The Monte Carlo Simulation Method For System Reliability And Risk Analysis

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The Monte Carlo Simulation Method for System Reliability and Risk Analysis

Author : Enrico Zio
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 204 pages
File Size : 51,8 Mb
Release : 2012-11-02
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781447145882

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The Monte Carlo Simulation Method for System Reliability and Risk Analysis by Enrico Zio Pdf

Monte Carlo simulation is one of the best tools for performing realistic analysis of complex systems as it allows most of the limiting assumptions on system behavior to be relaxed. The Monte Carlo Simulation Method for System Reliability and Risk Analysis comprehensively illustrates the Monte Carlo simulation method and its application to reliability and system engineering. Readers are given a sound understanding of the fundamentals of Monte Carlo sampling and simulation and its application for realistic system modeling. Whilst many of the topics rely on a high-level understanding of calculus, probability and statistics, simple academic examples will be provided in support to the explanation of the theoretical foundations to facilitate comprehension of the subject matter. Case studies will be introduced to provide the practical value of the most advanced techniques. This detailed approach makes The Monte Carlo Simulation Method for System Reliability and Risk Analysis a key reference for senior undergraduate and graduate students as well as researchers and practitioners. It provides a powerful tool for all those involved in system analysis for reliability, maintenance and risk evaluations.

Computational Methods for Reliability and Risk Analysis

Author : Enrico Zio
Publisher : World Scientific Publishing Company
Page : 364 pages
File Size : 48,9 Mb
Release : 2009-01-22
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9789813107427

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Computational Methods for Reliability and Risk Analysis by Enrico Zio Pdf

This book illustrates a number of modelling and computational techniques for addressing relevant issues in reliability and risk analysis. In particular, it provides: i) a basic illustration of some methods used in reliability and risk analysis for modelling the stochastic failure and repair behaviour of systems, e.g. the Markov and Monte Carlo simulation methods; ii) an introduction to Genetic Algorithms, tailored to their application for RAMS (Reliability, Availability, Maintainability and Safety) optimization; iii) an introduction to key issues of system reliability and risk analysis, like dependent failures and importance measures; and iv) a presentation of the issue of uncertainty and of the techniques of sensitivity and uncertainty analysis used in support of reliability and risk analysis. The book provides a technical basis for senior undergraduate or graduate courses and a reference for researchers and practitioners in the field of reliability and risk analysis. Several practical examples are included to demonstrate the application of the concepts and techniques in practice. This book is also available as a set with An Introduction to the Basics of Reliability and Risk Analysis and Basics of Reliability and Risk Analysis. Foreword Foreword (64k) Sample Chapter(s) Chapter 1: Markov Reliability and Availability Analysis (1,181k) Request Inspection Copy

System Reliability Assessment and Optimization

Author : Yan-Fu Li,Enrico Zio
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 276 pages
File Size : 42,5 Mb
Release : 2022-06-01
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781119265863

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System Reliability Assessment and Optimization by Yan-Fu Li,Enrico Zio Pdf

This book offers a comprehensive overview of recently developed methods for assessing and optimizing system reliability. It consists of two main parts, for treating assessment methods and optimization methods, respectively. The first part covers methods of multi-state system reliability modelling and evaluation, Markov processes, Monte Carlo simulation and uncertainty analysis. The methods considered range from piecewise-deterministic Markov processes to belief function analysis. The second part covers optimization methods of mathematical programming and evolutionary algorithms, and problems of multi-objective optimization and optimization under uncertainty. The methods of this part range from non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm to robust optimization. The book also includes the application of the assessment and optimization methods considered on real case studies, particularly with respect to the reliability assessment and optimization of renewable energy systems, and bridges the gap between theoretical method development and engineering practice.

