Regional Economic Outlook April 2012 Asia And Pacific

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2012, Asia and Pacific

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 61 pages
File Size : 42,6 Mb
Release : 2012-04-13
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475579857

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2012, Asia and Pacific by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

Barring the realization of downside risks to the global economy, growth in the Asia and the Pacific region is expected to gain momentum over the course of 2012, according to this report, and now projected at 6 percent in 2012, rising to about 61⁄2 percent in 2013. Stronger economic and policy fundamentals have helped buffer the region's economies against the global financial crisis, by limiting adverse financial market spillovers and ameliorating the impact of deleveraging by European banks, but a sharp fall in exports to advanced economies and a reversal of foreign capital flows would have a severe impact on the region. The region's policymakers now face the difficult task of calibrating the amount of insurance needed to support stable, noninflationary growth. Some Asian and Pacific economies can afford to lengthen the pause in the normalization of their macroeconomic policies that was initiated when the global recovery stalled late in 2011; others may need a faster return to more neutral policy stances. Similarly, the pace of fiscal consolidation should be calibrated to country-specific circumstances. Additional chapters in the report discuss whether China is rebalancing and the particular challenges facing Asian low-income and small island economies.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2013, Asia and Pacific

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 68 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 2013-04-29
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484360835

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2013, Asia and Pacific by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

Growth in the Asia-Pacific region shows signs of improving as extreme risks emanating from advanced economies have receded and domestic demand remains resilient, supported by relatively easy financial conditions and robust labor markets. A small and gradual pick-up in growth to over 53⁄4 percent is projected in the course of 2013. Risks to the outlook from within the region, such as rising financial imbalances and asset prices in some economies, are coming clearer into focus. Although Asia’s banking and corporate sectors have solid buffers, monetary policymakers should stand ready to respond early and decisively to shifting risks, and macroprudential measures will also have a role to play. In many Asian economies, some fiscal consolidation could also rebuild the space needed to respond to future shocks and preempt potential overheating pressures from capital inflows. In particular, there is a growing need to make tax and spending policies more efficient. To sustain high growth rates and alleviate the “middle-income trap” across Emerging Asia, the policy agenda will vary by jurisdiction but will also often include strengthening infrastructure investment and reforming goods and labor markets.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2014, Asia and Pacific

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 88 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2014-04-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475541571

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2014, Asia and Pacific by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

The five Regional Economic Outlooks published biannually by the IMF cover Asia and Pacific, Europe, the Middle East and Central Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa, and the Western Hemisphere. In each volume, recent economic developments and prospects for the region are discussed as a whole, as well as for specific countries. The reports include key data for countries in the region. Each report focuses on policy developments that have affected economic performance in the region, and discusses key challenges faced by policymakers. The near-term outlook, key risks, and their related policy challenges are analyzed throughout the reports, and current issues are explored, such as when and how to withdraw public interventions in financial systems globally while maintaining a still-fragile economic recovery.These indispensable surveys are the product of comprehensive intradepartmental reviews of economic developments that draw primarily on information the IMF staff gathers through consultation with member countries.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2011, Asia and Pacific

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 87 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 2011-04-28
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781616350628

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2011, Asia and Pacific by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

The April 2011 issue of the Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific focuses on the policy challenges of managing the next phase of growth after Asia's recovery from the global crisis. The analytical chapters discuss how capital flows to the region may affect the monetary policy transmission mechanism and the role of macroprudential measures in this context, the implications of the Asian supply chain for rebalancing growth across the region, and the policy challenges for Asian low-income and Pacific Island countries. Economic recovery in Asia as a whole has been rapid (8.3 percent in 2010) and fueled by both exports and domestic demand. Looking ahead, growth is expected to continue at a more moderate but also more sustainable pace in 2011 and 2012, led by China and India. Meanwhile, new risks to the outlook have emerged. The full human cost and impact on infrastructure of the mid-March earthquake and tsunami in Japan remain to be determined. The steady response of the Japanese government and people has helped to contain the effects of the disaster on production, but a risk remains of prolonged disruptions in production that could spill over to other Asian economies in the regional supply chain. Moreover, tensions in the Middle East and North Africa and related risk of further oil price spikes could disrupt global growth and affect Asian exports. Finally, pockets of overheating have emerged in Asia, as core inflation and credit growth have accelerated in several Asian economies. The need to tighten macroeconomic policy stances has become more pressing than it was six months ago.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2012, Asia and Pacific

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 61 pages
File Size : 43,5 Mb
Release : 2012-04-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781616352509

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2012, Asia and Pacific by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

