When China Sneezes Does Asean Catch A Cold

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When China Sneezes Does ASEAN Catch a Cold?

Author : Mr.Sohrab Rafiq
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 22 pages
File Size : 43,9 Mb
Release : 2016-11-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475552607

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When China Sneezes Does ASEAN Catch a Cold? by Mr.Sohrab Rafiq Pdf

This paper looks at the effects of a China slowdown on Emerging Market Economies (Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand) and Frontier Developing Economies (Cambodia, Lao P.D.R., and Vietnam) in ASEAN. The main finding is that the impact of China growth shocks on ASEAN has risen since the global financial crisis. A one percent decline in China’s growth implies a 0.3 percent reduction in growth for ASEAN EMEs and 0.2 for FDEs. An important component of inflation is also shared between ASEAN and China. These magnitudes are double what they were two decades ago due to stronger trade and financial linkages. Finally, a slowdown in China, while having real effects, also has a financial impact via slower credit growth and lower equity prices. This is in line with the existence of both portfolio balance and signaling channels, in which ASEAN market participants absorb news on China economic activity as an indicator over domestic growth prospects.

2030 Vision for ASEAN-China Strategic Partnership

Author : Guo Yanjun
Publisher : World Scientific
Page : 168 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2018-06-08
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9789813271593

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2030 Vision for ASEAN-China Strategic Partnership by Guo Yanjun Pdf

The year 2018 marks the 15th anniversary of the establishment of ASEAN-China Strategic Partnership. Both ASEAN and China expect to seize this opportunity to take ASEAN-China strategic partnership to a new level. This book assesses ASEAN-China Strategic Partnership in the past 15 years by taking stock of the implementation of existing ASEAN-China cooperation frameworks, mechanisms and programs; defines overall goals and guiding principles of the ASEAN-China Strategic Partnership toward the end of 2030; sets specific targets, to be reached in 2030, for political and security cooperation, economic cooperation, and people-to-people exchanges between ASEAN and China and recommends concrete and practical measures (including short-term, mid-term and long-term measures) to deepen and widen future cooperation; and offers strategies for the 2030 Vision to be aligned with the ASEAN Community Vision 2025 and the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development in the three pillars of ASEAN-China cooperation. This book is a collection of conference papers and summary report of the Network of ASEAN-China Think-tanks (NACT) Special Working Group Meeting held in Beijing, China on 26 January 2018. Themed '2030 Vision for ASEAN-China Strategic Partnership' (2030 Vision), the meeting reviewed the past 15 years of ASEAN-China strategic partnership and discussed the reports on the 2030 Vision submitted by leading think tanks of all ASEAN member states and China. The Network of ASEAN-China Think-tanks (NACT) was proposed by Chinese Premier Li Keqiang in 2013 to contribute scholarly work to the 'diamond decade' of China-ASEAN strategic partnership and to build a China-ASEAN community of shared future. It was officially launched in 2014. So far, a three-level working mechanism (including Country Coordinators' Meeting, Working Group Meeting and Annual Seminar) has been built, and a regional network of think-tanks has been formed. As a regular and institutionalized platform for think-tanks cooperation, NACT serves to promote joint studies on ASEAN-China relations, strengthen people-to-people ties and become a significant supplement to Track I diplomacy.

China's Maritime Silk Road Initiative and Southeast Asia

Author : Jean-Marc F. Blanchard
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 272 pages
File Size : 55,8 Mb
Release : 2019-11-29
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9789813292758

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China's Maritime Silk Road Initiative and Southeast Asia by Jean-Marc F. Blanchard Pdf

This book delves into the political-economy of China’s Maritime Silk Road Initiative (MSRI), part of the larger Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), with a focus on Southeast Asia (SEA). It represents the second in a three-part book series on China’s MSRI. It discusses the state of the MSRI in various SEA countries such as Indonesia and Myanmar, highlights the international and domestic economic and political factors that shape individual SEA country’s embrace of China’s scheme, and examines the effects of China’s MSRI in individual SEA countries such as Cambodia and Malaysia. It also contemplates the role of third parties such as India and the United States on the behaviors of SEA countries and the implementation of the MSRI. It shows the MSRI is neither a boon nor bust and that the MSRI’s progress and effects are contingent on many factors requiring attention by those wanting to understand China’s mega initiative.

