The Tyranny Of Uncertainty

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The Tyranny of Uncertainty

Nabil Abu el Ata,Rudolf Schmandt
The Tyranny of Uncertainty Book PDF

Author : Nabil Abu el Ata,Rudolf Schmandt
Publisher : Springer
Page : 373 pages
File Size : 49,8 Mb
Release : 2016-05-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783662491041

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The Tyranny of Uncertainty by Nabil Abu el Ata,Rudolf Schmandt Pdf

The authors offer a revolutionary solution to risk management. It’s the unknown risks that keep leaders awake at night—wondering how to prepare for and steer their organization clear from that which they cannot predict. Businesses, governments and regulatory bodies dedicate endless amounts of time and resources to the task of risk management, but every leader knows that the biggest threats will come from some new chain of events or unexpected surprises—none of which will be predicted using conventional wisdom or current risk management technologies and so management will be caught completely off guard when the next crisis hits. By adopting a scientific approach to risk management, we can escape the limited and historical view of experience and statistical based risk management models to expose dynamic complexity risks and prepare for new and never experienced events.

The Courage of Composers and the Tyranny of Taste

Bálint András Varga
The Courage of Composers and the Tyranny of Taste Book PDF

Author : Bálint András Varga
Publisher : Boydell & Brewer
Page : 276 pages
File Size : 42,5 Mb
Release : 2017
Category : Composers
ISBN : 9781580465939

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The Courage of Composers and the Tyranny of Taste by Bálint András Varga Pdf

Bálint András Varga is perhaps the world's most respected interviewer of living composers. For The Courage of Composers and the Tyranny of Taste: Reflections on New Music, Varga has confronted thirty-three composers with quotations carefully chosen to elicit their thoughts about an issue that is crucial for any serious creative artist: How can one find courage to deal with the sometimes tyrannical expectations of the outside world? The result is an imaginary roundtable at which we encounter fresh, revealing, previously unpublished statements from such world-renowned composers as John Adams, Friedrich Cerha, George Crumb, Sofia Gubaïdulina, Georg Friedrich Haas, Giya Kancheli, György Kurtág, Helmut Lachenmann, Libby Larsen, Robert Morris, and Wolfgang Rihm. Also represented are composers who are becoming more prominent with the passing years -- Chaya Czernowin, Pascal Dusapin, and Rebecca Saunders -- as well as conductor-composer Michael Gielen, festival director Nicholas Kenyon, and music critics Paul Griffiths and Arnold Whittall. In The Courage of Composers and the Tyranny of Taste, composers and other insightful individuals comment on choices made, traps avoided, unforeseen consequences, proud accomplishments, occasional regrets: the whole range of experiences central to artistic creativity. Bálint András Varga isthe acclaimed author of György Kurtág: Three Interviews and Ligeti Homages; Three Questions for 65 Composers; and From Boulanger to Stockhausen: Interviews and a Memoir (all available from University of Rochester Press).

The Tyranny of Nations

Palak Patel
The Tyranny of Nations Book PDF

Author : Palak Patel
Publisher : Bifocal
Page : 300 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2021-05-24
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781736603932

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The Tyranny of Nations by Palak Patel Pdf

The Tyranny of Nations places the ground-shaking political and economic events of modern times in context. Palak Patel draws on his experience investing in government bond markets to demonstrate how the present fits a specific historical pattern that has defined the past 500 years. Modern-day trade liberalization and financial expansion all share distinct parallels with similar events in the 1600s and 1800s. Likewise, China's economic trajectory matches that of 19th-century Prussia and 17th-century France. And a certain British Prime Minister, foreshadowing Donald Trump's populism 150 years later, launched a similar attack on globalization after the financial crisis of 1866. In The Tyranny of Nations, there are no "isms"-no capitalism, socialism, or feudalism-but instead, only privileged interests vying for power. Challenging both the mainstream and its critics, Palak Patel shows how an endless cycle of cooperation and conflict between nations drives societal change. This unique perspective on the intersection of macroeconomics, history, and politics offers the reader a compass for navigating the future.

