Statistical Methods And Modeling Of Seismogenesis

Author : Nikolaos Limnios,Eleftheria Papadimitriou,George Tsaklidis
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 336 pages
File Size : 41,8 Mb
Release : 2021-03-31
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781119825036

Get Book

Statistical Methods and Modeling of Seismogenesis by Nikolaos Limnios,Eleftheria Papadimitriou,George Tsaklidis Pdf

The study of earthquakes is a multidisciplinary field, an amalgam of geodynamics, mathematics, engineering and more. The overriding commonality between them all is the presence of natural randomness. Stochastic studies (probability, stochastic processes and statistics) can be of different types, for example, the black box approach (one state), the white box approach (multi-state), the simulation of different aspects, and so on. This book has the advantage of bringing together a group of international authors, known for their earthquake-specific approaches, to cover a wide array of these myriad aspects. A variety of topics are presented, including statistical nonparametric and parametric methods, a multi-state system approach, earthquake simulators, post-seismic activity models, time series Markov models with regression, scaling properties and multifractal approaches, selfcorrecting models, the linked stress release model, Markovian arrival models, Poisson-based detection techniques, change point detection techniques on seismicity models, and, finally, semi-Markov models for earthquake forecasting.

Author : Irene Votsi,Nikolaos Limnios,Eleftheria Papadimitriou,Georgios Tsaklidis
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 180 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2019-01-03
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781119579069

Get Book

Earthquake Statistical Analysis through Multi-state Modeling by Irene Votsi,Nikolaos Limnios,Eleftheria Papadimitriou,Georgios Tsaklidis Pdf

Earthquake occurrence modeling is a rapidly developing research area. This book deals with its critical issues, ranging from theoretical advances to practical applications. The introductory chapter outlines state-of-the-art earthquake modeling approaches based on stochastic models. Chapter 2 presents seismogenesis in association with the evolving stress field. Chapters 3 to 5 present earthquake occurrence modeling by means of hidden (semi-)Markov models and discuss associated characteristic measures and relative estimation aspects. Further comparisons, the most important results and our concluding remarks are provided in Chapters 6 and 7.

Author : Martha Savage,David A. Rhoades,Euan G. C. Smith,Matthew C. Gerstenberger,David Vere-Jones
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 274 pages
File Size : 42,5 Mb
Release : 2011-06-29
Category : Science
ISBN : 9783034605007

Get Book

Seismogenesis and Earthquake Forecasting: The Frank Evison Volume II by Martha Savage,David A. Rhoades,Euan G. C. Smith,Matthew C. Gerstenberger,David Vere-Jones Pdf

This special issue of Pure and Applied Geophysics is the second of two volumes containing an augmented collection of papers originating from the Evison Symposium on Seismogenesis and Earthquake Forecasting held in Wellington, New Zealand, in February 2008. The volumes honor Frank Evison's interest in earthquake generation and forecasting. This volume includes descriptions of earthquake forecasting test centers through the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) program and the first results from the Regional Earthquake Likelihood Model (RELM) experiment in California. Other papers discuss methods of testing predictions, in particular by the use of error diagrams. There is discussion of prediction methodologies using seismicity, including an application of the statistical technique of Hidden Markov Models to identify changes in seismicity and a new technique for identifying precursory quiescence. Several papers employ other data besides seismicity, such as geologically determined faults, calculations of stress changes via Coulomb stress modeling, tomographically determined velocity structure, groundwater, crustal deformation, and comparisons of real earthquakes to synthetic seismicity determined from hypothesized earthquake physics. One paper focuses on the prediction of human casualties in the event that a large earthquake occurs anywhere on the globe. The volume will be useful to students and professional researchers who are interested in the earthquake preparation process and in converting that understanding into forecasts of earthquake occurrence.

Author : Irene Votsi,Nikolaos Limnios,Eleftheria Papadimitriou,George Tsaklidis
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 196 pages
File Size : 55,6 Mb
Release : 2019-04-02
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781786301505

Get Book

Earthquake Statistical Analysis through Multi-state Modeling by Irene Votsi,Nikolaos Limnios,Eleftheria Papadimitriou,George Tsaklidis Pdf

Earthquake occurrence modeling is a rapidly developing research area. This book deals with its critical issues, ranging from theoretical advances to practical applications. The introductory chapter outlines state-of-the-art earthquake modeling approaches based on stochastic models. Chapter 2 presents seismogenesis in association with the evolving stress field. Chapters 3 to 5 present earthquake occurrence modeling by means of hidden (semi-)Markov models and discuss associated characteristic measures and relative estimation aspects. Further comparisons, the most important results and our concluding remarks are provided in Chapters 6 and 7.

