The Challenges Of Uncertainty

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The Politics of Uncertainty

Ian Scoones,Andy Stirling
The Politics of Uncertainty Book PDF

Author : Ian Scoones,Andy Stirling
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 280 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2020-07-14
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781000163407

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The Politics of Uncertainty by Ian Scoones,Andy Stirling Pdf

Why is uncertainty so important to politics today? To explore the underlying reasons, issues and challenges, this book’s chapters address finance and banking, insurance, technology regulation and critical infrastructures, as well as climate change, infectious disease responses, natural disasters, migration, crime and security and spirituality and religion. The book argues that uncertainties must be understood as complex constructions of knowledge, materiality, experience, embodiment and practice. Examining in particular how uncertainties are experienced in contexts of marginalisation and precarity, this book shows how sustainability and development are not just technical issues, but depend deeply on political values and choices. What burgeoning uncertainties require lies less in escalating efforts at control, but more in a new – more collective, mutualistic and convivial – politics of responsibility and care. If hopes of much-needed progressive transformation are to be realised, then currently blinkered understandings of uncertainty need to be met with renewed democratic struggle. Written in an accessible style and illustrated by multiple case studies from across the world, this book will appeal to a wide cross-disciplinary audience in fields ranging from economics to law to science studies to sociology to anthropology and geography, as well as professionals working in risk management, disaster risk reduction, emergencies and wider public policy fields.

The Challenges of Uncertainty

Jeremy Robbins
The Challenges of Uncertainty Book PDF

Author : Jeremy Robbins
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
Page : 168 pages
File Size : 54,5 Mb
Release : 1998
Category : Literary Criticism
ISBN : 0847693287

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The Challenges of Uncertainty by Jeremy Robbins Pdf

This original and lucidly written book introduces the reader to the Baroque, the richest period of Spanish literature and culture. Jeremy Robbins shows how its creativity responded directly to the unprecedented sense of uncertainty fostered by developments across Europe. He argues that it was above all this scepticism which led Spaniards to employ literature and art to question the boundaries of reality and illusion. The result was the creation of some of the most inventive, entertaining, challenging and powerful works of imagination in Europe. Currently there exists no other concise introduction to Spanish Baroque literature and culture. The book considers in detail works by the major novelists, dramatists, poets and painters. Part of its novel approach is the attention the author gives to key issues such as honour and identity, the influence of social and literary institutions like the court and the church, and the place of women as both creators and consumers of culture. It also considers neglected literary forms, such as the aphorism and the emblem, as well as the immensely popular and influential political and moral writings of the day. A comprehensive glossary to major and minor figures is included.

The Handbook of Applied Communication Research

H. Dan O'Hair,Mary John O'Hair
The Handbook of Applied Communication Research Book PDF

Author : H. Dan O'Hair,Mary John O'Hair
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 1100 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 2020-04-24
Category : Language Arts & Disciplines
ISBN : 9781119399872

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The Handbook of Applied Communication Research by H. Dan O'Hair,Mary John O'Hair Pdf

An authoritative survey of different contexts, methodologies, and theories of applied communication The field of Applied Communication Research (ACR) has made substantial progress over the past five decades in studying communication problems, and in making contributions to help solve them. Changes in society, human relationships, climate and the environment, and digital media have presented myriad contexts in which to apply communication theory. The Handbook of Applied Communication Research addresses a wide array of contemporary communication issues, their research implications in various contexts, and the challenges and opportunities for using communication to manage problems. This innovative work brings together the diverse perspectives of a team of notable international scholars from across disciplines. The Handbook of Applied Communication Research includes discussion and analysis spread across two comprehensive volumes. Volume one introduces ACR, explores what is possible in the field, and examines theoretical perspectives, organizational communication, risk and crisis communication, and media, data, design, and technology. The second volume focuses on real-world communication topics such as health and education communication, legal, ethical, and policy issues, and volunteerism, social justice, and communication activism. Each chapter addresses a specific issue or concern, and discusses the choices faced by participants in the communication process. This important contribution to communication research: Explores how various communication contexts are best approached Addresses balancing scientific findings with social and cultural issues Discusses how and to what extent media can mitigate the effects of adverse events Features original findings from ongoing research programs and original communication models and frameworks Presents the best available research and insights on where current research and best practices should move in the future A major addition to the body of knowledge in the field, The Handbook of Applied Communication Research is an invaluable work for advanced undergraduate students, graduate students, and scholars.