Uncertainty

William Briggs
Uncertainty Book PDF

Author : William Briggs
Publisher : Springer
Page : 258 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 2016-07-15
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9783319397566

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Uncertainty by William Briggs Pdf

This book presents a philosophical approach to probability and probabilistic thinking, considering the underpinnings of probabilistic reasoning and modeling, which effectively underlie everything in data science. The ultimate goal is to call into question many standard tenets and lay the philosophical and probabilistic groundwork and infrastructure for statistical modeling. It is the first book devoted to the philosophy of data aimed at working scientists and calls for a new consideration in the practice of probability and statistics to eliminate what has been referred to as the "Cult of Statistical Significance." The book explains the philosophy of these ideas and not the mathematics, though there are a handful of mathematical examples. The topics are logically laid out, starting with basic philosophy as related to probability, statistics, and science, and stepping through the key probabilistic ideas and concepts, and ending with statistical models. Its jargon-free approach asserts that standard methods, such as out-of-the-box regression, cannot help in discovering cause. This new way of looking at uncertainty ties together disparate fields — probability, physics, biology, the “soft” sciences, computer science — because each aims at discovering cause (of effects). It broadens the understanding beyond frequentist and Bayesian methods to propose a Third Way of modeling.

The Tyranny of the Ideal

Gerald Gaus
The Tyranny of the Ideal Book PDF

Author : Gerald Gaus
Publisher : Princeton University Press
Page : 314 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2019-01-08
Category : Philosophy
ISBN : 9780691183428

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The Tyranny of the Ideal by Gerald Gaus Pdf

In his provocative new book, The Tyranny of the Ideal, Gerald Gaus lays out a vision for how we should theorize about justice in a diverse society. Gaus shows how free and equal people, faced with intractable struggles and irreconcilable conflicts, might share a common moral life shaped by a just framework. He argues that if we are to take diversity seriously and if moral inquiry is sincere about shaping the world, then the pursuit of idealized and perfect theories of justice—essentially, the entire production of theories of justice that has dominated political philosophy for the past forty years—needs to change. Drawing on recent work in social science and philosophy, Gaus points to an important paradox: only those in a heterogeneous society—with its various religious, moral, and political perspectives—have a reasonable hope of understanding what an ideally just society would be like. However, due to its very nature, this world could never be collectively devoted to any single ideal. Gaus defends the moral constitution of this pluralistic, open society, where the very clash and disagreement of ideals spurs all to better understand what their personal ideals of justice happen to be. Presenting an original framework for how we should think about morality, The Tyranny of the Ideal rigorously analyzes a theory of ideal justice more suitable for contemporary times.

Uncertainty x Design

Ronald A. Beghetto
Uncertainty x Design Book PDF

Author : Ronald A. Beghetto
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 191 pages
File Size : 48,9 Mb
Release : 2023-10-31
Category : Education
ISBN : 9781009081191

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Uncertainty x Design by Ronald A. Beghetto Pdf

Educating for possible futures requires viewing uncertainty as an opportunity for taking creative action in the here-and-now. This book is written for educators, researchers, parents, and anyone who wants to learn how to support young people in becoming the creative authors of their own lives.

Organized Uncertainty

Michael Power
Organized Uncertainty Book PDF

Author : Michael Power
Publisher : Oxford University Press on Demand
Page : 267 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 2007-05-24
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780199253944

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Organized Uncertainty by Michael Power Pdf

Since the mid-1990s risk management has dramatically expanded its reach and significance to become a benchmark of good governance for a wide variety of public and private organizations. This book shows that the rise of risk management has much less to do with real dangers and opportunities than with organizational accountability and legitimacy.

Uncertainty and Surprise in Complex Systems

Reuben R. McDaniel,Dean Driebe
Uncertainty and Surprise in Complex Systems Book PDF

Author : Reuben R. McDaniel,Dean Driebe
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 220 pages
File Size : 50,7 Mb
Release : 2005-03-11
Category : Science
ISBN : 3540237739

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Uncertainty and Surprise in Complex Systems by Reuben R. McDaniel,Dean Driebe Pdf

Complexity science has been a source of new insight in physical and social systems and has demonstrated that unpredictability and surprise are fundamental aspects of the world around us. This book is the outcome of a discussion meeting of leading scholars and critical thinkers with expertise in complex systems sciences and leaders from a variety of organizations, sponsored by the Prigogine Center at The University of Texas at Austin and the Plexus Institute, to explore strategies for understanding uncertainty and surprise. Besides contributions to the conference, it includes a key digest by the editors as well as a commentary by the late nobel laureate Ilya Prigogine, "Surprises in half of a century". The book is intended for researchers and scientists in complexity science, as well as for a broad interdisciplinary audience of both practitioners and scholars. It will well serve those interested in the research issues and in the application of complexity science to physical and social systems.