Simulation Methods for Reliability and Availability of Complex Systems

Author : Javier Faulin,Angel A. Juan,Sebastián Salvador Martorell Alsina,Jose Emmanuel Ramirez-Marquez
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 316 pages
File Size : 53,9 Mb
Release : 2010-04-22
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781848822139

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Simulation Methods for Reliability and Availability of Complex Systems by Javier Faulin,Angel A. Juan,Sebastián Salvador Martorell Alsina,Jose Emmanuel Ramirez-Marquez Pdf

Simulation Methods for Reliability and Availability of Complex Systems discusses the use of computer simulation-based techniques and algorithms to determine reliability and availability (R and A) levels in complex systems. The book: shares theoretical or applied models and decision support systems that make use of simulation to estimate and to improve system R and A levels, forecasts emerging technologies and trends in the use of computer simulation for R and A and proposes hybrid approaches to the development of efficient methodologies designed to solve R and A-related problems in real-life systems. Dealing with practical issues, Simulation Methods for Reliability and Availability of Complex Systems is designed to support managers and system engineers in the improvement of R and A, as well as providing a thorough exploration of the techniques and algorithms available for researchers, and for advanced undergraduate and postgraduate students.

Probabilistic Structural Mechanics Handbook

Author : C.R. Sundararajan
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 756 pages
File Size : 47,9 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781461517719

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Probabilistic Structural Mechanics Handbook by C.R. Sundararajan Pdf

The need for a comprehensive book on probabilistic structural mechanics that brings together the many analytical and computational methods developed over the years and their applications in a wide spectrum of industries-from residential buildings to nuclear power plants, from bridges to pressure vessels, from steel structures to ceramic structures-became evident from the many discussions the editor had with practising engineers, researchers and professors. Because no single individual has the expertise to write a book with such a di.verse scope, a group of 39 authors from universities, research laboratories, and industries from six countries in three continents was invited to write 30 chapters covering the various aspects of probabilistic structural mechanics. The editor and the authors believe that this handbook will serve as a reference text to practicing engineers, teachers, students and researchers. It may also be used as a textbook for graduate-level courses in probabilistic structural mechanics. The editor wishes to thank the chapter authors for their contributions. This handbook would not have been a reality without their collaboration.

System Reliability Assessment and Optimization

Author : Yan-Fu Li,Enrico Zio
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 276 pages
File Size : 48,5 Mb
Release : 2022-06-07
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781119265870

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System Reliability Assessment and Optimization by Yan-Fu Li,Enrico Zio Pdf

This book is a comprehensive overview of the recently developed methods for assessing and optimizing system reliability and safety. It consists of two main parts, for assessment and optimization methods, respectively. The former covers multi-state system modelling and reliability evaluation, Markov processes, Monte Carlo simulation and uncertainty treatments under poor knowledge. The reviewed methods range from piecewise-deterministic Markov process to belief functions. The latter covers mathematical programs, evolutionary algorithms, multi-objective optimization and optimization under uncertainty. The reviewed methods range from non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm to robust optimization. This book also includes the applications of the assessment and optimization method on real world cases, particularly for the reliability and safety of renewable energy systems. From this point of view, the book bridges the gap between theoretical development and engineering practice.

Reliability and Risk Analysis

Author : Terje Aven
Publisher : Springer
Page : 368 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 1992-10-07
Category : Juvenile Nonfiction
ISBN : STANFORD:36105000113329

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Reliability and Risk Analysis by Terje Aven Pdf

Analysis of reliability and risk is an important and integral part of planning, construction and operation of all technical systems. To be able to perform such analyses systematically and scientifically, there is usually a need for special methods and models. This book presents the most important of these. Particular emphasis has been placed on the ideas and the motivation for the use of the various methods and models. It has been an objective to compile a book which provides practising engineers and engineering graduates with the concepts and basic techniques for evaluating reliability and risk. It is hoped that the material presented will make them so familiar with the subject that they can carry out various types of analyses themselves and understand and make use of the more detailed applications and additional material which is available in the journals and publications associated with their own discipline. It has also been an objective to put reliability and risk analyses in context - how such analyses should be used in design and operation of components and systems. The material presented is modern and a large part of the book is at research level. The book focuses on analysis of repairable systems, not only non-repairable systems which have traditionally been given most attention in textbooks on reliability theory. Since most real-life systems are repairable, methods for analysing repairable systems are an important area of research. The book presents general methods, with most applications taken from offshore petro leum activities.

