Regional Economic Outlook October 2011 Asia And Pacific

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Asia and Pacific

International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Regional Economic Outlook October 2011 Asia and Pacific Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 57 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 2011-10-07
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781616351274

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Asia and Pacific by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

In line with the weaker global outlook, growth in Asia is expected to be slightly lower in 2011-12 than forecast in April 2011, mainly as a result of weakening external demand, but the expansion should remain healthy, supported by domestic demand, which has been generally resilient. Overheating pressures remain elevated in a number of economies, with credit growth still robust and inflation momentum generally high, though inflation is expected to recede modestly after peaking in 2011. The sell-off in Asian financial markets in August and September 2011 underscores that an escalation of euro area financial turbulence and a renewed slowdown in the United States could have severe macroeconomic and financial spillovers to Asia. Against this backdrop, Asian low-income and Pacific Island economies face particular challenges in the near and medium term. In low-income countries, the fight against inflation is complicated by strong second-round effects, the need to phase out subsidies, and less well-anchored inflation expectations. Pacific Island economies need to undertake further structural reforms to lift potential growth. The downside risks to growth amid persistent overheating pressures present Asian policymakers with a delicate balancing act, as they need to guard against risks to growth but also limit the adverse impact of prolonged easy financial conditions on inflation and balance sheet vulnerabilities. At the same time, the weakness in global demand only confirms that Asia would greatly benefit from further progress in rebalancing growth by developing domestic sources of demand. In addition to structural reforms, this would require a reprioritization of fiscal spending, in order to create fiscal space for critical infrastructure investment and social priority expenditure.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2011, Asia and Pacific

International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Regional Economic Outlook April 2011 Asia and Pacific Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 87 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2011-04-28
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781616350628

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2011, Asia and Pacific by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

The April 2011 issue of the Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific focuses on the policy challenges of managing the next phase of growth after Asia's recovery from the global crisis. The analytical chapters discuss how capital flows to the region may affect the monetary policy transmission mechanism and the role of macroprudential measures in this context, the implications of the Asian supply chain for rebalancing growth across the region, and the policy challenges for Asian low-income and Pacific Island countries. Economic recovery in Asia as a whole has been rapid (8.3 percent in 2010) and fueled by both exports and domestic demand. Looking ahead, growth is expected to continue at a more moderate but also more sustainable pace in 2011 and 2012, led by China and India. Meanwhile, new risks to the outlook have emerged. The full human cost and impact on infrastructure of the mid-March earthquake and tsunami in Japan remain to be determined. The steady response of the Japanese government and people has helped to contain the effects of the disaster on production, but a risk remains of prolonged disruptions in production that could spill over to other Asian economies in the regional supply chain. Moreover, tensions in the Middle East and North Africa and related risk of further oil price spikes could disrupt global growth and affect Asian exports. Finally, pockets of overheating have emerged in Asia, as core inflation and credit growth have accelerated in several Asian economies. The need to tighten macroeconomic policy stances has become more pressing than it was six months ago.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Asia Pacific

International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Regional Economic Outlook October 2018 Asia Pacific Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 32 pages
File Size : 55,9 Mb
Release : 2018-10-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484375419

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Asia Pacific by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

Growth in the first half of 2018 was softer than in 2017, especially in advanced economies. In contrast, growth remained robust in emerging market economies and broadly in line with expectations. After rising to 6.9 percent in 2017, growth in China continued to be strong into the first half of 2018 but has likely slowed since, given the latest high-frequency indicators, including weakening investment growth. In Japan, after exceeding potential for two years, growth dropped into negative territory in the first quarter of 2018 before rebounding sharply in the second quarter. In India, growth continues to recover steadily after the disruptions related to demonetization and the rollout of the goods and services tax in the last fiscal year.1 And in ASEAN-4 economies (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand), growth generally lost momentum in the first half of 2018, except in Thailand.

Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and the Pacific, October 2022

International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Regional Economic Outlook Asia and the Pacific October 2022 Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 67 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 2022-10-28
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9798400220517

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Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and the Pacific, October 2022 by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

After the strong rebound of 6.5 percent posted in 2021, growth in Asia and Pacific is expected to moderate to 4.0 percent in 2022 amid an uncertain global environment and rise to 4.3 percent in 2023. Inflation has risen above most central bank targets, but is expected to peak in late 2022. As the effects of the pandemic wane, the region faces new headwinds from global financial tightening and an expected slowdown of external demand. While Asia remains a relative bright spot in an increasingly lethargic global economy, it is expected to expand at a rate that is well below the average rate of 51⁄2 percent seen over the preceding two decades. Policy support is gradually being withdrawn as inflation rises and idle capacity is utilized, but monetary policy should be ready to tighten faster if the rise in core inflation turns out to be more persistent. The region’s rising public debt lev¬els call for continued fiscal consolidation, so interven¬tions to mitigate global food and energy shocks should be well targeted, temporary, and budget neutral. Structural reforms are needed to boost growth and mitigate the scarring that is expected from the pan¬demic, especially making up for lost schooling through investments in education and training, promoting diversification, addressing the debt overhang from the pandemic, and harnessing digitalization. Strong multilateralism—including through international organizations, the Group of Twenty and regional processes—will be needed to mitigate geo-economic fragmentation and deliver much needed progress on climate change commitments.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2014, Asia and Pacific

