Role Of International Price And Domestic Inflation In Triggering Export Restrictions On Food Commodities

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Role of international price and domestic inflation in triggering export restrictions on food commodities

Author : Mamun, Abdullah,Laborde Debucquet, David
Publisher : Intl Food Policy Res Inst
Page : 44 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2024-04-09
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 8210379456XXX

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Role of international price and domestic inflation in triggering export restrictions on food commodities by Mamun, Abdullah,Laborde Debucquet, David Pdf

This paper investigates the drivers of export restrictions on agricultural products based on an original dataset developed at IFPRI. We focus on four food price crises when export restrictions (e.g., ban, tax, licensing etc.) were applied: the 2008 and 2010 food price crises, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the 2022 crisis associated with the Russia-Ukraine war. Although the justifications for such trade policies have been discussed in the literature, the ability to forecast their implementation remains understudied. The probit model used in this study suggests that the inflation rate has a higher power to predict export restrictions than do international commodity prices. The probability of export restrictions increases more when price change is measured from a reference level in the long interval than the short interval. Among the covariates, agricultural land per capita, commodity share in production and export, weather condition increases the chances of imposing export restrictions. Per capita income, population density, share of agriculture in GDP, urbanization rate, political economy indicators - all have a negative influence on this likelihood.

Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy

Author : Matthias Kalkuhl,Joachim von Braun,Maximo Torero
Publisher : Springer
Page : 626 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2016-04-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783319282015

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Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy by Matthias Kalkuhl,Joachim von Braun,Maximo Torero Pdf

This book provides fresh insights into concepts, methods and new research findings on the causes of excessive food price volatility. It also discusses the implications for food security and policy responses to mitigate excessive volatility. The approaches applied by the contributors range from on-the-ground surveys, to panel econometrics and innovative high-frequency time series analysis as well as computational economics methods. It offers policy analysts and decision-makers guidance on dealing with extreme volatility.

Safeguarding Food Security in Volatile Global Markets

Author : Adam Prakash
Publisher : Bright Sparks
Page : 620 pages
File Size : 43,9 Mb
Release : 2011
Category : Food prices
ISBN : UIUC:30112100846366

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Safeguarding Food Security in Volatile Global Markets by Adam Prakash Pdf

A timely publication as world leaders deliberate the causes of the latest bouts of food price volatility and search for solutions that address the recent velocity of financial, economic, political, demographic, and climatic change. As a collection compiled from a diverse group of economists, analysts, traders, institutions and policy formulators - comprising multiple methodologies and viewpoints - the book exposes the impact of volatility on global food security, with particular focus on the world's most vulnerable.

The Global Food Crisis

Author : Jennifer Clapp,Marc J. Cohen
Publisher : Wilfrid Laurier Univ. Press
Page : 288 pages
File Size : 51,7 Mb
Release : 2009-09-30
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 1554581982

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The Global Food Crisis by Jennifer Clapp,Marc J. Cohen Pdf

The global food crisis is a stark reminder of the fragility of the global food system. The Global Food Crisis: Governance Challenges and Opportunities captures the debate about how to go forward and examines the implications of the crisis for food security in the world’s poorest countries, both for the global environment and for the global rules and institutions that govern food and agriculture. In this volume, policy-makers and scholars assess the causes and consequences of the most recent food price volatility and examine the associated governance challenges and opportunities, including short-term emergency responses, the ecological dimensions of the crisis, and the longer-term goal of building sustainable global food systems. The recommendations include vastly increasing public investment in small-farm agriculture; reforming global food aid and food research institutions; establishing fairer international agricultural trade rules; promoting sustainable agricultural methods; placing agriculture higher on the post-Kyoto climate change agenda; revamping biofuel policies; and enhancing international agricultural policy-making. Co-published with the Centre for International Governance Innovation

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2021–2030

Author : Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
Publisher : Food & Agriculture Org.
Page : 337 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2021-07-05
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9789251346082

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2021–2030 by Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Pdf

The Agricultural Outlook 2021-2030 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations. It brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations as well as input from collaborating member countries to provide an annual assessment of the prospects for the coming decade of national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets. The publication consists of 11 Chapters; Chapter 1 covers agricultural and food markets; Chapter 2 provides regional outlooks and the remaining chapters are dedicated to individual commodities.

Rwanda

Author : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 124 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 2022-12-19
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9798400227875

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Rwanda by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. Pdf

Supported by a large policy package, Rwanda’s economy rebounded in 2021 after contracting in the preceding year due to the COVID-19 shock. However, the country now faces multi-faceted challenges—pandemic scars, headwinds from the war in Ukraine, and climate-related shocks, meanwhile inflationary pressures have increased markedly. Downside risks are significant from the war spillovers, through further pressures on energy, food, and fertilizer prices, global financial tightening, and slowdown in major trading partners, in addition to climate-related shocks. Against this backdrop, the authorities have requested a new Policy Coordination Instrument (PCI) and an arrangement under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF) to support their efforts in maintaining macroeconomic stability, advancing their reform agenda, including on climate to enhance Rwanda’s resilience to climate-related shocks, and insuring against downside risks. They will cancel the current PCI (expiring in June 2023) upon approval of the new PCI.

Export Restrictions on Critical Minerals and Metals

Author : Ilaria Espa
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 405 pages
File Size : 49,6 Mb
Release : 2015-12-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781107085961

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Export Restrictions on Critical Minerals and Metals by Ilaria Espa Pdf

Examines existing WTO disciplines on export restrictions in light of the proliferation of export restraints on critical minerals and metals.

Handbook of Land and Water Grabs in Africa

Author : John Anthony Allan
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 514 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2013
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781857436693

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Handbook of Land and Water Grabs in Africa by John Anthony Allan Pdf

Four other themes will addressed: politics, economics, the environment and the history of land investments in sub-Saharan Africa.

