The Book Of Risks

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The Book of Risks

Author : Larry Laudan
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 254 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 1994-10-17
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : STANFORD:36105023048874

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The Book of Risks by Larry Laudan Pdf

Did you know that your chances of dying of rabies this year are less than your chances of being hit by a falling airplane? Guaranteed to pique your curiosity and open your eyes about life's myriad perils, this book takes a lighthearted look at the risks we face every day, providing hours of astonishing information. Sidebars and graphs.

Managing Project Risks

Author : Peter J. Edwards,Paulo Vaz Serra,Michael Edwards
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 436 pages
File Size : 54,6 Mb
Release : 2019-08-13
Category : Architecture
ISBN : 9781119489733

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Managing Project Risks by Peter J. Edwards,Paulo Vaz Serra,Michael Edwards Pdf

A comprehensive overview of project risk management, providing guidance on implementing and improving project risk management systems in organizations This book provides a comprehensive overview of project risk management. Besides offering an easy-to-follow, yet systematic approach to project risk management, it also introduces topics which have an important bearing on how risks are managed but which are generally not found in other books, including risk knowledge management, cultural risk-shaping, project complexity, political risks, and strategic risk management. Many new concepts about risk management are introduced. Diagrams and tables, together with project examples and case studies, illustrate the authors’ precepts and ideas. Each chapter in Managing Project Risks begins with an introduction to its topic and ends with a summary. The book starts by providing an understanding and overview of risk and continues with coverage of projects and project stakeholders. Ensuing chapters look at project risk management processes, contexts and risk drivers, identification, assessment and evaluation, response and treatment options, and risk monitoring and control. One chapter focuses entirely on risk knowledge management. Others explore the cultural shaping of risk, political risk in projects, computer applications, and more. The book finishes by examining the current state and potential future of project risk management. In essence, this book: Effectively communicates a conceptual and philosophical understanding of risk Establishes the nature of projects and the stakeholders involved in them Presents a systematic and logically progressive approach to the processes of project risk management Demonstrates how to recognize the drivers of project risks and the factors which shape them Emphasizes the importance of capturing and exploiting project risk knowledge Provides guidance about implementing and building (or improving) project risk management systems in organizations Managing Project Risks will benefit practitioners and students of project management across a wide range of industries and professions.

Getting Risk Right

Author : Geoffrey C. Kabat
Publisher : Columbia University Press
Page : 405 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2016-11-22
Category : Medical
ISBN : 9780231542852

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Getting Risk Right by Geoffrey C. Kabat Pdf

Do cell phones cause brain cancer? Does BPA threaten our health? How safe are certain dietary supplements, especially those containing exotic herbs or small amounts of toxic substances? Is the HPV vaccine safe? We depend on science and medicine as never before, yet there is widespread misinformation and confusion, amplified by the media, regarding what influences our health. In Getting Risk Right, Geoffrey C. Kabat shows how science works—and sometimes doesn't—and what separates these two very different outcomes. Kabat seeks to help us distinguish between claims that are supported by solid science and those that are the result of poorly designed or misinterpreted studies. By exploring different examples, he explains why certain risks are worth worrying about, while others are not. He emphasizes the variable quality of research in contested areas of health risks, as well as the professional, political, and methodological factors that can distort the research process. Drawing on recent systematic critiques of biomedical research and on insights from behavioral psychology, Getting Risk Right examines factors both internal and external to the science that can influence what results get attention and how questionable results can be used to support a particular narrative concerning an alleged public health threat. In this book, Kabat provides a much-needed antidote to what has been called "an epidemic of false claims."

Risk

Author : Dan Gardner
Publisher : McClelland & Stewart
Page : 416 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 2009-02-24
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781551992105

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Risk by Dan Gardner Pdf

In the tradition of Malcolm Gladwell, Gardner explores a new way of thinking about the decisions we make. We are the safest and healthiest human beings who ever lived, and yet irrational fear is growing, with deadly consequences — such as the 1,595 Americans killed when they made the mistake of switching from planes to cars after September 11. In part, this irrationality is caused by those — politicians, activists, and the media — who promote fear for their own gain. Culture also matters. But a more fundamental cause is human psychology. Working with risk science pioneer Paul Slovic, author Dan Gardner sets out to explain in a compulsively readable fashion just what that statement above means as to how we make decisions and run our lives. We learn that the brain has not one but two systems to analyze risk. One is primitive, unconscious, and intuitive. The other is conscious and rational. The two systems often agree, but occasionally they come to very different conclusions. When that happens, we can find ourselves worrying about what the statistics tell us is a trivial threat — terrorism, child abduction, cancer caused by chemical pollution — or shrugging off serious risks like obesity and smoking. Gladwell told us about “the black box” of our brains; Gardner takes us inside, helping us to understand how to deconstruct the information we’re bombarded with and respond more logically and adaptively to our world. Risk is cutting-edge reading.

