Theorising Future Conflict

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Theorising Future Conflict

Mark Lacy
Theorising Future Conflict Book PDF

Author : Mark Lacy
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
Page : 222 pages
File Size : 53,5 Mb
Release : 2023-12-19
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781003831600

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Theorising Future Conflict by Mark Lacy Pdf

This book explores the changing tactics, technologies and terrains of twenty-first century war. It argues that the world in 2049 is unlikely to look like the climate change/artificial intelligence (AI) dystopia depicted in Blade Runner 2049, but nor will it be a world where conflict and war has been transformed by a ‘civilising process’ that eradicates violence and conflict from the human condition. 2049 is also the year that the US Department of Defense has suggested China will become a world-shaping military power. All states will be engaged in ‘arms races’ across a variety of new tools and technologies—from drones, robotics, AI and quantum computing—that will transform politics, economy, society and war. Drawing on thinkers such as Zygmunt Bauman and Paul Virilio, the book suggests that future war will be shaped by three broad tendencies that include a broad range of tactics, technologies and trends; the impure, the granular and the machinic. Through discussions of cybersecurity, urban war, robotics, AI, climate change, science fiction and new strategic concepts, it examines how these tendencies might evolve in the different geopolitical futures and types of war ahead of us. The book provides a thought-provoking and distinctive framework through which to think about the changing character of war. It concludes that for all the novel and dangerous challenges ahead, the futuristic possibilities of warfare will likely continue to be shaped by problems familiar to students of international relations and the history of war—albeit problems that will play out in geopolitical and technological contexts that we have never encountered before. This book will be of much interest to students of critical war studies, security studies, science and technology studies, and International Relations in general.

Theorising Future Conflict

Mark J. Lacy
Theorising Future Conflict Book PDF

Author : Mark J. Lacy
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 2023
Category : Military art and science
ISBN : 1003219578

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Theorising Future Conflict by Mark J. Lacy Pdf

"This book explores the changing tactics, technologies and terrains of 21st century war. It argues that the world in 2049 is unlikely to look like the climate change/AI dystopia depicted in Blade Runner 2049; but nor will it be a world where conflict and war has been transformed by a 'civilizing process' that eradicates violence and conflict from the human condition. 2049 is also the year that the US Department of Defense has suggested China will become a world-shaping military power. All states will be engaged in 'arms races' across a variety of new tools and technologies - from drones, robotics, AI and quantum computing - that will transform politics, economy, society and war. Drawing on thinkers such as Zygmunt Bauman and Paul Virilio, the book suggests that future war will be shaped by three broad tendencies that include a broad range of tactics, technologies and trends; the Impure, the Granular and the Machinic. Through discussions of cybersecurity, urban war, robotics, AI, climate change, science fiction and new strategic concepts, it examines how these tendencies might evolve in the different geopolitical futures and types of war ahead of us. The book provides a thought-provoking and distinctive framework through which to think about the changing character of war. It concludes that for all the novel and dangerous challenges ahead, the futuristic possibilities of warfare will likely continue to be shaped by problems familiar to students of international relations and the history of war - albeit problems that will play out in geopolitical and technological contexts that we have never encountered before. This book will be of much interest to students of critical war studies, security studies, science and technology studies, and International Relations in general"--

The Nature of Future Conflict

Richard Connaughton
The Nature of Future Conflict Book PDF

Author : Richard Connaughton
Publisher : Pen and Sword
Page : 226 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 1995-09-11
Category : History
ISBN : 9781473816633

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The Nature of Future Conflict by Richard Connaughton Pdf