China's Changing Trade and the Implications for the CLMV

Author : Mr.Koshy Mathai,Mr.Geoff Gottlieb,Mr.Gee Hee Hong,Sung Eun Jung,Jochen M. Schmittmann,Jiangyan Yu
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 84 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 2016-09-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513544991

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China's Changing Trade and the Implications for the CLMV by Mr.Koshy Mathai,Mr.Geoff Gottlieb,Mr.Gee Hee Hong,Sung Eun Jung,Jochen M. Schmittmann,Jiangyan Yu Pdf

China’s trade patterns are evolving. While it started in light manufacturing and the assembly of more sophisticated products as part of global supply chains, China is now moving up the value chain, “onshoring” the production of higher-value-added upstream products and moving into more sophisticated downstream products as well. At the same time, with its wages rising, it has started to exit some lower-end, more labor-intensive sectors. These changes are taking place in the broader context of China’s rebalancing—away from exports and toward domestic demand, and within the latter, away from investment and toward consumption—and as a consequence, demand for some commodity imports is slowing, while consumption imports are slowly rising. The evolution of Chinese trade, investment, and consumption patterns offers opportunities and challenges to low-wage, low-income countries, including China’s neighbors in the Mekong region. Cambodia, Lao P.D.R., Myanmar, and Vietnam (the CLMV) are all open economies that are highly integrated with China. Rebalancing in China may mean less of a role for commodity exports from the region, but at the same time, the CLMV’s low labor costs suggest that manufacturing assembly for export could take off as China becomes less competitive, and as China itself demands more consumption items. Labor costs, however, are only part of the story. The CLMV will need to strengthen their infrastructure, education, governance, and trade regimes, and also run sound macro policies in order to capitalize fully on the opportunities presented by China’s transformation. With such policy efforts, the CLMV could see their trade and integration with global supply chains grow dramatically in the coming years.

The ASEAN Way

Author : Ms.Ana Corbacho,Mr.Shanaka J Peiris
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 311 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2018-10-02
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513558905

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The ASEAN Way by Ms.Ana Corbacho,Mr.Shanaka J Peiris Pdf

The first part of the book examines the evolution of monetary policy and prudential frameworks of the ASEAN5, with particular focus on changes since the Asian financial crisis and the more recent period of unconventional monetary policy in advanced economies. The second part of the book looks at policy responses to global financial spillovers. The third and last part of the book elaborates on the challenges ahead for monetary policy, financial stability frameworks, and the deepening of financial markets.

Cambodia

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 76 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2016-11-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475551327

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Cambodia by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

This 2016 Article IV Consultation highlights growth in the Cambodian economy of about 7 percent in 2015, supported by strong garment exports, real estate and construction activity, and a reduction in oil prices. Inflation unexpectedly picked up at the end of 2015, to 2.8 percent, owing to higher food prices following extreme weather, but it remains well contained. Private sector credit growth has averaged nearly 30 percent over the past three years, doubling the credit-to-GDP ratio to 62 percent by the end of 2015. The near-term outlook remains broadly favorable. Growth is projected to remain robust at about 7 percent for 2016–17, supported by strong garment exports and real estate and construction activity.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2016, Asia and Pacific

Author : Mr.Ranil M Salgado
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 145 pages
File Size : 49,6 Mb
Release : 2016-05-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484339398

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2016, Asia and Pacific by Mr.Ranil M Salgado Pdf

Although Asia remains a growth leader in the global economy, growth is expected to ease slightly to 5.5 percent during 2016, with countries affected to varying degrees by a still weak global recovery, slowing global trade, and the short-term impact of China’s growth transition. Structural reforms are needed if Asia is to maintain its position in the global economy, including reforms aimed at enhancing productive capacity. Needed reforms range from state-owned enterprise and financial sector reform in China to labor and product market reforms in Japan and reforms to remove supply bottlenecks in India, ASEAN, frontier economies, and small states.

