Uncertainty And Investment

Author : Robert K. Dixit,Robert S. Pindyck
Publisher : Princeton University Press
Page : 484 pages
File Size : 55,9 Mb
Release : 2012-07-14
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781400830176

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Investment under Uncertainty by Robert K. Dixit,Robert S. Pindyck Pdf

How should firms decide whether and when to invest in new capital equipment, additions to their workforce, or the development of new products? Why have traditional economic models of investment failed to explain the behavior of investment spending in the United States and other countries? In this book, Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck provide the first detailed exposition of a new theoretical approach to the capital investment decisions of firms, stressing the irreversibility of most investment decisions, and the ongoing uncertainty of the economic environment in which these decisions are made. In so doing, they answer important questions about investment decisions and the behavior of investment spending. This new approach to investment recognizes the option value of waiting for better (but never complete) information. It exploits an analogy with the theory of options in financial markets, which permits a much richer dynamic framework than was possible with the traditional theory of investment. The authors present the new theory in a clear and systematic way, and consolidate, synthesize, and extend the various strands of research that have come out of the theory. Their book shows the importance of the theory for understanding investment behavior of firms; develops the implications of this theory for industry dynamics and for government policy concerning investment; and shows how the theory can be applied to specific industries and to a wide variety of business problems.

Author : Robert S. Pindyck
Publisher : World Bank Publications
Page : 58 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 1989
Category : Capital investments
ISBN : 8210379456XXX

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Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and Investment by Robert S. Pindyck Pdf

Irreversible investment is especially sensitive to such risk factors as volatile exchange rates and uncertainty about tariff structures and future cash flows. If the goal of macroeconomic policy is to stimulate investment, stability and credibility may be more important than tax incentives or interest rates.

Author : Eduardo S. Schwartz,Lenos Trigeorgis
Publisher : MIT Press
Page : 890 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2004
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0262693186

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Real Options and Investment Under Uncertainty by Eduardo S. Schwartz,Lenos Trigeorgis Pdf

The study of investment under uncertainty was stagnant for several decades until developments in real options revitalized the field. The topics covered in this book include the reasons behind the under-investment programme.

Author : Francois Trahan,Katherine Krantz
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 228 pages
File Size : 54,9 Mb
Release : 2011-07-13
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781118134092

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The Era of Uncertainty by Francois Trahan,Katherine Krantz Pdf

Macroeconomic Investment Strategies for an Era of Economic Uncertainty “Over the years, François’ insightful analyses of the business cycle has led to market calls that have both benefitted investors on the upside and (more important to many) protected them from losses on the downside. François’ incredible track record in successfully interpreting the trends that can be found in leading indicators and other macroeconomic data have also led to his well deserved reputation as an expert in sector rotation - providing investors on both the long and short side of the market opportunities to profit from his ideas. In my opinion, his most important and influential macro prediction to date was his call in the middle of the last decade when he predicted that the worst housing crisis in American history would soon be upon us, and that it would have far-ranging implications for both the global economy and world financial markets.”

Author : Ian Charles Runge
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
Page : 232 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 2000
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : STANFORD:36105025050472

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Capital and Uncertainty by Ian Charles Runge Pdf

Analyzes capital investment as a process in which an individual, entrepreneur, or organization comes to understand "value" before making a choice. Runge, an economist and mining engineer based in Australia, maintains that subjective value and uncertainty inform investment decision-making far more than the calculus of simple neoclassical choice suggests. His model of the capital investment process within a firm analyzes uncertainty and where it translates into risk. Runge sets out theories and tools for choosing between alternatives with differing risk and return profiles. His model provides a framework for decision-making that can lead to choices with lower overall risk, higher returns, and increased value. Annotation copyrighted by Book News Inc., Portland, OR

Author : Robert Lensink,Hong Bo,Elmer Sterken
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
Page : 176 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2001-01-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1782541241

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Investment, Capital Market Imperfections, and Uncertainty by Robert Lensink,Hong Bo,Elmer Sterken Pdf

This book presents an up-to-date overview of the theory as well as the empirics of the relationship between investment, financial imperfections and uncertainty. After reviewing the capital market imperfections literature and the empirical results, the authors discuss both traditional investment models with uncertainty and the more modern option based models. They present an overview of empirical results of the modelling of investment under uncertainty. In these examples the effects of capital market imperfections on investment are carefully considered. The authors conclude that there is overwhelming empirical support for a negative uncertainty-investment relationship. This book should appeal to academics with an interest in investment theory, professionals in the financial sector and students of macroeconomics and finance. "Investment, Capital Market Imperfections, and Uncertainty" assumes only a basic knowledge of mathematics and is easily accessible.