Uncertainty and Challenges in Contemporary Economic Behaviour

Ercan Özen,Simon Grima
Uncertainty and Challenges in Contemporary Economic Behaviour Book PDF

Author : Ercan Özen,Simon Grima
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
Page : 235 pages
File Size : 48,5 Mb
Release : 2020-09-25
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781800430976

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Uncertainty and Challenges in Contemporary Economic Behaviour by Ercan Özen,Simon Grima Pdf

Every day presents new challenges as the face of global economics changes. In this first book in the Emerald Studies in Finance, Insurance, and Risk Management, expert editors and contributors come together to discuss global response to new uncertainty and challenges.

Mathematics of Uncertainty for Coping with World Challenges

John N. Mordeson,Sunil Mathew
Mathematics of Uncertainty for Coping with World Challenges Book PDF

Author : John N. Mordeson,Sunil Mathew
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 209 pages
File Size : 51,7 Mb
Release : 2021-02-23
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9783030686840

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Mathematics of Uncertainty for Coping with World Challenges by John N. Mordeson,Sunil Mathew Pdf

This book ranks countries with respect to their achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals and their vulnerability to climate change. Human livelihoods, stable economies, health, and high quality of life all depend on a stable climate and earth system, and a diversity of species and ecosystems. Climate change significantly impacts human trafficking, modern slavery, and global hunger. This book examines these global problems using techniques from mathematics of uncertainty. Since accurate data concerning human trafficking and modern slavery is impossible to obtain, mathematics of uncertainty is an ideal discipline to study these problems. The book also considers the interconnection between climate change, world hunger, human trafficking, modern slavery, and the coronavirus. Connectivity properties of fuzzy graphs are used to examine trafficking flow between regions in the world. The book is an excellent reference source for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in mathematics and the social sciences as well as for researchers and teachers.

Clinical Uncertainty in Primary Care

Lucia Siegel Sommers,John Launer
Clinical Uncertainty in Primary Care Book PDF

Author : Lucia Siegel Sommers,John Launer
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 311 pages
File Size : 44,7 Mb
Release : 2013-07-05
Category : Medical
ISBN : 9781461468127

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Clinical Uncertainty in Primary Care by Lucia Siegel Sommers,John Launer Pdf

The Power of Colleagues What happens when primary care clinicians meet together on set aside time in their practice settings to talk about their own patients? .....Complimenting quality metrics or performance measures through discussing the actual stories of individual patients and their clinician-patient relationships In these settings, how can clinicians pool their collective experience and apply that to ‘the evidence’ for an individual patient? .....Especially for patients who do not fit the standard protocols and have vague and worrisome symptoms, poor response to treatment, unpredictable disease courses, and/or compromised abilities for shared decision making What follows when discussion about individual patients reveals system-wide service gaps and coordination limitations? .....Particularly for patients with complex clinical problems that fall outside performance monitors and quality screens How can collaborative engagement of case-based uncertainties with one’s colleagues help combat the loneliness and helplessness that PCPs can experience, no matter what model or setting in which they practice? .....And where they are expected to practice coordinated, evidence-based, EMR-directed care These questions inspired Lucia Sommers and John Launer and their international contributors to explore the power of colleagues in “Clinical Uncertainty in Primary Care: The Challenge of Collaborative Engagement” and offer antidotes to sub-optimal care that can result when clinicians go it alone. From the Foreword: “Lucia Sommers and John Launer, with the accompanying input of their contributing authors, have done a deeply insightful and close-to-exhaustive job of defining clinical uncertainty. They identify its origins, components and subtypes; demonstrate the ways in which and the extent to which it is intrinsic to medicine...and they present a cogent case for its special relationship to primary care practice...‘Clinical Uncertainty in Primary Care’ not only presents a model of collegial collaboration and support, it also implicitly legitimates it.’’ Renee Fox, Annenberg Professor Emerita of the Social Sciences, University of Pennsylvania.

Risk and Uncertainty in a Post-Truth Society

Sander van der Linden,Ragnar E. Löfstedt
Risk and Uncertainty in a Post Truth Society Book PDF

Author : Sander van der Linden,Ragnar E. Löfstedt
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 80 pages
File Size : 43,5 Mb
Release : 2019-06-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781000022926

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Risk and Uncertainty in a Post-Truth Society by Sander van der Linden,Ragnar E. Löfstedt Pdf

This edited volume looks at whether it is possible to be more transparent about uncertainty in scientific evidence without undermining public understanding and trust. With contributions from leading experts in the field, this book explores the communication of risk and decision-making in an increasingly post-truth world. Drawing on case studies from climate change to genetic testing, the authors argue for better quality evidence synthesis to cut through the noise and highlight the need for more structured public dialogue. For uncertainty in scientific evidence to be communicated effectively, they conclude that trustworthiness is vital: the data and methods underlying statistics must be transparent, valid, and sound, and the numbers need to demonstrate practical utility and add social value to people’s lives. Presenting a conceptual framework to help navigate the reader through the key social and scientific challenges of a post-truth era, this book will be of great relevance to students, scholars, and policy makers with an interest in risk analysis and communication.