The People's Republic of China

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 50 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2016-08-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475524383

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The People's Republic of China by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

This Selected Issues paper reviews China’s progress along various dimensions of rebalancing. External rebalancing has advanced well, while progress on internal rebalancing has been mixed—substantial on the supply side, moderate on the demand side, and limited on credit dependence. Rebalancing on the environment and inclusiveness has lagged. The high national rate of saving is expected to fall owing to demographic change and a stronger social safety net. The consumption ratio is expected to increase with a rising labor income share and less household saving. Supply-side rebalancing from industry to services is expected to advance further, helping reduce the carbon intensity of output and promote income equality.

Impacts Of Science And Technology On Currency Internationalization

Author : Peter Guangping Zhang
Publisher : World Scientific
Page : 715 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 2023-02-02
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9789811254109

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Impacts Of Science And Technology On Currency Internationalization by Peter Guangping Zhang Pdf

For decades, science and technology (sci-tech) have influenced world trade, world economy, and international finance. However, their specific impacts are seldom known and related empirical studies are rare. Thus, we must quantify and empirically explore how sci-tech influences such areas as mentioned above. The purpose of this book is to explore how sci-tech influences world trade, foreign exchange, and currency internationalization in various ways through first quantifying science & technology. This book empirically explores how major world currencies might change their relative international positions with continuous innovation and diffusion of sci-tech.Currency internationalization is measured by the percentage share of the average daily turnover of a particular currency in the global foreign exchange market over the corresponding overall daily turnover of the global foreign exchange market over the corresponding overall daily turnover of the global foreign exchange market. Sci-tech as a commodity is borderless, yet its inventors and related businesses are bound by the intellectual property laws of their own countries. Patents, especially international patents, are useful representations of sci-tech. They cannot be compared directly because of different criteria of patent regulators worldwide, and thus the quality of patents varies across patent regulators. Based on patent data from annual IP 5 Statistics Reports and charges for the use of IP of major currency issuers released by the WTO, this book quantifies sci-tech internationalization using weighted patent families first, and proceeds to study how sci-tech internationalization affects currency internationalization.

IMF Research Bulletin, December 2016

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 16 pages
File Size : 46,9 Mb
Release : 2016-12-30
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475567083

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IMF Research Bulletin, December 2016 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

The Research Summaries in this issue of the IMF Research Bulletin cover “Tax Capacity and Growth” (by Vitor Gaspar, Laura Jaramillo, and Philippe Wingender), and “U.S. Shale Revolution and Its Spillover Effects on the Global Economy” (Ravi Balakrishnan, Keiko Honjo, Akito Matsumoto, and Andrea Pescatori). The Q&A coauthored by Amadou Sy and Mariama Sow covers “Seven Questions about the Relationship between Country Finance and Governance.” A listing of recent IMF Working Papers, Staff Discussion Notes, and Recommended Readings from IMF Publications is included in the IMF Research Bulletin. Readers can also find news on free-to-view articles from IMF Economic Review and a call for conference papers in this issue of the Bulletin.

Emerging Markets and the Global Economy

Author : Mohammed El Hedi Arouri,Sabri Boubaker,Duc Khuong Nguyen
Publisher : Academic Press
Page : 927 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2013-12-26
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780124115637

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Emerging Markets and the Global Economy by Mohammed El Hedi Arouri,Sabri Boubaker,Duc Khuong Nguyen Pdf

Emerging Markets and the Global Economy investigates analytical techniques suited to emerging market economies, which are typically prone to policy shocks. Despite the large body of emerging market finance literature, their underlying dynamics and interactions with other economies remain challenging and mysterious because standard financial models measure them imprecisely. Describing the linkages between emerging and developed markets, this collection systematically explores several crucial issues in asset valuation and risk management. Contributors present new theoretical constructions and empirical methods for handling cross-country volatility and sudden regime shifts. Usually attractive for investors because of the superior growth they can deliver, emerging markets can have a low correlation with developed markets. This collection advances your knowledge about their inherent characteristics. Foreword by Ali M. Kutan Concentrates on post-crisis roles of emerging markets in the global economy Reports on key theoretical and technical developments in emerging financial markets Forecasts future developments in linkages among developed and emerging economies