International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Regional Economic Outlook April 2014 Asia and Pacific Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 88 pages
File Size : 54,5 Mb
Release : 2014-04-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475541571

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2014, Asia and Pacific by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

The five Regional Economic Outlooks published biannually by the IMF cover Asia and Pacific, Europe, the Middle East and Central Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa, and the Western Hemisphere. In each volume, recent economic developments and prospects for the region are discussed as a whole, as well as for specific countries. The reports include key data for countries in the region. Each report focuses on policy developments that have affected economic performance in the region, and discusses key challenges faced by policymakers. The near-term outlook, key risks, and their related policy challenges are analyzed throughout the reports, and current issues are explored, such as when and how to withdraw public interventions in financial systems globally while maintaining a still-fragile economic recovery.These indispensable surveys are the product of comprehensive intradepartmental reviews of economic developments that draw primarily on information the IMF staff gathers through consultation with member countries.

Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific, May 2023

International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Regional Economic Outlook Asia and Pacific May 2023 Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 34 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2023-05
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9798400238062

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Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific, May 2023 by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

Growth in Asia and the Pacific is projected to increase this year to 4.6 percent, up from 3.8 percent in 2022, an upgrade of 0.3 percent from the October 2022 World Economic Outlook. This means the region would contribute over 70 percent to global growth. Asia’s dynamism will be driven primarily by the recovery in China and resilient growth in India, while growth in the rest of Asia is expected to bottom out in 2023, in line with other regions. However, this dynamic outlook does not imply that policymakers in the region can afford to be complacent. The pressures from diminished global demand will weigh on the outlook. Headline inflation has been easing, but remains above targets in most countries, while core inflation has proven to be sticky. Although spillovers from turmoil in the European and US banking sectors have been limited thus far, vulnerabilities to global financial tightening and volatile market conditions, especially in the corporate and household sectors, remain elevated. Growth is expected to fall to 3.9 percent five years out, the lowest medium-term forecast in recent history, thus contributing to one of the lowest medium-term global growth forecasts since 1990.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2010, Asia and Pacific

International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Regional Economic Outlook April 2010 Asia and Pacific Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Page : 94 pages
File Size : 42,5 Mb
Release : 2010-05-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 158906917X

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2010, Asia and Pacific by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

One year after the deepest recession in recent history, Asia is leading the global recovery. The Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific discusses the near-term outlook for the region, as well as the medium-term policy challenges that countries face. As in many emerging and developing markets, Asia rebounded swiftly during 2009 and in the first quarter of 2010, and in the near term the region is expected to continue leading the global recovery. In the medium term, the global crisis has highlighted the importance for Asia of ensuring that private domestic demand becomes a more prominent engine of growth.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2009, Asia and Pacific

International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Regional Economic Outlook October 2009 Asia and Pacific Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 83 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2009-04-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781589068568

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2009, Asia and Pacific by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

Asia has rebounded fast from the depth of the global crisis. Initially, the region was hit extremely hard, with output in most countries shrinking by much more than even those nations at the epicenter of the crisis. But starting in February 2009, Asia's economy began to revive. Exports and industrial production have increased again, financial pressures have eased, confidence has largely been restored. What explains this remarkable comeback? What challenges does the recovery pose to Asian policymakers? These are the main questions addressed in the IMF's October 2009 "Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific." The report discusses the latest developments in Asia, examines the prospects for the period ahead, and considers the policy steps needed to sustain the recovery and rebalance Asia's medium-term growth. Published biannually in May and October.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2009

International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Regional Economic Outlook October 2009 Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 85 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 2009-04-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781451995206

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2009 by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

Asia has rebounded fast from the depth of the global crisis. Initially, the region was hit extremely hard, with output in most countries shrinking by much more than even those nations at the epicenter of the crisis. But starting in February 2009, Asia's economy began to revive. Exports and industrial production have increased again, financial pressures have eased, confidence has largely been restored. What explains this remarkable comeback? What challenges does the recovery pose to Asian policymakers? These are the main questions addressed in the IMF's October 2009 "Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific." The report discusses the latest developments in Asia, examines the prospects for the period ahead, and considers the policy steps needed to sustain the recovery and rebalance Asia's medium-term growth. Published biannually in May and October.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Europe

International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Regional Economic Outlook October 2011 Europe Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 126 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2011-10-05
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781616351281

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Europe by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. Pdf