Author : Ciaran Driver,David Moreton
Publisher : Wiley-Blackwell
Page : 176 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 1992
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 063117334X

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Investment, Expectations, and Uncertainty by Ciaran Driver,David Moreton Pdf

Author : Aymo Brunetti,Beatrice Weder
Publisher : World Bank Publications
Page : 46 pages
File Size : 40,8 Mb
Release : 1997-01-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0821341596

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Investment and Institutional Uncertainty by Aymo Brunetti,Beatrice Weder Pdf

Looking decades ahead into the future, many informed observers see China moving steadily to the top of the world's economic league. Several sources, including the OECD, forecast that the country will be the world's largest economy by 2020. China's urban economy has been the driving force behind the country's recent trends of accelerated growth. By the same token, deterioration in the urban centers could constrain future growth. The Dynamics of Urban Growth in Three Chinese Cities looks at the interplay between geography, size, and industrial structure that determines the industrial vigor of cities. Their conclusions, abundantly illustrated through the experience of the Chinese cities of Shanghai, Tianjin, and Guangzhou, is that each of these factors must be made to work for the city through effective policymaking. The authors compare these cities with each other in the context of the changes sweeping China's economy, review their history and their reform programs from the early 1980s to the mid-1990s, and examine their infrastructure and human capital. The volume includes maps of the cities and their outlying areas and of China's road and rail system, as well as figures depicting the industrial structure of each city. Published for the World Bank by Oxford University Press.

Author : John M. Jennings
Publisher : Greenleaf Book Group
Page : 322 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2023-05-02
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9798886450330

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The Uncertainty Solution by John M. Jennings Pdf

A better approach to investing ​This is not a typical investment book. It is an experiential guide on cultivating the mindset and behavior necessary to weather inherently uncertain and unpredictable markets. It doesn’t just tell you how to invest but how to think better about investing. Referencing studies on psychology, decision making, and investment behavior, Jennings provides a no-nonsense analysis of the financial markets and a road map to navigating its inevitable twists and turns. Jennings uses mental models to create a latticework of wisdom that will help you evaluate investment advice and learn better behavior in the face of uncertainty. To name a few: ignore expert predictions, be wary of stories, and try to invest like a dead person. An engaging dive into investing psychology and best practices, The Uncertainty Solution is an authoritative, accessible guide for both lay investors and professionals inundated with financial news and data. Read this book to improve your thinking about investing, practice better investment behavior, and ultimately, have more money.

Author : Frank H. Knight
Publisher : Cosimo, Inc.
Page : 401 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2006-11-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781602060050

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Risk, Uncertainty and Profit by Frank H. Knight Pdf

A timeless classic of economic theory that remains fascinating and pertinent today, this is Frank Knight's famous explanation of why perfect competition cannot eliminate profits, the important differences between "risk" and "uncertainty," and the vital role of the entrepreneur in profitmaking. Based on Knight's PhD dissertation, this 1921 work, balancing theory with fact to come to stunning insights, is a distinct pleasure to read. FRANK H. KNIGHT (1885-1972) is considered by some the greatest American scholar of economics of the 20th century. An economics professor at the University of Chicago from 1927 until 1955, he was one of the founders of the Chicago school of economics, which influenced Milton Friedman and George Stigler.