Whilst the collapse of the Soviet Union and, with it, the associated Warsaw Pact, has greatly reduced the threat of a major conflict with Europe, the story of the involvement of the United Nations in so-called 'peace' operations over the past six years makes it abundantly clear that the world-wide incidence of low intensity, intra-state conflict will remain for us as far ahead as we can see and that the resources and procedures which are essential for the success of future UN operations are yet to be produced. Richard Connaughton has already published a philosophical treatise entitled Military Intervention in the 1990s- A New Logic of War in which he validated the nine principles emerging from a study of the conduct of military interventions between 1918 and 1990 against lessons emerging from the Golf War of 1990-91. A subsequent quadripartite conference held at the British Army Staff collage found that those principles applied equally to an intra-state conflict, such as the former Yugoslavia. In this forthright and highly professional study, drawing upon those principles, Richard Connaughton seeks to 'examine the nature of future conflict and knowledge for the benefit of those called upon to make real-time decisions'. He pulls no punches, leaving the reader with a very clear understanding of the defects of our present international machinery of the maintenance of peace. He emphasises the pressing need for a new, free-range study of the UN in it's 50th year, to establish not only the comprehensive reforms to it's organisation and procedures that are so badly needed but also a clear statement of what is required of the organisation's membership as the providers of those resources, without which success is unobtainable

Theorising Media and Conflict

Philipp Budka,Birgit Bräuchler
Theorising Media and Conflict Book PDF

Author : Philipp Budka,Birgit Bräuchler
Publisher : Berghahn Books
Page : 350 pages
File Size : 48,5 Mb
Release : 2020-04-09
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781789206838

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Theorising Media and Conflict by Philipp Budka,Birgit Bräuchler Pdf

Theorising Media and Conflict brings together anthropologists as well as media and communication scholars to collectively address the elusive and complex relationship between media and conflict. Through epistemological and methodological reflections and the analyses of various case studies from around the globe, this volume provides evidence for the co-constitutiveness of media and conflict and contributes to their consolidation as a distinct area of scholarship. Practitioners, policymakers, students and scholars who wish to understand the lived realities and dynamics of contemporary conflicts will find this book invaluable.

Routledge Handbook of the Future of Warfare

Artur Gruszczak,Sebastian Kaempf
Routledge Handbook of the Future of Warfare Book PDF

Author : Artur Gruszczak,Sebastian Kaempf
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
Page : 491 pages
File Size : 46,9 Mb
Release : 2023-09-19
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781000930900

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Routledge Handbook of the Future of Warfare by Artur Gruszczak,Sebastian Kaempf Pdf

This handbook provides a comprehensive, problem-driven and dynamic overview of the future of warfare. The volatilities and uncertainties of the global security environment raise timely and important questions about the future of humanity’s oldest occupation: war. This volume addresses these questions through a collection of cutting-edge contributions by leading scholars in the field. Its overall focus is prognostic rather than futuristic, highlighting discernible trends, key developments and themes without downplaying the lessons from the past. By making the past meet the present in order to envision the future, the handbook offers a diversified outlook on the future of warfare, which will be indispensable for researchers, students and military practitioners alike. The volume is divided into six thematic sections. Section I draws out general trends in the phenomenon of war and sketches the most significant developments, from the past to the present and into the future. Section II looks at the areas and domains which actively shape the future of warfare. Section III engages with the main theories and conceptions of warfare, capturing those attributes of contemporary conflicts which will most likely persist and determine the dynamics and directions of their transformations. The fourth section addresses differentiation and complexity in the domain of warfare, pointing to those factors which will exert a strong impact on the structure and properties of that domain. Section V focuses on technology as the principal trigger of changes and alterations in the essence of warfare. The final section draws on the general trends identified in Section I and sheds light on how those trends have manifested in specific local contexts. This section zooms in on particular geographies which are seen and anticipated as hotbeds where future warfare will most likely assume its shape and reveal its true colours. This book will be of great interest to students of strategic studies, defence studies, war and technology, and International Relations.

