in experimental and operational studies. Applications of such methodology can be found in almost every facet of the discipline. from the most theoretical and global (e.g., atmospheric predictability. global climate modeling) to the most practical and local (e.g., crop-weather modeling forecast evaluation). Almost every issue of the multitude of journals published by the atmospheric sciences community now contain some or more papers involving applications of concepts and/or methodology from the fields of probability and statistics. Despite the increasingly pervasive nature of such applications. very few book length treatments of probabilistic and statistical topics of particular interest to atmospheric scientists have appeared (especially inEnglish) since the publication of the pioneering works of Brooks andCarruthers (Handbook of Statistical Methods in Meteorology) in 1953 and Panofsky and Brier-(some Applications of)statistics to Meteor) in 1958. As a result. many relatively recent developments in probability and statistics are not well known to atmospheric scientists and recent work in active areas of meteorological research involving significant applications of probabilistic and statistical methods are not familiar to the meteorological community as a whole.

Author : Daniel S. Wilks
Publisher : Academic Press
Page : 650 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2006
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780127519661

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Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences by Daniel S. Wilks Pdf

Praise for the First Edition:""I recommend this book, without hesitation, as either a reference or course text...Wilks' excellent book provides a thorough base in applied statistical methods for atmospheric sciences.""--BAMS (Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society)Fundamentally, statistics is concerned with managing data and making inferences and forecasts in the face of uncertainty. It should not be surprising, therefore, that statistical methods have a key role to play in the atmospheric sciences. It is the uncertainty in atmospheric behavior that continues to move res.

Author : Daniel S. Wilks
Publisher : Academic Press
Page : 704 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 2011-07-04
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780123850232

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Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences by Daniel S. Wilks Pdf

Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences, Third Edition, explains the latest statistical methods used to describe, analyze, test, and forecast atmospheric data. This revised and expanded text is intended to help students understand and communicate what their data sets have to say, or to make sense of the scientific literature in meteorology, climatology, and related disciplines. In this new edition, what was a single chapter on multivariate statistics has been expanded to a full six chapters on this important topic. Other chapters have also been revised and cover exploratory data analysis, probability distributions, hypothesis testing, statistical weather forecasting, forecast verification, and time series analysis. There is now an expanded treatment of resampling tests and key analysis techniques, an updated discussion on ensemble forecasting, and a detailed chapter on forecast verification. In addition, the book includes new sections on maximum likelihood and on statistical simulation and contains current references to original research. Students will benefit from pedagogical features including worked examples, end-of-chapter exercises with separate solutions, and numerous illustrations and equations. This book will be of interest to researchers and students in the atmospheric sciences, including meteorology, climatology, and other geophysical disciplines. Accessible presentation and explanation of techniques for atmospheric data summarization, analysis, testing and forecasting Many worked examples End-of-chapter exercises, with answers provided

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 684 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 1992
Category : Electronic journals
ISBN : CUB:U183012802426

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Monthly Weather Review by Anonim Pdf

Author : James Shanteau,Barbara A. Mellers,David A. Schum
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 425 pages
File Size : 42,7 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781461550891

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Decision Science and Technology by James Shanteau,Barbara A. Mellers,David A. Schum Pdf

Decision Science and Technology is a compilation of chapters written in honor of a remarkable man, Ward Edwards. Among Ward's many contributions are two significant accomplishments, either of which would have been enough for a very distinguished career. First, Ward is the founder of behavioral decision theory. This interdisciplinary discipline addresses the question of how people actually confront decisions, as opposed to the question of how they should make decisions. Second, Ward laid the groundwork for sound normative systems by noticing which tasks humans can do well and which tasks computers should perform. This volume, organized into five parts, reflects those accomplishments and more. The book is divided into four sections: `Behavioral Decision Theory' examines theoretical descriptions and empirical findings about human decision making. `Decision Analysis' examines topics in decision analysis.`Decision in Society' explores issues in societal decision making. The final section, `Historical Notes', provides some historical perspectives on the development of the decision theory. Within these sections, major, multi-disciplinary scholars in decision theory have written chapters exploring some very bold themes in the field, as an examination of the book's contents will show. The main reason for the health of the Decision Analysis field is its close links between theory and applications that have characterized it over the years. In this volume, the chapters by Barron and Barrett; Fishburn; Fryback; Keeney; Moreno, Pericchi, and Kadane; Howard; Phillips; Slovic and Gregory; Winkler; and, above all, von Winterfeldt focus on those links. Decision science originally developed out of concern with real decision problems; and applied work, such as is represented in this volume, will help the field to remain strong.

