The Era Of Uncertainty

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The Era of Uncertainty

Author : Francois Trahan,Katherine Krantz
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 228 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 2011-07-13
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781118134092

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The Era of Uncertainty by Francois Trahan,Katherine Krantz Pdf

Macroeconomic Investment Strategies for an Era of Economic Uncertainty “Over the years, François’ insightful analyses of the business cycle has led to market calls that have both benefitted investors on the upside and (more important to many) protected them from losses on the downside. François’ incredible track record in successfully interpreting the trends that can be found in leading indicators and other macroeconomic data have also led to his well deserved reputation as an expert in sector rotation - providing investors on both the long and short side of the market opportunities to profit from his ideas. In my opinion, his most important and influential macro prediction to date was his call in the middle of the last decade when he predicted that the worst housing crisis in American history would soon be upon us, and that it would have far-ranging implications for both the global economy and world financial markets.”

The Commons in an Age of Uncertainty

Author : Franklin Obeng-Odoom
Publisher : University of Toronto Press
Page : 355 pages
File Size : 55,6 Mb
Release : 2020-11-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781487537616

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The Commons in an Age of Uncertainty by Franklin Obeng-Odoom Pdf

In the last two hundred years, the earth has increasingly become the private property of a few classes, races, transnational corporations, and nations. Repeated claims about the "tragedy of the commons" and the "crisis of capitalism" have done little to explain this concentration of land, encourage solution-building to solve resource depletion, or address our current socio-ecological crisis. The Commons in an Age of Uncertainty presents a new explanation, vision, and action plan based on the idea of commoning the land. The book argues that by commoning the land, rather than privatising it, we can develop the foundation for prosperity without destructive growth and address both local and global challenges. Making the land the most fundamental priority of all commons does not only give hope, it also opens the doors to a new world in which economy, environment, and society are decolonised and liberated.

Risk and Uncertainty in a Post-Truth Society

Author : Sander van der Linden,Ragnar E. Löfstedt
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 80 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2019-06-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781000022926

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Risk and Uncertainty in a Post-Truth Society by Sander van der Linden,Ragnar E. Löfstedt Pdf

This edited volume looks at whether it is possible to be more transparent about uncertainty in scientific evidence without undermining public understanding and trust. With contributions from leading experts in the field, this book explores the communication of risk and decision-making in an increasingly post-truth world. Drawing on case studies from climate change to genetic testing, the authors argue for better quality evidence synthesis to cut through the noise and highlight the need for more structured public dialogue. For uncertainty in scientific evidence to be communicated effectively, they conclude that trustworthiness is vital: the data and methods underlying statistics must be transparent, valid, and sound, and the numbers need to demonstrate practical utility and add social value to people’s lives. Presenting a conceptual framework to help navigate the reader through the key social and scientific challenges of a post-truth era, this book will be of great relevance to students, scholars, and policy makers with an interest in risk analysis and communication.

The Politics of Uncertainty

Author : Ian Scoones,Andy Stirling
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 280 pages
File Size : 54,7 Mb
Release : 2020-07-14
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781000163407

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The Politics of Uncertainty by Ian Scoones,Andy Stirling Pdf

Why is uncertainty so important to politics today? To explore the underlying reasons, issues and challenges, this book’s chapters address finance and banking, insurance, technology regulation and critical infrastructures, as well as climate change, infectious disease responses, natural disasters, migration, crime and security and spirituality and religion. The book argues that uncertainties must be understood as complex constructions of knowledge, materiality, experience, embodiment and practice. Examining in particular how uncertainties are experienced in contexts of marginalisation and precarity, this book shows how sustainability and development are not just technical issues, but depend deeply on political values and choices. What burgeoning uncertainties require lies less in escalating efforts at control, but more in a new – more collective, mutualistic and convivial – politics of responsibility and care. If hopes of much-needed progressive transformation are to be realised, then currently blinkered understandings of uncertainty need to be met with renewed democratic struggle. Written in an accessible style and illustrated by multiple case studies from across the world, this book will appeal to a wide cross-disciplinary audience in fields ranging from economics to law to science studies to sociology to anthropology and geography, as well as professionals working in risk management, disaster risk reduction, emergencies and wider public policy fields.

