The Fundamental Determinants Of Credit Default Risk For European Large Complex Financial Institutions

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The Fundamental Determinants of Credit Default Risk for European Large Complex Financial Institutions

Author : Jiri Podpiera,Ms.Inci Ötker
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 33 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 2010-06-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781455201365

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The Fundamental Determinants of Credit Default Risk for European Large Complex Financial Institutions by Jiri Podpiera,Ms.Inci Ötker Pdf

This paper attempts to identify the fundamental variables that drive the credit default swaps during the initial phase of distress in selected European Large Complex Financial Institutions (LCFIs). It uses yearly data over 2004 - 08 for 29 European LCFIs. The results from a dynamic panel data estimator show that LCFIs’ business models, earnings potential, and economic uncertainty (represented by market expectations about the future risks of a particular LCFI and market views on prospects for economic growth) are among the most significant determinants of credit risk. The findings of the paper are broadly consistent with those of the literature on bank failure, where the determinants of the latter include the entire CAMELS structure - that is, Capital Adequacy, Asset Quality, Management Quality, Earnings Potential, Liquidity, and Sensitivity to Market Risk. By establishing a link between the financial and market fundamentals of LCFIs and their CDS spreads, the paper offers a potential tool for fundamentals-based vulnerability and early warning system for LCFIs.

Credit Risk Management

Author : Tony Van Gestel,Bart Baesens
Publisher : OUP Oxford
Page : 552 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 2008-10-23
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780191609305

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Credit Risk Management by Tony Van Gestel,Bart Baesens Pdf

Credit Risk Management: Basic Concepts is the first book of a series of three with the objective of providing an overview of all aspects, steps, and issues that should be considered when undertaking credit risk management, including the Basel II Capital Accord, which all major banks must comply with in 2008. The introduction of the recently suggested Basel II Capital Accord has raised many issues and concerns about how to appropriately manage credit risk. Managing credit risk is one of the next big challenges facing financial institutions. The importance and relevance of efficiently managing credit risk is evident from the huge investments that many financial institutions are making in this area, the booming credit industry in emerging economies (e.g. Brazil, China, India, ...), the many events (courses, seminars, workshops, ...) that are being organised on this topic, and the emergence of new academic journals and magazines in the field (e.g. Journal of Credit Risk, Journal of Risk Model Validation, Journal of Risk Management in Financial Institutions, ...). Basic Concepts provides the introduction to the concepts, techniques, and practical examples to guide both young and experienced practitioners and academics in the fascinating, but complex world of risk modelling. Financial risk management, an area of increasing importance with the recent Basel II developments, is discussed in terms of practical business impact and the increasing profitability competition, laying the foundation for books II and III.

Determinants of Credit Spreads of Financial Institutions

Author : Anonim
Publisher : GRIN Verlag
Page : 98 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2015-10-19
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783668069305

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Determinants of Credit Spreads of Financial Institutions by Anonim Pdf

Master's Thesis from the year 2013 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,0, Catholic University Eichstätt-Ingolstadt (Lehrstuhl für Finanzierung und Banken), language: English, abstract: In the recent years global credit institutions were characterized by instabilities, consolidations and high levels of distress, with the industry strongly depending on governmental support to avoid a full economical collapse initiated by the unexpected default of Lehman Brothers. As a consequence of the strong state interferences as well as the implicit and explicit governmental guarantees in the midyear of 2010 the Global Financial Crisis turned into a Sovereign Debt Crisis in the peripheral Eurozone, especially for the so-called PIIGS countries (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain). Consequently, global banks show a high level of interdependencies with their sovereigns and have been the most discussed industry in global economical markets during the last years. In such periods it is particularly important to understand the drivers of the credit risks within the financial industry. Therefore, the main purpose of this study is to explore the determinants of the credit risk for the global banking universe and to investigate these determinants for robustness during high volatile and structurally changing market environments. ...

The Handbook of Credit Risk Management

Author : Sylvain Bouteille,Diane Coogan-Pushner
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 44 pages
File Size : 55,7 Mb
Release : 2012-12-07
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781118421468

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The Handbook of Credit Risk Management by Sylvain Bouteille,Diane Coogan-Pushner Pdf

A comprehensive guide to credit risk management The Handbook of Credit Risk Management presents a comprehensive overview of the practice of credit risk management for a large institution. It is a guide for professionals and students wanting a deeper understanding of how to manage credit exposures. The Handbook provides a detailed roadmap for managing beyond the financial analysis of individual transactions and counterparties. Written in a straightforward and accessible style, the authors outline how to manage a portfolio of credit exposures--from origination and assessment of credit fundamentals to hedging and pricing. The Handbook is relevant for corporations, pension funds, endowments, asset managers, banks and insurance companies alike. Covers the four essential aspects of credit risk management: Origination, Credit Risk Assessment, Portfolio Management and Risk Transfer. Provides ample references to and examples of credit market services as a resource for those readers having credit risk responsibilities. Designed for busy professionals as well as finance, risk management and MBA students. As financial transactions grow more complex, proactive management of credit portfolios is no longer optional for an institution, but a matter of survival.