Following a strong showing in early 2011, the economies across Europe now face the prospect of a pronounced slowdown, as global growth has softened, risk aversion has risen, and strains in Europe's sovereign debt and financial markets have deepened, according to this issue of the Regional Economic Outlook for Europe. Downside risks are significant, and a further deepening of the euro area crisis would affect not only advanced Europe, but also emerging Europe, given its tight economic and financial ties. The policy stance in advanced Europe will need to be adapted to reflect the weakening and tense outlook, financial systems strengthened further, and a consistent, cohesive and cooperative approach to monetary union adopted by all euro area stakeholders. The cross-country experience in the past decade in Europe shows the difference that good policies can make in boosting growth, with some European countries having grown rapidly while others have stagnated. Escaping low-growth traps, through broad-based reforms that address macroeconomic imbalances and country-specific structural rigidities, is possible.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Western Hemisphere

International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Regional Economic Outlook October 2011 Western Hemisphere Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 93 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2011-11-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781616351304

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Western Hemisphere by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Pdf

Despite the recent deterioration in the global economic environment, projections for the region involve only a modest worsening of the outlook. The October 2011 Regional Economic Outlook: Western Hemisphere cautions, however, that there are severe downside risks. A sharp slowdown in Asia, for example in response to a recession in advanced economies, could impact commodity prices, with negative effects on Latin American commodity exporters. With global monetary policy likely to remain accommodative, capital flows could exacerbate overheating and amplify vulnerabilities in emerging markets. Countries with strong real linkages to the United States face a somewhat weaker outlook and should give priority to reducing public debt. Although much of the Caribbean is recovering from a prolonged recession, the outlook remains constrained by high public debt and weak tourism flows. This issue finds that policies can play an important role in mitigating the economic impact of terms-of-trade shocks, and underscores the need to rebuild policy buffers.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2007, Asia and Pacific

International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Regional Economic Outlook October 2007 Asia and Pacific Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 65 pages
File Size : 55,6 Mb
Release : 2007-10-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781589066687

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2007, Asia and Pacific by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

Economic developments in Asia have been positive so far in 2007. Growth has been stronger (and in many cases more balanced) than expected across much of the region, again led by China and India, and inflation pressures remain largely contained. Moreover, Asia weathered the recent financial turbulence relatively well. The outlook is favorable, with growth expected to decline only modestly in 2008 as foreign demand for Asia’s exports slows. The main risk for the region is a sharper-than-expected global slowdown.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Middle East and Central Asia

International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
Regional Economic Outlook October 2011 Middle East and Central Asia Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 118 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 2011-10-26
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781616351298

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Middle East and Central Asia by International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept. Pdf

The Arab Spring holds the promise of improved living standards and a more prosperous future for the peoples of the Middle East and North Africa region. At the same time, the region is witnessing uncertainty and economic pressures from domestic and external sources, which will likely be exacerbated by the recent worsening of the global economy. The main challenge in the short term will be to manage expectations while maintaining economic stability. To that end, better-targeted subsidies and transfers will help free up resources for investment in infrastructure, education, and health. Policies aimed at fostering inclusive growth will also help cement the longer-term benefits of the ongoing changes in the region. In the Caucasus and Central Asia, the economic outlook is broadly positive. Exports and remittances--key growth drivers in 2010--are continuing to grow solidly, helping the recovery gain firm momentum. At the same time, uncertainties over the robustness of the global recovery constitute a downside risk to the growth outlook. Key challenges facing the region over the medium term are to create jobs and foster high and inclusive growth.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2010, Asia and Pacific

International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Regional Economic Outlook October 2010 Asia and Pacific Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 40,8 Mb
Release : 2010-10-21
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1589069501

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2010, Asia and Pacific by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

One year after the deepest recession in recent history, Asia is leading the global recovery. The Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific discusses the near-term outlook for the region, as well as the medium-term policy challenges that countries face. As in many emerging and developing markets, Asia rebounded swiftly during 2009 and in the first quarter of 2010, and in the near term the region is expected to continue leading the global recovery. In the medium term, the global crisis has highlighted the importance for Asia of ensuring that private domestic demand becomes a more prominent engine of growth.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2012, Asia and Pacific

International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Regional Economic Outlook April 2012 Asia and Pacific Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 61 pages
File Size : 40,8 Mb
Release : 2012-04-13
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475579857

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2012, Asia and Pacific by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

Barring the realization of downside risks to the global economy, growth in the Asia and the Pacific region is expected to gain momentum over the course of 2012, according to this report, and now projected at 6 percent in 2012, rising to about 61⁄2 percent in 2013. Stronger economic and policy fundamentals have helped buffer the region's economies against the global financial crisis, by limiting adverse financial market spillovers and ameliorating the impact of deleveraging by European banks, but a sharp fall in exports to advanced economies and a reversal of foreign capital flows would have a severe impact on the region. The region's policymakers now face the difficult task of calibrating the amount of insurance needed to support stable, noninflationary growth. Some Asian and Pacific economies can afford to lengthen the pause in the normalization of their macroeconomic policies that was initiated when the global recovery stalled late in 2011; others may need a faster return to more neutral policy stances. Similarly, the pace of fiscal consolidation should be calibrated to country-specific circumstances. Additional chapters in the report discuss whether China is rebalancing and the particular challenges facing Asian low-income and small island economies.