The Future of War

Lawrence Freedman
The Future of War Book PDF

Author : Lawrence Freedman
Publisher : PublicAffairs
Page : 503 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2017-10-10
Category : History
ISBN : 9781610393065

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The Future of War by Lawrence Freedman Pdf

An award-winning military historian, professor, and political adviser delivers the definitive story of warfare in all its guises and applications, showing what has driven and continues to drive this uniquely human form of political violence. Questions about the future of war are a regular feature of political debate, strategic analysis, and popular fiction. Where should we look for new dangers? What cunning plans might an aggressor have in mind? What are the best forms of defense? How might peace be preserved or conflict resolved? From the French rout at Sedan in 1870 to the relentless contemporary insurgencies in Iraq and Afghanistan, Lawrence Freedman, a world-renowned military thinker, reveals how most claims from the military futurists are wrong. But they remain influential nonetheless. Freedman shows how those who have imagined future war have often had an idealized notion of it as confined, brief, and decisive, and have regularly taken insufficient account of the possibility of long wars-hence the stubborn persistence of the idea of a knockout blow, whether through a dashing land offensive, nuclear first strike, or cyberattack. He also notes the lack of attention paid to civil wars until the West began to intervene in them during the 1990s, and how the boundaries between peace and war, between the military, the civilian, and the criminal are becoming increasingly blurred. Freedman's account of a century and a half of warfare and the (often misconceived) thinking that precedes war is a challenge to hawks and doves alike, and puts current strategic thinking into a bracing historical perspective.

The Future of Global Conflict

Volker Bornschier,Christopher Chase-Dunn
The Future of Global Conflict Book PDF

Author : Volker Bornschier,Christopher Chase-Dunn
Publisher : SAGE
Page : 321 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 1999-05-12
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781848609075

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The Future of Global Conflict by Volker Bornschier,Christopher Chase-Dunn Pdf

This critical analysis of long-term trends and recent developments in world systems examines such questions as: Will the cycles of boom and bust, peace and war of the past 500 years continue? Or have either long-term trends or recent changes so profoundly altered the structure of world systems that these cycles will end or take on a less destructive form? The noted international contributors to this volume examine the question of future dominance of the core global systems and include comprehensive discussions of the economic, political and military role of the Pacific Rim, Japan and the former Soviet Union.

The Rightful Place of Science

Braden Allenby
The Rightful Place of Science Book PDF

Author : Braden Allenby
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 114 pages
File Size : 43,7 Mb
Release : 2016-09-12
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 0692774394

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The Rightful Place of Science by Braden Allenby Pdf

The newest book in The Rightful Place of Science series from Arizona State University's Consortium for Science, Policy & Outcomes, Future Conflict & Emerging Technologies explores the cutting edge of conflict and warfighting. The rapidly evolving environment for conflict combines destabilizing geopolitical factors with fast-moving technologies in ways that make familiar institutions and behaviors questionable, if not obsolete.

The Changing Nature of Warfare, the Factors Mediating Future Conflict, and Implications for Special Operations Forces

Joint Special Joint Special Operations University,John B. John B. Alexander
The Changing Nature of Warfare the Factors Mediating Future Conflict and Implications for Special Operations Forces Book PDF

Author : Joint Special Joint Special Operations University,John B. John B. Alexander
Publisher : CreateSpace
Page : 48 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2014-11-29
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1505238498

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The Changing Nature of Warfare, the Factors Mediating Future Conflict, and Implications for Special Operations Forces by Joint Special Joint Special Operations University,John B. John B. Alexander Pdf

This book challenges the prevailing sentiment regarding the nature of war. Designed to generate discussion on topics where little or none has been acceptable, it pushes the envelope of traditional political and military science thinking. It argues that the nature of war has changed at a fundamental level-that of definition. Further, information technology is so pervasive and interpenetrating that its impact cannot be relegated to mere alteration in the techniques by which war is prosecuted. Rather, information technology facilitates new social structures, exacerbates competing hierarchical beliefs, and, combined with other factors, enhances the ability of powerful nations, or other philosophical organizations, to impose their will on adversaries. It is this ability for imposition of will, not the level of violence inflicted, that will determine whether or not a conflict has been won or lost. Other sacred cows are gored in this book by stating: >The nation-state is a failing concept with limited utility and great liability >Boundaries, once thought to be absolute, are in reality arbitrary >Ideology, not materialism, motivates many people and therefore sources of conflict and terrorism cannot be eliminated solely by reducing poverty >Personal allegiance(s) will no longer be assured >Violence, while it will remain prominent, will be optional in future conflicts