Barring the realization of downside risks to the global economy, growth in the Asia and the Pacific region is expected to gain momentum over the course of 2012, according to this report, and now projected at 6 percent in 2012, rising to about 61⁄2 percent in 2013. Stronger economic and policy fundamentals have helped buffer the region's economies against the global financial crisis, by limiting adverse financial market spillovers and ameliorating the impact of deleveraging by European banks, but a sharp fall in exports to advanced economies and a reversal of foreign capital flows would have a severe impact on the region. The region's policymakers now face the difficult task of calibrating the amount of insurance needed to support stable, noninflationary growth. Some Asian and Pacific economies can afford to lengthen the pause in the normalization of their macroeconomic policies that was initiated when the global recovery stalled late in 2011; others may need a faster return to more neutral policy stances. Similarly, the pace of fiscal consolidation should be calibrated to country-specific circumstances. Additional chapters in the report discuss whether China is rebalancing and the particular challenges facing Asian low-income and small island economies.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2013, Asia and Pacific

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 68 pages
File Size : 43,7 Mb
Release : 2013-04-29
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484398524

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2013, Asia and Pacific by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

Growth in the Asia-Pacific region shows signs of improving as extreme risks emanating from advanced economies have receded and domestic demand remains resilient, supported by relatively easy financial conditions and robust labor markets. A small and gradual pick-up in growth to over 53⁄4 percent is projected in the course of 2013. Risks to the outlook from within the region, such as rising financial imbalances and asset prices in some economies, are coming clearer into focus. Although Asia’s banking and corporate sectors have solid buffers, monetary policymakers should stand ready to respond early and decisively to shifting risks, and macroprudential measures will also have a role to play. In many Asian economies, some fiscal consolidation could also rebuild the space needed to respond to future shocks and preempt potential overheating pressures from capital inflows. In particular, there is a growing need to make tax and spending policies more efficient. To sustain high growth rates and alleviate the “middle-income trap” across Emerging Asia, the policy agenda will vary by jurisdiction but will also often include strengthening infrastructure investment and reforming goods and labor markets.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2014, Asia and Pacific

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 88 pages
File Size : 54,6 Mb
Release : 2014-04-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484316573

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2014, Asia and Pacific by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

The five Regional Economic Outlooks published biannually by the IMF cover Asia and Pacific, Europe, the Middle East and Central Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa, and the Western Hemisphere. In each volume, recent economic developments and prospects for the region are discussed as a whole, as well as for specific countries. The reports include key data for countries in the region. Each report focuses on policy developments that have affected economic performance in the region, and discusses key challenges faced by policymakers. The near-term outlook, key risks, and their related policy challenges are analyzed throughout the reports, and current issues are explored, such as when and how to withdraw public interventions in financial systems globally while maintaining a still-fragile economic recovery.These indispensable surveys are the product of comprehensive intradepartmental reviews of economic developments that draw primarily on information the IMF staff gathers through consultation with member countries.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2012, Western Hemisphere

Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 71 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2012-04-18
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475578539

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2012, Western Hemisphere by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Pdf

Growth in much of Latin America remains solid, although it slowed during the second half of 2011 as result of the combined effects of policy tightening and global uncertainties. Under our baseline, we expect growth in Latin America and the Caribbean to moderate to about 33⁄4 percent in 2012, from about 41⁄2 last year. For many countries, high commodity prices and easy external financing conditions will provide tailwinds. For others, weak growth in the United States and other advanced-country partners, or homegrown fiscal problems, will hold back activity. This edition of the Regional Economic Outlook: Western Hemisphere elaborates on three key themes. First, the global economic environment is somewhat better than in late 2011, but remains risky as renewed tensions from Europe and the likelihood of an oil price shock cannot be discarded. Second, external conditions will remain stimulative for much of Latin America: The double tailwinds of easy external finance and high commodity prices are likely to persist for a while, though not forever. And third, this environment creates opportunities for Latin America-opportunities to build on the resilience and flexibility that has served it so well during the global crisis of 2008-09. This edition also expands on these themes through analytical features on regional spillovers, the growth effects of global financial shocks, and housing and mortgage markets in the region.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2012, Sub-Saharan Africa

Author : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 119 pages
File Size : 45,8 Mb
Release : 2012-10-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475510799

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2012, Sub-Saharan Africa by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. Pdf

Economic conditions in sub-Saharan Africa have remained generally robust despite a sluggish global economy. The near-term outlook for the region remains broadly positive, and growth is projected at 51⁄4 percent a year in 2012-13. Most low-income countries are projected to continue to grow strongly, supported by domestic demand, including from investment. The outlook is less favorable for many of the middle-income countries, especially South Africa, that are more closely linked to European markets and thus experience a more noticeable drag from the external environment. The main risks to the outlook are an intensification of financial stresses in the euro zone and a sharp fiscal adjustment in the US--the so-called fiscal cliff.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2017, Asia and Pacific

Author : Mr.Ranil M Salgado
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 120 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2017-05-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475575064

