The Art Of Decision Making

Author : Joseph Bikart
Publisher : Watkins Media Limited
Page : 275 pages
File Size : 47,8 Mb
Release : 2019-07-09
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781786782960

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The Art of Decision Making by Joseph Bikart Pdf

Drawing insights from philosophy, psychology, literature, and theology, a longtime executive business coach explores how and why we make the decisions we do What is it that makes some of us better—or worse—than others at committing to a choice? What are the forces that hold us back, and how can we successfully overcome them? Every facet of our lives depends on the decisions we make. Yet, how often do we pause to reflect on our ability to make the best and smartest choices? The key is how we confront and refine the decision-making process. Here, Joseph Bikart explores the intricacies of decision making, challenging us to understand why we make the choices we do. He explores how the true power of decisions, especially the toughest among them, help us to face our fears and may in turn change how we think about ourselves. Breaking his study into four clear parts and short practical essays, Bikart presents a lively and compelling exploration of the process of decision making. He covers: • Indecision, Indecision: What makes us indecisive? What holds us back and why? • Where Art Thou?: How and where we get stuck and the importance of relaxing one's grip. • The Momentum of Decisiveness: Keeping our focus and proactivity. • The Deciding Mind: Making our smartest choices. Drawing from such different fields as philosophy, psychology, neurology, literature, art history and theology, The Art of Decision Making takes us on a journey from the depths of procrastination to the elation of decision making. Presenting a fresh perspective on what to do at the proverbial fork in the road, Bikart's unique philosophy is insightful, thought provoking, and potentially life-changing.

Author : Morton Davis
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 99 pages
File Size : 43,5 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781461210740

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The Art of Decision-Making by Morton Davis Pdf

Suppose you had the chance to invest in a venture that succeeds half the time. When you fail you lose your in vestment; when you succeed you make a profit of$1.60 for every $1.00 you invest. The odds are 8 to 5 in your favor and you should do well-casinos and insurance companies thrive under less favorable conditions. If you can invest as much as you like, as often as you like, using a betting system that guarantees you can't go broke, common sense suggests you will almost certainly make aprofitafteryou make a large numberofinvestments. In response to yourrequest for a hot stock yourastrologer tells you ABC Inc. will triple in a year (she's really a fraud and picked the stock at random). But since such stocks are rare (one in athousand) you consultan expert and, strangely enough, he confirms the astrologer. From experience you know that the expert diagnoses all stocks, good and bad, correctly, 90% of the time. Common sense suggests you have an excellent chance of tripling your money. You are chairman of acommittee ofthree. Decisions are made by majority rule but if there is no majority your vote as chairman breaks ties. Common sense suggests you will inevitably have more power to determine the outcome than the other members.

Author : Chris Blake
Publisher : FT Press
Page : 274 pages
File Size : 42,7 Mb
Release : 2010
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780137017102

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The Art of Decisions by Chris Blake Pdf

The Fast-Paced, Fun-to-Read Guide to Making Better Decisions! How much information do you really need to make a business decision? Why don't past winners keep on winning? When should you fold your hand, and when should you press on? In The Art of Decisions, Chris Blake reveals the amazing hidden realities beneath human decision making-and helps you optimize every decision you make. Blake begins by exploding the #1 myth of decision making: the idea that if you have enough knowledge, you can engineer away all risk and make a rational, objective decision that's nearly guaranteed to succeed. Next, Blake turns to the decision-making process itself, teaching better ways to make decisions in a world full of uncertainty, randomness, and tough luck. Drawing on the secrets of psychology, poker, and probability, you'll learn how to identify and overcome biases and errors that constantly creep into the decision-making process. You'll discover the power and pitfalls of intuition in familiar and unfamiliar environments and learn "rules of thumb" drawn from fields as diverse as gambling and computer programming. You're human. You'll never be perfect. But if you want to be right more often, when it matters most, this book will get you there. * Decision-making lessons from Texas Hold'em What to do about the risks and randomness you can't eliminate * Follow your instinct or follow the rules? When to use your intuition--and when to doubt it * Know when it's time to decide How to know when you know enough * Make better decisions in unfamiliar environments Hire a guide or make a map?