Nutritional Care of the Patient with Gastrointestinal Disease

Author : Alan L Buchman
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 3428 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2015-08-06
Category : Medical
ISBN : 9781138001237

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Nutritional Care of the Patient with Gastrointestinal Disease by Alan L Buchman Pdf

This evidence-based book serves as a clinical manual as well as a reference guide for the diagnosis and management of common nutritional issues in relation to gastrointestinal disease. Chapters cover nutrition assessment; macro- and micronutrient absorption; malabsorption; food allergies; prebiotics and dietary fiber; probiotics and intestinal microflora; nutrition and GI cancer; nutritional management of reflux; nutrition in IBS and IBD; nutrition in acute and chronic pancreatitis; enteral nutrition; parenteral nutrition; medical and endoscopic therapy of obesity; surgical therapy of obesity; pharmacologic nutrition, and nutritional counseling.

Structural Reliability Analysis and Prediction

Author : Robert E. Melchers,Andre T. Beck
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 530 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2018-04-02
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781119265993

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Structural Reliability Analysis and Prediction by Robert E. Melchers,Andre T. Beck Pdf

Structural Reliability Analysis and Prediction, Third Edition is a textbook which addresses the important issue of predicting the safety of structures at the design stage and also the safety of existing, perhaps deteriorating structures. Attention is focused on the development and definition of limit states such as serviceability and ultimate strength, the definition of failure and the various models which might be used to describe strength and loading. This book emphasises concepts and applications, built up from basic principles and avoids undue mathematical rigour. It presents an accessible and unified account of the theory and techniques for the analysis of the reliability of engineering structures using probability theory. This new edition has been updated to cover new developments and applications and a new chapter is included which covers structural optimization in the context of reliability analysis. New examples and end of chapter problems are also now included.

Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems

Author : Luca Podofillini,Bruno Sudret,Bozidar Stojadinovic,Enrico Zio,Wolfgang Kröger
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 730 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2015-09-03
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781315648415

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Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems by Luca Podofillini,Bruno Sudret,Bozidar Stojadinovic,Enrico Zio,Wolfgang Kröger Pdf

Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems contains the Proceedings of the 25th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2015, held 7-10 September 2015 in Zurich, Switzerland. It includes about 570 papers accepted for presentation at the conference. These contributions focus on theories and methods in the area of risk, safety and

Uncertainty in Risk Assessment

Author : Terje Aven,Piero Baraldi,Roger Flage,Enrico Zio
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 152 pages
File Size : 49,6 Mb
Release : 2013-12-17
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781118763063

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Uncertainty in Risk Assessment by Terje Aven,Piero Baraldi,Roger Flage,Enrico Zio Pdf

Explores methods for the representation and treatment of uncertainty in risk assessment In providing guidance for practical decision-making situations concerning high-consequence technologies (e.g., nuclear, oil and gas, transport, etc.), the theories and methods studied in Uncertainty in Risk Assessment have wide-ranging applications from engineering and medicine to environmental impacts and natural disasters, security, and financial risk management. The main focus, however, is on engineering applications. While requiring some fundamental background in risk assessment, as well as a basic knowledge of probability theory and statistics, Uncertainty in Risk Assessment can be read profitably by a broad audience of professionals in the field, including researchers and graduate students on courses within risk analysis, statistics, engineering, and the physical sciences. Uncertainty in Risk Assessment: Illustrates the need for seeing beyond probability to represent uncertainties in risk assessment contexts. Provides simple explanations (supported by straightforward numerical examples) of the meaning of different types of probabilities, including interval probabilities, and the fundamentals of possibility theory and evidence theory. Offers guidance on when to use probability and when to use an alternative representation of uncertainty. Presents and discusses methods for the representation and characterization of uncertainty in risk assessment. Uses examples to clearly illustrate ideas and concepts.

