Rebalancing And Sustaining Growth In China

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Rebalancing and Sustaining Growth in China

Author : Huw McKay,Ligang Song
Publisher : ANU E Press
Page : 386 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2012-07-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781921862809

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Rebalancing and Sustaining Growth in China by Huw McKay,Ligang Song Pdf

The idea that China’s economy needs to rebalance is no longer controversial inside or outside the country. Whether it be the increasing recognition of income inequality at home; the still large external surplus; the focus on consumption and industrial upgrading in the policy discourse; the economic, political and social tensions associated with the major decline in housing affordability; the profound conflict between industrialisation, urbanisation and the biosphere; the profitability gulf between the top SOEs and private firms; or the uni-directional pressures pushing on the real exchange rate; the evidence in favour of a highly imbalanced structure is omnipresent. Rebalancing and Sustaining Growth in China brings together some of the world’s leading observers of the Chinese economy to debate the multifarious questions pertaining to rebalancing. How are we to make sense of the many, often contradictory, proposals that seek the same ultimate objective of a more sustainable growth model? What mix of policies will be most effective in addressing the required structural change without sacrificing prosperity along the way? Where should we look for root causes, and how can we avoid getting distracted by symptoms? How do China’s unique internal migration dynamics – and the Lewis turning point – constrain its options? What role will and should financial, fiscal and welfare reform play in the process? Where do water and energy security fit in? Can China innovate before it gets old – or can China get smart before it gets rich? And are intergenerational issues being taken into account?

China's Economy in Transition

Author : Mr.Anoop Singh,Mr.Malhar Nabar,Mr.Papa M N'Diaye
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 292 pages
File Size : 53,9 Mb
Release : 2013-11-07
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484303931

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China's Economy in Transition by Mr.Anoop Singh,Mr.Malhar Nabar,Mr.Papa M N'Diaye Pdf

China's current account surplus has declined to around one-quarter the peak reached before the global financial crisis. While this is a major reduction in China's external imbalance, it has not been accompanied by a decisive shift toward consumption-based growth. Instead, the compression in its external surplus has been accomplished through increasing fixed investment so that it is now an even higher share of China's national economy. This increasing reliance on fixed investment as the main driver of China's growth raises questions about the durability of the compression in the external surplus and the sustainability of the current growth model that has had unprecedented success in lifting about 500 million people out of poverty over the last three decades. This volume examines various aspects of the rebalancing process underway in China, highlighting policy lessons for achieving stable, sustainable, and inclusive growth.

China’s Rebalancing: Recent Progress, Prospects and Policies

Author : Rui Mano,Jiayi Zhang
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 17 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 2018-11-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484380673

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China’s Rebalancing: Recent Progress, Prospects and Policies by Rui Mano,Jiayi Zhang Pdf

While China’s growth gathered momentum in 2017, rebalancing was uneven and decelerated along many dimensions reflecting the temporary factors behind the growth pickup. Going forward, rebalancing is expected to proceed as these temporary factors recede, but elevated income inequality and leverage will remain a challenge. The authorities are already pursuing several pro-rebalancing policies which could be expanded to support each dimension of rebalancing while reducing trade-offs between them.

Rebalancing in China—Progress and Prospects

Author : Ms.Longmei Zhang
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 22 pages
File Size : 50,6 Mb
Release : 2016-09-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475532937

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Rebalancing in China—Progress and Prospects by Ms.Longmei Zhang Pdf

China is transitioning to a greener, more inclusive, more consumer and service based, and less credit-driven economy. This paper defines a framework for assessing rebalancing, reviews progress, and discusses medium-term prospects. External rebalancing has advanced well, while progress on internal rebalancing has been mixed, with substantial progress on the supply side, moderate progress on the demand side, and limited progress on the credit side. Rebalancing on income equality and environment has also been mixed, with the energy intensity of growth falling and labor’s share of income rising, but income inequality and local air pollution remaining very high. Going forward, the high national saving is expected to fall owing to demographic change and a stronger social safety net, while the investment ratio is expected to fall similarly, with increasing competition and profit normalization as growth slows. The service sector will continue to gain importance, helping reduce the carbon intensity of output and increase labor’s share of national income and household consumption. Reducing the credit intensity of growth is likely to progress slowly unless decisive corporate restructuring and SOE reforms are implemented.

Sustaining growth

Author : Zhu YuGai
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 2011
Category : Balance of trade
ISBN : OCLC:1430592841

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Sustaining growth by Zhu YuGai Pdf

China's Post-Reform Economy - Achieving Harmony, Sustaining Growth

Author : Richard Sanders,Chen Yang
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 267 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 2007-12-11
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781134078516

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China's Post-Reform Economy - Achieving Harmony, Sustaining Growth by Richard Sanders,Chen Yang Pdf

This book discusses the very latest issues relating to China's remarkable economic growth. It provides comprehensive coverage of them, including economic, political-economic, environmental and philosophical questions.