Author : Tim Castle
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 190 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 2020-03-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1913036286

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The Art of Decision Making by Tim Castle Pdf

Making good decisions quickly is what marks out truly great leaders from the rest of us. Decision-making is one of the most sought-after skills today, but most of us have never been taught, but one most of us have never been taught. Aged 19, I went off-piste snowboarding, way before I had the skills or experience to do so, and very quickly found myself hurtling towards the edge of a cliff face on sheet ice. Within minutes, I was literally hanging onto a boulder for dear life, with my legs dangling over the precipice. Every single decision I made over the next few hours was life or death. There were no easy choices. Each right decision could be undone by a wrong one, and I was very aware of how close I was to death the whole time: the cold, the wind, the fading light, the fact no one knew where I was, the fact I had no food or water on me. That day, my brain worked overtime to keep me alive. What I learned has actually been a enabled me to approach decisions in all areas of my life with ease In addition to sharing my story with you, I will also explore 6 of the best decision-making models, as well as teach you how to maintain the mindset of a master decision-maker. After reading this book, you'll find making good decisions quick and easy and will no longer waste time stressing over them or avoid stepping up to make them.

Author : Pankaj Garg
Publisher : Notion Press
Page : 123 pages
File Size : 55,9 Mb
Release : 2020-01-10
Category : Self-Help
ISBN : 9781647607418

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Decisions by Pankaj Garg Pdf

“We make decisions, but decisions make our life.” All of us need to make decisions that may be major or minor. One good decision can work wonders and dramatically change our lives forever. Similarly, one bad decision can prove disastrous and make life horrible. So ultimately, our life is a sum total of the decisions we make. This highlights the fact that decision making is the most important thing we do throughout our lives. If the decision making process is so vital, then shouldn’t an all-out effort be made to improve this process? Surprisingly and unfortunately, most of us never try to do so! There must be ways and methods to improve the process of decision making. There must be a way to standardize the process of decision making so that the chances of error are minimized. Can we learn this art and teach it to our children? There is very little literature available on this topic. Decisions is a book that is all about mastering the art of decision making by understanding and standardizing its concepts.

Author : John D. Arnold
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 210 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 1978
Category : Decision making
ISBN : OCLC:1259484487

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The Art of Decision Making by John D. Arnold Pdf

Author : Sirshree
Publisher : WOW PUBLISHINGS PVT LTD
Page : 96 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2020-05-21
Category : Self-Help
ISBN : 9788184156874

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Mastering The Art Of Decision Making by Sirshree Pdf

Making Conscious Decisions We all are constantly making choices every moment of our lives. And it is our choices that determine the quality of our lives. It is the decisions that we make at every juncture that carve our future. If our decisions can shape our lives, are we even conscious of how we make decisions - whether trivial or major? What is the basis for our decision? Are our present choices influenced by our past? Or are we open to fresh insights that can enable more effective decisions for a contented present and brighter future? It is a Startling truth that most people do not make conscious decisions. They allow situations, people or their own past to decide for them. This book provides insights into the key considerations and qualities that can help you make more conscious and balanced decisions. You will discover ways of accessing your intuition to seek guidance from the Source of all answers within you. It explains the art of handling conflicts creatively and making the highest choices when faced with the most crucial challenges in life. Decide and read this book to help yourself decide better in life!

Author : David A. Welch
Publisher : Prometheus Books
Page : 296 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 2009-12-02
Category : Self-Help
ISBN : 9781615921522

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Decisions, Decisions by David A. Welch Pdf

You''re tempted to accept a promising job offer in another city, but moving would entail considerable sacrifice on the part of your family. What should you do? Your elderly mother can no longer take care of herself but she doesn''t get along with your husband and dreads the prospect of moving into a nursing home. What is the solution? Whether you are faced with decisions momentous or trivial, how you go about resolving everyday dilemmas will definitely affect your level of satisfaction in life. In this engrossing and entertaining guide, David Welch, who has studied the decision-making process at the highest levels, shows how both the science and the art of decision-making are essential to us all. Welch lays out nine steps to effective decision-making and then demonstrates how to apply these steps to real-world situations. He gives readers the intellectual tools to assess their strengths and weaknesses and stresses that self-knowledge is critical for making the right decisions. This enjoyable, clearly written guide will enable decision-makers at every level to find the best possible solution for dilemmas both big and small.