Comfortable with Uncertainty

Pema Chödrön
Comfortable with Uncertainty Book PDF

Author : Pema Chödrön
Publisher : Shambhala Publications
Page : 255 pages
File Size : 55,9 Mb
Release : 2008
Category : Body, Mind & Spirit
ISBN : 9781590305553

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Comfortable with Uncertainty by Pema Chödrön Pdf

Tibetan Buddhist nun Pema Chodron offers short, stand-alone readings designed to help readers cultivate compassion and awareness amid the challenges of daily living.

Managing Uncertainty

Michel Syrett,Marion Devine,The Economist
Managing Uncertainty Book PDF

Author : Michel Syrett,Marion Devine,The Economist
Publisher : The Economist
Page : 170 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 2014-02-25
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781610395137

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Managing Uncertainty by Michel Syrett,Marion Devine,The Economist Pdf

Managing uncertainty has become a new business imperative. Technological discontinuities, regulatory upheavals, geopolitical shocks, abrupt shifts in consumer tastes or behavior, and many other factors have emerged or intensified in recent years and together conspire to undermine even the most carefully constructed business strategies. Managing Uncertainty: Strategies for Surviving and Thriving in Turbulent Times addresses these new challenges, assessing the sources of business turbulence, how to classify uncertainty, and the different ways in which uncertainty can be embraced to allow greater innovation and growth. Drawing on examples from around the world, the book presents the most recent ideas on what it means to manage uncertainty, from practitioners, academics, and consultants. • Addresses the challenges of managing uncertainty in business • Presents a step-by-step guide to managing business uncertainty • Draws examples from major international companies, including Intel, Procter & Gamble, Siemens, Boeing, Quinetiq, Philips, China Telecom, Ford, Apple, Shell, Glaxo SmithKline and many more Written for business leaders and managers looking for new ways to ensure that their businesses continue to thrive in a world of increasing complexity, Managing Uncertainty presents new and innovative ideas about reducing risk by understanding difficult-to-predict shifts.

Climate Change in the Media

James Painter
Climate Change in the Media Book PDF

Author : James Painter
Publisher : Bloomsbury Publishing
Page : 152 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2013-08-19
Category : Language Arts & Disciplines
ISBN : 9780857733856

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Climate Change in the Media by James Painter Pdf

Scientists and politicians are increasingly using the language of risk to describe the climate change challenge. Some researchers have argued that stressing the 'risks' posed by climate change rather than the 'uncertainties' can create a more helpful context for policy makers and a stronger response from the public. However, understanding the concepts of risk and uncertainty - and how to communicate them - is a hotly debated issue. In this book, James Painter analyses how the international media present these and other narratives surrounding climate change. He focuses on the coverage of reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and of the melting ice of the Arctic Sea, and includes six countries: Australia, France, India, Norway, the UK and the USA.

Inequality and Uncertainty

Marta Smagacz-Poziemska,M. Victoria Gómez,Patrícia Pereira,Laura Guarino,Sebastian Kurtenbach,Juan José Villalón
Inequality and Uncertainty Book PDF

Author : Marta Smagacz-Poziemska,M. Victoria Gómez,Patrícia Pereira,Laura Guarino,Sebastian Kurtenbach,Juan José Villalón
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 336 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2019-11-13
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9789813291621

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Inequality and Uncertainty by Marta Smagacz-Poziemska,M. Victoria Gómez,Patrícia Pereira,Laura Guarino,Sebastian Kurtenbach,Juan José Villalón Pdf

It is not possible to ignore the fact that cities are not only moving, vibrant and flourishing spaces, promising hope for better quality of life, but that they also accumulate and reflect significant problems. This book explores the relational and dynamic nature of urban inequalities, including their visible and invisible forms. By using the rather elusive term of ‘uncertainty’, the authors zoom in on specific aspects of urban inequalities that are difficult to measure, yet are acutely sensed and experienced by people and, more and more often, perceived as unfair. Here, in the recognition of inequalities as unjust and in the disagreement with the status quo, lies a positive aspect of uncertainty, which can lead to a social awakening and more active citizenship.