Rebalancing China's Economy: What Does Growth Theory Tell Us?

Author : Jahangir Aziz
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 40 pages
File Size : 40,9 Mb
Release : 2006-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : UCSD:31822034756320

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Rebalancing China's Economy: What Does Growth Theory Tell Us? by Jahangir Aziz Pdf

This paper uses the standard one-sector neoclassical growth model to investigate why China's consumption has been low and investment high. It finds that the low cost of capital has been quantitatively an important factor. Theory predicts that the price of capital may have been significantly distorted in the 1990s and 2000s. The distortion could have been caused by nonperforming loans, borrowing constraints, and uncertainty over changes in government guidance in bank lending. If China is to rebalance growth towards relying more on consumption and less on exports and investment, banking sector reforms and financial market development could, therefore, turn out to be key.

Rebalancing Growth in Asia

Author : Mr.Vivek B. Arora,Mr.Roberto Cardarelli
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 182 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 2011-02-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781616350567

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Rebalancing Growth in Asia by Mr.Vivek B. Arora,Mr.Roberto Cardarelli Pdf

Asia’s recent economic performance has been remarkable. However, the rapid growth that Asia has experienced cannot be taken for granted. This volume analyzes Asia’s need to rebalance its growth model toward domestic demand and what that rebalancing would entail. It discusses the nature of the challenge across economies in the region.

China's Long March Toward Economic Rebalancing

Author : Hongying Wang,Centre for International Governance Innovation
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 11 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2014
Category : China
ISBN : OCLC:881503740

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China's Long March Toward Economic Rebalancing by Hongying Wang,Centre for International Governance Innovation Pdf

After more than three decades of sustained economic growth, China has become the second-largest economy in the world. Chinese policies and behaviour have come to shape the global economy in profound ways and what China does, or does not do, at home and abroad often has broad implications for the rest of the world. This policy brief examines China's external and internal economic imbalance and analyzes the political obstacles hindering its economicrebalancing.

Avoiding the Fall

Author : Michael Pettis
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 2013
Category : China
ISBN : 0870034065

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Avoiding the Fall by Michael Pettis Pdf

It is increasingly accepted that China's growth model, which served it very well in the 1980s and 90s, reached its useful limit during the past decade. As a result, although China continued to post spectacular GDP growth numbers, this growth came with a cost - unsustainable imbalances and even faster growth in debt. With China's new generation of leaders formally taking power in early 2013, it clearly must restructure its development model to achieve a very different kind of growth. A Chinese rebalancing is inevitable and the most interesting question is how it will occur. In Restructuring the Chinese Economy, Michael Pettis outlines six paths that China can follow - the only logical paths that lead ultimately to rebalancing - and discusses the political and economic strengths and limitations of each. These paths range from debt crisis and negative growth, at one extreme, to a massive wealth transfer from the state to Chinese households, with steady growth for many years, at the other. How Beijing chooses will determine China's position in the world for the rest of the century.

Rebalancing Growth in Asia

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 2013-04-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 7509540119

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Rebalancing Growth in Asia by International Monetary Fund Pdf

This is a Chinese translation of "Rebalancing Growth in Asia: Economic Dimensions for China."

Is China's Export-Oriented Growth Sustainable?

Author : Kai Guo,Papa N'Diaye
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 32 pages
File Size : 55,8 Mb
Release : 2009-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : IND:30000111483263

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Is China's Export-Oriented Growth Sustainable? by Kai Guo,Papa N'Diaye Pdf

This paper assesses the sustainability of China's export-oriented growth over the medium to longer term. It shows that maintaining the current export-oriented growth would require significant gains in market share through lower prices in a range of industries. This, in turn, could be achieved through a combination of increases in productivity, lower profits, and higher implicit or explicit subsidies to industry. However, the evidence suggest that it will prove difficult to accommodate such price reductions within existing profit margins or through productivity gains. Moving up the value-added chain, shifting the composition of exports, diversifying the export base, and increasing domestic value added of exports could give room to further export expansion. However, experiences from Asian economies that had similar export-oriented growth suggest there are limits to the global market share a country can occupy. Rebalancing growth toward private consumption would provide a large impetus to output growth and reduce the need for gaining further market share.

China's Rise

Author : C. Fred Bergsten
Publisher : Peterson Institute
Page : 292 pages
File Size : 43,5 Mb
Release : 2009
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780881324341

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China's Rise by C. Fred Bergsten Pdf

Helps the United States and the rest of the world better comprehend the facts and dynamics underpinning China's rise. This book analyzes the data on China's economy, foreign and domestic policy, and national security.