Reliability Engineering and Risk Analysis

Author : Mohammad Modarres,Mark P. Kaminskiy,Vasiliy Krivtsov
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 472 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2009-09-22
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781420008944

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Reliability Engineering and Risk Analysis by Mohammad Modarres,Mark P. Kaminskiy,Vasiliy Krivtsov Pdf

Tools to Proactively Predict Failure The prediction of failures involves uncertainty, and problems associated with failures are inherently probabilistic. Their solution requires optimal tools to analyze strength of evidence and understand failure events and processes to gauge confidence in a design’s reliability. Reliability Engineering and Risk Analysis: A Practical Guide, Second Edition has already introduced a generation of engineers to the practical methods and techniques used in reliability and risk studies applicable to numerous disciplines. Written for both practicing professionals and engineering students, this comprehensive overview of reliability and risk analysis techniques has been fully updated, expanded, and revised to meet current needs. It concentrates on reliability analysis of complex systems and their components and also presents basic risk analysis techniques. Since reliability analysis is a multi-disciplinary subject, the scope of this book applies to most engineering disciplines, and its content is primarily based on the materials used in undergraduate and graduate-level courses at the University of Maryland. This book has greatly benefited from its authors' industrial experience. It balances a mixture of basic theory and applications and presents a large number of examples to illustrate various technical subjects. A proven educational tool, this bestselling classic will serve anyone working on real-life failure analysis and prediction problems.

Reliability Modelling and Optimization of Warm Standby Systems

Author : Rui Peng,Qingqing Zhai,Jun Yang
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 166 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 2021-05-02
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9789811617928

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Reliability Modelling and Optimization of Warm Standby Systems by Rui Peng,Qingqing Zhai,Jun Yang Pdf

This book introduces the reliability modelling and optimization of warm standby systems. Warm standby is an attractive redundancy technique, as it consumes less energy than hot standby and switches into the active state faster than cold standby. Since a warm standby component experiences different failure rates in the standby state and active state, the reliability evaluation is challenging and the existing works are only restricted to very special cases. By adapting the decision diagrams, this book proposes the methodology to evaluate the reliability of different types of warm standby systems and studies the reliability optimization. Compared with existing works, the proposed methods allow the system to have an arbitrary number of components and allow the failure time distribution of components to observe arbitrary distributions. From this book, the readers can not only learn how to evaluate and optimize the reliability of warm standby systems but also use the methods to study the reliability of other complex systems.

Safety and Reliability. Theory and Applications

Author : Marko Cepin,Radim Bris
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 540 pages
File Size : 47,9 Mb
Release : 2017-06-14
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781351809726

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Safety and Reliability. Theory and Applications by Marko Cepin,Radim Bris Pdf

Safety and Reliability – Theory and Applications contains the contributions presented at the 27th European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2017, Portorož, Slovenia, June 18-22, 2017). The book covers a wide range of topics, including: • Accident and Incident modelling • Economic Analysis in Risk Management • Foundational Issues in Risk Assessment and Management • Human Factors and Human Reliability • Maintenance Modeling and Applications • Mathematical Methods in Reliability and Safety • Prognostics and System Health Management • Resilience Engineering • Risk Assessment • Risk Management • Simulation for Safety and Reliability Analysis • Structural Reliability • System Reliability, and • Uncertainty Analysis. Selected special sessions include contributions on: the Marie Skłodowska-Curie innovative training network in structural safety; risk approaches in insurance and fi nance sectors; dynamic reliability and probabilistic safety assessment; Bayesian and statistical methods, reliability data and testing; oganizational factors and safety culture; software reliability and safety; probabilistic methods applied to power systems; socio-technical-economic systems; advanced safety assessment methodologies: extended Probabilistic Safety Assessment; reliability; availability; maintainability and safety in railways: theory & practice; big data risk analysis and management, and model-based reliability and safety engineering. Safety and Reliability – Theory and Applications will be of interest to professionals and academics working in a wide range of industrial and governmental sectors including: Aeronautics and Aerospace, Automotive Engineering, Civil Engineering, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Energy Production and Distribution, Environmental Engineering, Information Technology and Telecommunications, Critical Infrastructures, Insurance and Finance, Manufacturing, Marine Industry, Mechanical Engineering, Natural Hazards, Nuclear Engineering, Offshore Oil and Gas, Security and Protection, Transportation, and Policy Making.