Author : Peter Hollins
Publisher : Pkcs Media, Incorporated
Page : 208 pages
File Size : 43,5 Mb
Release : 2021-05-16
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1647432839

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The Art of Strategic Decision-Making by Peter Hollins Pdf

verwhelmed and paralyzed by your choices? Learn how to get it right the first time - improve your analysis, judgment, and intuition. Unfortunately, you can't just rely on your gut instinct or "hunch" when you make decisions. There's a science to improving your critical thinking, weighing pros and cons, and avoiding the traps that take you down the wrong path. Make smart decisions by catching your brain's built-in flaws. The Art of Strategic Decision-Making will teach you to seize control of your life and make sure your decisions aren't making you. This book cites years of research and scientific studies about what constitutes a great decision and the factors that will inevitably lead you there. It is an in-depth look at human nature and psychology and why we make decisions in the way we do - for better or for worse. This book is packed with theory, but it is all practical and actionable. Use these mental models and pieces of analysis on your decisions TODAY. Think more quickly and more thoroughly - at the same time. Peter Hollins has studied psychology and the human condition for over a dozen years. This book contains tactics pulled from his personal experience, as well as some of the most famous studies in decision theory and social psychology to help you make snap decisions. Beat analysis paralysis and eliminate indecision. -Learn your subconscious motivations, needs, and desires that hijack your brain. -Discover the surprising causes and cures for decision fatigue. -Over 10 of the most dangerous cognitive biases and decision traps. -How to make your pros and cons lists incredibly useful and illuminating. -The 6 Hats Method of intelligent decisions and how you can inhabit different perspectives. -The WRAP method of planning for failure in decisions. -How to think outside the box and creatively solve problems.

Author : Pawel Motyl
Publisher : Page Two
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2019-04-16
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781989025314

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Labyrinth by Pawel Motyl Pdf

"We live in rapidly changing times, and only those who are willing and able to adapt to those changes will not only survive but actually thrive. That means being prepared to recognize and change how we make decisions. In Labyrinth, author Paweł Motyl draws on twenty-plus years of business experience and rigorous research to present an in-depth analysis of the processes we use for making decisions in both everyday contexts and crisis situations that will ultimately guide readers to make conscious, proactive decisions rather than just reacting to events and circumstances, or relying on tried and tested methods that may no longer be relevant in a particular circumstance. In this engaging narrative, Motyl showcases his fifteen rules for effective decision-making and explains different types of decision-making processes and the most appropriate circumstances in which to use-or avoid-each of them. Illustrated with a series of case studies as diverse as the Cuban missile crisis, the Apollo 13 rescue mission, and the ill-fated Daimler-Chrysler merger, he identifies the strengths and weaknesses of decisions made at various points in the process-and the innovative approaches behind many solutions to apparently insurmountable problems. While many of his examples are drawn from "black swan" situations, the learnings from this book are equally applicable to less dramatic scenarios. Whether you apply the lessons in Labyrinth to work or your personal life, you'll come away from this book enlightened and inspired to reassess your approach to decision-making."--

Author : Thomas N. Martin
Publisher : Springer
Page : 185 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2016-04-29
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781137537003

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Smart Decisions by Thomas N. Martin Pdf

Today's world is complex and getting more so each day. Huge multinational corporations, international crisis and fast breaking events require most people to make decisions on a daily basis without the tools to understand the long term impact that today's decision might create. Because most people have never really been trained in how to make important complex decisions most people rely on experience, and 'gut reaction' which is okay for many decisions, but not okay for decision that will have meaningful impact on organizations and individual. Decision makers need to develop the art and science of strategic decision making. Here, Professor Thomas Martin explains the need for decision makers to modify their thinking about how they deal with acquiring and analyzing information in each of the decision-making process steps. This approach requiring thinking modification will lengthen the process, make it more complex, and to some more arduous, but the comprehensiveness of the new thinking approach should lead to improved and more effective decision making. In this book, Dr. Martin presents a thinking modification framework that asserts that in the decision-making process, there are three situational states — a current state, future state, and a transitional state that one must deliberate in finding a solution. For each of these situational states, Martin develops an identical five-step process to determine the best decision to make. The steps of this process include: • Change-Needing Situational Analysis • Challenge Framing & Causal Analysis • Generating Solution Ideas • Choosing a Solution Set • Implementation and Aftermath Planning This book will appeal to decision makers, leaders, and students of management who want a specific framework that details the process behind making strategic, well-informed decisions.