The Changing Nature of Warfare, the Factors Mediating Future Conflict, and Implications for SOF

Joint Special Operations University,John B Alexander
The Changing Nature of Warfare the Factors Mediating Future Conflict and Implications for SOF Book PDF

Author : Joint Special Operations University,John B Alexander
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 58 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2019-07-05
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1078241007

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The Changing Nature of Warfare, the Factors Mediating Future Conflict, and Implications for SOF by Joint Special Operations University,John B Alexander Pdf

This paper challenges the prevailing sentiment regarding the nature of war. Designed to generate discussion on topics where little or none has been acceptable, it pushes the envelope of traditional political and military science thinking. It argues that the nature of war has changed at a fundamental level-that of definition. Further, information technology is so pervasive and interpenetrating that its impact cannot be relegated to mere alteration in the techniques by which war is prosecuted. Rather, information technology facilitates new social structures, exacerbates competing hierarchical beliefs, and, combined with other factors, enhances the ability of powerful nations, or other philosophical organizations, to impose their will on adversaries.

Underdevelopment, Development and the Future of Africa

Munyaradzi Mawere
Underdevelopment Development and the Future of Africa Book PDF

Author : Munyaradzi Mawere
Publisher : African Books Collective
Page : 573 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 2017-02-10
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9789956764884

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Underdevelopment, Development and the Future of Africa by Munyaradzi Mawere Pdf

In view of the resilience of Africas underdevelopment, what do Africans make of their determined aspirations for development? The continent of Africa has constantly drawn global attention, most especially for both human and natural evils. Underdevelopment, it appears, is one of the most eminent threatening evils. It has plunged and promises to maintain the majority of Africa in abject poverty, insecurity, and vulnerability. What perpetuates the ghost and gory of underdevelopment in Africa, despite a proliferation of development rhetoric and initiatives? How do ordinary Africans react to repeated talk and claims of development with little evidence of transformation for the better in their material circumstances? This book interrogates the tenacity of underdevelopment amid calls for Africa to rise from its slumber and reclaim its position in global affairs as the mother continent of humankind. It contributes to the ongoing debates on why Africa remains trapped in the clutch of underdevelopment many decades after the purported end of colonialism. The book comes at a critical time in human history; a time when the talk on Africas [under-]development is louder due to the ravages of economic downturns and dysfunctional conflicts. It poses a challenge to development practitioners, civil society activists, statesmen, economists, political scientists and theorists to rethink and reconsider their role as technocrats, experts and ambassadors of positive change in Africa and the world beyond.

South Africa and United Nations Peacekeeping Offensive Operations

Antonio Garcia
South Africa and United Nations Peacekeeping Offensive Operations Book PDF

Author : Antonio Garcia
Publisher : African Books Collective
Page : 153 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2018-08-17
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780797496866

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South Africa and United Nations Peacekeeping Offensive Operations by Antonio Garcia Pdf

The creation of the Force Intervention Brigade (FIB) as the sharp tactical edge of the United Nations Stabilisation Mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (MONUSCO), tasked with the neutralising of armed groups, was a watershed moment in the history of modern peace missions. What was more significant was that sub-Saharan national leaders were instrumental in the creation of the FIB (South Africa, Tanzania and Malawi), but lacked the resources to deploy such a force and consequently the brigade was deployed under the banner of the UN. With the legacy of an African Renaissance, and its role in the conception of the FIB, South Africa remains a critical player in international peace and security in sub-Saharan Africa, and therefore holds a key strategic role in achieving the FIBs objectives. This comes at a critical time where blue helmets are increasingly exposed to complex and challenging security contexts. The aim of this work is to provide a conceptual model for South African military future operations and UN offensive peacekeeping operations. In this undertaking, a layer of military and Clausewitzian theory is added to offensive peacekeeping operations. Furthermore, there are sections on operational constructs (capstone and operating concepts), doctrine and structural elements, as well a section on mine action. This book contributes towards an understanding of the nature of modern strategy through the lens of UN offensive peacekeeping operations and provides insights into operational challenges.