Credit Default Swaps

Author : Marti Subrahmanyam,Patrick Augustin,Dragon Yongjun Tang
Publisher : Now Publishers
Page : 150 pages
File Size : 51,8 Mb
Release : 2014-12-19
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1601989008

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Credit Default Swaps by Marti Subrahmanyam,Patrick Augustin,Dragon Yongjun Tang Pdf

Credit Default Swaps: A Survey is the most comprehensive review of all major research domains involving credit default swaps (CDS). CDS have been growing in importance in the global financial markets. However, their role has been hotly debated, in industry and academia, particularly since the credit crisis of 2007-2009. The authors review the extant literature on CDS that has accumulated over the past two decades and divide the survey into seven topics after providing a broad overview in the introduction. The second section traces the historical development of CDS markets and provides an introduction to CDS contract definitions and conventions. The third section discusses the pricing of CDS, from the perspective of no-arbitrage principles, structural, and reduced-form credit risk models. It also summarizes the literature on the determinants of CDS spreads, with a focus on the role of fundamental credit risk factors, liquidity and counterparty risk. The fourth section discusses how the development of the CDS market has affected the characteristics of the bond and equity markets, with an emphasis on market efficiency, price discovery, information flow, and liquidity. Attention is also paid to the CDS-bond basis, the wedge between the pricing of the CDS and its reference bond, and the mispricing between the CDS and the equity market. The fifth section examines the effect of CDS trading on firms' credit and bankruptcy risk, and how it affects corporate financial policy, including bond issuance, capital structure, liquidity management, and corporate governance. The sixth section analyzes how CDS impact the economic incentives of financial intermediaries. The seventh section reviews the growing literature on sovereign CDS and highlights the major differences between the sovereign and corporate CDS markets. The eighth section discusses CDS indices, especially the role of synthetic CDS index products backed by residential mortgage-backed securities during the financial crisis. The authors close with our suggestions for promising future research directions on CDS contracts and markets.

Advanced Credit Risk Analysis

Author : Didier Cossin,Hugues Pirotte
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 384 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2001
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : STANFORD:36105119804347

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Advanced Credit Risk Analysis by Didier Cossin,Hugues Pirotte Pdf

Advanced Credit Analysis presents the latest and most advanced modelling techniques in the theory and practice of credit risk pricing and management. The book stresses the logic of theoretical models from the structural and the reduced-form kind, their applications and extensions. It shows the mathematical models that help determine optimal collateralisation and marking-to-market policies. It looks at modern credit risk management tools and the current structuring techniques available with credit derivatives.

Credit Ratings

Author : Michael K. Ong
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 576 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2002
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : IND:30000094766312

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Credit Ratings by Michael K. Ong Pdf

The only title that combines discussion and analysis on the methodologies employed by the major rating agencies together with those actually implemented internally by credit practitioners from financial institutions.

Finance and Investment

Author : Colin P. Mayer,Stefano Micossi,Marco Onado,Marco Pagano,Andrea Polo
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 425 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2018
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780198815815

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Finance and Investment by Colin P. Mayer,Stefano Micossi,Marco Onado,Marco Pagano,Andrea Polo Pdf

Bringing together leading researchers from around the world, Finance and Investment considers the causes for the persistently low level of investment in Europe, examining the extent to which the financial system is a contributory factor and identifying possible remedies.

IMF Research Bulletin, September 2010

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 12 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 2010-09-30
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781455243143

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IMF Research Bulletin, September 2010 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

This paper analyzes transmission of the great recession from advanced to emerging economies. The widespread impact of the global financial crisis of 2008–09 has spurred researchers to examine how the associated recession was transmitted from advanced to emerging economies. Recent IMF studies have found that precrisis vulnerabilities such as large current account deficits, rapid credit growth, and high levels of short-term debt were strongly associated with the magnitude of spillovers. Trade, bank lending, and financial markets served as key transmission channels.

