Projections Measurement Of Population Trends

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Population Dynamics and Projection Methods

John Stillwell,Martin Clarke
Population Dynamics and Projection Methods Book PDF

Author : John Stillwell,Martin Clarke
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 245 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2011-02-15
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9789048189304

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Population Dynamics and Projection Methods by John Stillwell,Martin Clarke Pdf

Although the human population growth rate of the world has been declining since peaking in the early 1960s, the populations of individual countries are changing at different rates. Population dynamics at national level are partly determined by levels of fertility and mortality, but the impact of international migration is playing an increasingly important role. Moreover, internal migration plays a major part in population change at the sub-national level. This fourth volume in the series “Understanding Population Trends and Processes” is a celebration of the work of Professor Philip Rees. It contains chapters by contributors who have collaborated with Phil Rees on research or consultancy projects or as postgraduate students. Several chapters demonstrate the technical nature of population projection modelling and simulation methods while others illustrate issues relating to data availability and estimation. This book demonstrates the application of theoretical and modelling methods and addresses key issues relating to contemporary demographic patterns and trends.

State and Local Population Projections

Stanley K. Smith,Jeff Tayman,David A. Swanson
State and Local Population Projections Book PDF

Author : Stanley K. Smith,Jeff Tayman,David A. Swanson
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 426 pages
File Size : 48,9 Mb
Release : 2006-04-11
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9780306473722

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State and Local Population Projections by Stanley K. Smith,Jeff Tayman,David A. Swanson Pdf

The initial plans for this book sprang from a late-afternoon conversation in a hotel bar. All three authors were attending the 1996 meeting of the Population As- ciation of America in New Orleans. While nursing drinks and expounding on a variety of topics, we began talking about our current research projects. It so happened that all three of us had been entertaining the notion of writing a book on state and local population projections. Recognizing the enormity of the project for a single author, we quickly decided to collaborate. Had we not decided to work together, it is unlikely that this book ever would have been written. The last comprehensive treatment of state and local population projections was Don Pittenger’s excellent work Projecting State and Local Populations (1976). Many changes affecting the production of population projections have occurred since that time. Technological changes have led to vast increases in computing power, new data sources, the development of GIS, and the creation of the Internet. The procedures for applying a number of projection methods have changed considerably, and several completely new methods have been developed.

A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections

Stanley K. Smith,Jeff Tayman,David A. Swanson
A Practitioner s Guide to State and Local Population Projections Book PDF

Author : Stanley K. Smith,Jeff Tayman,David A. Swanson
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 417 pages
File Size : 49,9 Mb
Release : 2013-12-16
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9789400775510

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A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections by Stanley K. Smith,Jeff Tayman,David A. Swanson Pdf

This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the “utility” of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.​

Beyond Six Billion

National Research Council,Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on Population,Panel on Population Projections
Beyond Six Billion Book PDF

Author : National Research Council,Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on Population,Panel on Population Projections
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 368 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 2000-09-11
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9780309172028

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Beyond Six Billion by National Research Council,Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on Population,Panel on Population Projections Pdf

Is rapid world population growth actually coming to an end? As population growth and its consequences have become front-page issues, projections of slowing growth from such institutions as the United Nations and the World Bank have been called into question. Beyond Six Billion asks what such projections really say, why they say it, whether they can be trusted, and whether they can be improved. The book includes analysis of how well past U.N. and World Bank projections have panned out, what errors have occurred, and why they have happened. Focusing on fertility as one key to accurate projections, the committee examines the transition from high, constant fertility to low fertility levels and discusses whether developing countries will eventually attain the very low levels of births now observed in the industrialized world. Other keys to accurate projections, predictions of lengthening life span and of the impact of international migration on specific countries, are also explored in detail. How good are our methods of population forecasting? How can we cope with the inevitable uncertainty? What population trends can we anticipate? Beyond Six Billion illuminates not only the forces that shape population growth but also the accuracy of the methods we use to quantify these forces and the uncertainty surrounding projections. The Committee on Population was established by the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) in 1983 to bring the knowledge and methods of the population sciences to bear on major issues of science and public policy. The committee's work includes both basic studies of fertility, health and mortality, and migration; and applied studies aimed at improving programs for the public health and welfare in the United States and in developing countries. The committee also fosters communication among researchers in different disciplines and countries and policy makers in government, international agencies, and private organizations. The work of the committee is made possible by funding from several government agencies and private foundations.