Fear and Uncertainty in Europe

Author : Roberto Belloni,Vincent Della Sala,Paul Viotti
Publisher : Springer
Page : 292 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 2018-08-02
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9783319919652

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Fear and Uncertainty in Europe by Roberto Belloni,Vincent Della Sala,Paul Viotti Pdf

Russia’s intervention in the Ukraine, Donald Trump’s presidency and instability in the Middle East are just a few of the factors that have brought an end to the immediate post-Cold War belief that a new international order was emerging: one where fear and uncertainty gave way to a thick normative and institutional architecture that diminished the importance of material power. This has raised questions about the instruments we use to understand order in Europe and in international relations. The chapters in this book aim to assess whether foreign policy actors in Europe understand the international system and behave as realists. They ask what drives their behaviour, how they construct material capabilities and to what extent they see material power as the means to ensure survival. They contribute to a critical assessment of realism as a way to understand both Europe’s current predicament and the contemporary international system.

Uncertainty

Author : Millett Granger Morgan,Max Henrion,Mitchell Small
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 354 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 1990
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0521427444

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Uncertainty by Millett Granger Morgan,Max Henrion,Mitchell Small Pdf

A risk analysis textbook which is intended as a basic text for students as well as a reference for practitioners and researchers. It provides a basis for policy analysis and draws upon a variety of case studies.

(Inter)Facing Death

Author : Sam Han
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 198 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2019-10-16
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781315446745

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(Inter)Facing Death by Sam Han Pdf

In modern times, death is understood to have undergone a transformation not unlike religion. Whereas in the past it was out in the open, it now resides mostly in specialized spaces of sequestration—funeral homes, hospitals and other medical facilities. A mainstay in so-called traditional societies in the form of ritual practices, death was usually messy but meaningful, with the questions of what happens to the dead or where they go lying at the heart of traditional culture and religion. In modernity, however, we are said to have effectively sanitized it, embalmed it and packaged it—but it seems that death is back. In the current era marked by economic, political and social uncertainty, we see it on television, on the Internet; we see it almost everywhere. (Inter)Facing Death analyzes the nexus of death and digital culture in the contemporary moment in the context of recent developments in social, cultural and political theory. It argues that death today can be thought of as "interfaced," that is mediated and expressed, in various aspects of contemporary life rather than put to the side or overcome, as many narratives of modernity have suggested. Employing concepts from anthropology, sociology, media studies and communications, (Inter)Facing Death examines diverse phenomena where death and digital culture meet, including art, online suicide pacts, the mourning of celebrity deaths, terrorist beheadings and selfies. Providing new lines of thinking about one of the oldest questions facing the human and social sciences, this book will appeal to scholars and students of social and political theory, anthropology, sociology and cultural and media studies with interests in death.

The Next Age of Uncertainty

Author : Stephen Poloz
Publisher : Penguin
Page : 305 pages
File Size : 49,8 Mb
Release : 2022-02-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780735243910

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The Next Age of Uncertainty by Stephen Poloz Pdf

*WINNER OF THE 2023 NATIONAL BUSINESS BOOK AWARD* *FINALIST FOR THE 2023 OTTAWA BOOK AWARD* *SHORTLISTED FOR THE SHAUGHNESSY COHEN PRIZE FOR POLITICAL WRITING* *SHORTLISTED FOR THE 2022 DONNER PRIZE* NATIONAL BESTSELLER From the former Governor of the Bank of Canada, a far-seeing guide to the powerful economic forces that will shape the decades ahead. The economic ground is shifting beneath our feet. The world is becoming more volatile, and people are understandably worried about their financial futures. In this urgent and accessible guide to the crises and opportunities that lie ahead, economist and former Governor of the Bank of Canada Stephen Poloz maps out the powerful tectonic forces that are shaping our future, and the ideas that will allow us to master them. These forces include an aging workforce, mounting debt, and rising income inequality. Technological advances, too, are adding to the pressure, putting people out of work, and climate change is forcing a transition to a lower-carbon economy. It is no surprise that people are feeling uncertain. The implications of these tectonic tensions will cascade throughout every dimension of our lives—the job market, the housing market, the investment climate, as well as government and central bank policy, and the role of the corporation within society. The pandemic has added momentum to many of them. Poloz skillfully argues that past crises, from the Victorian Depression in the late 1800s to the more recent downturn in 2008, give a hint of what is in store for us in the decades ahead. Unlike the purely destructive power of earthquakes, the upheaval that is sure to come in the decades ahead will offer unexpected opportunities for renewal and growth. Filled with takeaways for employers, investors, and policymakers, as well as families discussing jobs and mortgage renewals around the kitchen table, The Next Age of Uncertainty is an indispensable guide for those navigating the fault lines of the risky world ahead.