The Tyranny of Numbers

Nick Eberstadt
The Tyranny of Numbers Book PDF

Author : Nick Eberstadt
Publisher : American Enterprise Institute
Page : 340 pages
File Size : 41,8 Mb
Release : 1995
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 084473764X

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The Tyranny of Numbers by Nick Eberstadt Pdf

This book examines the facts and figures that have led to government measures that have been unhelpful or injurious to their intended beneficiaries.

Environmental Problem-Solving: Balancing Science and Politics Using Consensus Building Tools

Lawrence Susskind,Bruno Verdini,Jessica Gordon,Yasmin Zaerpoor
Environmental Problem Solving Balancing Science and Politics Using Consensus Building Tools Book PDF

Author : Lawrence Susskind,Bruno Verdini,Jessica Gordon,Yasmin Zaerpoor
Publisher : Anthem Press
Page : 508 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 2020-10-31
Category : Nature
ISBN : 9781785271328

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Environmental Problem-Solving: Balancing Science and Politics Using Consensus Building Tools by Lawrence Susskind,Bruno Verdini,Jessica Gordon,Yasmin Zaerpoor Pdf

‘Environmental Problem-Solving' presents short excerpts from carefully selected readings, expert commentaries on those readings, assignments, and the best MIT student responses to the assignments and exam questions with excellent student response. The book presents four main models of environmental policy-making: competing theories of environmental ethics; tools for environmental assessment and environmental decision-making; and techniques for public engagement and group decision-making. The book covers the material presented in the semester-long course required of all students enrolled in MIT’s Environmental Policy and Planning Specialization.

Uncertain Times

Jacques Ranciere
Uncertain Times Book PDF

Author : Jacques Ranciere
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 120 pages
File Size : 53,5 Mb
Release : 2024-02-02
Category : Philosophy
ISBN : 9781509558698

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Uncertain Times by Jacques Ranciere Pdf

The global triumph of democracy was announced thirty years ago, promising an age of consensus in which the dispassionate consideration of objective problems would give birth to a world at peace. Today, these grand hopes lie in ruins, and the era touted as new has turned out to be remarkably similar to the old order. To understand why this might be so, we need to examine the nature of the consensus itself, which is not the peace that it promised but rather the map of a territory on which new forms of warfare are being waged. The objective reality that imposed itself at the end of the 1990s was an absolutized and globalized capitalism which has produced ever more inequality, exclusion and hate. In this book Jacques Rancière delivers a frank and piercing critique of the globalized capitalist consensus. The invasion of Iraq, the riots on Capitol Hill and the rise of the European far right all attest to the true nature of this consensus, as does the current state-sanctioned racism which exploits the disenchanted progressive tradition and is led by an intelligentsia that claims to be left-wing. At the same time, Rancière praises the dynamism of social movements which affirm the power of the assembly of equals and its capacity for worldmaking: autonomous protest collectives have proven themselves capable of opening breaches in the consensual order and challenging the post-1989 system of domination.

The Uncertain Center

Arthur C. McGill
The Uncertain Center Book PDF

Author : Arthur C. McGill
Publisher : Wipf and Stock Publishers
Page : 203 pages
File Size : 47,8 Mb
Release : 2015-08-04
Category : Religion
ISBN : 9781498236331

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The Uncertain Center by Arthur C. McGill Pdf

Arthur McGill did not write very much, but what he did write is as theologically suggestive and startling today as it was when it was written in the 1960s and 1970s. He was not well known during his lifetime, but those who cared about the work of theology knew Arthur McGill. Writing during the ascendency of the "Death of God" theologies, McGill's words have a freshness that the more widely known theological writing of that time has lost. McGill wrote only two short books during his life, and just a handful of scattered essays, often published in obscure places. We are fortunate that Kent Dunnington has collected and introduced those essays here. The essays reveal a theologian with an uncanny and intrepid resolve to make theological claims illumine and unsettle our lives. As Stanley Hauerwas writes in his afterword to the collection, "To read McGill is to discover a way to do theology without fear. God knows from where he came, but McGill, as the chapters in this welcome and important book demonstrate, had the ability to make theology do work so that we might better negotiate the imponderable reality we call 'our life.'"