Danger Ahead

Author : Larry Laudan
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 228 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 1997-09-22
Category : Social Science
ISBN : NWU:35556029730074

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Danger Ahead by Larry Laudan Pdf

Larry Laudan takes a fresh look at the risks and odds we all face every day. This time out, the author of the popular Book of Risks has compiled an astonishing assortment of surprising statistics - and sometimes startling truths - about the way things really are. Find out how reducing one risk may actually increase another, how to determine the odds of something actually happening to you, how you can avoid the most common risks, and much more!

Managing Risk in Organizations

Author : J. Davidson Frame
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 288 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2003-08-05
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780787972646

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Managing Risk in Organizations by J. Davidson Frame Pdf

Managing Risk in Organizations offers a proven framework for handling risks across all types of organizations. In this comprehensive resource, David Frame—a leading expert in risk management—examines the risks routinely encountered in business, offers prescriptions to assess the effects of various risks, and shows how to develop effective strategies to cope with risks. In addition, the book is filled with practical tools and techniques used by professional risk practitioners that can be readily applied by project managers, financial managers, and any manager or consultant who deals with risk within an organization. Managing Risk in Organizations is filled with illustrative case studies and Outlines the various types of risk—pure, operational, project, technical, business, and political Reveals what risk management can and cannot accomplish Shows how to organize risk management efforts to conduct risk assessments, manage crises, and recover from disasters Includes a systematic risk management processrisk management planning, risk identification, qualitative impact analysis, quantitative impact analysis, risk response planning, and monitoring control Provides quantitative and qualitative tools to identify and handle risks This much-needed book will enable organizations to take risk seriously and act proactively.

Calculated Risks

Author : Gerd Gigerenzer
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
Page : 375 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2015-11-10
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781439127094

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Calculated Risks by Gerd Gigerenzer Pdf

At the beginning of the twentieth century, H. G. Wells predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. But in the twenty-first century, we are often overwhelmed by a baffling array of percentages and probabilities as we try to navigate in a world dominated by statistics. Cognitive scientist Gerd Gigerenzer says that because we haven't learned statistical thinking, we don't understand risk and uncertainty. In order to assess risk -- everything from the risk of an automobile accident to the certainty or uncertainty of some common medical screening tests -- we need a basic understanding of statistics. Astonishingly, doctors and lawyers don't understand risk any better than anyone else. Gigerenzer reports a study in which doctors were told the results of breast cancer screenings and then were asked to explain the risks of contracting breast cancer to a woman who received a positive result from a screening. The actual risk was small because the test gives many false positives. But nearly every physician in the study overstated the risk. Yet many people will have to make important health decisions based on such information and the interpretation of that information by their doctors. Gigerenzer explains that a major obstacle to our understanding of numbers is that we live with an illusion of certainty. Many of us believe that HIV tests, DNA fingerprinting, and the growing number of genetic tests are absolutely certain. But even DNA evidence can produce spurious matches. We cling to our illusion of certainty because the medical industry, insurance companies, investment advisers, and election campaigns have become purveyors of certainty, marketing it like a commodity. To avoid confusion, says Gigerenzer, we should rely on more understandable representations of risk, such as absolute risks. For example, it is said that a mammography screening reduces the risk of breast cancer by 25 percent. But in absolute risks, that means that out of every 1,000 women who do not participate in screening, 4 will die; while out of 1,000 women who do, 3 will die. A 25 percent risk reduction sounds much more significant than a benefit that 1 out of 1,000 women will reap. This eye-opening book explains how we can overcome our ignorance of numbers and better understand the risks we may be taking with our money, our health, and our lives.