Ignorance and Uncertainty

Author : Olivier Compte,Andrew Postlewaite
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 303 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2019
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781108422024

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Ignorance and Uncertainty by Olivier Compte,Andrew Postlewaite Pdf

Proposes novel methods to incorporate ignorance and uncertainty into economic modeling without complex mathematics.

Uncertainty

Author : David C. Cassidy
Publisher : W. H. Freeman
Page : 688 pages
File Size : 49,8 Mb
Release : 1993-08-15
Category : Biography & Autobiography
ISBN : 0716725037

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Uncertainty by David C. Cassidy Pdf

Werner Heisenberg's genius and his place at the forefront of modern physics are unquestioned. His decision to remain in Germany throughout the Third Reich and his role in Hitler's atomic bomb project are still topics of heated debate. UNCERTAINTY is David Cassidy's compelling portrait of this brilliant, ambitious, and controversial scientist. It is the definitive Heisenberg biography, as well as a striking evocation of the development of quantum physics, the rise of Nazism, and the dawn of the atomic age.

Asian Economic Integration in an Era of Global Uncertainty

Author : Shiro Armstrong,Tom Westland
Publisher : ANU Press
Page : 315 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 2018-01-08
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781760461768

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Asian Economic Integration in an Era of Global Uncertainty by Shiro Armstrong,Tom Westland Pdf

The Pacific Trade and Development (PAFTAD) conference series has been at the forefront of analysing challenges facing the economies of East Asia and the Pacific since its first meeting in Tokyo in January 1968. The 38th PAFTAD conference met at a key time to consider international economic integration. Earlier in the year, the people of the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union and the United States elected Donald Trump as their next president on the back of an inward-looking ‘America First’ promise. Brexit and President Trump represent a growing, and worrying, trend towards protectionism in the North Atlantic countries that have led the process of globalisation since the end of the Second World War. The chapters in the volume describe the state of play in Asian economic integration but, more importantly, look forward to the region’s future, and the role it might play in defending the global system that has underwritten its historic rise. Asia has the potential to stand as a bulwark against the dual threats of North Atlantic protectionism and slowing trade growth, but collective leadership will be needed regionally and difficult domestic reforms will be required in each country.

Consulting in Uncertainty

Author : Ann K. Brooks,Kathy Edwards
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 202 pages
File Size : 53,5 Mb
Release : 2013-11-07
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781136519680

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Consulting in Uncertainty by Ann K. Brooks,Kathy Edwards Pdf

The traditional model of consulting places an emphasis on diagnosing a problem and finding a cure. But in today’s business world of globalized organizations, rapid knowledge proliferation, and the intertwining of economies, that approach is becoming less and less viable; problems are quickly redefined, new knowledge (and ownership of that knowledge) is constantly surfacing and being challenged, and no solution is a permanent solution. Consulting in Uncertainty articulates a model of consulting that addresses the uncertainty and interconnectedness of the world in a post-industrial, knowledge era. Emphasizing outcomes and inquiry over ‘diagnosis’, Brooks and Edwards outline this new consulting model, as well as the skills consultants must bring to the table in any uncertain and dynamic environment. Integrating practical knowledge with scholarship, this book covers skills such as: Relational skills and the consulting relationship Cultural awareness and related skills Contextual analysis Facilitating inquiry Collecting and efficiently analyzing data or information Consultants and students of consulting, as well as managers, teachers, counselors, and even parents, will find this book enlightening and useful in navigating today’s uncertain world.