Author : Bruce L. Golden,Edward A. Wasil,Patrick T. Harker
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 273 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783642502446

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The Analytic Hierarchy Process by Bruce L. Golden,Edward A. Wasil,Patrick T. Harker Pdf

Management science is a di scipl ine dedicated to the development of techniques that enable decision makers to cope with the increasing complexity of our world. The early burst of excitement which was spawned by the development and successful applications of linear programming to problems in both the public and private sectors has challenged researchers to develop even more sophisticated methods to deal with the complex nature of decision making. Sophistication, however, does not always trans 1 ate into more complex mathematics. Professor Thomas L. Saaty was working for the U. S. Defense Department and for the U. S. Department of State in the late 1960s and early 1970s. In these positions, Professor Saaty was exposed to some of the most complex decisions facing the world: arms control, the Middle East problem, and the development of a transport system for a Third World country. While having made major contributions to numerous areas of mathematics and the theory of operations research, he soon realized that one did not need complex mathematics to come to grips with these decision problems, just the right mathematics! Thus, Professor Saaty set out to develop a mathematically-based technique for analyzing complex situations which was sophisticated in its simplicity. This technique became known as the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and has become very successful in helping decision makers to structure and analyze a wide range of problems.

Author : Howard Raiffa
Publisher : Harvard University Press
Page : 567 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 2007-03-31
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780674024144

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Negotiation Analysis by Howard Raiffa Pdf

This masterly book substantially extends Howard Raiffa’s earlier classic, The Art and Science of Negotiation. It does so by incorporating three additional supporting strands of inquiry: individual decision analysis, judgmental decision making, and game theory. Each strand is introduced and used in analyzing negotiations. The book starts by considering how analytically minded parties can generate joint gains and distribute them equitably by negotiating with full, open, truthful exchanges. The book then examines models that disengage step by step from that ideal. It also shows how a neutral outsider (intervenor) can help all negotiators by providing joint, neutral analysis of their problem. Although analytical in its approach—building from simple hypothetical examples—the book can be understood by those with only a high school background in mathematics. It therefore will have a broad relevance for both the theory and practice of negotiation analysis as it is applied to disputes that range from those between family members, business partners, and business competitors to those involving labor and management, environmentalists and developers, and nations.

Author : Mathur
Publisher : Prentice Hall
Page : 352 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 1994
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0130751286

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Management Science by Mathur Pdf

Author : John Adair
Publisher : Bloomsbury Publishing
Page : 225 pages
File Size : 49,7 Mb
Release : 2020-07-09
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781472980717

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The Art of Judgment by John Adair Pdf

An essential guide for any business leader looking to hone, develop and master the art of judgment. The success of any organization or individual depends upon making good decisions, arrived at through the use of a sound judgment. Too often, this elusive characteristic has been misperceived as an unchangeable, entrenched element of our character, over which we have little control. In fact, judgment is an art – one that can be honed, developed and mastered. In The Art of Judgment, John Adair draws upon his decades of experience and expertise to provide a practical and fascinating insight into how you can harness the full potential of your judgment. These in-depth methods are summarised in 10 key principles, which include: - Thinking to Some Purpose - Experience – the Seedbed - Truth – the Leading Star - How to Share Decisions - The Role of Values With the divisiveness of public discourse and the complexities of modern business, it is more difficult than ever to be sure that you're making the right decision. Adair provides a clear pathway to improving your judgment, beginning with an exploration of the machinations behind decision-making, before demonstrating how you can develop a stronger understanding and control of your judgment. This is an essential companion for any business leader interested in making the best decisions, whether personal or for their organization. Good judgment is the secret behind any success, and also has the potential to accelerate one's own career. This book provides insight, expertise and inspiration for anyone looking to cultivate and develop their art of judgment.