Author : Qinghua Huang,Matthew Gerstenberger,Jiancang Zhuang
Publisher : Birkhäuser
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2016-02-04
Category : Science
ISBN : 3319289667

Get Book

Current Challenges in Statistical Seismology by Qinghua Huang,Matthew Gerstenberger,Jiancang Zhuang Pdf

This special issue emerged following the 2013 8th International Statistical Seismology (StatSei8) workshop in Beijing. The articles within have been collected to report on exciting new research in statistical seismology methods and applications; it contains a collection of the newest methods, techniques and results related to statistical analysis of earthquake occurrence and earthquake probability forecasting. The articles within ultimately help to define future research directions in the field. Especially, the rapid development of observation technologies has brought geophysical research into the big-data era. This includes not only non-seismicity geophysical data, such as GPS observation on surface displacement, InSAR observation of the co-seismic deformation, ionospheric observations, etc., but also extended seismological data including slow earthquakes, tremor, and VLF earthquakes. The subject of statistical seismology bridges the gap between physical and statistical models. Many significant achievements have been accomplished during the last several decades, including formulation of conditional intensity models for quantifying seismicity rates, earthquake probability forecasts, and theories related to rigorous testing of forecast models.

Author : Martha Savage,David A. Rhoades,Euan G. C. Smith,Matthew C. Gerstenberger,David Vere-Jones
Publisher : Birkhäuser
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 2010-08-11
Category : Science
ISBN : 3034604971

Get Book

Seismogenesis and Earthquake Forecasting: The Frank Evison Volume I by Martha Savage,David A. Rhoades,Euan G. C. Smith,Matthew C. Gerstenberger,David Vere-Jones Pdf

This special issue of Pure and Applied Geophysics is one of two volumes containing an augmented collection of papers originating from the Evison Symposium on Seismogenesis and Earthquake Forecasting held in Wellington, New Zealand, in February 2008. The volumes honor Frank Evison's interest in earthquake generation and forecasting. A biography of Frank Evison and a list of his publications is included, as well as review papers and new research papers in the field. The volume includes papers related to Frank's most abiding interest of precursory earthquake swarms. The research contributions cover a range of current forecasting methods such as the Epidemic-Type Aftershock model, the Every Earthquake a precursor According to Scale model, Pattern Informatics, Reverse Tracing of Precursors, stochastic models of elastic rebound, and methods for handling multiple precursors. The methods considered employ a variety of statistical approaches to using previous seismicity to forecast future earthquakes, including regional and global earthquake likelihood models and alarm-type forecasts. The forecast time-frames of interest range from the short time-frame associated with clustering of aftershocks to the long time-frame associated with recurrence of major earthquakes. A recurring theme is the assessment of forecasting performance, whether by likelihood scores, skill scores, error diagrams, or relative operating characteristic tests. The volume will be useful to students and professional researchers who are interested in the earthquake preparation process and in converting that understanding into forecasts of earthquake occurrence.

Author : Mitsuhiro Matsu'ura,Peter Mora,Andrea Donnellan,Xiang-chu Yin
Publisher : Birkhäuser
Page : 360 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Science
ISBN : 9783034881975

Get Book

Earthquake Processes: Physical Modelling, Numerical Simulation and Data Analysis Part II by Mitsuhiro Matsu'ura,Peter Mora,Andrea Donnellan,Xiang-chu Yin Pdf

In the last decade of the 20th century, there has been great progress in the physics of earthquake generation; that is, the introduction of laboratory-based fault constitutive laws as a basic equation governing earthquake rupture, quantitative description of tectonic loading driven by plate motion, and a microscopic approach to study fault zone processes. The fault constitutive law plays the role of an interface between microscopic processes in fault zones and macroscopic processes of a fault system, and the plate motion connects diverse crustal activities with mantle dynamics. An ambitious challenge for us is to develop realistic computer simulation models for the complete earthquake process on the basis of microphysics in fault zones and macro-dynamics in the crust-mantle system. Recent advances in high performance computer technology and numerical simulation methodology are bringing this vision within reach. The book consists of two parts and presents a cross-section of cutting-edge research in the field of computational earthquake physics. Part I includes works on microphysics of rupture and fault constitutive laws, and dynamic rupture, wave propagation and strong ground motion. Part II covers earthquake cycles, crustal deformation, plate dynamics, and seismicity change and its physical interpretation. Topics in Part II range from the 3-D simulations of earthquake generation cycles and interseismic crustal deformation associated with plate subduction to the development of new methods for analyzing geophysical and geodetical data and new simulation algorithms for large amplitude folding and mantle convection with viscoelastic/brittle lithosphere, as well as a theoretical study of accelerated seismic release on heterogeneous faults, simulation of long-range automaton models of earthquakes, and various approaches to earthquake predicition based on underlying physical and/or statistical models for seismicity change.