Beautiful Uncertainty

Mandy Hale
Beautiful Uncertainty Book PDF

Author : Mandy Hale
Publisher : Thomas Nelson
Page : 224 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2016-02-02
Category : Religion
ISBN : 9780718076122

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Beautiful Uncertainty by Mandy Hale Pdf

To seek, pursue, and fall in love with Jesus with radical abandon. Single Woman Mandy Hale shares with readers what can happen in their lives by praying this powerful prayer. She has shown women how important it is to be secure in singleness by being smart, strong, and independent. In this all new book, she will prompt readers to never settle and not miss out on the beauty that can be found in times of “waiting.” The Single Woman Says: “Whether you’re idling in stubborn sinfulness or walking in seeming never-ending singleness or living with any sort of waiting: Waiting for love, waiting for babies, waiting for marriage, waiting for a cure, or a miracle, or a sign, or for GOD . . . I hope my journey will make the wait a little easier and the uncertainty a little bit more beautiful.” Starting with relationships, but going beyond into areas like career, friendships, and life, Mandy will guide readers through what you can achieve if you look beyond your current circumstances, never settle for less than what God has for you, and find beauty in the waiting.

Natural Hazard Uncertainty Assessment

Karin Riley,Peter Webley,Matthew Thompson
Natural Hazard Uncertainty Assessment Book PDF

Author : Karin Riley,Peter Webley,Matthew Thompson
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 356 pages
File Size : 55,7 Mb
Release : 2016-12-12
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781119027867

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Natural Hazard Uncertainty Assessment by Karin Riley,Peter Webley,Matthew Thompson Pdf

Uncertainties are pervasive in natural hazards, and it is crucial to develop robust and meaningful approaches to characterize and communicate uncertainties to inform modeling efforts. In this monograph we provide a broad, cross-disciplinary overview of issues relating to uncertainties faced in natural hazard and risk assessment. We introduce some basic tenets of uncertainty analysis, discuss issues related to communication and decision support, and offer numerous examples of analyses and modeling approaches that vary by context and scope. Contributors include scientists from across the full breath of the natural hazard scientific community, from those in real-time analysis of natural hazards to those in the research community from academia and government. Key themes and highlights include: Substantial breadth and depth of analysis in terms of the types of natural hazards addressed, the disciplinary perspectives represented, and the number of studies included Targeted, application-centered analyses with a focus on development and use of modeling techniques to address various sources of uncertainty Emphasis on the impacts of climate change on natural hazard processes and outcomes Recommendations for cross-disciplinary and science transfer across natural hazard sciences This volume will be an excellent resource for those interested in the current work on uncertainty classification/quantification and will document common and emergent research themes to allow all to learn from each other and build a more connected but still diverse and ever growing community of scientists. Read an interview with the editors to find out more: https://eos.org/editors-vox/reducing-uncertainty-in-hazard-prediction

Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Mykel J. Kochenderfer
Decision Making Under Uncertainty Book PDF

Author : Mykel J. Kochenderfer
Publisher : MIT Press
Page : 350 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2015-07-24
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9780262331715

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Decision Making Under Uncertainty by Mykel J. Kochenderfer Pdf

An introduction to decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective, covering both theory and applications ranging from speech recognition to airborne collision avoidance. Many important problems involve decision making under uncertainty—that is, choosing actions based on often imperfect observations, with unknown outcomes. Designers of automated decision support systems must take into account the various sources of uncertainty while balancing the multiple objectives of the system. This book provides an introduction to the challenges of decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective. It presents both the theory behind decision making models and algorithms and a collection of example applications that range from speech recognition to aircraft collision avoidance. Focusing on two methods for designing decision agents, planning and reinforcement learning, the book covers probabilistic models, introducing Bayesian networks as a graphical model that captures probabilistic relationships between variables; utility theory as a framework for understanding optimal decision making under uncertainty; Markov decision processes as a method for modeling sequential problems; model uncertainty; state uncertainty; and cooperative decision making involving multiple interacting agents. A series of applications shows how the theoretical concepts can be applied to systems for attribute-based person search, speech applications, collision avoidance, and unmanned aircraft persistent surveillance. Decision Making Under Uncertainty unifies research from different communities using consistent notation, and is accessible to students and researchers across engineering disciplines who have some prior exposure to probability theory and calculus. It can be used as a text for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in fields including computer science, aerospace and electrical engineering, and management science. It will also be a valuable professional reference for researchers in a variety of disciplines.

Uncertainty and Context in Giscience and Geography

Yongwan Chun,Mei-Po Kwan,Daniel A. Griffith
Uncertainty and Context in Giscience and Geography Book PDF

Author : Yongwan Chun,Mei-Po Kwan,Daniel A. Griffith
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2023-09-25
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 0367643006

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Uncertainty and Context in Giscience and Geography by Yongwan Chun,Mei-Po Kwan,Daniel A. Griffith Pdf

This book illustrates how cutting-edge research explores recent advances in this area, and will serve as a useful point of departure for GIScientists to conceive new approaches and solutions for addressing these challenges in future research.