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2017, Asia and Pacific by Mr.Ranil M Salgado Pdf

The Asia-Pacific region continues to be the world leader in growth, and recent data point to a pickup in momentum. We expect the region to expand by 5.5 percent in 2017, up from 5.3 percent in 2016. Accommodative policies will underpin domestic demand, offsetting tighter global financial conditions. However, the risks to the outlook, on balance, are slanted to the downside. A possible shift toward protectionism in major trading partners could suppress Asia’s trade, while the continued tightening of global financial conditions and economic uncertainty could trigger capital flow volatility. A bumpier-than-expected transition in China would also have large negative spillovers to the region. Beyond the short term, many parts of Asia face secular headwinds from population aging and slow productivity growth. These challenges call for domestic policies that support growth while boosting resilience and inclusiveness. To sustain long-term growth, structural reforms are needed to deal with challenges from demographic transition and to boost productivity.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2016, Asia and Pacific

Author : Mr.Ranil M Salgado
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 145 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 2016-05-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498350921

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2016, Asia and Pacific by Mr.Ranil M Salgado Pdf

Although Asia remains a growth leader in the global economy, growth is expected to ease slightly to 5.5 percent during 2016, with countries affected to varying degrees by a still weak global recovery, slowing global trade, and the short-term impact of China’s growth transition. Structural reforms are needed if Asia is to maintain its position in the global economy, including reforms aimed at enhancing productive capacity. Needed reforms range from state-owned enterprise and financial sector reform in China to labor and product market reforms in Japan and reforms to remove supply bottlenecks in India, ASEAN, frontier economies, and small states.

World Economic Outlook, April 2018

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 302 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2018-04-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484338278

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World Economic Outlook, April 2018 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

This report describes the world economic outlook as of April 2018, projecting that advanced economies will continue to expand above their potential growth rates before decelerating, while growth in emerging markets in developing economies will rise before leveling off. It details global prospects and policies, including risks to the forecast, and essential determinants of long-term economic growth: labor force participation in advanced economies, the declining share of manufacturing jobs globally and in advanced economies, and the process through which innovative activity and technological knowledge spread across national borders.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Asia and Pacific

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 57 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 2011-10-07
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781616351274

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Asia and Pacific by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

In line with the weaker global outlook, growth in Asia is expected to be slightly lower in 2011-12 than forecast in April 2011, mainly as a result of weakening external demand, but the expansion should remain healthy, supported by domestic demand, which has been generally resilient. Overheating pressures remain elevated in a number of economies, with credit growth still robust and inflation momentum generally high, though inflation is expected to recede modestly after peaking in 2011. The sell-off in Asian financial markets in August and September 2011 underscores that an escalation of euro area financial turbulence and a renewed slowdown in the United States could have severe macroeconomic and financial spillovers to Asia. Against this backdrop, Asian low-income and Pacific Island economies face particular challenges in the near and medium term. In low-income countries, the fight against inflation is complicated by strong second-round effects, the need to phase out subsidies, and less well-anchored inflation expectations. Pacific Island economies need to undertake further structural reforms to lift potential growth. The downside risks to growth amid persistent overheating pressures present Asian policymakers with a delicate balancing act, as they need to guard against risks to growth but also limit the adverse impact of prolonged easy financial conditions on inflation and balance sheet vulnerabilities. At the same time, the weakness in global demand only confirms that Asia would greatly benefit from further progress in rebalancing growth by developing domestic sources of demand. In addition to structural reforms, this would require a reprioritization of fiscal spending, in order to create fiscal space for critical infrastructure investment and social priority expenditure.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2015

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 120 pages
File Size : 54,5 Mb
Release : 2015-04-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498339841

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2015 by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

Asia and the Pacific remains the global growth leader, albeit with a moderated pace of expansion since the global financial crisis. There is considerable diversity across the region: growth in China is slowing to a more sustainable pace, while in Japan a pickup in growth is expected. Non-oil commodity exporters have experienced sharply falling prices, while net importers have benefited from large changes in terms of trade. The April 2015 Regional Economic Outlook examines the volatility risks from this regional diversity, as well as Asia and Pacific’s role in global value chains and the factors affecting financial integration in Asia.

Global Financial Stability Report, April 2012

Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 94 pages
File Size : 49,8 Mb
Release : 2012-04-18
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781616352479

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Global Financial Stability Report, April 2012 by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department Pdf

The April 2012 Global Financial Stability Report assesses changes in risks to financial stability over the past six months, focusing on sovereign vulnerabilities, risks stemming from private sector deleveraging, and assessing the continued resilience of emerging markets. The report probes the implications of recent reforms in the financial system for market perception of safe assets, and investigates the growing public and private costs of increased longevity risk from aging populations.