The Tyranny of Public Discourse

David Hirsch,Dan Van Haften
The Tyranny of Public Discourse Book PDF

Author : David Hirsch,Dan Van Haften
Publisher : Casemate Publishers
Page : 193 pages
File Size : 48,5 Mb
Release : 2019-05-19
Category : Language Arts & Disciplines
ISBN : 9781940669922

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The Tyranny of Public Discourse by David Hirsch,Dan Van Haften Pdf

“The ultimate teacher of fact-based, reasoned rhetoric . . . A nice dose of American history makes learning the groundbreaking technique fun.” —Nerida F. Ellerton and McKenzie A. Clements, authors on writings of Thomas Jefferson and Abraham Lincoln Are you satisfied with the current state of public discourse? The almost unanimous response from people across the nation is a loud and emphatic “No!” The reply is always the same regardless of politics. Today’s public discourse typically starts with a “conclusion” and goes downhill from there. If there are talking heads, argument begins instantly and typically runs in circles. This is a dangerous path for a society that depends upon civility and virtue to survive. The Tyranny of Public Discourse addresses what is one of the most important issues of our time. This book can teach anyone how to use logic and reason to create persuasive writing. A byproduct of this is the civility that will ensue with an elevated public discourse. The Tyranny of Public Discourse establishes the six elements of a proposition as a verbal form of the scientific method—something Abraham Lincoln knew and used routinely. His logic and reason are so well known that he is quoted today more than 150 years after his death. Learning the six elements and how to use them to discuss any topic at any time is not only fascinating, but fairly easy to understand and implement. This book sets it all out, step-by-step and color coded, from beginning to end. The Tyranny of Public Discourse, complete with 21 diagrams on how to structure your logic, is the book you have been waiting for. The time is short, and the hour is now.

Handbook of the Uncertain Self

Robert M. Arkin,Kathryn C. Oleson,Patrick J. Carroll
Handbook of the Uncertain Self Book PDF

Author : Robert M. Arkin,Kathryn C. Oleson,Patrick J. Carroll
Publisher : Psychology Press
Page : 759 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 2013-05-13
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9781136950568

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Handbook of the Uncertain Self by Robert M. Arkin,Kathryn C. Oleson,Patrick J. Carroll Pdf

This Handbook explores the cognitive, motivational, interpersonal, clinical, and applied aspects of personal uncertainty. It showcases both the diversity and the unity that defines contemporary perspectives on uncertainty in self within social and personality psychology. The contributions to the volume are all written by distinguished scholars in personality, social psychology, and clinical psychology united by their common focus on the causes and consequences of self-uncertainty. Chapters explore the similarities and differences between personal uncertainty and other psychological experiences in terms of their nature and relationship with human thought, emotion, motivation, and behavior. Specific challenges posed by personal uncertainty and the coping strategies people develop in their daily life are identified. There is an assessment of the potential negative and positive repercussions of coping with the specific experience of self-uncertainty, including academic, health, and relationship outcomes. Throughout, strategies specifically designed to assist others in confronting the unique challenges posed by self-uncertainty in ways that emphasize healthy psychological functioning and growth are promoted. In addition, the contributions to the Handbook touch on the psychological, social, and cultural context of the new millennium, including concepts such as Friedman’s "flat world," confidence, the absence of doubt in world leaders, the threat of terrorism since 9/11, the arts, doubt and religious belief, and views of doubt as the universal condition of humankind. The Handbook is an invaluable resource for researchers, practitioners, and senior undergraduate and graduate students in social and personality psychology, clinical and counseling psychology, educational psychology, and developmental psychology.

The Ideas-Informed Society

Chris Brown,Graham Handscomb
The Ideas Informed Society Book PDF

Author : Chris Brown,Graham Handscomb
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
Page : 385 pages
File Size : 46,9 Mb
Release : 2023-09-28
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9781837530106

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The Ideas-Informed Society by Chris Brown,Graham Handscomb Pdf

Presenting concepts from academia, industry, and practice, The Ideas-Informed Society closes the gap between the ideal of the ideas-informed society and reality - the chapters conceive what an ideal ideas-informed society would look like, the key ingredients of an ideas-informed society, and how to make it happen.