Bank Size and Systemic Risk

Author : Mr.Luc Laeven,Mr.Lev Ratnovski,Mr.Hui Tong
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 34 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2014-05-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484363720

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Bank Size and Systemic Risk by Mr.Luc Laeven,Mr.Lev Ratnovski,Mr.Hui Tong Pdf

The proposed SDN documents the evolution of bank size and activities over the past 20 years. It discusses whether this evolution can be explained by economies of scale or “too big to fail” subsidies. The paper then presents evidence on the extent to which bank size and market-based activities contribute to systemic risk. The paper concludes with policy messages in the area of capital regulation and activity restrictions to reduce the systemic risk posed by large banks. The analysis of the paper complements earlier Fund work, including SDN 13/04 and the recent GFSR chapter on “too big to fail” subsidies, and its policy message is in line with this earlier work.

Revisiting Risk-Weighted Assets

Author : Vanessa Le Leslé,Ms.Sofiya Avramova
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 50 pages
File Size : 42,5 Mb
Release : 2012-03-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475502657

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Revisiting Risk-Weighted Assets by Vanessa Le Leslé,Ms.Sofiya Avramova Pdf

In this paper, we provide an overview of the concerns surrounding the variations in the calculation of risk-weighted assets (RWAs) across banks and jurisdictions and how this might undermine the Basel III capital adequacy framework. We discuss the key drivers behind the differences in these calculations, drawing upon a sample of systemically important banks from Europe, North America, and Asia Pacific. We then discuss a range of policy options that could be explored to fix the actual and perceived problems with RWAs, and improve the use of risk-sensitive capital ratios.

The Credit Risk Transfer Market and Stability Implications for U.K. Financial Institutions

Author : Li L. Ong,Jorge A. Chan-Lau
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 32 pages
File Size : 46,8 Mb
Release : 2006-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : UCSD:31822034387860

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The Credit Risk Transfer Market and Stability Implications for U.K. Financial Institutions by Li L. Ong,Jorge A. Chan-Lau Pdf

The increasing ability to trade credit risk in financial markets has facilitated its dispersion across the financial and other sectors. However, specific risks attached to credit risk transfer (CRT) instruments in a market with still-limited liquidity means that its rapid expansion may actually pose problems for financial sector stability in the event of a major negative shock to credit markets. This paper attempts to quantify the exposure of major U.K. financial groups to credit derivatives, by applying a vector autoregression (VAR) model to publicly available market prices. Our results indicate that use of credit derivatives does not pose a substantial threat to financial sector stability in the United Kingdom. Exposures across major financial institutions appear sufficiently diversified to limit the impact of any shock to the market, while major insurance companies are largely exposed to the "safer" senior tranches.

The Risks of Financial Institutions

Author : Mark Carey,René M. Stulz
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 670 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2007-11-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780226092980

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The Risks of Financial Institutions by Mark Carey,René M. Stulz Pdf

Until about twenty years ago, the consensus view on the cause of financial-system distress was fairly simple: a run on one bank could easily turn to a panic involving runs on all banks, destroying some and disrupting the financial system. Since then, however, a series of events—such as emerging-market debt crises, bond-market meltdowns, and the Long-Term Capital Management episode—has forced a rethinking of the risks facing financial institutions and the tools available to measure and manage these risks. The Risks of Financial Institutions examines the various risks affecting financial institutions and explores a variety of methods to help institutions and regulators more accurately measure and forecast risk. The contributors--from academic institutions, regulatory organizations, and banking--bring a wide range of perspectives and experience to the issue. The result is a volume that points a way forward to greater financial stability and better risk management of financial institutions.

Creating a Safer Financial System

Author : José Vinãls,Ceyla Pazarbasioglu,Jay Surti,Aditya Narain,Mrs.Michaela Erbenova,Mr.Julian T. S. Chow
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 27 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2013-05-14
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484340943

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Creating a Safer Financial System by José Vinãls,Ceyla Pazarbasioglu,Jay Surti,Aditya Narain,Mrs.Michaela Erbenova,Mr.Julian T. S. Chow Pdf

The U.S., the U.K., and more recently, the E.U., have proposed policy measures directly targeting complexity and business structures of banks. Unlike other, price-based reforms (e.g., Basel 3 and G-SIFI surcharges), these proposals have been developed unilaterally with material differences in scope, design and implementation schedules. This may exacerbate cross-border regulatory arbitrage and put a further burden on consolidated supervision and cross-border resolution. This paper provides an analysis of the potential implications of implementing different structural policy measures. It proposes a pragmatic and coordinated approach to development of these policies to reduce risk of regulatory arbitrage and minimize unintended consequences. In doing so, it also aims to identify a set of common policy measures that countries could adopt to re-scope bank business models and corporate structures.