Bow Ties in Risk Management

Author : CCPS (Center for Chemical Process Safety)
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 224 pages
File Size : 48,9 Mb
Release : 2018-10-09
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781119490395

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Bow Ties in Risk Management by CCPS (Center for Chemical Process Safety) Pdf

AN AUTHORITATIVE GUIDE THAT EXPLAINS THE EFFECTIVENESS AND IMPLEMENTATION OF BOW TIE ANALYSIS, A QUALITATIVE RISK ASSESSMENT AND BARRIER MANAGEMENT METHODOLOGY From a collaborative effort of the Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) and the Energy Institute (EI) comes an invaluable book that puts the focus on a specific qualitative risk management methodology – bow tie barrier analysis. The book contains practical advice for conducting an effective bow tie analysis and offers guidance for creating bow tie diagrams for process safety and risk management. Bow Ties in Risk Management clearly shows how bow tie analysis and diagrams fit into an overall process safety and risk management framework. Implementing the methods outlined in this book will improve the quality of bow tie analysis and bow tie diagrams across an organization and the industry. This important guide: Explains the proven concept of bow tie barrier analysis for the preventing and mitigation of incident pathways, especially related to major accidents Shows how to avoid common pitfalls and is filled with real-world examples Explains the practical application of the bow tie method throughout an organization Reveals how to treat human and organizational factors in a sound and practical manner Includes additional material available online Although this book is written primarily for anyone involved with or responsible for managing process safety risks, this book is applicable to anyone using bow tie risk management practices in other safety and environmental or Enterprise Risk Management applications. It is designed for a wide audience, from beginners with little to no background in barrier management, to experienced professionals who may already be familiar with bow ties, their elements, the methodology, and their relation to risk management. The missions of both the CCPS and EI include developing and disseminating knowledge, skills, and good practices to protect people, property and the environment by bringing the best knowledge and practices to industry, academia, governments and the public around the world through collective wisdom, tools, training and expertise. The CCPS has been at the forefront of documenting and sharing important process safety risk assessment methodologies for more than 30 years. The EI's Technical Work Program addresses the depth and breadth of the energy sector, from fuels and fuels distribution to health and safety, sustainability and the environment. The EI program provides cost-effective, value-adding knowledge on key current and future international issues affecting those in the energy sector.

The Risk Mitigation Handbook

Author : Kit Sadgrove
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
Page : 248 pages
File Size : 50,6 Mb
Release : 2016-11-18
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781317085300

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The Risk Mitigation Handbook by Kit Sadgrove Pdf

Disruption, over-regulation and cyber threats are typical of the major risks that management has to cope with. But until now there hasn’t been a formula to contain them. In The Risk Mitigation Handbook, Kit Sadgrove provides practical and actionable steps you can take to minimise the threats to your business. With over 160 checklists and a wealth of revealing case studies, this is the first book to recommend detailed action plans. After reviewing each risk, the author provides a list of measurable tactics necessary to neutralise the threat. The book lists a comprehensive range of risks that organisations face today, with a special emphasis on business strategy, security and people management. Sadgrove also takes a sharp look at how to reduce the risk of operational failure, supply chain weakness and regulatory compliance. Unlike previous books on enterprise risk, The Risk Mitigation Handbook sets out detailed solutions rather than generic risk management theories. The book has been carefully edited to provide fast information for the busy senior manager. Stripped back to the bare essentials, The Risk Mitigation Handbook gives the reader bullet points and strategies that give you the information you need to mitigate hundreds of risks.

Taking Smart Risks: How Sharp Leaders Win When Stakes are High

Author : Doug Sundheim
Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
Page : 256 pages
File Size : 50,5 Mb
Release : 2013-01-04
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780071778206

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Taking Smart Risks: How Sharp Leaders Win When Stakes are High by Doug Sundheim Pdf