The Fukuda Doctrine and ASEAN

Author : Sueo Sudo
Publisher : Institute of Southeast Asian Studies
Page : 293 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 1992
Category : Japan
ISBN : 9789813016156

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The Fukuda Doctrine and ASEAN by Sueo Sudo Pdf

A burgeoning Japanese role in the Asia-Pacific region has been one of the most contentious issues to the Southeast Asian countries in recent years with its positive and negative implications. It is thus timely and significant to come to terms with Japan's "design" in the region from a historical perspective. Attributing Japan's active involvement in Southeast Asian affairs to the proclamation of the so-called Fukuda Doctrine of August 1977, this study traces the origins of Japan's political role in the region and analyses the development and effects of the very first Japanese foreign policy doctrine. As perhaps the most exclusive scrutiny on the Fukuda Doctrine as well as on Japan-ASEAN relations, this study renders a comprehensive history of Japan-Southeast Asia relations in the post-war period.

Signals in the Noise: Notes on Penang, Malaysia and the World

Author : Ooi Kee Beng
Publisher : Faction Press
Page : 230 pages
File Size : 49,6 Mb
Release : 2024-01-05
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9789811883149

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Signals in the Noise: Notes on Penang, Malaysia and the World by Ooi Kee Beng Pdf

Malaysia is no easy country to analyse, or even to understand. With so many narratives about the country, its peoples, and its histories, the noise generated — both online and off — can be as deafening as that of any rave party. Since 2019, Malaysians have lived through a unique period in the country’s history: Amid the Covid pandemic and its many challenges, Malaysia experienced three prime minister changes, and countless other political dramas and plot twists. Signals in the Noise is not just a book on politics, though. Moving with ease between different sociopolitical and socioeconomic discourses, this collection of Ooi Kee Beng’s columns and commentaries — published between 2019 and 2023 — showcases more than ever his talent as a historian and philosopher, alongside his prowess as a political scientist. This wide-ranging collection is a must-read beginner's guide to Malaysian politics. It also highlights Ooi’s love for his hometown of Penang, his concern for the environment, and how the arts define a society and its perceptions of the world.

Chinese Investment in Africa

Author : David N. Abdulai
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 184 pages
File Size : 46,9 Mb
Release : 2016-11-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781317166986

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Chinese Investment in Africa by David N. Abdulai Pdf

China leads the world when it comes to investment and influence on the African continent. The extent of Chinese investment in Africa is well known and much has been written about China’s foray into Africa. However, most of the available material has approached this issue by looking at China as the ’New Colonialist’ – more interested in Africa’s vast natural resources than working in partnership for sustained development. Whilst China’s interest in Africa’s resources is evident, it is just half of the story. China’s foray into Africa goes beyond its appetite for natural resources and into the realm of geo-politics and international political economics. For example, China is all too aware of how it can cultivate Africa’s support on global issues at the United Nations and at other international fora. Breaking free from the binary arguments and analysis which characterize this topic, Professor Abdulai presents a refreshing perspective that China’s foray into Africa can produce win–win outcomes for China and Africa – if Africans really know what they want from China. Hitherto, each African country has tended to engage China with an individual bucket list; acting in isolation and not as part of a wider continent (indeed Africa and the African Union does not yet have a coordinated policy towards China). For Africa to be able to do that it needs to know where China is coming from, the factors that contributed to its awakening and success, and the benefits and possible pitfalls of this foray, in order to better position itself for a win–win engagement with China. This book will be a valuable read for policy makers, think-tanks and students of Africa-China studies programmes alike.

Unravelling the China Miracle

Author : A. Besant C. Raj
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 182 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 2006
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : STANFORD:36105130549624

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Unravelling the China Miracle by A. Besant C. Raj Pdf

Unravelling the China Miracle - A Comparative Study with India by Dr. A. Besant C Raj, a noted authority on economic affairs, is a guide to economic progress for developing countries based on the twenty-five year transformation of China from a poverty-stricken nation to a major world power. The book systematically demystifies the story of China by identifying the specific strategies used by Deng Xiaoping in agriculture, industry and services as he enlisted the help of his countrymen by making advancement worthwhile to individuals as well as to society as a whole.