Author : Guerdon T. Ely,Mba Cfp Ely
Publisher : Xulon Press
Page : 190 pages
File Size : 49,7 Mb
Release : 2009-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781615795970

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Uncertainty Is a Certainty by Guerdon T. Ely,Mba Cfp Ely Pdf

The certainty of uncertainty is as true for managing investments as it is for potty-training toddlers; if you are not careful you could end up with a real mess! This is especially true for anyone responsible, even indirectly, for money belonging to a relative, friend, trust, charity, pension or other entity. Being a fiduciary is a very serious legal obligation but this book makes learning how to be one actually fun! If you ever need to serve as or hire a trustee, executor, or investment advisor for your own money or that of family or friends, you must understand what "fiduciary responsibility" means. Guerdon Ely's book is the fastest, most boredom-free, way to gain that understanding. Natalie B. Choate, Esq., Author, Life and Death Planning for Retirement Benefits An exceptionally entertaining book that uses a unique story telling format to define fiduciaries and explain their duties in terms that are easily understood. Guerdon's simple and concise summarization of the elements of "prudence" alone makes this book worth reading. David O'Leary, Esq., Senior Counsel, Holland & Knight LLP This book is brilliant! Fiduciary responsibility can be very dry reading but the author's use of autobiographical tales makes it an extremely enjoyable process. June Hunt, Retired CFO Superbly written, Ely brings the objective standards of modern prudent fiduciary investing to life. A must read for anyone entrusted with the duties of a fiduciary. Katherine Simmonds, Director of Financial Planning Ely brings a common sense approach to fiduciary investing. I find myself reading his stories to friends and colleagues, not only for the content but also for the humor! CPAs and attorneys must recommend this book to all their clients who are fiduciaries. Glenn Freed, PhD, Vice President, A Major Investment Management Firm Former Accounting Professor, University of Southern California

Author : Jaime Gil-Aluja
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 459 pages
File Size : 50,8 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9789401153287

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Investment in Uncertainty by Jaime Gil-Aluja Pdf

FIRST PART Preparation of the Investment 1. Investments in the Company 19 The decline of stability . . 19 The change in direction of studies on the investment process. 25 Basic elements for arithmetical study of selection 29 Thc study of selection from non-numerical elements. 37 2. Programming Investment Activity 49 Classical programming techniques. 49 Handling of an investment programme. 56 Incorporation of costs into investment projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66 Estimating financial needs throughout the process. 72 3. Financial Risk of Investment 85 Financial aspects of the investment process. 85 Determination of the financial capacity of the investment . . 89 From pre-diagnosis to diagnosis. 102 Numerical determination of the financial risk of an investment. 106 4. Analysis of financial products for the investment 113 Aspects prior to product analysis. 113 Analysis by means of the clan concept . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117 Obtaining affinities and thc use of codes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123 Grouping the characteristics of the products by means of the Moore closing. 126 From product grouping to affinities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 134 10 / Index SECOND PART Selection 5. A first approximation to selection models 145 Updating of monetary currents 145 Incorporation of the lack of precision of interests rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153 The hypothesis of known net values and fuzzy rate of interest . . . . . . 157 6. Selection of investments in an economy with inflation 165 Estimate of monetary currents at constant prices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 165 Estimate of monetary currents at prices for each period . . . . . . . 172 The hypothesis of different rates of inflation . . . . 180 7.

Author : Robert K. Dixit
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 483 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2012
Category : Electronic
ISBN : OCLC:1027203892

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Investment Under Uncertainty by Robert K. Dixit Pdf

How should firms decide whether and when to invest in new capital equipment, additions to their workforce, or the development of new products? Why have traditional economic models of investment failed to explain the behavior of investment spending in the United States and other countries? In this book, Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck provide the first detailed exposition of a new theoretical approach to the capital investment decisions of firms, stressing the irreversibility of most investment decisions, and the ongoing uncertainty of the economic environment in which these decisions are mad.

Author : Haim Levy
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 439 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2006-08-25
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780387293110

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Stochastic Dominance by Haim Levy Pdf

This book is devoted to investment decision-making under uncertainty. The book covers three basic approaches to this process: the stochastic dominance approach; the mean-variance approach; and the non-expected utility approach, focusing on prospect theory and its modified version, cumulative prospect theory. Each approach is discussed and compared. In addition, this volume examines cases in which stochastic dominance rules coincide with the mean-variance rule and considers how contradictions between these two approaches may occur.

Author : Nancy L. Stokey
Publisher : Harvard University Press
Page : 607 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 1989-10-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780674735187

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Recursive Methods in Economic Dynamics by Nancy L. Stokey Pdf

This rigorous but brilliantly lucid book presents a self-contained treatment of modern economic dynamics. Stokey, Lucas, and Prescott develop the basic methods of recursive analysis and illustrate the many areas where they can usefully be applied.