Author : Rodolfo Console,Maura Murru,Giuseppe Falcone (Geophysicist)
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2017
Category : Earthquake prediction
ISBN : 1119372305

Get Book

Earthquake Occurrence by Rodolfo Console,Maura Murru,Giuseppe Falcone (Geophysicist) Pdf

'Earthquake Occurrence' provides the reader with a review of algorithms applicable for modelling seismicity, such as short-term earthquake clustering and pseudo-periodic long-term behaviour of major earthquakes. The concept of the likelihood ratio of a set of observations under different hypotheses is applied for comparison among various models. In short-term models, known by the term ETAS, the occurrence space and time rate density of earthquakes is modelled as the sum of two terms, one representing the independent or spontaneous events, and the other representing the activity triggered by previous earthquakes. Examples of the application of such algorithms in real cases are also reported. The book also introduces a number of computer codes developed by the authors over decades of seismological research.

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 386 pages
File Size : 55,7 Mb
Release : 2004
Category : Geophysics
ISBN : CHI:69303868

Get Book

Izvestiya, Russian Academy of Sciences by Anonim Pdf

Author : Max Wyss,Kunihiko Shimazaki,Akihiko Ito
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 536 pages
File Size : 51,6 Mb
Release : 1999-08-01
Category : Science
ISBN : 376436209X

Get Book

Seismicity Patterns, their Statistical Significance and Physical Meaning by Max Wyss,Kunihiko Shimazaki,Akihiko Ito Pdf

204 Pure app!. geophys. , P. Reasenberg demonstrated that in Cascadia earthquakes are four times more likely to be foreshocks than in California. Many speakers emphasized the regional differences in all earthquake parameters, and it was generally understood that basic models of the earthquake occurrence must be modified for regional application. The idea that the focal mechanisms of foreshocks may differ from that of background activity was advocated by Y. Chen and identified by M. Ohtake as possibly the thus far most neglected property of foreshocks, in efforts to identify them. S. Matsumura proposed that focal mechanism patterns of small earthquakes may differ character istically near locked fault segments into which fault creep is advancing. Considerable discussion was devoted to the status of the seismic gap hypothesis because M. Wyss argued that the occurrence of the M 7. 9, 1986, Andreanof Islands earthquake was a confirmation of Reid's rebound theory of earthquakes and thus of the time predictable version of the gap hypothesis, whereas Y. Kagan believed he could negate this view by presenting a list of nine earthquake pairs with M> 7. 4, moment centroid separation of less than 100 km, and time difference less than about 60% of the time he estimated it would take plate motions to restore the slip of the first event.

Author : Mustapha Meghraoui,Narasimman Sundararajan,Santanu Banerjee,Klaus-G. Hinzen,Mehdi Eshagh,François Roure,Helder I. Chaminé,Said Maouche,André Michard
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 643 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2022-04-21
Category : Science
ISBN : 9783030730260

Get Book

Advances in Geophysics, Tectonics and Petroleum Geosciences by Mustapha Meghraoui,Narasimman Sundararajan,Santanu Banerjee,Klaus-G. Hinzen,Mehdi Eshagh,François Roure,Helder I. Chaminé,Said Maouche,André Michard Pdf

This edited book is based on the best papers accepted for presentation during the 2nd Springer Conference of the Arabian Journal of Geosciences (CAJG-2), Tunisia, in 2019. It is of interest to all researchers practicing geophysics/seismology, structural, and petroleum geology. With four sections spanning a large spectrum of geological and geophysical topics with particular reference to Middle East, Mediterranean region, and Africa, this book presents a series of research methods that are nowadays in use for measuring, quantifying, and analyzing several geological domains. It starts with a subsection dedicated to the latest research studies on seismic hazard and risk assessment in Africa presented during the 2019 IGCP-659 meeting organized alongside the CAJG-2. And, it includes new research studies on earthquake geodesy, seismotectonics, archeoseismology and active faulting, well logging methods, geodesy and exploration/theoretical geophysics, petroleum geochemistry, petroleum engineering, structural geology, basement architecture and potential data, tectonics and geodynamics, and thermicity, petroleum, and other georesources. The edited book gives insights into the fundamental questions that address the genesis and evolution of our planet, and this is based on data collection and experimental investigations under physical constitutive laws. These multidisciplinary approaches combined with the geodynamics of tectonic provinces and investigations of potential zones of natural resources (petroleum reservoirs) provide the basis for a more sustainability in the economic development.