In today’s market, playing it safe is not an option Lead your company to sustainable success by taking the RIGHT RISKS The business world is in flux, and you have to think and act quickly in order to stay competitive. But the last thing you want to do is make reckless business decisions. You have to find the middle ground. You have to take SMART RISKS. In this groundbreaking book, leadership expert Doug Sundheim explains how to find that precise point between comfort and danger for generating the sustained ability to work at the highest level of performance. Taking Smart Risks reveals the secrets to discovering, planning for, and acting upon the kind of risks that will move your company forward and ahead of the competition. Learn how to: Find Something Worth Fighting For—What do you care enough about to risk time, energy, and money to try to make happen? Determining this is half the battle. See the Future Now—Clarify your big idea in terms of real objectives, plans, and intended results. Act Fast, Learn Fast—Make your move quickly, but be sure you don’t squander valuable resources in the process. Communicate Powerfully—Assume communication will break down at points, plan accordingly—and don’t shy away from the tough conversations. Create a Smart Risk Culture— Build teams that share the same mindsets and values about expected smart risk behavior. Applying Sundheim’s advice will help you let go of old assumptions, explore new possibilities, move your organization out of its comfort zone, and experience long-term success. When you take smart risks, you will create. You will innovate. You will grow. And you will WIN. “From Sherwin Williams to Moo.com, Doug Sundheim is onto something here: your work is worth fighting for. A worthy read for everyone in your organization.” —Seth Godin, Author, The Icarus Deception “The risk-taking concepts in this book lie at the heart of effective leadership. Using case studies and stories from executives who have ‘been there, done that,’ Doug Sundheim teaches us that sometimes the most dangerous thing to do—in business and life—is to play it safe.” —Marshall Goldsmith, million-selling author of the New York Times bestsellers MOJO and What Got You Here Won’t Get You There “Sundheim delivers a message that every business needs to hear right now: excessive risk will kill you, but so will complacency. . . . If you’re charged with driving growth in your organization, buy this book—but more importantly, use it.” —Jed Hartman, Group Publisher, Fortune & CNNMoney.com “A spectacular book! The stories were powerful, the advice was crystal clear, and every few pages called me to action. I have bookmarked more pages in Taking Smart Risks than I have in any book since reading Peter Drucker’s classics.” —Michael Hejtmanek, President & CEO, Hasselblad Bron Inc. “Doug Sundheim does an excellent job of demonstrating not only how to take smart risks, but also how to lead the process of risk-taking—a critical skill set for leaders today.” —Cindy Zollinger, President & CEO, Cornerstone Research “A compelling case for why smart risk taking is so important in today’s fast-paced, uncertain world.” —Willie Pietersen, Professor, Columbia Business School; former CEO, Tropicana and Seagram USA

Taking Risks

Author : Kenneth R. Maccrimmon,Donald Wehrung,W. T. Stanbury
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
Page : 404 pages
File Size : 46,8 Mb
Release : 1988-09-19
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780029195635

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Taking Risks by Kenneth R. Maccrimmon,Donald Wehrung,W. T. Stanbury Pdf

Offers tests designed to measure one's willingness to take risks, describes characteristics associated with this quality, and discusses the importance of risk-taking in management and investment situations.

ACCEPTABLE RISKS

Author : Jonathan Kwitny
Publisher : Simon & Schuster
Page : 476 pages
File Size : 50,5 Mb
Release : 1992-10-01
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 0671732447

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ACCEPTABLE RISKS by Jonathan Kwitny Pdf

The story of two men who changed government policy on experimental drugs for the dying; an indictment of the bureaucrats, doctors, scientists, and corporations that trade life for profit.

Risks, Identities and the Everyday

Author : Julie Scott Jones,Jayne Raisborough
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 152 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2016-04-08
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781317062677

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Risks, Identities and the Everyday by Julie Scott Jones,Jayne Raisborough Pdf

Risks, Identities and the Everyday focuses on the individual and the lived experience of everyday risks - a departure from the focus on risk from a macro level. The contributors look at risk and how perceptions of risk, risk taking, and risk assessment increasingly dominate our everyday lives and explore it in a variety of settings not previously associated with risk theory, including: plastic surgery, teenage sub-cultures, ageing and independent travel. The volume moves risk away from abstract theorising about what people may or may not fear about risks, to focus on how it actually materialises and operates in everyday 'real' social interactions and contexts. It also interrogates the rational self at the heart of macro social theories by thinking through the construction of risk choices and the socio-cultural dynamics that 'present' some risks as acceptable, appropriate and necessary.

Global Catastrophic Risks

Author : Nick Bostrom,Milan M. Cirkovic
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 577 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2011-09-29
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780199606504

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Global Catastrophic Risks by Nick Bostrom,Milan M. Cirkovic Pdf

A Global Catastrophic Risk is one that has the potential to inflict serious damage to human well-being on a global scale. This book focuses on such risks arising from natural catastrophes (Earth-based or beyond), nuclear war, terrorism, biological weapons, totalitarianism, advanced nanotechnology, artificial intelligence and social collapse.

Risk Management

Author : Antonio Borghesi,Barbara Gaudenzi
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 139 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2012-10-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9788847025301

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Risk Management by Antonio Borghesi,Barbara Gaudenzi Pdf

Businesses now operate amid a welter of risks that exist at various levels, both inside companies and at the network level. This handbook provides the latest integrated managerial approaches that help protect businesses from adverse events and their effects.