Populations, Projections, Politics

Henk A. De Gans
Populations Projections Politics Book PDF

Author : Henk A. De Gans
Publisher : Rozenberg Publishers
Page : 288 pages
File Size : 48,9 Mb
Release : 2003
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9789051707472

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Populations, Projections, Politics by Henk A. De Gans Pdf

This book examines the interrelations of population change, developments in projection methodology, and politics in the 1920s and 1930s. Together, the contributions in the book represent an important scholarly and critical contribution to the history of d

The Future of Population Growth

Tomaš Frejka,Population Council
The Future of Population Growth Book PDF

Author : Tomaš Frejka,Population Council
Publisher : New York ; Toronto : J. Wiley
Page : 974 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 1973
Category : Social Science
ISBN : UOM:39015028196890

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The Future of Population Growth by Tomaš Frejka,Population Council Pdf

Monograph employing known demographic theory and methodology to illustrate long term economic implications and social implications of projections of population growth - discusses mortality, fertility, and age group, presents findings on world population, the developing countries, the developed countries, the USA, etc., evaluates population policy objectives and compares population projections of the UN and individual countries with projections ultimately leading to a stationary population. Bibliography pp. 204 to 210, graphs and statistical tables.

Demographic Projection Techniques for Regions and Smaller Areas

H. Craig Davis
Demographic Projection Techniques for Regions and Smaller Areas Book PDF

Author : H. Craig Davis
Publisher : UBC Press
Page : 132 pages
File Size : 55,7 Mb
Release : 1995
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 0774805013

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Demographic Projection Techniques for Regions and Smaller Areas by H. Craig Davis Pdf

In Chapter 3, the author outlines a four-step projection procedure which is used throughout the remainder of the book. Chapter 4 describes how to project population size by comparing the growth pattern of the population under study with that of another population. The next chapter covers one of the most commonly employed techniques of population projection - the cohort-survival model, which is used not only to project the size of a population but also its composition in terms of age and sex groupings. The final chapter focuses on migration, generally the most volatile component of the basic demographic equation. Primarily written for courses in planning, this book is also useful for anyone having to make decisions affected by population trends, whether they involve planning for future growth or alerting local decisionmakers to external uncertainties that could have a serious impact on the future of their community.

Projections to the Years 1876 and 2000: Economic Growth, Population, Labor Force and Leisure, and Transportation

United States. Outdoor Recreation Resources Review Commission
Projections to the Years 1876 and 2000 Economic Growth Population Labor Force and Leisure and Transportation Book PDF

Author : United States. Outdoor Recreation Resources Review Commission
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 460 pages
File Size : 50,8 Mb
Release : 1962
Category : United States
ISBN : MINN:31951D001785511

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Projections to the Years 1876 and 2000: Economic Growth, Population, Labor Force and Leisure, and Transportation by United States. Outdoor Recreation Resources Review Commission Pdf

Old and New Perspectives on Mortality Forecasting

Tommy Bengtsson,Nico Keilman
Old and New Perspectives on Mortality Forecasting Book PDF

Author : Tommy Bengtsson,Nico Keilman
Publisher : Springer
Page : 349 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 2019-03-28
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9783030050757

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Old and New Perspectives on Mortality Forecasting by Tommy Bengtsson,Nico Keilman Pdf

This open access book describes methods of mortality forecasting and discusses possible improvements. It contains a selection of previously unpublished and published papers, which together provide a state-of-the-art overview of statistical approaches as well as behavioural and biological perspectives. The different parts of the book provide discussions of current practice, probabilistic forecasting, the linearity in the increase of life expectancy, causes of death, and the role of cohort factors. The key question in the book is whether it is possible to project future mortality accurately, and if so, what is the best approach. This makes the book a valuable read to demographers, pension planners, actuaries, and all those interested and/or working in modelling and forecasting mortality.

HUD Research Thesaurus

Anonim
HUD Research Thesaurus Book PDF

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 80 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 1980
Category : Cities and towns
ISBN : MINN:30000010617490

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HUD Research Thesaurus by Anonim Pdf