Author : Richard W. Katz,Allan H. Murphy
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 244 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 1997
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0521435714

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Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts by Richard W. Katz,Allan H. Murphy Pdf

Weather and climate extremes can significantly impact the economics of a region. This book examines how weather and climate forecasts can be used to mitigate the impact of the weather on the economy. Interdisciplinary in scope, it explores the meteorological, economic, psychological, and statistical aspects to weather prediction. The contributors encompass forecasts over a wide range of temporal scales, from weather over the next few hours to the climate months or seasons ahead, and address the impact of these forecasts on human behaviour. Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts seeks to determine the economic benefits of existing weather forecasting systems and the incremental benefits of improving these systems, and will be an interesting and essential reference for economists, statisticians, and meteorologists.

Author : Thomas Gilovich,Dale Griffin,Daniel Kahneman
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 902 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2002-07-08
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9781139643665

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Heuristics and Biases by Thomas Gilovich,Dale Griffin,Daniel Kahneman Pdf

Is our case strong enough to go to trial? Will interest rates go up? Can I trust this person? Such questions - and the judgments required to answer them - are woven into the fabric of everyday experience. This book, first published in 2002, examines how people make such judgments. The study of human judgment was transformed in the 1970s, when Kahneman and Tversky introduced their 'heuristics and biases' approach and challenged the dominance of strictly rational models. Their work highlighted the reflexive mental operations used to make complex problems manageable and illuminated how the same processes can lead to both accurate and dangerously flawed judgments. The heuristics and biases framework generated a torrent of influential research in psychology - research that reverberated widely and affected scholarship in economics, law, medicine, management, and political science. This book compiles the most influential research in the heuristics and biases tradition since the initial collection of 1982 (by Kahneman, Slovic, and Tversky).

Author : Daniel S. Wilks
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 467 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 1995
Category : Atmospheric physics
ISBN : 9780127519654

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Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences by Daniel S. Wilks Pdf

Author : Graham Elliott,Allan Timmermann
Publisher : Elsevier
Page : 1386 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2013-10-24
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780444627414

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Handbook of Economic Forecasting by Graham Elliott,Allan Timmermann Pdf

The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

Author : R. Viertl
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 505 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781461318859

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Probability and Bayesian Statistics by R. Viertl Pdf

This book contains selected and refereed contributions to the "Inter national Symposium on Probability and Bayesian Statistics" which was orga nized to celebrate the 80th birthday of Professor Bruno de Finetti at his birthplace Innsbruck in Austria. Since Professor de Finetti died in 1985 the symposium was dedicated to the memory of Bruno de Finetti and took place at Igls near Innsbruck from 23 to 26 September 1986. Some of the pa pers are published especially by the relationship to Bruno de Finetti's scientific work. The evolution of stochastics shows growing importance of probability as coherent assessment of numerical values as degrees of believe in certain events. This is the basis for Bayesian inference in the sense of modern statistics. The contributions in this volume cover a broad spectrum ranging from foundations of probability across psychological aspects of formulating sub jective probability statements, abstract measure theoretical considerations, contributions to theoretical statistics and stochastic processes, to real applications in economics, reliability and hydrology. Also the question is raised if it is necessary to develop new techniques to model and analyze fuzzy observations in samples. The articles are arranged in alphabetical order according to the family name of the first author of each paper to avoid a hierarchical ordering of importance of the different topics. Readers interested in special topics can use the index at the end of the book as guide.

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 166 pages
File Size : 50,8 Mb
Release : 2024-06-23
Category : Environmental geology
ISBN : CHI:46294875

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Environmental Research Papers by Anonim Pdf

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 156 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 1994
Category : Numerical weather forecasting
ISBN : MINN:31951D03147312I

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Diagnosing Cloudiness from Global Numerical Weather Prediction Model Forecasts by Anonim Pdf

Author : Robert R. Hoffman,Daphne S. Ladue,H. Michael Mogil,Paul J. Roebber,J. Gregory Trafton
Publisher : MIT Press
Page : 502 pages
File Size : 40,8 Mb
Release : 2017-08-11
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780262339414

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Minding the Weather by Robert R. Hoffman,Daphne S. Ladue,H. Michael Mogil,Paul J. Roebber,J. Gregory Trafton Pdf

A detailed study of research on the psychology of expertise in weather forecasting, drawing on findings in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science. This book argues that the human cognition system is the least understood, yet probably most important, component of forecasting accuracy. Minding the Weather investigates how people acquire massive and highly organized knowledge and develop the reasoning skills and strategies that enable them to achieve the highest levels of performance. The authors consider such topics as the forecasting workplace; atmospheric scientists' descriptions of their reasoning strategies; the nature of expertise; forecaster knowledge, perceptual skills, and reasoning; and expert systems designed to imitate forecaster reasoning. Drawing on research in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science, the authors argue that forecasting involves an interdependence of humans and technologies. Human expertise will always be necessary.