God's Not Dead

Author : Rice Broocks
Publisher : HarperChristian + ORM
Page : 302 pages
File Size : 46,9 Mb
Release : 2013-03-11
Category : Religion
ISBN : 9780849964305

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God's Not Dead by Rice Broocks Pdf

The evidence behind the hit movie! God’s NotDead is apologetics for the twenty-first century, presented in clear and easy-to-follow terms. Learn to defend your faith in a world that’s determined to tear it down. The goal of God’s Not Dead is straightforward: to help readers develop a faith that is real and credible—and strong enough to help others find faith in God. Author Rice Broocks outlines a roadmap that guides seekers to acknowledge the most basic truths of Christianity: There is overwhelming and exciting evidence for God’s existence The God who exists is indeed the God of the Bible God has revealed his nature through his Son, Jesus Christ As shown during the movie, this is the original book on which the main character bases much of his debate points with his atheistic professor. It contains persuasive arguments crafted with tools borrowed from logic, science, philosophy, and scripture that will solidify your faith and provide starting points for discussions with skeptics. With clear, easy-to-follow explanations of key concepts and controversies, God’s NotDead is modern apologetics presented in layman’s terms. You will be empowered not only to talk about your own faith with confidence, but to lead others to a relationship with Jesus.

The Uncertainty of Everyday Life, 1915-1945

Author : Harvey Green
Publisher : University of Arkansas Press
Page : 300 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 2000-01-01
Category : History
ISBN : 1557285985

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The Uncertainty of Everyday Life, 1915-1945 by Harvey Green Pdf

The era between the world wars, from the "roaring 20s" to the grim days of the Great Depression, was a time of tremendous change. The United States became an increasingly urban culture as people left their farms to seek work in the cities. Many blacks moved North to escape the violence and racism of a resurgent Ku Klux Klan in the South. And, while life became more comfortable for many Americans during this period, by 1941 only half the population enjoyed the modern conveniences we now take for granted. With improvements in technology and the rise of consumerism (spurred by the new "science" of advertising) the country was expanding in every direction. However, for many Americans, daily life was fraught with uncertainty. Jobs and wages were unpredictable, labor unrest was constant, and savings vanished in the stock market. In this vividly detailed narrative, Harvey Green recounts an era of unprecedented change in American culture and examines the impact of these uncertain times on such aspects of daily life as employment, home life, gender roles, education, religion, and recreation.

HBR Working Parents Series Collection (3 Books) (HBR Working Parents Series)

Author : Harvard Business Review,Daisy Dowling,Stewart D. Friedman,Whitney Johnson,Bruce Feiler
Publisher : Harvard Business Press
Page : 278 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2020-12-29
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781647820350

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HBR Working Parents Series Collection (3 Books) (HBR Working Parents Series) by Harvard Business Review,Daisy Dowling,Stewart D. Friedman,Whitney Johnson,Bruce Feiler Pdf

Tips, stories, and strategies for the job that never ends. When it comes to being a working parent, there are no right answers to the tough questions you grapple with, from how to get your toddler out the door to supporting your teen through struggles with their peers to whether or not to accept that big promotion—and the extensive travel and long hours that come with it. But there are answers that are right for you and your family. The HBR Working Parents Series Collection assembles the ideas and strategies you need to help you get ahead—and get through the day. Included in this set are Managing Your Career, Getting It All Done, and Taking Care of Yourself. This compilation offers insights and practical advice from world-class experts on the topics that matter most to working parents including making decisions at home and at work that align with your priorities; navigating tradeoffs—and managing the feelings that come with them; developing strategies for managing both the details of your day and the long-term view of your career; finding time for personal development; and making career choices that work for you—and your family. The HBR Working Parents Series with Daisy Dowling, Series Editor, supports readers as you anticipate challenges, learn how to advocate for yourself more effectively, juggle your impossible schedule, and find fulfillment at home and at work. Whether you're up with a newborn or planning the future with your teen, you'll find the practical tips, strategies, and research you need to make working parenthood work for you.