The Future of Us Warfare

Scott N. Romaniuk,Francis Grice
The Future of Us Warfare Book PDF

Author : Scott N. Romaniuk,Francis Grice
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 298 pages
File Size : 42,6 Mb
Release : 2018-09-18
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 113839369X

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The Future of Us Warfare by Scott N. Romaniuk,Francis Grice Pdf

This book provides an interdisciplinary analysis of the future of US warfare, including its military practices and the domestic and global challenges it faces. The need to undertake a comprehensive analysis about the future of warfare for the US is more pressing today than ever before. New technologies and adversaries, both old and new, have the potential to revolutionize how wars are fought, and it is imperative that policy makers, military planners, and scholars engage with the latest analyses regarding these new threats and weapon systems. The primary aim of this book is to provide a clear and comprehensive depiction of the types of conflict that the United States is likely to become involved with in the future, as well as the methods of warfare that it may employ within these struggles. While a number of scholarly books have previously considered some of the potential features of US warfare in the future, many of these writings are either outdated or have limited their focus to just one or two of the main types of warfare that may occur and omitted consideration of the others. This book intends to remedy this deficiency in the literature. The volume consists of thematic chapters which address the key issues relevant to the future of US warfare, including cyber warfare, asymmetric conflicts, drone warfare, and nuclear strategy. Through the provision of a series of analyses by leading international academics, the volume provides an important interdisciplinary examination of the different areas of warfare that the United States is expected to use or encounter in the future. This book will be of great interest to students of US foreign policy, military studies, strategic studies and International Relations in general.

Fifth Generation Warfare

Armin Krishnan
Fifth Generation Warfare Book PDF

Author : Armin Krishnan
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
Page : 174 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 2024-03-11
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781003844631

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Fifth Generation Warfare by Armin Krishnan Pdf

This book outlines the concept of Fifth Generation Warfare (5GW) and demonstrates its relevance for understanding contemporary conflicts. Non-kinetic modes of attack and war waged by groups or non-state actors at the societal level has been termed 5GW. This book discusses the theory of generational warfare and explores the key ideas of 5GW, such as secrecy, the manipulation of proxies, the manipulation of identity and culture (including disinformation and big data), and the use of psychological warfare. These techniques are used to achieve strategic objectives, such as inducing desired behaviour and controlling human terrain, without resorting to overt war or overt violence. The text expands the debate on 5GW by exploring emerging technologies and how they could be used for maliciously shaping human society and even for maliciously changing the genetic makeup of a population for the purpose of unprecedented social control. The work closes with comments on the possibility of a Sixth Generation of Warfare, which targets technical systems to possibly collapse a society through strategic sabotage. Overall, the book demonstrates the relevance of 5GW for understanding contemporary conflicts, from the Arab Spring to the war in Ukraine, in terms of the need for dominating the human domain. This book will be of interest to students of security and technology, defence studies and International Relations.

Ethics of Armed Conflict

John W. Lango
Ethics of Armed Conflict Book PDF

Author : John W. Lango
Publisher : Edinburgh University Press
Page : 256 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2014-01-29
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780748645763

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Ethics of Armed Conflict by John W. Lango Pdf

Just war theory exists to stop armies and countries from using armed force without good cause. But how can we judge whether a war is just? In this original book, John W. Lango takes some distinctive approaches to the ethics of armed conflict. DT A revisionist approach that involves generalising traditional just war principles, so that they are applicable by all sorts of responsible agents to all forms of armed conflict DT A cosmopolitan approach that features the Security Council DT A preventive approach that emphasises alternatives to armed force, including negotiation, nonviolent action and peacekeeping missions DT A human rights approach that encompasses not only armed humanitarian intervention but also armed invasion, armed revolution and all other forms of armed conflict Lango shows how these can be applied to all forms of armed conflict, however large or small: from interstate wars to UN peacekeeping missions, and from civil wars counter-insurgency and counter-terrorism operations.