Author : Anastasios A. Tsonis
Publisher : Springer
Page : 707 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 2017-10-13
Category : Science
ISBN : 9783319588957

Get Book

Advances in Nonlinear Geosciences by Anastasios A. Tsonis Pdf

Advances in Nonlinear Geosciences is a set of contributions from the participants of “30 Years of Nonlinear Dynamics” held July 3-8, 2016 in Rhodes, Greece as part of the Aegean Conferences, as well as from several other experts in the field who could not attend the meeting. The volume brings together up-to-date research from the atmospheric sciences, hydrology, geology, and other areas of geosciences and presents the new advances made in the last 10 years. Topics include chaos synchronization, topological data analysis, new insights on fractals, multifractals and stochasticity, climate dynamics, extreme events, complexity, and causality, among other topics.

Author : B. S. Daya Sagar,Qiuming Cheng,Jennifer McKinley,Frits Agterberg
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 1744 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2023-07-13
Category : Science
ISBN : 9783030850401

Get Book

Encyclopedia of Mathematical Geosciences by B. S. Daya Sagar,Qiuming Cheng,Jennifer McKinley,Frits Agterberg Pdf

The Encyclopedia of Mathematical Geosciences is a complete and authoritative reference work. It provides concise explanation on each term that is related to Mathematical Geosciences. Over 300 international scientists, each expert in their specialties, have written around 350 separate articles on different topics of mathematical geosciences including contributions on Artificial Intelligence, Big Data, Compositional Data Analysis, Geomathematics, Geostatistics, Geographical Information Science, Mathematical Morphology, Mathematical Petrology, Multifractals, Multiple Point Statistics, Spatial Data Science, Spatial Statistics, and Stochastic Process Modeling. Each topic incorporates cross-referencing to related articles, and also has its own reference list to lead the reader to essential articles within the published literature. The entries are arranged alphabetically, for easy access, and the subject and author indices are comprehensive and extensive.

Author : Vic Barnett
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 316 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2005-12-13
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780470026977

Get Book

Environmental Statistics by Vic Barnett Pdf

In modern society, we are ever more aware of the environmental issues we face, whether these relate to global warming, depletion of rivers and oceans, despoliation of forests, pollution of land, poor air quality, environmental health issues, etc. At the most fundamental level it is necessary to monitor what is happening in the environment – collecting data to describe the changing scene. More importantly, it is crucial to formally describe the environment with sound and validated models, and to analyse and interpret the data we obtain in order to take action. Environmental Statistics provides a broad overview of the statistical methodology used in the study of the environment, written in an accessible style by a leading authority on the subject. It serves as both a textbook for students of environmental statistics, as well as a comprehensive source of reference for anyone working in statistical investigation of environmental issues. Provides broad coverage of the methodology used in the statistical investigation of environmental issues. Covers a wide range of key topics, including sampling, methods for extreme data, outliers and robustness, relationship models and methods, time series, spatial analysis, and environmental standards. Includes many detailed practical and worked examples that illustrate the applications of statistical methods in environmental issues. Authored by a leading authority on environmental statistics.

Author : Max Wyss,Kunihiko Shimazaki,Akihiko Ito
Publisher : Birkhäuser
Page : 519 pages
File Size : 45,8 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Science
ISBN : 9783034886772

Get Book

Seismicity Patterns, their Statistical Significance and Physical Meaning by Max Wyss,Kunihiko Shimazaki,Akihiko Ito Pdf

204 Pure app!. geophys. , P. Reasenberg demonstrated that in Cascadia earthquakes are four times more likely to be foreshocks than in California. Many speakers emphasized the regional differences in all earthquake parameters, and it was generally understood that basic models of the earthquake occurrence must be modified for regional application. The idea that the focal mechanisms of foreshocks may differ from that of background activity was advocated by Y. Chen and identified by M. Ohtake as possibly the thus far most neglected property of foreshocks, in efforts to identify them. S. Matsumura proposed that focal mechanism patterns of small earthquakes may differ character istically near locked fault segments into which fault creep is advancing. Considerable discussion was devoted to the status of the seismic gap hypothesis because M. Wyss argued that the occurrence of the M 7. 9, 1986, Andreanof Islands earthquake was a confirmation of Reid's rebound theory of earthquakes and thus of the time predictable version of the gap hypothesis, whereas Y. Kagan believed he could negate this view by presenting a list of nine earthquake pairs with M> 7. 4, moment centroid separation of less than 100 km, and time difference less than about 60% of the time he estimated it would take plate motions to restore the slip of the first event.