Brunei Darussalam

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 53 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 2023-10-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9798400255762

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Brunei Darussalam by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

Context and Recent Developments. Brunei’s high vaccination rates have allowed for the removal of COVID-19 restrictions and reopening of borders; however, reduced oil and gas (O&G) production have undermined the recovery. The financial sector remains liquid and well-capitalized. High fuel prices helped strengthen the fiscal and external positions in 2022. Inflation hit a historical high but has recently declined. The 2023 Article IV consultation took place in the context of a volatile O&G market, and a difficult external environment. Key policy challenges include the narrowing fiscal space, the need to shield the economy against O&G price and output volatility, global decarbonization pressures, and ensuring inter-generational equity. The government is committed to diversifying towards a low-carbon economy.

St. Vincent and the Grenadines

Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 105 pages
File Size : 53,9 Mb
Release : 2022-11-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9798400225505

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St. Vincent and the Grenadines by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Pdf

St. Vincent and the Grenadines is recovering from the pandemic and 2021 volcanic eruptions. Despite the authorities’ strong efforts to contain deficits, critical fiscal responses to these shocks pushed up public debt, which—while assessed as sustainable—remains at high risk of distress should future shocks materialize. The economy is projected to grow by 5 percent in 2022, supported by large-scale investment projects and recoveries in tourism and agriculture. Surging commodity prices, fueled by Russia’s war in Ukraine, are expected to raise inflation sharply to 5.8 percent in 2022, adding to fiscal and external pressures and weighing on the recovery. So far, the financial system has weathered the shocks relatively well. The outlook is subject to significant downside risks primarily from an abrupt slowdown in trading partners’ growth, potential delays in investment projects including due to supply chain disruptions, and the ever-present threat of frequent natural disasters.

The Distributional Implications of the Impact of Fuel Price Increases on Inflation

Author : Mr. Kangni R Kpodar,Boya Liu
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 34 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 2021-11-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781616356156

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The Distributional Implications of the Impact of Fuel Price Increases on Inflation by Mr. Kangni R Kpodar,Boya Liu Pdf

This paper investigates the response of consumer price inflation to changes in domestic fuel prices, looking at the different categories of the overall consumer price index (CPI). We then combine household survey data with the CPI components to construct a CPI index for the poorest and richest income quintiles with the view to assess the distributional impact of the pass-through. To undertake this analysis, the paper provides an update to the Global Monthly Retail Fuel Price Database, expanding the product coverage to premium and regular fuels, the time dimension to December 2020, and the sample to 190 countries. Three key findings stand out. First, the response of inflation to gasoline price shocks is smaller, but more persistent and broad-based in developing economies than in advanced economies. Second, we show that past studies using crude oil prices instead of retail fuel prices to estimate the pass-through to inflation significantly underestimate it. Third, while the purchasing power of all households declines as fuel prices increase, the distributional impact is progressive. But the progressivity phases out within 6 months after the shock in advanced economies, whereas it persists beyond a year in developing countries.

Jamaica

Author : International Monetary,International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 93 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2023-02-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9798400233173

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Jamaica by International Monetary,International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Pdf

Jamaica has built a strong track record of investing in institutions and prioritizing macroeconomic stability. This aided the country to adapt to the difficult global environment of the past few years. The authorities provided targeted support to vulnerable households and firms during the pandemic but promptly scaled it back as conditions normalized. Similarly, in the wake of the war in Ukraine, domestic food and energy prices adjusted in line with shifts in international markets while targeted support was provided to the poor.

Mali

Author : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 100 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 2023-06-14
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9798400245985

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Mali by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. Pdf

Mali has been hit by several large shocks in the past three years, including two coups d’état, the COVID-19 pandemic, acute security challenges and a cost-of-living crisis triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. A strict embargo in the first half of 2022 by regional partners restricted the government and private sector’s international economic transactions. Despite that embargo, GDP growth was estimated to be 3.7 percent in 2022. Inflation peaked at almost 15 percent in mid-2022—resulting in an increase in extreme poverty and heightened food insecurity—but has since decelerated, with inflation in March 2023 at 7.5 percent. The BCEAO regional central bank raised its policy rate to 3 percent in February 2023, a 100-basis point cumulative increase since June 2022.

Honduras

Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 142 pages
File Size : 42,7 Mb
Release : 2023-09-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9798400255496

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Honduras by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Pdf

The Honduran economy has shown remarkable resilience to various domestic and external shocks over 2020-22, and real GDP is now around 6 percent above pre-pandemic levels supported by the authorities’ prudent policies. That said, Honduras faces long-standing social and structural challenges that hinder its development potential and stability. Under the previous Fund-supported program that expired in January 2022, Honduras succeeded in enhancing the quality of fiscal policy and implementing institutional reforms. The current authorities are committed to maintaining prudent macroeconomic policies and advancing structural reforms while fostering inclusive growth by creating space for critical social spending and infrastructure investment. In this context, the authorities have requested a new Fund arrangement to anchor their economic and institutional reform agenda.

West African Economic and Monetary Union

Author : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 62 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2023-03-07
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9798400235870

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West African Economic and Monetary Union by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. Pdf

The WAEMU’s post-Covid-19 recovery has so far withstood the new global and regional shocks, partly owing to supportive fiscal and monetary policies as well as relatively strong macroeconomic fundamentals over the previous decade. Growth prospects remain favorable, reserves—albeit declining—remain adequate, and the financial system appears to be resilient. However, the region faces important challenges associated with rising inflation, limited access to international capital markets, eroding external buffers, and regional security issues, in the presence of elevated global risks.